Luis Arana

SS Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 154 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP50ETA2029MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Miami	227	.297/.422/.476	5	28	67	—	.197/.311/.280
2026	18	AMIA	282	.253/.355/.328	2	30	70	—	.236/.315/.304
2026	18	ROKMIA	65	.389/.484/.444	0	14	110	—	.333/.406/.386
2027PROJ4% MLB	19	MLBMIA	13	.212/.287/.297	0	0	72	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	20	MLBMIA	147	.218/.294/.315	2	4	80	0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIA	241	.222/.299/.328	4	6	85	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$5M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed78

Z-Con%73

K%71

Whiff%71

Max EV65

BB%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 19, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 76%

CompsAngel Genao (age 19) · Dalton Pompey (age 19) · Juan Brito (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .287 / .297

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO98

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2035	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
2036	Arb-3	$10M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$24M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	227	185	55	10	4	5	30	18	10	28	9	297	422	476	898	178	305	8	13	399	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	282	241	61	12	0	2	34	54	4	30	10	253	355	328	683	75	317	19	12	315	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	65	54	21	1	1	0	9	6	1	14	3	389	484	444	929	56	429	9	14	417	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	227	193	38	6	2	2	22	21	10	28	9	197	311	280	591	83	207	9	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	282	250	59	11	0	2	25	73	4	30	10	236	315	304	619	68	314	26	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	65	57	19	1	1	0	6	9	1	14	3	333	406	386	792	53	355	14	9	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	227	193	38	6	2	2	22	21	10	28	9	197	311	280	591	83	209	9	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	227	185	55	10	4	5	30	18	10	28	9	297	422	476	898	178	305	8	13	399	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	347	308	77	11	1	2	30	82	5	44	13	250	327	312	638	62	332	24	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	347	295	82	13	1	2	43	60	5	44	13	278	379	349	728	71	340	17	12	334	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	227	193	38	6	2	2	22	21	10	28	9	197	311	280	591	83	207	9	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	347	309	77	11	1	2	30	82	5	44	13	249	327	311	637	61	322	24	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	227	193	38	6	2	2	22	21	10	28	9	197	311	280	591	83	207	9	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	347	309	77	11	1	2	30	82	5	44	13	249	327	311	637	61	322	24	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	4%	457	411	90	17	2	5	38	117	5	12	3	219	293	310	603	90	291	26	8	275	72	-15	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIA	4%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	212	287	297	583	84	282	23	8	267	72	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	36%	408	366	82	15	2	6	34	102	5	10	3	225	301	329	629	103	293	25	8	286	80	-10	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	490	438	101	19	2	9	42	120	7	12	4	230	306	343	649	113	294	24	9	293	85	-9	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	529	472	110	20	3	10	45	128	7	12	4	233	309	353	662	120	294	24	9	299	88	-7	+1	-1	+6	+11	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	571	509	120	22	3	12	49	136	8	13	4	235	312	360	671	125	295	24	9	302	91	-6	+1	-0	+6	+12	1.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	617	551	130	24	3	13	53	146	8	13	4	237	314	365	678	128	295	24	9	305	93	-5	+1	+1	+7	+13	1.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	630	562	134	25	3	14	55	149	8	13	4	237	314	366	680	129	295	24	9	306	93	-5	+1	+1	+7	+14	1.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	637	569	135	25	3	14	55	150	8	13	4	237	314	365	679	129	295	24	9	306	93	-5	+1	+1	+7	+14	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	636	567	134	25	3	14	56	151	8	13	4	236	313	363	676	127	295	24	9	304	92	-6	+1	+1	+7	+14	1.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	630	562	131	24	3	13	55	151	8	11	4	234	311	358	669	124	294	24	9	302	90	-7	+1	+1	+7	+14	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	620	554	129	24	3	12	54	150	7	10	4	232	308	352	661	121	293	24	9	298	88	-9	+0	+0	+7	+13	1.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	609	545	126	23	3	12	52	150	7	9	4	229	305	345	650	116	292	25	9	294	85	-11	+0	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	595	532	120	22	2	11	51	148	7	7	5	225	300	336	636	110	289	25	9	288	81	-13	-1	-1	+6	+13	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	MIA	61%	576	517	114	20	2	10	48	146	6	6	8	220	295	324	618	103	286	25	8	281	76	-16	-2	-2	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	36%	147	132	29	5	1	2	12	37	2	4	1	218	294	315	609	96	283	25	8	278	80	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	241	216	47	8	1	4	20	59	3	6	2	222	299	328	627	106	284	24	8	285	85	-4	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	288	257	57	10	1	5	25	69	4	7	2	225	303	338	640	112	285	24	9	290	88	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	324	289	66	12	2	6	28	77	4	7	2	227	305	344	649	117	285	24	9	294	91	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	349	311	72	13	2	7	30	82	5	8	2	229	307	349	656	120	286	23	9	296	93	-3	+1	+0	+4	+8	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	356	317	73	13	2	7	31	84	5	8	2	229	307	350	657	121	286	24	9	297	93	-3	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	360	321	74	13	2	7	31	85	5	7	2	229	307	350	656	120	286	24	9	297	93	-3	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	353	315	72	13	2	7	31	84	4	7	2	228	306	347	653	119	285	24	9	295	92	-3	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	346	309	70	12	2	7	30	83	4	6	2	227	304	343	647	116	285	24	9	293	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	331	295	66	12	1	6	29	80	4	5	2	224	302	337	639	113	284	24	9	290	88	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	348	311	68	12	1	6	30	86	4	5	2	222	298	330	629	108	282	25	9	285	85	-6	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	355	318	69	12	1	6	30	89	4	4	3	218	294	321	615	103	280	25	8	280	81	-8	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	MIA	61%	353	316	67	11	1	6	30	90	4	4	5	213	288	310	599	97	277	25	8	273	76	-10	-1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4151	3707	830	146	19	76	357	1005	52	78	29	224	301	335	636	111	285	24	9	289	86	-61	+4	-0	+44	+90	7.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	130	23	3	12	56	157	8	12	5	224	301	336	637	112	284	24	9	289	86	-9	+1	-0	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	8442	7532	1745	317	40	158	727	2012	113	222	80	232	309	347	656	116	294	24	9	295	86	-121	+7	-1	+84	+170	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	134	24	3	12	56	155	9	17	6	231	309	345	653	114	293	24	9	295	86	-10	+1	-0	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#2Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
#3Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	6.3	4,163	83	78	233	306	353	+45	+6	10.2	8.8
/162	664	13	13	+7.1	+0.9	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Arana (OGILVIE)	19	30→56	30→40	45→52	55	217/291/307	90	291	4	8	26%	8%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	44→54	36→40	54→65	49	204/291/273	69	274	2	21	24%	9%	65	-1.2	201/291/278	77	291	4	13	29%	10%	65	-1.2	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	46→56	41→50	45→55	48	223/287/324	101	278	9	11	23%	8%	74	-0.5	249/327/380	131	292	14	17	19%	9%	102	+1.5	244/325/378	134	283	16	23	19%	10%	99	+0.9
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A	19	40→45	39→40	50	47	192/277/282	90	267	6	15	28%	8%	61	-1.5	194/279/270	76	279	3	11	29%	8%	59	-1.6	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1

Luis Arana

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps