Daonil MonteroSS DSL Arizona Black
Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .262 / .276
PA95
HR1
K%29
BB%6
ISO72
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.60.70.8+$20M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $4M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Arizona Black 112104 12101 4384 10 115179154332 38169 344 147 -29
202517 ROKDSL Arizona Black 112102 17201 6264 10 167241216457 49213 235 218 25
▸ 2026 Season
202618 MLBARI 9589 19311 5281 10 213263303567 90288 295 248 48 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBARI 34% 187171 36612 11533 21 211270292563 82290 286 260 57 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
202820 MLBARI 48% 327297 651025 21906 31 219284316600 98292 286 269 64 -13 +0 +0 +4 +9 -0.0
202921 MLBARI 54% 434395 881437 281188 41 223288327614 104293 276 275 69 -15 +0 +0 +5 +12 0.2
203022 MLBARI 57% 509462 1041739 331379 52 225290333623 108294 276 279 72 -16 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.4
203123 MLBARI 58% 560508 11318310 3715110 62 222288329617 106295 277 281 73 -17 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.6
203224 MLBARI 57% 594539 12220311 3915911 62 226292336628 109296 277 283 75 -17 +0 +0 +6 +17 0.7
203325 MLBARI 57% 613556 12620412 4116411 62 227293342634 115296 277 284 76 -17 +0 +0 +7 +17 0.8
202719 MLBARI 34% 6459 12201 4181 10 203266288554 85293 286 250 49 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202820 MLBARI 48% 158144 31512 10443 21 215280306586 90294 286 258 56 -8 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
202921 MLBARI 54% 235214 48814 15644 21 224288327615 103295 276 264 60 -11 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.1
203022 MLBARI 57% 288262 591025 19785 31 225290336626 111296 277 268 63 -12 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.0
203123 MLBARI 58% 322292 671126 21876 31 229295342637 113297 277 270 65 -13 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.0
203224 MLBARI 57% 339308 691126 22916 31 224289331620 107298 276 272 67 -13 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.1
203325 MLBARI 57% 348316 731227 23936 31 231296348644 117298 277 273 67 -13 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 17541595 359591031 11447531 176 225290333623 108299 276 268 64 -72 +1 +0 +19 +50 -0.3
/ 162G 650591 13322411 4217611 62 225288332620 107300 276 268 64 -27 +0 +0 +7 +18 -0.1
Career 34313121 6851092058 21993863 3411 219284323607 103293 276 273 67 -126 +2 +0 +37 +97 1.0
/ 162G 650591 13021411 4117812 62 220284325609 105294 276 273 67 -24 +0 +0 +7 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Arizona Black 112102 17201 6264 10 167241216457 49213 235 218 25 -9 +0 +3 -0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,8503118223285328+20+151.31.4
/162664117+7.1+5.40.5pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Daonil Montero (OGILVIE) 18 204/262/276 72288 11 29% 6% 48 -0.3
Raul Juarez
2016 · A
18 37 38→45 45→40 37 182/242/262 80251 57 29% 4% 36 -2.7 207/265/290 83274 75 26% 5% 53 -1.5 203/259/274712668326%4%44-0.5
Rodolfo Durán
2016 · A
18 39 36→55 45→40 37 189/231/257 68267 36 30% 5% 29 -3.2 211/250/329 118282 135 29% 5% 56 -1.3 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
Rodolfo Castro
2017 · A
18 43→40 38→55 48→50 43 202/265/291 89290 55 30% 7% 53 -1.5 195/240/313 118278 115 32% 5% 47 -1.9 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
Hector Garcia
2008 · A
18 38 40→45 49→40 41 188/237/274 86249 76 27% 6% 36 -2.7 212/263/289 77269 64 22% 6% 51 -1.7 222/269/309872707120%5%56-0.4
Ronnierd Garcia
2011 · A
18 38 36→45 48→40 39 186/240/247 61267 45 31% 5% 30 -3.1 192/249/275 83281 74 32% 5% 42 -2.3 187/245/279932708233%5%39-0.7
Emilio King
2008 · A
18 40 39→45 44→40 38 192/250/280 89281 65 33% 5% 44 -2.1 184/255/258 74259 47 29% 6% 41 -2.3 206/259/300942986431%4%49-0.8
Hidekel Abreu
2016 · A
18 42 36→40 49→50 45 199/266/263 64280 38 28% 8% 46 -2.0 223/284/304 81293 510 24% 7% 63 -0.8 237/299/3178030061221%8%68-0.2
Jesus Galiz
2022 · A
18 40 36→45 51→40 40 190/241/256 66253 37 25% 5% 33 -2.9 200/258/308 108293 104 33% 6% 55 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
Cristian Santana
2015 · A
18 38→48 36→45 45→30 36 185/224/252 67276 26 33% 5% 24 -3.6 214/245/313 99288 104 28% 4% 49 -1.8 249/275/3489933410028%3%68-0.3
Bryan Andrade
2023 · A
18 40 35→45 49→45 44 191/257/246 55259 25 26% 7% 38 -2.6 187/247/239 52258 34 27% 6% 31 -3.0 187/256/263762487526%8%40-0.9
Ricardo Cova
2022 · A
18 44 38→50 47→55 44 212/278/287 75273 69 24% 6% 57 -1.2 209/268/294 85323 715 35% 6% 55 -1.4 235/286/365130286142022%5%78+0.1
Hidekel Gonzalez
2015 · A
18 44 37→45 47→45 37 205/260/286 81312 47 34% 5% 49 -1.8 227/275/314 87287 68 22% 5% 63 -0.9 241/291/328872916819%4%72-0.1
Jose Cordoba
2022 · A
19 39 39→45 45→55 38 193/252/278 85266 78 29% 5% 44 -2.1 196/255/289 93278 810 31% 6% 48 -1.9 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Abrahan Gutierrez
2018 · A
18 43→45 37→40 48→40 42 207/251/284 76266 44 23% 5% 44 -2.1 217/263/295 78273 64 22% 5% 52 -1.6 220/294/315952958226%8%68-0.2
Michael Almanzar
2009 · A
18 42→48 39→50 44→45 36 206/245/293 88287 66 30% 4% 43 -2.2 185/223/257 72266 54 31% 4% 26 -3.4 233/278/36313128714824%4%75-0.0
Juan Uriarte
2017 · A
19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
Richard Ramirez
2023 · A
18 37 37→55 47→40 38 176/239/249 73297 56 40% 8% 30 -3.1 195/259/306 111313 115 38% 8% 55 -1.4 199/259/32912933113241%6%57-0.5
Andrés Nolaya
2023 · A
18 41 35→45 44→55 47 190/278/250 60289 210 32% 10% 49 -1.8 189/258/257 68296 315 34% 8% 41 -2.3 194/269/2717627852230%7%48-0.6
Marco Guzman
2013 · A
18 37 35→45 47→50 47 176/257/242 66244 28 26% 8% 38 -2.6 198/263/278 80251 47 22% 8% 49 -1.8 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Hector Martinez
2015 · A
18 42 38→45 41→45 33 201/241/285 84303 57 34% 4% 40 -2.4 226/266/311 85316 68 29% 4% 57 -1.2 244/276/343993417929%2%66-0.2