Miguel Caraballo

Miguel CaraballoC FCL Twins

Age 17 S/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION158 act + 105 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .288 / .332

PA105

HR2

K%33

BB%9

BABIP297

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.6	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.5	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$40M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	139	27	3	2	4	18	58	11	8	2	194	333	331	664	137	295	34	11	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	129	34	4	2	5	28	38	11	8	2	264	435	442	876	178	333	22	17	398	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	MIN	—	158	136	22	6	0	4	15	66	4	12	2	162	265	294	559	132	261	42	9	239	41	-11	+2	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
YTD	17	ROK	MIN	—	158	125	30	9	0	5	24	46	4	12	2	240	374	432	806	192	325	29	15	355	130	+5	+2	+0	+3	+4	1.5
ROS	17	ROK	MIN	0%	105	93	19	4	1	2	9	35	2	4	1	204	288	332	620	129	274	33	9	267	62	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	17	MLB	MIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	MIN	—	158	137	22	6	0	4	15	66	4	12	2	161	265	292	556	131	257	42	9	239	41	-11	+2	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
TOT	17	ROK	MIN	—	263	229	41	10	1	6	24	101	6	16	3	179	274	310	583	131	277	38	9	250	50	-15	+2	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	MIN	34%	288	256	50	10	1	6	25	92	5	6	1	195	280	312	592	117	275	32	9	270	65	-12	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2028	19	MLB	MIN	48%	409	363	73	14	2	9	36	126	7	8	2	201	286	325	611	124	279	31	9	278	71	-13	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.7
2029	20	MLB	MIN	54%	501	443	92	18	3	11	44	151	9	10	2	208	292	336	629	129	281	30	9	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2030	21	MLB	MIN	57%	520	459	96	19	3	12	46	155	10	10	2	209	295	342	637	133	282	30	9	289	79	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2031	22	MLB	MIN	58%	520	458	98	19	3	13	47	154	10	10	2	214	301	354	655	140	283	30	9	291	81	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2032	23	MLB	MIN	58%	520	458	98	19	3	13	47	153	10	10	2	214	301	354	655	140	284	29	9	293	82	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2033	24	MLB	MIN	57%	520	458	98	19	3	13	47	153	10	10	2	214	301	354	655	140	285	29	9	294	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	25	MLB	MIN	57%	520	458	98	19	3	13	47	153	10	10	2	214	301	354	655	140	285	29	9	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2035	26	MLB	MIN	57%	520	458	98	19	3	13	47	153	10	10	2	214	301	354	655	140	285	29	9	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2036	27	MLB	MIN	56%	520	457	98	19	3	13	48	153	10	10	2	214	303	354	657	140	284	29	9	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2037	28	MLB	MIN	59%	520	457	97	19	3	13	48	154	10	10	2	212	301	352	653	140	284	30	9	294	83	-10	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2038	29	MLB	MIN	56%	520	456	95	18	2	13	49	155	10	9	2	208	299	342	641	134	283	30	9	292	82	-11	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2039	30	MLB	MIN	59%	520	456	95	18	2	13	49	156	10	9	2	208	299	342	641	134	281	30	9	290	80	-12	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2040	31	MLB	MIN	61%	504	442	90	17	2	12	47	153	10	8	2	204	295	333	627	129	279	30	9	286	77	-13	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2041	32	MLB	MIN	62%	489	431	86	16	2	11	46	150	9	8	2	200	290	323	613	123	275	31	9	280	73	-15	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.5
2042	33	MLB	MIN	63%	473	417	81	15	2	10	44	148	9	7	1	194	285	312	597	118	271	31	9	274	68	-17	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.1
2043	34	MLB	MIN	59%	439	388	73	13	2	9	40	140	8	6	1	188	278	302	579	113	265	32	9	265	61	-19	+1	-5	+8	+12	-0.3
2027	18	MLB	MIN	34%	99	88	17	3	1	2	9	32	2	2	0	193	283	318	601	125	275	32	9	258	55	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	19	MLB	MIN	48%	198	175	35	7	1	4	17	61	4	4	1	200	286	320	606	120	279	31	9	265	61	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2029	20	MLB	MIN	54%	272	241	49	10	1	6	24	82	5	5	1	203	289	328	617	124	281	30	9	271	66	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2030	21	MLB	MIN	57%	294	260	55	11	2	7	26	88	6	6	1	212	298	350	648	138	283	30	9	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	22	MLB	MIN	58%	299	264	56	11	2	7	27	89	6	6	1	212	300	348	648	136	283	30	9	277	70	-10	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	23	MLB	MIN	58%	301	265	57	11	2	8	27	89	6	6	1	215	302	362	664	147	284	30	9	279	72	-10	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.5
2033	24	MLB	MIN	57%	297	262	57	11	2	8	27	87	6	6	1	218	305	366	671	149	285	29	9	280	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2034	25	MLB	MIN	57%	295	260	57	11	2	8	27	87	6	6	1	219	307	369	676	150	285	29	9	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB	MIN	57%	294	259	57	11	2	8	27	86	6	6	1	220	308	371	679	151	285	29	9	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2036	27	MLB	MIN	56%	289	254	53	10	1	7	27	85	6	5	1	209	300	339	638	130	284	29	9	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2037	28	MLB	MIN	59%	308	270	57	11	1	8	29	91	6	6	1	211	302	348	650	137	284	30	9	280	73	-10	+1	-0	+6	+9	0.5
2038	29	MLB	MIN	56%	291	256	53	10	1	7	27	87	6	5	1	207	298	336	634	129	283	30	9	278	71	-9	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2039	30	MLB	MIN	59%	306	268	55	11	1	7	29	92	6	5	1	205	297	332	629	127	281	30	9	276	69	-11	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.3
2040	31	MLB	MIN	61%	306	268	54	10	1	7	29	93	6	5	1	201	294	325	618	123	279	30	9	272	66	-12	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.1
2041	32	MLB	MIN	62%	304	267	53	10	1	7	28	93	6	5	1	199	289	322	611	124	275	31	9	266	62	-13	+1	-2	+5	+9	-0.1
2042	33	MLB	MIN	63%	298	262	50	9	1	6	28	93	6	5	1	191	284	302	585	111	271	31	9	260	57	-14	+1	-3	+5	+8	-0.3
2043	34	MLB	MIN	59%	257	226	42	7	1	5	24	82	5	4	1	186	278	292	570	106	265	32	9	252	51	-14	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4708	4146	857	164	23	112	432	1417	94	87	16	207	296	338	634	132	282	30	9	273	67	-173	+11	-12	+84	+133	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	118	23	3	15	60	196	13	12	2	206	296	336	632	129	283	30	9	273	67	-24	+2	-2	+12	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	8577	7547	1562	298	45	203	784	2592	170	163	34	207	296	339	635	132	283	30	9	287	78	-215	+19	-20	+153	+243	18.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	118	23	3	15	59	196	13	12	3	206	295	336	631	129	282	30	9	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	129	34	4	2	5	28	38	11	8	2	264	435	442	876	178	333	22	17	398	162	+12	+1	—	—	+5	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,885	115	89	208	292	339	+87	+44	10.7	8.4
	/162	664	16	12	208	292	339	+11.9	+6.0	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Caraballo (OGILVIE)	17	40	40	50	60	179/274/310	131	277	6	16	38%	9%	50	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	41→40	51→30	43	201/256/296	95	262	9	9	26%	7%	50	-1.7	189/256/262	73	263	5	5	28%	8%	42	-2.3	168/252/275	106	241	12	2	34%	9%	42	-0.6
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2011 · A	18	41→51	42→45	50→55	40	205/258/306	101	279	10	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/292	93	283	7	18	30%	8%	55	-1.4	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	39→48	43→55	49→45	43	197/258/309	111	269	11	5	30%	7%	55	-1.4	225/279/360	135	298	16	6	29%	6%	76	+0.1	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	45→40	48→40	46	206/276/327	122	267	12	5	27%	8%	67	-0.5	221/292/298	77	303	5	3	26%	9%	66	-0.6	221/297/311	90	280	10	1	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	41→43	41→45	51→55	54	194/303/299	105	291	7	16	32%	13%	72	-0.2	205/300/298	93	293	6	20	29%	11%	70	-0.3	210/285/315	105	268	10	21	24%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	37→46	43→45	48→50	45	187/245/295	108	226	10	6	22%	6%	46	-2.0	213/279/331	118	281	12	5	27%	8%	69	-0.4	221/285/341	120	281	14	10	25%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Jonathan Mejía 2023 · A	18	44	43→45	47→50	46	203/299/322	119	309	9	6	34%	9%	77	+0.1	180/266/272	92	303	7	13	39%	9%	50	-1.8	164/263/280	116	271	12	16	40%	11%	49	-0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	39→40	42→45	45	194/268/281	86	278	5	6	30%	8%	52	-1.6	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	68	-0.5	190/311/283	93	253	5	7	24%	13%	71	-0.1
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→43	39→50	49→30	44	211/285/298	86	311	6	8	32%	8%	63	-0.8	210/293/378	168	310	19	3	36%	10%	89	+0.9	201/295/383	183	291	22	1	36%	11%	86	+0.4
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Prilys Cuello 2007 · A	18	43	44→50	49→45	43	200/285/326	125	314	10	8	36%	9%	72	-0.2	210/270/317	107	310	10	8	33%	7%	62	-0.9	206/256/307	101	291	11	8	32%	6%	49	-0.4
✕Derwin Barreto 2019 · A	18	40	39→40	49→50	51	191/279/279	88	254	6	10	26%	10%	57	-1.2	199/274/291	92	289	7	10	31%	9%	57	-1.2	146/239/192	46	256	4	9	40%	10%	14	-0.8
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5