Ire Garcia — OGILVIE

Ire GarciaC DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 60 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .283 / .241

PA60

HR0

K%22

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO37

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 68 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT68

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE69

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$12M	+$11M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$11M	+$11M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.4	$10M	+$10M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.4	$10M	+$8M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.3	$9M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+2.1	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$25M		$59M	+$50M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	99	17	4	0	0	15	20	1	9	0	172	287	212	499	40	212	17	13	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	89	19	5	0	0	25	13	1	9	0	213	391	270	661	56	247	11	22	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	90	78	14	2	0	0	11	13	0	14	1	179	281	205	486	26	212	14	12	224	30	-7	+2	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	90	72	16	2	0	0	17	9	0	14	1	222	371	250	621	28	250	10	19	301	89	-1	+2	+0	+2	+3	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	HOU	0%	60	54	11	2	0	0	6	13	0	3	0	204	283	241	524	37	284	22	10	280	72	-2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	18	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		287	—	—	277	70	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	HOU	—	90	79	14	2	0	0	11	13	0	14	1	177	281	203	483	25	209	14	12	224	30	-7	+2	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	HOU	—	150	132	25	4	0	0	17	26	0	17	1	189	282	220	502	30	234	17	11	246	47	-9	+3	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	HOU	43%	190	167	39	7	1	2	19	40	2	6	1	234	319	323	643	90	287	21	10	289	80	-4	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	20	MLB	HOU	61%	330	292	69	12	2	4	32	68	3	10	1	236	318	332	650	96	289	21	10	296	85	-6	+2	+0	+6	+9	1.1
2029	21	MLB	HOU	68%	435	384	92	16	2	7	43	90	5	13	1	240	324	346	670	107	290	21	10	301	88	-6	+2	+0	+8	+12	1.7
2030	22	MLB	HOU	71%	510	450	107	18	3	8	50	104	5	15	2	238	321	344	665	107	291	20	10	304	91	-5	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.1
2031	23	MLB	HOU	72%	520	458	111	19	3	9	51	106	6	15	2	242	326	356	682	114	292	20	10	306	93	-4	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.2
2032	24	MLB	HOU	72%	520	458	111	19	3	9	51	105	6	15	2	242	326	356	682	114	293	20	10	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.3
2033	25	MLB	HOU	71%	520	458	111	19	3	9	51	105	6	15	2	242	326	356	682	114	293	20	10	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2034	26	MLB	HOU	71%	520	457	111	19	3	9	52	105	6	15	2	243	328	357	685	114	293	20	10	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2035	27	MLB	HOU	70%	520	457	111	19	3	9	52	106	6	15	2	243	328	357	685	114	293	20	10	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.4
2036	28	MLB	HOU	69%	520	456	111	19	3	9	53	106	6	15	2	243	330	357	688	114	292	20	10	308	94	-3	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2037	29	MLB	HOU	67%	520	456	109	18	2	9	53	107	6	14	2	239	326	346	673	107	292	21	10	307	93	-4	+2	-1	+9	+15	2.1
2038	30	MLB	HOU	66%	520	456	109	18	2	9	53	109	6	14	2	239	326	346	673	107	291	21	10	304	91	-5	+2	-2	+9	+15	1.9
2039	31	MLB	HOU	71%	504	443	104	17	2	8	51	107	5	13	1	235	321	336	657	102	289	21	10	300	88	-7	+2	-3	+9	+14	1.6
2040	32	MLB	HOU	68%	489	431	99	16	2	7	50	106	5	12	1	230	317	325	642	95	286	22	10	295	84	-9	+2	-4	+9	+14	1.2
2041	33	MLB	HOU	73%	473	417	95	15	2	7	48	105	5	11	1	228	315	324	639	96	282	22	10	288	79	-11	+2	-4	+8	+13	0.8
2042	34	MLB	HOU	68%	433	383	83	12	2	5	43	98	4	10	1	217	302	298	600	81	277	23	10	280	72	-13	+2	-5	+8	+12	0.3
2043	35	MLB	HOU	64%	371	328	69	10	1	4	37	87	3	8	1	210	296	284	580	73	272	23	10	271	66	-14	+1	-6	+7	+11	-0.2
2044	36	MLB	HOU	55%	308	272	55	7	1	3	30	75	3	6	1	202	289	268	557	66	266	24	10	262	58	-14	+1	-6	+6	+9	-0.6
2027	19	MLB	HOU	43%	82	73	17	3	0	1	8	17	1	3	0	233	317	315	632	82	290	21	10	286	77	-2	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	20	MLB	HOU	61%	201	177	42	7	1	3	20	42	2	6	1	237	322	339	661	102	292	21	10	291	81	-4	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2029	21	MLB	HOU	68%	296	262	64	11	2	5	29	61	3	9	1	244	327	359	685	115	293	21	10	296	85	-5	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2030	22	MLB	HOU	71%	363	320	77	13	2	6	36	74	4	11	1	241	325	350	675	109	294	20	10	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+6	+10	1.4
2031	23	MLB	HOU	72%	376	332	81	14	2	7	37	77	4	11	1	244	327	361	689	117	294	20	10	301	89	-5	+2	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2032	24	MLB	HOU	72%	372	328	81	14	2	7	37	75	4	11	1	247	331	366	696	119	295	20	10	303	90	-4	+2	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2033	25	MLB	HOU	71%	370	326	80	14	2	7	37	75	4	11	1	245	330	365	695	120	295	20	10	304	91	-4	+2	+0	+7	+10	1.5
2034	26	MLB	HOU	71%	369	325	80	14	2	7	37	75	4	11	1	246	331	366	697	120	295	20	10	304	91	-4	+2	+0	+7	+10	1.5
2035	27	MLB	HOU	70%	362	319	78	13	2	7	36	73	4	10	1	245	329	364	692	119	295	20	10	304	91	-4	+2	+0	+6	+10	1.5
2036	28	MLB	HOU	69%	358	315	77	13	2	7	36	73	4	10	1	244	330	365	695	121	295	20	10	303	90	-4	+2	-0	+6	+10	1.4
2037	29	MLB	HOU	67%	348	306	75	13	2	6	35	72	4	9	1	245	330	359	690	114	294	21	10	301	89	-4	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.2
2038	30	MLB	HOU	66%	342	300	73	12	2	6	35	71	4	9	1	243	330	357	687	113	293	21	10	299	87	-5	+1	-1	+6	+10	1.1
2039	31	MLB	HOU	71%	357	314	75	12	2	6	36	76	4	9	1	239	325	347	672	108	291	21	10	295	84	-7	+1	-2	+6	+10	1.0
2040	32	MLB	HOU	68%	333	293	68	11	1	5	34	72	3	8	1	232	318	328	646	96	288	22	10	290	80	-8	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.7
2041	33	MLB	HOU	73%	343	302	69	11	1	5	35	76	3	8	1	228	315	321	636	93	284	22	10	283	75	-10	+1	-3	+6	+10	0.4
2042	34	MLB	HOU	68%	294	260	58	9	1	4	29	67	3	7	1	223	308	312	620	88	279	23	10	275	69	-10	+1	-3	+5	+8	0.1
2043	35	MLB	HOU	64%	236	209	44	6	1	3	23	55	2	5	1	211	295	292	587	81	274	23	10	266	62	-10	+1	-4	+4	+7	-0.2
2044	36	MLB	HOU	55%	168	148	31	4	1	2	16	41	2	3	0	209	295	291	586	81	268	24	10	257	55	-9	+1	-3	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5570	4910	1170	194	28	94	556	1172	59	151	16	238	323	347	670	108	293	21	10	294	84	-104	+24	-21	+99	+158	16.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	137	23	3	11	65	137	7	18	2	239	324	347	671	108	294	21	10	294	84	-12	+3	-2	+12	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	8379	7376	1724	286	40	127	840	1762	89	234	27	234	319	335	654	101	289	21	10	298	86	-131	+36	-31	+150	+237	26.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	134	22	3	10	65	137	7	18	2	234	320	336	656	101	289	21	10	298	86	-10	+3	-2	+12	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	89	19	5	0	0	25	13	1	9	0	213	391	270	661	56	247	11	22	321	104	+1	+2	—	—	+3	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	5,668	89	153	236	317	339	+87	+52	19.6	15.5
	/162	664	10	18	236	317	339	+10.2	+6.1	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ire Garcia (OGILVIE)	18	63→68	28→33	62→67	69	189/282/220	30	234	0	17	17%	11%	47	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	52→58	36→45	56→50	44	240/309/311	72	288	2	18	17%	5%	77	+0.1	232/275/305	73	281	3	15	18%	3%	59	-1.1	249/294/353	104	292	8	16	17%	3%	76	+0.1
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	55→45	58	230/334/299	69	299	2	9	22%	12%	85	+0.7	231/326/326	95	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.9	220/314/312	92	279	9	9	22%	11%	79	+0.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	49→50	35→40	53→50	59	226/322/293	67	276	2	19	17%	12%	79	+0.3	217/296/292	75	270	5	14	20%	9%	66	-0.6	221/293/314	93	267	7	10	19%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	56→57	42→45	52→50	47	264/313/387	123	280	6	14	9%	4%	98	+1.6	262/305/352	90	284	4	11	9%	4%	84	+0.6	259/301/340	81	279	3	9	8%	4%	76	+0.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	51→54	36→45	60→55	49	237/300/311	74	283	2	24	16%	7%	72	-0.2	225/270/308	83	284	5	22	21%	5%	59	-1.1	246/285/354	108	302	10	19	21%	5%	73	-0.1
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	53	40→45	60→65	54	249/326/352	103	284	6	32	14%	9%	95	+1.4	230/315/329	99	292	6	23	22%	9%	85	+0.7	230/307/354	124	286	8	13	21%	9%	82	+0.1
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	52→60	40→45	51→55	43	249/302/344	96	311	7	16	22%	6%	82	+0.5	258/307/346	88	320	7	14	21%	5%	84	+0.6	276/333/375	99	320	6	26	15%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	53	39→40	51→50	54	247/334/327	80	325	6	15	24%	11%	92	+1.2	210/306/286	76	353	4	12	36%	12%	69	-0.4	219/305/313	93	356	7	15	36%	11%	72	-0.2
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	60	-1.0	252/293/341	89	302	4	13	17%	5%	76	+0.1	293/334/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.6
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
●Victor Robles 2015 · A	18	49→54	41→50	53→60	44	231/298/338	107	281	6	19	20%	5%	79	+0.3	242/311/355	113	302	7	22	22%	5%	89	+1.0	241/311/384	143	300	12	27	22%	6%	93	+1.0
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
★Jean Segura 2008 · A	18	51→61	36→50	53→60	46	240/289/305	65	287	4	17	18%	6%	66	-0.6	247/290/334	87	293	6	17	17%	5%	73	-0.1	306/353/448	141	340	13	24	13%	6%	126	+3.7
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2