Miguel Caraballo

Miguel CaraballoC FCL Twins

Age 17 S/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .250 / .267

PA16

HR0

K%31

BB%6

BABIP273

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	129	34	4	2	5	28	38	11	8	2	264	435	442	876	178	333	22	17	398	155	+11	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	140	27	3	2	4	17	56	11	8	2	193	327	329	656	136	268	33	10	285	79	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.0
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	140	27	3	2	4	17	56	11	8	2	193	327	329	656	136	284	33	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	129	34	4	2	5	28	38	11	8	2	264	435	442	876	178	333	22	17	398	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	139	27	3	2	4	17	56	11	8	2	194	327	331	658	137	268	33	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	169	139	27	3	2	4	17	56	11	8	2	194	327	331	658	137	268	33	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	17	ROK MLE	MIN	—	166	143	22	6	0	4	15	71	5	15	2	154	258	280	537	126	254	43	9	233	44	-11	+2	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	17	ROK RAW	MIN	—	166	131	30	9	0	5	25	49	5	15	2	229	368	412	780	183	312	30	15	347	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	17	ROK MLE	MIN	0%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	200	250	267	517	67	273	31	6	264	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	17	ROK MLE	MIN	—	182	158	25	7	0	4	16	76	5	16	2	158	257	278	535	120	259	42	9	236	46	-12	+2	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	18	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	238	212	41	8	1	5	20	77	4	5	1	193	275	311	587	118	273	32	8	267	67	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2028	19	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	370	328	66	13	2	8	32	115	7	8	1	201	286	326	612	125	277	31	9	276	73	-12	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2029	20	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	473	419	86	17	2	11	42	144	9	10	2	205	291	334	626	129	279	30	9	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2030	21	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	458	95	18	3	12	46	156	11	10	2	207	295	338	634	131	281	30	9	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2031	22	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	520	458	97	19	3	13	46	155	11	10	2	212	299	352	651	140	281	30	9	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	520	458	97	19	3	13	46	155	11	10	2	212	299	352	651	140	282	30	9	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2033	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	457	97	19	3	13	47	154	11	10	2	212	301	352	653	140	283	30	9	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	457	97	19	3	13	47	154	11	10	2	212	301	352	653	140	283	30	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	457	97	19	3	13	47	154	11	10	2	212	301	352	653	140	283	30	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	520	456	97	19	3	13	48	154	11	10	2	213	303	353	656	140	282	30	9	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2037	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	456	95	18	2	13	48	155	11	10	2	208	299	342	641	134	282	30	9	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	520	456	94	18	2	13	48	156	11	9	2	206	297	340	637	134	281	30	9	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	520	456	94	18	2	13	48	157	11	9	2	206	297	340	637	134	279	30	9	288	81	-12	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	504	442	90	17	2	12	47	154	10	8	1	204	295	333	627	129	277	31	9	284	78	-13	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	489	431	85	16	2	11	45	151	10	8	1	197	288	320	608	123	273	31	9	279	75	-15	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.2
2027	18	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	80	72	14	3	0	2	7	26	1	2	0	194	275	319	594	125	273	32	9	254	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	178	158	32	6	1	4	15	55	3	4	1	203	284	329	613	127	277	31	8	263	73	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	256	227	46	9	1	6	22	78	5	5	1	203	287	330	618	128	279	30	9	268	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2030	21	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	294	260	53	10	1	7	26	88	6	6	1	204	291	331	622	127	281	30	9	272	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2031	22	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	299	264	55	11	1	7	27	89	6	6	1	208	296	337	633	129	281	30	9	275	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	301	265	57	11	2	8	27	89	6	6	1	215	302	362	664	147	282	30	9	276	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	297	262	56	11	1	8	27	88	6	6	1	214	302	355	657	141	283	30	9	278	84	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	295	260	55	11	1	8	27	87	6	6	1	212	300	354	654	142	283	29	9	279	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	294	259	55	11	1	8	27	87	6	6	1	212	301	355	657	143	283	30	9	279	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	289	255	52	10	1	7	26	86	6	5	1	204	293	333	626	129	283	30	9	279	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	286	252	52	10	1	7	26	85	6	5	1	206	296	337	633	131	282	30	9	278	84	-5	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	278	244	51	10	1	7	26	83	6	5	1	209	301	344	645	135	281	30	9	276	83	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	274	241	49	9	1	7	25	83	6	5	1	203	294	336	630	133	280	30	9	273	81	-6	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	285	251	51	10	1	7	26	87	6	5	1	203	293	335	628	131	277	31	9	269	78	-7	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	266	234	47	9	1	6	25	82	5	4	1	201	292	325	616	124	273	31	9	264	75	-8	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3972	3504	725	141	15	99	359	1193	80	76	14	207	295	340	636	134	281	30	9	274	81	-89	+10	-6	+71	+86	7.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	118	23	2	16	59	195	13	12	2	206	294	337	631	131	280	30	9	274	81	-15	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7459	6556	1358	261	38	180	675	2252	161	146	28	207	297	341	638	134	283	30	9	288	81	-165	+17	-10	+130	+158	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	119	23	3	16	59	196	14	13	2	208	298	343	641	135	284	30	9	288	81	-15	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.2	4,118	99	77	208	293	341	+74	+36	10.4	8.3
/162	664	16	12	+11.9	+5.8	1.7	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Miguel Caraballo (OGILVIE)	17	40	40	50	60	186/273/298	111	273	3	6	33%	9%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	72	-0.7	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	50	-2.3	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Jonathan Mejía 2023 · A	18	43	43→45	47→50	46	202/297/321	119	303	9	6	33%	9%	78	-0.3	178/264/269	91	299	7	13	39%	9%	54	-2.0	164/263/274	110	277	11	16	41%	11%	54	-1.0
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	42→45	51→55	53	197/305/310	112	291	8	16	32%	12%	79	-0.2	210/302/306	96	297	6	20	28%	11%	76	-0.4	217/288/319	102	277	9	23	24%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Ronald Hernandez 2022 · A	18	40→47	39→40	50	48	191/272/280	89	263	6	6	28%	9%	59	-1.6	199/283/283	84	294	7	6	32%	9%	64	-1.3	199/287/276	77	306	7	5	34%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	70	-0.8	215/292/337	122	284	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.2	215/282/336	121	275	14	2	26%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	37→47	43→45	48→50	44	189/247/298	109	231	10	6	23%	6%	53	-2.1	214/279/329	115	281	12	5	27%	8%	73	-0.6	223/286/345	121	279	14	10	24%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Francisco Arcia 2008 · A	18	43	41→40	50→40	46	207/290/314	107	281	7	7	27%	8%	74	-0.6	200/266/293	93	254	7	5	23%	6%	59	-1.6	222/269/285	63	277	5	2	21%	4%	55	-0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Anderson Tejeda 2016 · A	18	45→38	42→45	48→50	42	215/273/331	116	304	7	9	30%	7%	70	-0.8	199/245/314	115	304	8	8	35%	6%	55	-1.9	188/233/303	115	293	9	8	38%	5%	46	-1.7
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→48	39→45	51→55	53	209/310/290	81	290	7	9	27%	11%	76	-0.4	212/285/327	115	307	10	14	32%	8%	74	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	72	-0.7	233/285/324	91	297	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	243/287/342	99	309	8	2	23%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	40	41→50	51→40	43	201/255/295	94	263	9	9	27%	6%	55	-1.9	189/255/261	72	263	5	5	28%	7%	47	-2.5	162/251/260	98	233	11	2	33%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Derwin Barreto 2019 · A	18	40	39→40	49→50	51	191/279/279	88	254	6	10	26%	10%	62	-1.4	199/274/291	92	289	7	10	31%	9%	62	-1.4	148/241/195	47	257	4	9	40%	10%	26	-0.8
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	46→40	48→30	46	210/280/342	132	269	14	5	27%	8%	76	-0.4	221/290/299	78	301	5	3	26%	8%	70	-0.9	227/300/318	90	289	10	1	23%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Prilys Cuello 2007 · A	18	43	44→50	49→45	43	200/285/326	125	314	10	8	36%	9%	75	-0.5	210/270/317	107	310	10	8	33%	7%	66	-1.1	206/256/307	101	291	11	8	32%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→42	39→50	49→30	44	209/283/294	85	312	6	8	32%	8%	66	-1.1	208/290/371	163	304	19	3	35%	10%	87	+0.4	198/292/375	177	282	21	1	35%	11%	85	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps