Matthew Moses

SS DSL Brewers Gold

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 183 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Brewers G…	144	.214/.294/.405	4	5	10	—	.121/.189/.220
2026	18	ROKDSL Brewers G…	119	.240/.387/.469	6	6	41	—	.136/.252/.243
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	229	.217/.285/.323	3	4	72	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	65	.221/.290/.333	1	1	77	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	157	.224/.294/.342	3	3	80	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO90

BB%76

Whiff%68

wOBA66

wRC+58

Z-Con%55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJett Williams (age 19) · Jonathan Galvez (age 19) · Jefferson Rojas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA

wRC+72

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .283 / .320

PA100

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 52 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT52

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	126	27	12	0	4	14	24	1	5	3	214	294	405	698	190	232	17	10	307	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	119	96	23	4	0	6	23	26	0	6	1	240	387	469	855	229	266	22	19	382	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	132	16	7	0	2	10	31	1	5	3	121	189	220	409	98	141	22	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	119	103	14	2	0	3	16	32	0	6	1	136	252	243	495	107	159	27	13	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	132	16	7	0	2	10	31	1	5	3	121	189	220	409	98	140	22	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	126	27	12	0	4	14	24	1	5	3	214	294	405	698	190	232	17	10	307	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	119	103	14	2	0	3	16	32	0	6	1	136	252	243	495	107	162	27	13	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	119	96	23	4	0	6	23	26	0	6	1	240	387	469	855	229	266	22	19	382	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	132	16	7	0	2	10	31	1	5	3	121	189	220	409	98	141	22	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	119	102	14	2	0	3	16	32	0	6	1	137	252	245	497	108	159	27	13	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	132	16	7	0	2	10	31	1	5	3	121	189	220	409	98	141	22	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	119	102	14	2	0	3	16	32	0	6	1	137	252	245	497	108	159	27	13	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	229	207	45	10	1	3	18	60	2	4	1	217	285	323	608	106	286	26	8	275	72	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	190	171	38	8	1	3	15	49	2	4	1	221	290	333	624	113	287	26	8	282	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	325	293	66	14	2	6	26	83	3	7	2	224	294	342	637	119	289	26	8	287	80	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	423	381	87	18	3	8	35	106	4	9	3	226	297	350	647	123	290	25	8	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	489	442	101	21	3	10	40	122	4	11	3	229	300	356	656	127	291	25	8	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	532	478	110	23	3	11	44	132	5	12	3	230	302	361	662	130	292	25	8	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	557	501	116	24	3	12	46	138	5	12	4	231	302	362	664	131	292	25	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	571	514	118	24	3	12	47	141	5	12	4	231	302	362	664	131	291	25	8	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	575	517	118	24	3	12	48	143	5	12	4	230	301	359	660	130	291	25	8	296	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	59%	573	516	118	24	3	12	47	144	5	11	4	228	299	355	654	127	290	25	8	294	85	-10	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	61%	564	508	115	24	3	11	46	143	5	10	4	226	296	349	645	123	289	25	8	290	83	-12	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	62%	555	501	112	23	3	10	45	143	4	10	4	223	293	342	635	119	288	26	8	286	80	-13	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	63%	541	488	107	22	3	9	44	141	4	8	5	219	288	333	621	114	285	26	8	280	76	-16	-0	-3	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	65	59	13	3	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	221	290	333	624	113	287	26	8	282	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	157	142	32	7	1	3	13	40	1	3	1	224	294	342	637	119	289	25	8	287	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	229	206	46	10	1	4	19	58	2	5	1	226	297	350	647	123	290	25	8	291	83	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	277	249	58	12	2	6	23	69	3	6	2	229	300	356	656	127	291	25	8	294	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	301	270	63	13	2	6	25	74	3	7	2	230	302	361	662	130	292	25	8	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	315	283	65	13	2	7	26	78	3	7	2	231	302	362	664	131	292	25	8	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	323	290	68	14	2	7	27	80	3	7	2	231	302	362	664	131	291	25	8	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	319	287	67	14	2	7	26	79	3	7	2	230	301	359	660	130	291	25	8	296	87	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	59%	339	305	70	14	2	7	28	85	3	7	2	228	299	355	654	127	290	25	8	294	85	-6	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	61%	344	310	70	14	2	7	28	87	3	6	2	226	296	349	645	123	289	25	8	290	83	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	62%	345	311	69	14	2	6	28	89	3	6	3	223	293	342	635	119	288	26	8	286	80	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	63%	341	308	68	14	2	6	27	89	3	5	3	219	288	333	621	114	285	26	8	280	76	-10	-0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3355	3020	689	142	20	67	275	845	31	67	22	228	299	355	654	127	292	25	8	292	81	-65	+5	-4	+36	+73	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	134	28	4	13	53	164	6	13	4	229	300	357	657	128	294	25	8	292	81	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6258	5636	1255	262	34	122	517	1574	53	131	45	223	294	346	640	123	285	25	8	288	81	-118	+8	-7	+64	+130	7.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	131	27	4	13	54	163	6	14	5	224	296	350	647	126	286	25	8	288	81	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.2	3,455	68	68	228	295	352	+37	+24	6.9	6.1
/162	664	13	13	+7.1	+4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Moses (OGILVIE)	19	47→52	40→45	50→55	60	215/283/320	105	286	1	2	26%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	43→51	42→50	50→55	51	209/299/315	106	278	8	12	26%	10%	77	-0.3	225/289/347	122	328	11	16	32%	7%	80	-0.1	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jefferson Rojas 2024 · A	19	45→48	41→50	52→50	43	221/283/322	101	279	9	15	24%	6%	72	-0.7	222/283/337	115	269	12	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Victor Bericoto 2021 · A	19	50→49	40→50	51→40	49	230/310/323	93	327	7	10	30%	10%	82	+0.0	224/286/341	117	319	13	5	31%	8%	78	-0.3	230/278/364	134	300	16	3	28%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	215/278/316	101	296	7	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	197/266/293	96	297	7	13	33%	8%	59	-1.6	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Yu Chang 2015 · A	19	48→47	45→50	53→45	44	238/292/368	130	296	12	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	203/257/332	129	283	13	7	32%	6%	65	-1.2	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	45→55	43→55	54→50	39	221/262/338	118	304	9	10	30%	5%	68	-1.0	185/227/272	87	291	7	8	37%	4%	39	-3.1	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕George Lombard Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→48	39→45	48→55	49	232/311/316	85	335	6	12	30%	10%	81	-0.1	208/291/311	103	304	8	22	31%	9%	74	-0.6	208/297/325	117	296	10	23	30%	10%	77	-0.3

Matthew Moses

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps