Starlin Aguilar — OGILVIE

Starlin Aguilar2B Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 108 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .252 / .280

PA108

HR1

K%30

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	220	195	35	7	1	2	17	59	5	0	2	179	263	256	519	77	241	27	8	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	220	183	45	13	1	2	29	41	5	0	2	246	364	361	725	115	301	19	13	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	185	178	36	3	1	0	5	63	0	0	1	202	224	230	454	28	308	34	3	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	185	175	51	6	1	0	8	42	0	0	1	291	322	337	660	46	378	23	4	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	70	63	13	3	1	1	4	25	2	0	0	206	275	333	609	127	316	36	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	70	60	18	5	1	1	7	17	2	0	0	300	391	467	858	167	395	24	10	377	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	168	155	28	6	1	1	9	49	3	5	0	181	240	252	491	71	255	29	5	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	168	150	36	8	2	1	14	33	3	5	0	240	317	340	657	100	299	20	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	148	138	18	4	0	2	7	67	2	0	0	130	184	203	387	72	229	45	5	172	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	148	136	23	7	0	1	9	55	2	0	0	169	231	243	474	74	272	37	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	SEA	—	162	153	33	9	0	2	9	58	0	0	1	216	259	314	573	98	333	36	6	246	46	-10	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
YTD	22	A	SEA	—	162	149	39	11	0	2	13	43	0	0	1	262	321	376	697	114	356	27	8	314	99	-0	-0	+0	+1	+5	0.5
ROS	22	A	SEA	0%	108	100	20	5	0	1	6	32	1	1	1	200	252	280	532	80	281	30	6	249	49	-6	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		278	—	—	241	43	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	SEA	—	162	154	33	9	0	2	9	58	0	0	1	214	259	312	571	97	330	36	6	246	46	-10	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
TOT	22	A	SEA	—	270	253	53	14	0	3	15	90	1	1	2	209	257	300	557	91	311	33	6	247	47	-16	-1	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	272	252	52	11	1	4	16	78	2	4	1	206	259	306	565	99	282	29	6	260	57	-13	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	360	331	71	15	1	7	23	100	3	5	2	215	272	329	601	115	284	28	6	269	64	-15	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	SEA	52%	408	376	82	17	2	8	26	112	3	6	2	218	274	338	612	120	284	27	6	273	67	-15	+0	+0	+1	+12	-0.2
2030	26	MLB	SEA	54%	438	402	88	18	2	9	29	120	4	7	2	219	278	341	619	122	284	27	7	275	69	-15	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2031	27	MLB	SEA	54%	449	412	90	19	2	9	30	123	4	8	3	218	278	340	618	121	284	27	7	275	69	-16	+0	+0	+2	+13	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	SEA	34%	93	86	17	4	0	1	6	27	1	1	0	198	258	279	537	81	279	29	6	252	51	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	SEA	46%	166	154	33	7	1	3	10	46	1	2	1	214	267	331	598	117	281	28	6	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2029	25	MLB	SEA	52%	211	193	42	9	1	4	14	58	2	3	1	218	278	337	614	119	282	27	7	264	61	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2030	26	MLB	SEA	54%	237	217	48	10	1	5	16	65	2	4	1	221	281	346	626	124	282	27	7	266	62	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2031	27	MLB	SEA	54%	244	224	48	10	1	5	16	67	2	4	1	214	273	335	608	121	282	27	7	266	62	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	951	875	188	40	4	18	62	263	8	14	4	215	273	331	605	117	284	28	7	263	60	-43	+1	+0	+3	+27	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	128	27	3	12	42	180	5	10	3	214	271	329	601	115	284	28	6	263	60	-30	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	2826	2602	533	108	12	44	172	828	29	36	14	205	262	306	568	101	280	29	6	254	52	-152	+2	+0	+10	+80	-6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	123	25	3	10	40	190	7	8	3	206	264	308	571	102	281	29	6	254	52	-35	+0	+0	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	220	183	45	13	1	2	29	41	5	0	2	246	364	361	725	115	301	19	13	330	111	+3	-1	—	—	+6	0.8
2022	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	185	175	51	6	1	0	8	42	0	0	1	291	322	337	660	46	378	23	4	296	85	-3	-0	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	19	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	70	60	18	5	1	1	7	17	2	0	0	300	391	467	858	167	395	24	10	377	147	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	168	150	36	8	2	1	14	33	3	5	0	240	317	340	657	100	299	20	8	299	87	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	148	136	23	7	0	1	9	55	2	0	0	169	231	243	474	74	272	37	6	219	26	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,126	20	18	214	268	328	+4	+3	-1.0	-0.5
	/162	664	12	10	214	268	328	+2.4	+1.8	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Starlin Aguilar (OGILVIE)	22	21→26	34→39	44→49	45	209/257/300	91	311	3	1	33%	6%	47	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Mark Fleury 2010 · A	22	37→39	43→45	46→45	43	188/244/300	112	245	10	4	27%	6%	46	-2.0	204/270/316	112	289	10	5	31%	7%	62	-0.9	195/268/300	105	282	9	4	32%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→46	37→45	52→50	46	194/262/260	66	258	5	10	26%	8%	43	-2.2	216/290/317	101	275	7	10	22%	9%	70	-0.3	216/298/324	108	271	6	10	21%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	39	40	47→30	38	193/229/294	101	252	6	6	26%	4%	37	-2.6	234/265/316	82	286	5	6	19%	4%	58	-1.2	263/286/335	71	310	4	4	16%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	34	-2.8	241/267/333	92	304	5	7	22%	3%	63	-0.9	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/285	85	279	4	10	28%	7%	54	-1.4	212/277/365	153	274	19	5	29%	6%	79	+0.3	203/266/377	174	255	24	2	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	186/236/281	95	239	7	6	25%	6%	37	-2.6	204/274/310	106	303	9	6	33%	9%	62	-0.9	192/271/308	116	304	12	4	38%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Austin Upshaw 2018 · A	22	46→27	41→40	46→30	42	226/265/325	99	271	9	5	20%	4%	61	-1.0	187/225/280	93	240	9	4	26%	4%	32	-3.0	146/180/225	80	183	9	1	26%	4%	-3	-3.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→50	47→30	41	206/265/302	96	286	9	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	194/271/313	119	274	11	3	31%	9%	62	-0.9	169/256/291	122	232	12	0	31%	10%	49	-0.8