Yonatan Henriquez
SS Brooklyn Cyclones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROKNYM | 249 | .236/.378/.300 | 0 | 15 | 52 | — | .198/.293/.250 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/ANYM | 437 | .263/.356/.393 | 8 | 35 | 80 | — | .235/.306/.355 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+NYM | 435 | .222/.284/.384 | 11 | 27 | 38 | — | .174/.216/.297 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBNYM | 1 | .190/.246/.301 | 0 | 0 | 57 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBNYM | 133 | .196/.253/.315 | 3 | 5 | 63 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBNYM | 201 | .200/.259/.324 | 4 | 7 | 67 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | — | 118 | 93 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 247 | 397 | 344 | 741 | 97 | 318 | 23 | 15 | 344 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 140 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 221 | 359 | 300 | 659 | 79 | 278 | 20 | 17 | 308 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 98 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 169 | 245 | 202 | 447 | 34 | 238 | 27 | 7 | 215 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 151 | 114 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 289 | 464 | 377 | 841 | 88 | 363 | 15 | 23 | 394 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 32 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 344 | 357 | 701 | 107 | 350 | 25 | 12 | 319 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 405 | 349 | 92 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 72 | 0 | 33 | 8 | 264 | 357 | 395 | 753 | 132 | 308 | 18 | 13 | 337 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 435 | 396 | 88 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 110 | 3 | 27 | 10 | 222 | 284 | 384 | 668 | 162 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 118 | 98 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 163 | 293 | 214 | 507 | 51 | 207 | 28 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 151 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 159 | 253 | 219 | 471 | 60 | 213 | 30 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 98 | 91 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 143 | 204 | 165 | 369 | 22 | 234 | 37 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 151 | 128 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 34 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 234 | 351 | 305 | 656 | 70 | 311 | 23 | 13 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 32 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 300 | 550 | 100 | 301 | 31 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 405 | 362 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 92 | 0 | 33 | 8 | 238 | 310 | 359 | 669 | 122 | 287 | 23 | 9 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 435 | 408 | 71 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 144 | 3 | 27 | 10 | 174 | 216 | 297 | 513 | 123 | 233 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 118 | 98 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 163 | 293 | 214 | 507 | 51 | 227 | 28 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 1 | — | 118 | 93 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 247 | 397 | 344 | 741 | 97 | 318 | 23 | 15 | 344 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 151 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 159 | 253 | 219 | 471 | 60 | 228 | 30 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 140 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 221 | 359 | 300 | 659 | 79 | 278 | 20 | 17 | 308 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 249 | 220 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 70 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 195 | 289 | 245 | 535 | 50 | 287 | 28 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 249 | 203 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 49 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 236 | 378 | 300 | 678 | 64 | 312 | 20 | 16 | 323 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 392 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 103 | 0 | 35 | 8 | 232 | 303 | 347 | 650 | 115 | 291 | 24 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 377 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 80 | 0 | 35 | 8 | 263 | 356 | 393 | 749 | 130 | 311 | 18 | 13 | 336 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 435 | 408 | 71 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 144 | 3 | 27 | 10 | 174 | 216 | 297 | 513 | 123 | 238 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 435 | 396 | 88 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 110 | 3 | 27 | 10 | 222 | 284 | 384 | 668 | 162 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 1 | — | 118 | 99 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 162 | 293 | 212 | 505 | 51 | 207 | 28 | 11 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 173 | 152 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 158 | 253 | 217 | 470 | 59 | 213 | 30 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 249 | 218 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 70 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 197 | 289 | 248 | 537 | 50 | 281 | 28 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 394 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 103 | 0 | 35 | 8 | 231 | 303 | 345 | 648 | 114 | 288 | 24 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 435 | 410 | 71 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 144 | 3 | 27 | 10 | 173 | 216 | 295 | 511 | 122 | 233 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 249 | 218 | 43 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 70 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 197 | 289 | 248 | 537 | 50 | 281 | 28 | 10 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 394 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 103 | 0 | 35 | 8 | 231 | 303 | 345 | 648 | 114 | 288 | 24 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 435 | 410 | 71 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 144 | 3 | 27 | 10 | 173 | 216 | 295 | 511 | 122 | 233 | 33 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | NYM | 0% | 545 | 503 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 165 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 196 | 252 | 310 | 562 | 114 | 267 | 30 | 6 | 252 | 57 | -28 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | NYM | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 246 | 301 | 548 | 111 | 258 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 57 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYM | 35% | 386 | 355 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 114 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 202 | 259 | 324 | 583 | 122 | 269 | 30 | 7 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYM | 46% | 434 | 399 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 125 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 206 | 264 | 333 | 597 | 127 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYM | 52% | 480 | 440 | 93 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 137 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 208 | 268 | 339 | 607 | 131 | 272 | 29 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYM | 54% | 499 | 458 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 141 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 210 | 271 | 342 | 613 | 132 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYM | 54% | 502 | 458 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 141 | 3 | 18 | 6 | 211 | 272 | 343 | 615 | 132 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 275 | 72 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYM | 54% | 499 | 457 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 141 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 209 | 271 | 339 | 609 | 130 | 273 | 28 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -17 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYM | 53% | 488 | 448 | 93 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 139 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 207 | 268 | 333 | 601 | 126 | 272 | 28 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -18 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYM | 57% | 476 | 437 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 137 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 204 | 265 | 326 | 590 | 122 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -20 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYM | 35% | 133 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 196 | 253 | 315 | 568 | 119 | 260 | 29 | 7 | 255 | 63 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYM | 46% | 201 | 184 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 58 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 200 | 259 | 324 | 582 | 124 | 262 | 29 | 7 | 261 | 67 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYM | 52% | 248 | 228 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 71 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 202 | 263 | 330 | 592 | 128 | 263 | 29 | 7 | 265 | 70 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYM | 54% | 271 | 249 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 76 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 204 | 265 | 333 | 598 | 129 | 264 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 72 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYM | 54% | 272 | 249 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 76 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 205 | 267 | 334 | 600 | 129 | 265 | 28 | 7 | 269 | 72 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYM | 54% | 271 | 249 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 77 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 203 | 265 | 329 | 594 | 126 | 264 | 28 | 7 | 266 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYM | 53% | 259 | 237 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 201 | 262 | 324 | 586 | 123 | 263 | 29 | 7 | 263 | 68 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYM | 57% | 271 | 249 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 78 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 259 | 317 | 576 | 119 | 261 | 29 | 7 | 259 | 65 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1926 | 1767 | 354 | 72 | 8 | 43 | 136 | 549 | 8 | 62 | 20 | 200 | 261 | 323 | 584 | 123 | 263 | 29 | 7 | 264 | 64 | -71 | +4 | -2 | +21 | +42 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 120 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 185 | 3 | 21 | 7 | 201 | 262 | 327 | 589 | 126 | 263 | 28 | 7 | 264 | 64 | -24 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5386 | 4915 | 1000 | 212 | 26 | 108 | 393 | 1541 | 35 | 220 | 81 | 203 | 267 | 323 | 590 | 120 | 270 | 29 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -151 | +9 | -4 | +43 | +86 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 121 | 26 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 186 | 4 | 27 | 10 | 204 | 267 | 324 | 590 | 120 | 271 | 29 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -25 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 435 PAwOBA .290 → .224 (−66)K% 25.3% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 15.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.43% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .290 → .224; ISO .162 → .130; BABIP .275 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 405 PAwOBA .332 → .291 (−41)K% 17.8% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.78% | ÷1.060 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.59% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.10% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | ×1.015 | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.50% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.015 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | ×1.015 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.89% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .332 → .291; ISO .132 → .121; BABIP .308 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 32 PAwOBA .312 → .237 (−75)K% 25.0% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.011 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.022 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 21.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 4.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .237; ISO .107 → .085; BABIP .350 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Mets · 151 PAwOBA .386 → .292 (−93)K% 15.2% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.23% | ÷0.973 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.52% | ÷1.068 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 13.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.47% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 24.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 95, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .386 → .292; ISO .088 → .074; BABIP .363 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASt. Lucie Mets · 98 PAwOBA .210 → .172 (−38)K% 26.5% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.53% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 19.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 4.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.826 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .210 → .172; ISO .034 → .027; BABIP .238 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Mets · 173 PAwOBA .306 → .213 (−93)K% 19.7% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.65% | ÷0.949 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.76% | ÷1.004 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 10.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 16.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.953 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .306 → .213; ISO .079 → .057; BABIP .278 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Mets 1 · 118 PAwOBA .341 → .234 (−108)K% 22.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.88% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.25% | ÷0.968 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.24% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 18.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 2.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.995 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.950 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.51% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .341 → .234; ISO .097 → .054; BABIP .318 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).