Cameron Garfield
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 22 | A+Brevard Count… | 440 | .250/.281/.379 | 8 | 1 | 38 | — | .194/.221/.288 |
| 2014 | 23 | A+Brevard Count… | 388 | .229/.272/.304 | 2 | 9 | 34 | — | .196/.230/.267 |
| 2015 | 24 | A+Brevard Count… | 202 | .233/.267/.306 | 2 | 4 | 26 | — | .190/.218/.262 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 234 | 218 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 61 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 248 | 299 | 353 | 652 | 106 | 327 | 26 | 4 | 295 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 419 | 384 | 94 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 245 | 290 | 318 | 608 | 73 | 291 | 18 | 5 | 271 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 211 | 176 | 387 | 59 | 143 | 16 | 5 | 191 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 38 | 36 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 361 | 395 | 667 | 1.061 | 306 | 440 | 24 | 5 | 457 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 257 | 225 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 385 | 524 | 910 | 227 | 326 | 16 | 11 | 400 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 440 | 420 | 105 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 281 | 379 | 659 | 129 | 308 | 22 | 3 | 292 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 388 | 362 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 64 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 229 | 272 | 304 | 575 | 75 | 269 | 16 | 4 | 258 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 202 | 193 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 233 | 267 | 306 | 573 | 73 | 283 | 19 | 4 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 234 | 222 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 88 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 180 | 222 | 252 | 474 | 72 | 278 | 38 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 419 | 393 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 209 | 241 | 272 | 514 | 64 | 263 | 25 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 118 | 211 | 176 | 387 | 59 | 127 | 21 | 5 | 151 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 38 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 243 | 263 | 432 | 696 | 189 | 337 | 34 | 3 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 257 | 233 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 249 | 319 | 429 | 748 | 180 | 296 | 22 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 440 | 423 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 146 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 194 | 221 | 288 | 510 | 95 | 278 | 33 | 2 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 388 | 367 | 72 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 196 | 230 | 267 | 497 | 71 | 252 | 25 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 202 | 195 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 190 | 218 | 262 | 479 | 72 | 255 | 28 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 234 | 222 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 88 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 180 | 222 | 252 | 474 | 72 | 282 | 38 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK RAW | Helena Brewers | — | 234 | 218 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 61 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 248 | 299 | 353 | 652 | 106 | 327 | 26 | 4 | 295 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 419 | 393 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 209 | 241 | 272 | 514 | 64 | 270 | 25 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 419 | 384 | 94 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 245 | 290 | 318 | 608 | 73 | 291 | 18 | 5 | 271 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 57 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 228 | 345 | 574 | 145 | 270 | 30 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 57 | 53 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 283 | 333 | 509 | 843 | 226 | 333 | 21 | 5 | 368 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 257 | 233 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 249 | 319 | 429 | 748 | 180 | 293 | 22 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 257 | 225 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 298 | 385 | 524 | 910 | 227 | 326 | 16 | 11 | 400 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 440 | 423 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 146 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 194 | 221 | 288 | 510 | 95 | 278 | 33 | 2 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 440 | 420 | 105 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 250 | 281 | 379 | 659 | 129 | 308 | 22 | 3 | 292 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 388 | 367 | 72 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 196 | 230 | 267 | 497 | 71 | 255 | 25 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 388 | 362 | 83 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 64 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 229 | 272 | 304 | 575 | 75 | 269 | 16 | 4 | 258 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 202 | 195 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 190 | 218 | 262 | 479 | 72 | 255 | 28 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 202 | 193 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 233 | 267 | 306 | 573 | 73 | 283 | 19 | 4 | 260 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 234 | 220 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 88 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 182 | 222 | 255 | 477 | 73 | 278 | 38 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 419 | 399 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 206 | 241 | 268 | 510 | 63 | 263 | 25 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 57 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 228 | 345 | 574 | 145 | 267 | 30 | 2 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 257 | 231 | 58 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 57 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 319 | 433 | 752 | 182 | 296 | 22 | 7 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 440 | 422 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 146 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 194 | 221 | 289 | 511 | 95 | 278 | 33 | 2 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 388 | 369 | 72 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 195 | 230 | 266 | 495 | 70 | 252 | 25 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 202 | 193 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 56 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 192 | 218 | 264 | 482 | 73 | 255 | 28 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1997 | 1888 | 382 | 83 | 5 | 26 | 69 | 563 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 202 | 240 | 293 | 533 | 91 | 271 | 28 | 3 | 233 | 44 | -134 | -2 | +0 | +36 | +43 | -5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 615 | 124 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 183 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 202 | 239 | 291 | 530 | 89 | 271 | 28 | 3 | 233 | 44 | -44 | -1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 A+Brevard County Manatees · 202 PAwOBA .253 → .207 (−45)K% 19.3% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.31% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.96% | ÷0.987 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 2.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 19.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.911 | ×0.960 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.887 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 111, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .253 → .207; ISO .073 → .067; BABIP .283 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Brevard County Manatees · 388 PAwOBA .254 → .218 (−35)K% 16.5% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.49% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.12% | ÷1.029 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 3.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.47% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷0.937 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×0.998 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.954 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.62% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 89, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .254 → .218; ISO .075 → .069; BABIP .269 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Brevard County Manatees · 440 PAwOBA .285 → .224 (−61)K% 22.5% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.50% | ÷0.965 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.18% | ÷1.016 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 2.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.23% | ÷1.002 | ×0.960 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.49% | ÷0.978 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.27% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .285 → .224; ISO .129 → .099; BABIP .308 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 257 PAwOBA .390 → .324 (−66)K% 16.3% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.34% | ÷0.995 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.51% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.77% | ÷1.025 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 19.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 8.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.01% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 5.05% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .390 → .324; ISO .227 → .187; BABIP .326 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ROKAZL Brewers · 38 PAwOBA .437 → .303 (−133)K% 23.7% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 1.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 21.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 7.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 5.75% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .437 → .303; ISO .306 → .207; BABIP .440 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 19 PAwOBA .186 → .151 (−36)K% 15.8% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.007 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 4.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 6.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.993 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 85, K 101, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .186 → .151; ISO .059 → .049; BABIP .143 → .127. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 419 PAwOBA .267 → .225 (−42)K% 17.7% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.66% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.25% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 3.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.23% | ÷1.070 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.045 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.045 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.904 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.90% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 112, K 95, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .267 → .225; ISO .073 → .064; BABIP .291 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ROKHelena Brewers · 234 PAwOBA .287 → .205 (−83)K% 26.1% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.07% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.022 | 2.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.048 | ×1.022 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×1.022 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.048 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.022 | 1.95% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .287 → .205; ISO .106 → .070; BABIP .327 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).