Ire Garcia — OGILVIE

Ire GarciaC DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION145 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$79M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 68 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT68

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE72

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+1.2	$4M	+$0.9M
Totals		$26M		$37M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	89	19	5	0	0	25	13	1	9	0	213	391	270	661	56	247	11	22	321	104	+0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	99	17	4	0	0	15	19	1	9	0	172	287	212	499	40	204	16	13	236	46	-7	+2	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	99	17	4	0	0	15	19	1	9	0	172	287	212	499	40	210	16	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	89	19	5	0	0	25	13	1	9	0	213	391	270	661	56	247	11	22	321	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	99	17	4	0	0	15	19	1	9	0	172	287	212	499	40	204	16	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	116	99	17	4	0	0	15	19	1	9	0	172	287	212	499	40	204	16	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	145	124	20	4	0	0	20	22	0	19	2	161	278	194	471	32	194	15	14	225	38	-11	+3	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	HOU	—	145	112	23	5	0	0	32	15	0	19	2	205	382	250	632	45	235	10	22	311	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	167	231	167	397		271	23	8	278	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	158	136	22	4	0	0	21	25	0	20	2	162	274	191	465	29	196	16	13	229	41	-11	+3	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	43%	214	187	42	8	1	2	23	43	2	7	1	225	316	310	626	86	276	20	11	289	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	348	305	70	13	2	5	37	70	3	11	1	230	319	334	653	105	278	20	11	296	87	-6	+2	+0	+6	+8	1.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	449	394	91	17	2	7	48	89	4	13	2	231	321	338	658	107	280	20	11	301	90	-5	+2	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	519	453	107	20	3	9	56	103	5	15	2	236	327	353	680	117	281	20	11	305	93	-5	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	72%	520	454	108	20	3	9	56	102	5	15	2	238	328	355	683	117	282	20	11	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	72%	520	454	108	20	3	9	56	102	5	15	2	238	328	355	683	117	283	20	11	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+9	+11	2.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	520	454	109	20	3	10	56	101	5	15	2	240	330	363	694	123	283	19	11	310	96	-3	+2	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	520	454	109	20	3	10	56	101	5	15	2	240	330	363	694	123	282	19	11	310	96	-2	+2	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	70%	520	453	108	20	2	10	57	102	5	15	2	238	330	358	688	119	282	20	11	311	96	-2	+2	+0	+9	+11	2.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	520	453	107	20	2	10	57	102	5	15	2	236	328	355	684	119	282	20	11	310	96	-3	+2	-1	+9	+11	2.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	67%	520	452	105	19	2	9	58	104	5	14	2	232	326	343	669	111	281	20	11	308	94	-3	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	66%	520	452	105	19	2	9	58	105	5	14	2	232	326	343	669	111	280	20	11	305	93	-5	+2	-2	+9	+11	1.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	71%	504	438	100	18	2	8	56	103	5	13	2	228	323	333	656	105	278	20	11	301	90	-6	+2	-3	+9	+11	1.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	489	427	96	17	2	8	54	102	5	12	2	225	319	330	649	105	275	21	11	296	86	-8	+2	-4	+9	+11	1.0
2041	33	MLB MLE	HOU	73%	473	414	92	16	2	7	52	101	4	11	1	222	315	321	636	99	272	21	11	289	82	-10	+2	-4	+8	+10	0.6
2042	34	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	433	379	81	13	2	6	47	95	4	9	1	214	307	306	613	92	266	22	11	281	76	-12	+1	-5	+8	+9	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	HOU	43%	92	81	17	3	0	1	10	18	1	3	0	210	304	284	588	74	278	20	11	284	82	-2	+1	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	212	185	43	8	1	3	23	42	2	6	1	232	324	335	659	103	280	20	11	290	87	-3	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	306	267	62	12	1	5	33	61	3	9	1	232	323	341	664	109	282	20	11	295	90	-4	+1	+0	+5	+7	1.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	369	323	76	14	2	6	39	73	4	11	1	235	325	347	672	111	283	20	11	298	93	-3	+2	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	72%	376	329	78	15	2	6	40	74	4	11	1	237	327	350	677	112	284	20	11	300	94	-3	+2	+0	+7	+8	1.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	72%	372	325	78	15	2	7	40	73	4	11	1	240	331	363	694	123	285	20	11	302	95	-2	+2	+0	+7	+8	1.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	370	323	78	15	2	7	40	72	4	11	1	241	332	365	698	124	285	19	11	303	96	-2	+2	+0	+7	+8	1.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	369	322	77	14	2	7	40	72	4	11	1	239	331	360	691	121	285	20	11	303	96	-2	+2	+0	+7	+8	1.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	70%	362	315	76	14	2	7	40	71	4	10	1	241	334	365	699	124	284	20	11	304	96	-2	+2	+0	+6	+8	1.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	358	312	74	14	2	6	39	71	4	10	1	237	330	353	682	115	284	20	11	303	96	-2	+2	-0	+6	+8	1.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	67%	348	302	72	13	2	6	39	69	4	9	1	238	333	354	688	116	283	20	11	301	94	-2	+1	-1	+6	+8	1.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	66%	342	298	70	13	1	6	38	69	3	9	1	235	327	346	673	111	282	20	11	298	93	-3	+1	-1	+6	+7	1.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	71%	357	310	71	13	1	6	40	73	4	9	1	229	325	335	660	106	280	20	11	294	90	-4	+1	-2	+6	+8	0.9
2040	32	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	333	290	66	12	1	5	37	69	3	8	1	228	321	328	649	100	277	21	11	289	86	-5	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.7
2041	33	MLB CTX	HOU	73%	343	299	67	12	1	5	38	73	3	8	1	224	318	321	639	97	274	21	11	283	82	-7	+1	-3	+6	+7	0.4
2042	34	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	294	257	55	9	1	4	32	65	3	6	1	214	308	304	612	89	268	22	11	275	76	-8	+1	-3	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5203	4538	1060	196	23	87	568	1045	54	142	15	234	326	344	670	111	283	20	11	296	90	-55	+22	-14	+93	+113	16.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	132	24	3	11	71	131	7	18	2	233	326	344	669	111	283	20	11	296	90	-7	+3	-2	+12	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7718	6734	1557	284	36	128	843	1547	73	219	28	231	323	341	664	110	280	20	11	302	90	-82	+31	-20	+136	+165	23.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	131	24	3	11	71	130	6	18	2	231	323	342	665	111	279	20	11	302	90	-7	+3	-2	+12	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#4Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.0	5,315	88	146	233	321	342	+95	+48	20.4	16.0
/162	664	11	18	+11.9	+6.0	2.5	pk7: 12
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ire Garcia (OGILVIE)	18	63→68	28→33	62→67	72	215/306/289	74	271	1	6	20%	11%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→45	55→45	57	230/329/297	67	301	2	9	22%	12%	84	+0.2	231/325/325	94	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.5	229/319/329	99	290	10	8	22%	11%	86	+0.1
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	82	-0.0	227/281/295	68	274	3	9	17%	6%	65	-1.2	245/328/327	82	296	5	2	17%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	74	-0.5	234/279/310	76	290	3	12	19%	5%	66	-1.1	270/316/373	102	329	4	17	18%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	52→59	36→40	56→50	44	240/309/311	72	288	2	18	17%	5%	80	-0.2	232/275/306	74	280	3	15	18%	3%	65	-1.2	248/292/343	96	290	7	16	17%	3%	76	-0.3
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	53→50	57	230/320/300	70	279	2	19	17%	11%	82	-0.0	219/297/293	74	273	5	14	20%	9%	71	-0.8	230/298/322	93	274	8	10	18%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	56→57	42→45	52→50	47	264/313/387	124	280	6	14	9%	4%	98	+1.2	263/306/357	94	284	5	11	9%	4%	88	+0.4	261/304/347	86	281	4	9	8%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	53	41→45	61→65	55	249/330/357	107	284	6	32	14%	9%	97	+1.1	229/316/326	97	293	6	23	22%	9%	86	+0.3	222/315/324	102	289	6	23	23%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Nelson Rada 2023 · A	17	50→57	38→30	57→60	47	234/316/329	94	295	4	23	20%	7%	86	+0.3	232/313/289	57	320	2	31	25%	9%	76	-0.4	235/317/282	47	328	2	36	26%	9%	73	-0.6
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	51→52	36→45	60→55	49	237/300/311	74	283	2	24	16%	7%	75	-0.5	226/271/305	79	286	4	22	21%	5%	63	-1.4	241/281/343	102	297	8	19	21%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	54→52	38→40	51→50	55	249/339/328	79	329	6	15	24%	11%	95	+0.9	210/307/287	77	354	4	12	36%	12%	74	-0.6	211/298/307	96	339	8	14	36%	11%	71	-0.6
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	56→61	38→40	55→50	47	259/330/350	91	335	4	16	22%	7%	96	+1.0	252/313/336	84	323	5	14	22%	6%	86	+0.3	263/327/347	84	320	7	11	19%	6%	92	+0.4
●Andrés Giménez 2017 · A	18	52→60	40→50	48→55	57	247/331/355	109	280	6	11	14%	10%	98	+1.2	235/295/332	97	297	6	18	22%	5%	79	-0.2	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51	43→50	50→55	51	244/315/357	114	300	9	14	21%	9%	92	+0.7	228/318/325	97	308	8	17	26%	11%	86	+0.3	228/320/369	141	283	16	24	24%	11%	94	+0.8
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	54→53	46→55	59→50	43	258/312/400	142	345	12	16	28%	7%	100	+1.3	237/300/393	156	312	16	12	28%	7%	95	+0.9	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps