Jeshua Mendez — OGILVIE

Jeshua MendezC DSL Arizona Black

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 5 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	47	8	3	0	0	12	13	1	6	1	170	350	234	584	64	222	21	19	282	77	-2	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	51	6	2	0	0	8	19	1	6	1	118	250	157	407	39	178	31	13	206	26	-5	+1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	51	6	2	0	0	8	19	1	6	1	118	250	157	407	39	176	31	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	47	8	3	0	0	12	13	1	6	1	170	350	234	584	64	222	21	19	282	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	53	6	2	0	0	8	19	1	6	1	113	250	151	401	38	178	31	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	53	6	2	0	0	8	19	1	6	1	113	250	151	401	38	178	31	13	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	ARI	—	33	28	3	0	0	1	3	13	1	2	0	107	219	214	433	107	133	39	9	194	17	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	ARI	—	33	26	4	0	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	154	312	269	582	115	176	27	15	273	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	ARI	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		280	20	0	258	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	ARI	—	38	33	4	0	0	1	3	14	1	2	0	121	216	212	428	91	158	37	8	202	23	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	155	139	28	5	1	2	13	45	2	3	0	201	279	295	574	94	285	29	8	269	68	-6	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	302	269	57	10	2	5	26	85	4	7	1	212	291	320	611	108	287	28	9	277	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	415	370	79	15	2	7	36	115	6	9	1	214	294	322	615	108	289	28	9	283	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	496	441	96	18	3	9	44	136	8	11	2	218	300	333	634	116	290	27	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2031	23	MLB MLE	ARI	58%	520	461	101	18	3	10	46	142	8	12	2	219	301	336	637	117	290	27	9	288	81	-12	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	461	102	19	3	10	46	142	8	12	2	221	303	341	643	119	291	27	9	290	82	-11	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	461	102	19	3	10	46	142	8	12	2	221	303	341	643	119	291	27	9	291	83	-11	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	461	103	19	3	11	46	142	8	12	2	223	305	349	654	126	291	27	9	291	83	-10	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	460	101	18	3	10	47	142	8	12	2	220	303	337	640	117	291	27	9	292	83	-10	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	460	100	18	3	10	47	143	8	11	2	217	301	335	636	117	290	28	9	290	83	-11	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	ARI	58%	520	460	100	18	3	10	47	144	8	10	1	217	301	335	636	117	290	28	9	289	81	-11	+2	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2038	30	MLB MLE	ARI	60%	520	460	99	18	2	10	47	145	8	9	1	215	299	328	627	113	288	28	9	286	80	-13	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	504	445	94	17	2	9	46	142	8	8	1	211	297	319	616	108	286	28	9	282	77	-14	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	489	435	90	16	2	8	44	140	7	6	1	207	290	308	598	101	282	29	9	276	73	-16	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.1
2041	33	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	473	420	85	14	2	8	43	138	7	5	1	202	287	302	590	100	278	29	9	270	69	-18	+1	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	53	47	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	213	302	319	621	106	291	28	9	263	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	146	130	27	5	1	2	13	41	2	3	0	208	290	308	597	100	293	28	9	270	74	-5	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	225	200	43	8	1	4	20	62	3	5	1	215	296	325	621	110	295	28	9	275	77	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	281	250	56	11	2	5	25	77	4	6	1	224	305	344	649	120	296	27	9	278	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	23	MLB CTX	ARI	58%	299	266	58	11	2	5	26	82	5	7	1	218	300	331	630	113	296	27	9	280	81	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	296	263	58	11	2	5	26	81	5	7	1	221	303	335	637	114	297	27	9	281	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	295	262	59	11	2	6	26	81	5	7	1	225	307	351	658	126	297	27	9	282	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	261	59	11	2	6	26	80	5	7	1	226	308	352	661	126	297	27	9	283	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	289	256	58	11	2	6	26	79	5	6	1	227	310	355	666	129	297	27	9	283	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	286	254	56	11	2	5	26	79	4	6	1	220	303	339	641	118	296	28	9	282	83	-6	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	ARI	58%	302	266	59	11	2	6	28	84	5	6	1	222	308	346	654	124	295	28	9	280	81	-7	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.5
2038	30	MLB CTX	ARI	60%	313	276	61	11	2	6	29	87	5	6	1	221	306	341	647	120	294	28	9	277	80	-8	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	311	275	59	11	2	5	28	88	5	5	1	215	299	324	622	109	291	28	9	273	77	-9	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	307	271	58	11	2	5	28	88	5	4	1	214	299	325	624	111	288	29	9	268	73	-10	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	300	266	55	10	1	5	27	87	4	3	0	207	290	308	598	102	284	29	9	261	69	-11	+1	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3997	3543	776	146	25	72	359	1111	63	79	12	219	302	335	637	116	296	28	9	277	79	-100	+11	-9	+71	+87	6.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	127	24	4	12	58	181	10	13	2	220	302	339	641	118	298	28	9	277	79	-16	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7061	6259	1344	244	37	129	632	1963	107	145	22	215	298	327	625	113	289	28	9	284	79	-174	+19	-15	+125	+152	10.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	123	22	3	12	58	181	10	13	2	214	297	325	621	111	287	28	9	284	79	-16	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,060	75	80	216	296	329	+73	+36	9.2	7.6
/162	664	12	13	+11.9	+5.9	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeshua Mendez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	197/276/280	84	280	1	2	30%	9%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→43	41→50	51→50	44	205/270/309	104	282	7	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	200/251/288	88	282	6	11	30%	6%	52	-2.2	208/265/349	141	264	16	14	28%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→41	40→45	49→55	42	206/266/301	95	275	7	13	27%	6%	61	-1.5	209/266/312	103	295	9	17	31%	6%	63	-1.3	203/255/293	90	297	8	23	33%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	59	-1.7	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	66	-1.1	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	58	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→50	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	49	-2.4	201/257/293	92	274	8	9	28%	6%	56	-1.9	161/223/251	90	239	8	7	35%	7%	32	-1.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	38	-3.2	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	63	-1.4	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→48	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	59	-1.6	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	53	-2.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps