Ire Garcia

C DSL Astros Orange

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#609ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	116	.213/.391/.270	0	9	39	—	.144/.278/.175
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	145	.205/.382/.250	0	19	32	—	.131/.264/.156
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBHOU	255	.234/.318/.314	2	7	82	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	44	.241/.324/.332	0	1	87	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBHOU	110	.243/.327/.342	1	3	90	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

Z-Con%97

K%95

BB%88

Chase%78

Speed65

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsNacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Xavier Edwards (age 19) · Cristofer Torin (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .315 / .311

PA75

HR1

K%22

BB%10

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 73 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT73

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE78

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$18M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	89	19	5	0	0	25	13	1	9	0	213	391	270	661	56	247	11	22	321	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	145	112	23	5	0	0	32	15	0	19	2	205	382	250	632	45	235	10	22	311	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	97	14	3	0	0	17	16	1	9	0	144	278	175	454	31	171	14	15	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	145	122	16	3	0	0	22	18	0	19	2	131	264	156	420	25	156	12	15	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	97	14	3	0	0	17	16	1	9	0	144	278	175	454	31	171	14	15	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	89	19	5	0	0	25	13	1	9	0	213	391	270	661	56	247	11	22	321	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	145	122	16	3	0	0	22	18	0	19	2	131	264	156	420	25	152	12	15	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	145	112	23	5	0	0	32	15	0	19	2	205	382	250	632	45	235	10	22	311	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	97	14	3	0	0	17	16	1	9	0	144	278	175	454	31	171	14	15	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	145	122	16	3	0	0	22	18	0	19	2	131	264	156	420	25	156	12	15	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	97	14	3	0	0	17	16	1	9	0	144	278	175	454	31	171	14	15	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	145	122	16	3	0	0	22	18	0	19	2	131	264	156	420	25	156	12	15	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	255	225	54	10	2	2	26	55	2	7	1	234	318	314	631	80	300	22	10	290	82	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	129	114	27	5	1	1	13	28	1	4	1	238	321	327	648	89	301	22	10	296	87	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	228	201	49	9	1	3	23	49	2	7	1	240	324	337	661	97	302	21	10	301	90	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	340	300	73	13	2	5	34	73	3	10	2	242	326	346	672	104	302	21	10	305	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	417	368	90	16	3	6	42	89	4	12	2	244	327	353	680	109	302	21	10	308	95	-3	+2	+0	+7	+9	1.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	445	394	96	17	3	7	44	95	4	13	2	245	328	359	687	114	303	21	10	311	96	-2	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	445	394	96	17	3	7	44	95	4	13	2	246	328	361	689	115	303	21	10	311	97	-2	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	445	394	97	17	3	8	44	95	4	13	2	246	328	361	690	116	303	21	10	312	97	-2	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	445	394	96	17	3	7	44	96	4	12	2	245	327	359	686	114	302	22	10	310	96	-2	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	445	394	96	17	3	7	44	96	4	12	2	243	325	354	679	111	301	22	10	308	94	-3	+2	-1	+8	+10	1.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	445	394	95	17	2	7	44	98	4	11	2	241	323	348	670	107	300	22	10	304	92	-4	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	445	395	93	17	2	6	44	99	3	10	2	238	319	340	659	102	299	22	10	299	89	-6	+1	-2	+8	+10	1.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	426	379	88	15	2	6	41	97	3	9	2	234	314	330	644	96	296	23	10	293	85	-8	+1	-3	+8	+9	0.7
2040	32	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	407	362	83	14	2	5	39	94	3	8	3	228	308	317	626	89	293	23	10	286	80	-10	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.3
2041	33	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	362	323	73	12	2	4	34	86	2	7	4	222	301	303	604	81	288	24	9	277	74	-11	-0	-4	+6	+8	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	44	40	9	2	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	241	324	332	656	91	306	23	9	299	87	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	110	97	23	4	1	1	11	24	1	3	1	243	327	342	669	99	306	22	10	304	90	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	184	162	40	8	1	2	18	39	2	5	1	245	329	351	679	105	307	21	10	308	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	236	208	51	10	1	3	24	50	2	7	1	247	330	358	688	111	307	21	10	311	95	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	252	223	55	10	2	4	25	54	2	7	1	248	331	364	694	115	307	21	10	313	96	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	251	222	55	10	2	4	25	54	2	7	1	249	331	365	696	116	307	22	10	314	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	251	222	55	10	2	4	25	54	2	7	1	249	331	366	697	117	307	22	10	314	97	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	247	218	53	10	1	4	25	53	2	7	1	248	330	363	693	115	307	21	10	313	96	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	244	216	53	10	1	4	24	53	2	6	1	246	328	358	686	112	306	22	10	310	94	-2	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	238	210	52	10	1	4	24	52	2	6	1	244	325	352	677	108	305	22	10	307	92	-2	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	234	207	49	9	1	3	23	52	2	6	1	241	322	344	666	103	303	22	10	302	89	-3	+1	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	241	214	50	9	1	3	23	55	2	5	1	236	317	334	651	98	300	23	10	296	85	-4	+1	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	221	196	46	8	1	3	21	51	2	4	2	231	311	322	633	90	297	23	10	289	80	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2041	33	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	209	186	42	7	1	2	20	50	1	4	2	225	304	307	611	82	292	24	10	280	74	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2962	2621	633	117	16	41	292	651	24	75	15	242	323	345	668	104	305	22	10	305	88	-33	+9	-8	+53	+64	8.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	140	26	4	9	64	143	5	16	3	243	325	350	674	106	308	22	10	305	88	-7	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5760	5091	1198	212	32	80	581	1240	47	171	31	235	319	337	656	101	294	22	10	298	88	-61	+17	-15	+98	+119	16.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	136	24	4	9	66	140	5	19	3	237	320	339	660	103	296	22	10	298	88	-7	+2	-2	+12	+14	1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 145 PAwOBA .307 → .215 (−91)K% 10.3% → 12.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.34%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	12.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.07%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	15.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.56%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.005	×0.995	12.62%
Doubles /BIP	5.15%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.005	×0.995	3.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.005	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .307 → .215; ISO .045 → .029; BABIP .235 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 116 PAwOBA .318 → .226 (−91)K% 11.2% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.21%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	14.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.55%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.81%
HBP% /PA	0.86%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.61%
Singles /BIP	18.42%	÷0.996	×0.680	×1.036	×1.008	13.13%
Doubles /BIP	6.58%	÷0.997	×0.600	×1.036	×1.008	4.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.959	×0.600	×1.036	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.938	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 92, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .318 → .226; ISO .056 → .038; BABIP .247 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,039	44	78	241	319	345	+54	+32	11.2	9.4
/162	664	10	17	+11.9	+7.0	2.4	pk7: 8
#3Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Ed Ott'74-'81 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,961 PA	3.0	1,961	33	14	254*	309*	395*	+34	+1	6.3	6.3
/162	664	11	5	+11.5	+0.3	2.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ire Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	68→73	28→33	62→67	78	232/315/311	79	300	1	2	22%	10%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Dylan O'Rae 2024 · A	20	58	34→30	59→65	57	262/357/316	53	339	2	32	21%	12%	99	+1.2	229/325/288	59	315	2	41	25%	11%	81	-0.1	228/328/288	59	314	2	53	24%	11%	78	-0.2
✕Orlando Arcia 2015 · A	20	53→59	38→50	52→55	46	251/295/341	89	294	5	18	16%	6%	80	-0.2	254/292/370	116	306	8	18	19%	5%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	58→63	39→40	55→50	47	267/340/359	92	346	4	16	22%	7%	101	+1.4	261/325/348	87	335	5	14	22%	6%	93	+0.8	273/339/361	88	334	7	11	19%	6%	99	+0.7
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Ronald Torreyes 2012 · A	19	62→59	40→45	51→50	46	295/335/400	105	316	6	14	9%	4%	108	+1.9	259/304/349	90	280	4	10	9%	5%	85	+0.2	266/297/345	79	303	3	3	13%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	49	38→45	60→65	58	225/314/315	90	253	4	32	13%	10%	82	+0.0	225/310/318	93	284	5	23	21%	9%	82	-0.0	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Gorkys Hernández 2008 · A	20	54→60	39→45	58→55	43	258/294/347	89	308	6	27	18%	4%	81	-0.1	254/299/337	83	336	4	18	24%	6%	80	-0.1	252/308/366	115	311	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5

Ire Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps