Jeshua Mendez — OGILVIE

Jeshua MendezC DSL Arizona Black

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 47 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .255 / .233

PA47

HR0

K%30

BB%9

BABIP276

ISO47

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$34M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	51	6	2	0	0	8	19	1	6	1	118	250	157	407	39	176	31	13	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	47	8	3	0	0	12	13	1	6	1	170	350	234	584	64	222	21	19	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	ARI	—	15	13	1	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	77	200	77	277		250	60	13	158	-21	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	ARI	—	15	12	2	0	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	167	333	167	500		333	40	20	260	57	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	18	ROK	ARI	0%	47	43	8	2	0	0	4	14	0	1	0	186	255	233	488	47	290	30	9	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	ARI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		292	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	ARI	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	71	200	71	271		200	60	13	158	-21	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	ARI	—	62	56	9	2	0	0	6	23	0	1	0	161	242	196	438	36	273	37	10	233	37	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	155	138	29	6	1	2	14	45	2	3	1	210	292	312	604	101	292	29	9	268	63	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	302	268	57	11	2	4	27	86	4	6	1	213	294	313	608	101	294	28	9	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.4
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	415	369	80	16	2	6	38	116	5	9	1	217	299	320	618	103	295	28	9	281	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.8
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	496	441	97	19	3	8	45	137	7	10	2	220	302	331	633	111	296	28	9	285	76	-13	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	520	461	101	20	3	8	47	144	7	11	2	219	301	328	629	108	297	28	9	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	520	461	102	20	3	9	47	143	7	11	2	221	303	336	639	115	297	28	9	289	79	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	520	460	102	20	3	9	48	143	7	11	2	222	305	337	642	115	298	28	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	520	460	102	20	3	9	48	143	7	11	2	222	305	337	642	115	297	28	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2035	27	MLB	ARI	60%	520	460	102	20	3	9	48	144	7	11	2	222	305	337	642	115	297	28	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2036	28	MLB	ARI	62%	520	459	102	20	3	9	49	144	7	10	2	222	307	338	644	115	297	28	9	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2037	29	MLB	ARI	63%	520	459	101	20	3	9	49	145	7	10	1	220	305	336	640	115	296	28	9	287	78	-13	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2038	30	MLB	ARI	63%	520	459	99	19	3	8	49	147	7	9	1	216	301	322	623	107	294	28	9	284	76	-14	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.9
2039	31	MLB	ARI	65%	504	445	94	18	2	8	47	144	7	7	1	211	297	315	611	103	292	29	9	280	73	-16	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.6
2040	32	MLB	ARI	65%	489	434	90	17	2	7	46	141	6	6	1	207	292	304	596	97	288	29	9	275	69	-17	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.3
2041	33	MLB	ARI	65%	473	420	85	16	2	6	44	139	6	4	1	202	287	293	580	90	284	29	9	268	63	-20	+0	-4	+8	+13	-0.2
2027	19	MLB	ARI	34%	53	47	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	213	302	319	621	106	295	28	9	262	59	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	ARI	48%	146	130	29	6	1	2	13	41	2	3	0	223	303	331	634	108	296	28	9	269	64	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB	ARI	54%	225	200	43	9	1	3	20	63	3	5	1	215	296	315	611	100	297	28	9	274	68	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	22	MLB	ARI	57%	281	249	55	11	2	4	26	78	4	6	1	221	305	329	634	108	298	28	9	277	70	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB	ARI	58%	299	266	60	12	2	5	27	83	4	6	1	226	306	342	649	117	299	28	9	279	72	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2032	24	MLB	ARI	57%	296	263	59	12	2	5	27	82	4	6	1	224	306	342	648	118	300	28	9	281	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	25	MLB	ARI	57%	295	262	59	12	2	5	27	81	4	6	1	225	307	344	651	118	300	27	9	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2034	26	MLB	ARI	57%	294	261	59	12	2	5	27	81	4	6	1	226	308	345	653	119	300	28	9	282	74	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	27	MLB	ARI	60%	311	275	61	12	2	5	29	86	4	7	1	222	305	335	640	113	300	28	9	283	74	-9	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.6
2036	28	MLB	ARI	62%	321	284	63	12	2	6	30	89	4	6	1	222	305	342	647	120	299	28	9	282	74	-10	+1	-0	+6	+9	0.6
2037	29	MLB	ARI	63%	327	289	64	13	2	5	31	91	4	6	1	221	306	332	638	111	298	28	9	280	72	-10	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2038	30	MLB	ARI	63%	330	292	64	13	2	5	31	93	4	6	1	219	303	329	632	110	297	28	9	277	70	-11	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2039	31	MLB	ARI	65%	328	290	62	12	2	5	31	93	4	5	1	214	298	321	619	107	294	28	9	273	67	-12	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2040	32	MLB	ARI	65%	318	281	59	11	1	5	30	92	4	4	1	210	295	310	605	100	291	29	9	268	63	-13	+0	-2	+6	+9	-0.1
2041	33	MLB	ARI	65%	307	271	55	10	1	4	29	90	4	3	0	203	289	292	581	89	286	29	9	261	58	-15	+1	-3	+5	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4131	3661	802	159	24	65	383	1158	54	76	12	219	302	329	631	110	300	28	9	276	70	-142	+10	-9	+74	+117	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	126	25	4	10	60	182	8	12	2	219	301	328	629	109	300	28	9	276	70	-22	+2	-1	+12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	7103	6288	1357	266	38	111	658	1994	94	136	23	216	300	323	623	107	295	28	9	283	75	-203	+18	-15	+127	+201	13.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	123	24	3	10	60	182	9	12	2	214	298	318	616	104	292	28	9	283	75	-19	+2	-1	+12	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	47	8	3	0	0	12	13	1	6	1	170	350	234	584	64	222	21	19	282	74	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,194	65	78	217	297	324	+75	+40	8.2	6.8
	/162	664	10	12	217	297	324	+11.9	+6.3	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeshua Mendez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	161/242/196	36	273	0	1	37%	10%	37	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	37	-2.6	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	44	-2.1	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	54	-1.4	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	49	-1.8	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	35	-0.9
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	30	-3.1	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	58	-1.2	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	39	35→50	51→30	41	183/255/247	64	290	2	11	35%	8%	37	-2.6	203/258/279	76	265	4	7	24%	5%	46	-2.0	214/250/346	131	319	13	1	36%	3%	57	-0.5
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Juan Zabala 2017 · A	18	41	36→40	49→50	40	193/261/259	66	274	3	10	29%	6%	43	-2.2	185/266/247	62	249	2	7	24%	8%	43	-2.2	204/284/284	80	266	7	17	24%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Ronny Brito 2017 · A	18	39	37→45	47→50	45	183/260/259	77	269	3	9	31%	8%	43	-2.2	190/241/289	99	320	9	7	41%	6%	42	-2.3	158/205/274	116	290	15	3	49%	5%	22	-1.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3