Starlin Aguilar

2B Inland Empire 66ers
Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420ROKSEA168.240/.317/.3401528—.168/.228/.232
202521AModesto Nuts148.169/.231/.24310-6—.129/.177/.187
202622ASEA276.272/.330/.45310064—.215/.257/.341
2027PROJMLE23MLBSEA386.202/.253/.3168659-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBSEA60.204/.256/.3221163-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBSEA115.207/.260/.3293266-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
ISO73
wOBA47
wRC+45
Z-Con%40
K%35
Whiff%19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsCody Morissette (age 23) · Tristan Gray (age 23) · Christopher Familia (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 164 proj PA
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .251 / .313
PA164
HR3
K%28
BB%6
ISO114
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2-0.2272830
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 46
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER46
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL Mariners — 220183 451312 29415 02 246364361725 115301 1913 330 32 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL Mariners — 185175 51610 8420 01 291322337660 46378 234 296 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROKACL Mariners — 7060 18511 7172 00 300391467858 167395 2410 377 65 — — — — — —
202420 ROKACL Mariners — 168150 36821 14333 50 240317340657 100299 208 299 28 — — — — — —
202521 AModesto Nuts — 148136 23701 9552 00 169231243474 74272 376 219 -6 — — — — — —
202622 AInland Empire 66ers — 276254 6916010 22740 01 272330453782 181347 278 346 64 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 220192 30711 20505 02 156253219472 62193 239 215 32 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 185178 38410 5610 01 213235247482 34311 333 209 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 7063 13311 4252 00 206275333609 127314 366 265 65 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 168155 26511 9483 50 168228232460 65238 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEModesto Nuts — 148139 18501 6712 00 129177187364 58240 484 160 -6 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 276261 561207 151010 01 215257341598 126323 375 263 64 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 220192 30711 20505 02 156253219472 62201 239 215 32 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 220183 451312 29415 02 246364361725 115301 1913 330 32 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 185178 38410 5610 01 213235247482 34319 333 209 28 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 185175 51610 8420 01 291322337660 46378 234 296 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 7063 13311 4252 00 206275333609 127316 366 265 65 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 7060 18511 7172 00 300391467858 167395 2410 377 65 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 168155 26511 9483 50 168228232460 65234 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202420 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 168150 36821 14333 50 240317340657 100299 208 299 28 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEModesto Nuts — 148139 18501 6712 00 129177187364 58250 484 160 -6 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWModesto Nuts — 148136 23701 9552 00 169231243474 74272 376 219 -6 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 276261 561207 151010 01 215257341598 126320 375 263 64 — — — — — —
202622 A RAWInland Empire 66ers — 276254 6916010 22740 01 272330453782 181347 278 346 64 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 220193 30711 20505 02 155253218471 62193 239 215 32 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 185178 38410 5610 01 213235247482 34311 333 209 28 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 7064 13311 4252 00 203275328603 125314 366 265 65 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 168154 26511 9483 50 169228234461 65238 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEModesto Nuts — 148139 18501 6712 00 129177187364 58240 484 160 -6 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 276259 561207 151010 01 216257344601 127323 375 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 168154 26511 9483 50 169228234461 65238 295 209 28 — — — — — —
202521 A MLEModesto Nuts — 148139 18501 6712 00 129177187364 58240 484 160 -6 — — — — — —
202622 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 276259 561207 151010 01 216257344601 127323 375 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLESEA 0% 386358 731528 221083 62 202253316569 114263 286 255 59 -19 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLESEA 30% 198183 38814 12541 31 206258327585 121265 276 262 63 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.4
202925 MLB MLESEA 44% 261241 501016 16712 41 209262333596 125267 276 266 66 -10 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.4
203026 MLB MLESEA 51% 311287 601217 19842 51 210265337603 127268 276 269 68 -12 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.3
202824 MLB CTXSEA 30% 6057 11201 3160 10 204256322578 118263 275 259 63 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202925 MLB CTXSEA 44% 115106 22403 7311 21 207260329589 122264 276 264 66 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
203026 MLB CTXSEA 51% 158146 31614 10431 21 208263332596 124265 276 267 68 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 333309 641218 20902 52 207260330590 123263 276 264 49 -13 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650603 12523216 391764 104 207260332592 124263 276 264 49 -26 +0 +0 +2 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 20011852 36072831 11561118 198 194248292540 98269 316 241 49 -39 +1 +0 +3 +20 -1.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650602 11723310 371986 63 194248292540 98269 306 241 49 -27 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AInland Empire 66ers · 276 PAwOBA .337 → .263 (−73)K% 26.8% → 36.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.81%÷1.000×1.360——36.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.97%÷1.000×0.690——5.50%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP23.89%÷1.000×0.920×1.050—23.08%
Doubles /BIP8.89%÷1.000×0.830×1.050—7.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.050—0.00%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.800——4.44%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .337 → .263; ISO .181 → .133; BABIP .347 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AModesto Nuts · 148 PAwOBA .215 → .160 (−55)K% 37.2% → 48.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.16%÷1.045×1.360——48.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.08%÷0.988×0.690—×1.0154.31%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.780—×1.0151.07%
Singles /BIP18.52%÷0.989×0.920×0.989×1.01517.28%
Doubles /BIP8.64%÷1.067×0.830×0.989×1.0156.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.097×0.910×0.989×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP1.23%÷0.759×0.800—×1.0151.32%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 52, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 119, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .215 → .160; ISO .074 → .054; BABIP .272 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Mariners · 168 PAwOBA .293 → .209 (−84)K% 19.6% → 28.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.64%÷0.981×1.440——28.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.33%÷0.966×0.620—×0.9955.32%
HBP% /PA1.79%—×0.720—×0.9951.28%
Singles /BIP21.37%÷0.962×0.820×0.985×0.99517.86%
Doubles /BIP6.84%÷0.970×0.720×0.985×0.9954.98%
Triples /BIP1.71%÷1.150×0.720×0.985×0.9951.05%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷0.863×0.780—×0.9950.77%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .293 → .209; ISO .100 → .068; BABIP .299 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Mariners · 70 PAwOBA .373 → .265 (−108)K% 24.3% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.29%÷0.992×1.440——35.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷0.989×0.620—×1.0086.32%
HBP% /PA2.86%—×0.720—×1.0082.07%
Singles /BIP25.58%÷0.987×0.820—×1.00821.41%
Doubles /BIP11.63%÷0.993×0.720—×1.0088.49%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0081.69%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.945×0.780—×1.0081.93%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .373 → .265; ISO .167 → .116; BABIP .395 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Mariners · 185 PAwOBA .291 → .209 (−82)K% 22.7% → 33.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.70%÷0.984×1.440——33.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.32%÷1.023×0.620—×1.0222.68%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP33.08%÷1.014×0.820×1.022×1.02227.96%
Doubles /BIP4.51%÷1.132×0.720×1.022×1.0223.00%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷0.900×0.720×1.022×1.0220.63%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.033×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .291 → .209; ISO .046 → .029; BABIP .378 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Mariners · 220 PAwOBA .327 → .215 (−112)K% 18.6% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.64%÷0.996×1.220——22.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.18%÷1.026×0.700—×1.0229.19%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.700—×1.0221.63%
Singles /BIP20.42%÷0.957×0.680×0.977×1.02214.50%
Doubles /BIP9.15%÷1.177×0.600×0.977×1.0224.66%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷0.939×0.600×0.977×1.0220.45%
Home runs /BIP1.41%÷1.004×0.470—×1.0220.67%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 91, 2B 135, 3B 88, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .327 → .215; ISO .115 → .061; BABIP .301 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).