Daonil Montero

SS DSL Arizona Black

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2216ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	112	.167/.241/.216	1	1	-22	—	.096/.161/.106
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBARI	222	.210/.269/.277	2	3	56	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBARI	26	.219/.280/.302	0	0	61	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBARI	81	.223/.285/.313	1	1	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%65

Whiff%59

Chase%56

K%41

Speed25

ISO20

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDenzer Guzman (age 19) · Andres Regnault (age 19) · Ricardo Cova (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .267 / .275

PA38

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	112	102	17	2	0	1	6	26	4	1	0	167	241	216	457	49	213	23	5	218	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	112	104	10	1	0	0	4	32	4	1	0	96	161	106	266	10	142	29	4	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	112	104	10	1	0	0	4	32	4	1	0	96	161	106	266	10	139	29	4	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	112	102	17	2	0	1	6	26	4	1	0	167	241	216	457	49	213	23	5	218	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	112	103	10	1	0	0	4	32	4	1	0	97	161	107	268	10	142	29	4	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	112	103	10	1	0	0	4	32	4	1	0	97	161	107	268	10	142	29	4	136	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	222	204	42	6	1	2	13	61	3	3	1	210	269	277	547	68	288	27	6	250	56	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	75	69	14	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	213	275	290	565	77	289	27	7	258	61	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	168	152	33	5	1	2	11	45	3	2	1	217	280	301	581	84	290	27	7	265	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	278	253	57	9	2	4	18	73	5	4	2	220	283	311	595	91	291	26	6	270	69	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	375	341	76	12	2	6	25	98	6	5	2	223	287	320	607	97	292	26	7	275	72	-12	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	438	399	90	14	3	7	29	113	7	6	3	225	289	328	617	103	293	26	7	279	75	-13	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	474	432	97	15	3	8	32	123	7	7	3	226	290	330	620	104	293	26	7	280	76	-14	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	495	451	102	16	3	9	33	128	8	7	3	226	290	331	621	106	293	26	7	281	76	-14	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	502	455	102	16	3	8	34	131	8	7	3	225	289	329	618	104	293	26	7	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	ARI	59%	502	455	102	16	3	8	34	132	8	7	4	223	287	324	612	101	292	26	7	277	73	-16	-0	-1	+5	+11	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	493	450	99	15	3	8	33	131	7	6	4	221	285	319	603	98	291	27	7	273	71	-17	-0	-1	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	26	24	5	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	219	280	302	582	82	298	27	8	265	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	81	75	17	3	1	1	5	22	1	1	0	223	285	313	598	90	299	27	6	271	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	151	138	31	5	1	2	10	40	2	2	1	226	289	322	611	96	301	26	7	277	69	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	212	193	45	8	2	3	14	55	3	3	1	229	292	331	623	102	302	26	7	281	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	248	225	52	9	2	4	17	64	4	4	2	231	295	338	633	107	302	26	7	285	75	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	268	244	56	10	2	4	18	69	4	4	2	231	295	340	636	109	303	26	7	286	76	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	280	255	59	10	2	5	19	72	4	4	2	232	295	342	637	110	302	26	7	287	76	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	278	253	58	10	2	4	19	72	4	4	2	230	294	339	633	109	302	26	7	286	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	ARI	59%	297	271	63	11	2	5	20	78	4	4	2	229	293	335	627	106	301	26	7	283	73	-9	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	301	274	62	11	2	4	20	80	4	4	3	226	290	329	618	102	300	27	7	279	71	-10	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2142	1952	448	78	16	32	144	559	30	30	15	230	293	335	628	106	304	26	7	283	70	-68	+0	-1	+23	+46	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	137	24	5	10	44	170	9	9	5	231	295	340	634	108	306	26	7	283	70	-21	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3950	3596	789	122	23	61	260	1036	65	53	25	219	284	317	601	98	289	26	7	272	70	-124	+0	-2	+41	+83	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	130	20	4	10	43	170	11	9	4	220	285	318	603	98	289	26	7	272	70	-21	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 112 PAwOBA .213 → .136 (−76)K% 23.2% → 28.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.21%	÷0.991	×1.220	—	—	28.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.36%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.84%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.52%
Singles /BIP	18.42%	÷0.988	×0.680	×0.979	×1.008	12.51%
Doubles /BIP	2.63%	÷0.965	×0.600	×0.979	×1.008	1.61%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.959	×0.600	×0.979	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷1.141	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 92, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .213 → .136; ISO .049 → .023; BABIP .213 → .142. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Mike Tyson'72-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,200 PA	4.8	3,200	27	23	236*	281*	354*	+20	+24	1.9	3.3
/162	664	6	5	+4.1	+4.9	0.4	pk7: 5
#4Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.3	2,179	34	31	224	285	324	+23	+18	1.4	1.4
/162	664	10	9	+7.1	+5.5	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daonil Montero (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	208/267/275	67	288	0	0	27%	6%	56	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Ricardo Cova 2023 · A	19	40→50	37→45	50→55	38	194/252/265	71	279	5	10	31%	5%	47	-2.5	212/270/300	88	304	7	18	30%	6%	62	-1.4	232/278/345	113	290	9	21	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	41	35→50	48→30	43	193/255/256	63	250	3	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	192/247/261	69	271	4	5	29%	5%	45	-2.7	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Raul Beracierta 2018 · A	19	44	35→45	46→50	40	209/258/267	58	287	3	7	27%	5%	49	-2.4	214/280/300	86	302	6	8	29%	7%	66	-1.1	212/267/336	123	303	13	5	33%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9

Daonil Montero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps