Aiverson Barazarte

C DSL Athletics

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#928ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKOAK	95	.239/.426/.268	0	1	58	—	.184/.340/.211
2026	18	ROKOAK	105	.188/.375/.188	0	2	29	—	.141/.298/.141
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBOAK	215	.223/.311/.288	1	3	74	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBOAK	38	.232/.319/.310	0	1	79	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBOAK	100	.235/.322/.321	1	2	82	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%77

K%76

BB%62

Whiff%52

Z-Con%43

wRC+23

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMiguel Rodríguez (age 18) · Nacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Isiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .308 / .285

PA56

HR0

K%24

BB%9

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT62

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	95	71	17	0	1	0	16	14	7	1	1	239	426	268	693	28	293	15	17	341	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	105	80	15	0	0	0	18	17	6	2	1	188	375	188	562		234	16	17	291	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	95	76	14	0	1	0	11	17	7	1	1	184	340	211	551	26	215	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	105	85	12	0	0	0	13	21	6	2	1	141	298	141	439		169	20	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	95	76	14	0	1	0	11	17	7	1	1	184	340	211	551	26	233	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	95	71	17	0	1	0	16	14	7	1	1	239	426	268	693	28	293	15	17	341	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	105	85	12	0	0	0	13	21	6	2	1	141	298	141	439		185	20	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	105	80	15	0	0	0	18	17	6	2	1	188	375	188	562		234	16	17	291	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	95	77	14	0	1	0	11	17	7	1	1	182	340	208	548	26	215	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	105	85	12	0	0	0	13	21	6	2	1	141	298	141	439		169	20	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	95	77	14	0	1	0	11	17	7	1	1	182	340	208	548	26	215	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	105	85	12	0	0	0	13	21	6	2	1	141	298	141	439		169	20	12	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	215	189	43	5	2	1	19	52	5	3	1	223	311	288	598	64	298	24	9	278	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	112	98	23	3	1	1	10	27	3	2	1	227	314	301	615	74	299	24	9	284	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	207	182	42	5	2	2	18	49	5	4	1	230	317	312	629	82	300	24	9	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	317	279	64	8	2	4	28	75	7	6	2	232	319	321	641	89	300	24	9	294	85	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	401	353	83	10	3	6	36	94	9	8	3	234	321	330	650	95	301	23	9	297	87	-6	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	445	392	92	12	3	7	40	104	10	8	3	236	322	336	658	100	301	23	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	445	392	92	12	3	7	40	104	10	8	3	236	322	338	660	101	301	23	9	301	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	445	392	92	12	3	7	40	104	10	8	3	236	322	338	660	102	301	23	9	301	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	445	393	92	12	3	7	40	105	9	8	3	235	321	336	657	100	300	24	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	445	393	92	12	3	7	40	106	9	7	4	234	319	331	650	97	300	24	9	297	87	-7	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	445	393	90	11	3	6	40	107	9	7	4	231	316	324	641	93	298	24	9	293	85	-8	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	445	394	90	11	3	6	39	108	9	7	4	228	313	316	629	88	297	24	9	289	81	-10	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	426	378	84	10	3	5	37	105	8	5	6	224	308	306	614	82	294	25	9	283	77	-11	-1	-3	+8	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	OAK	52%	407	361	78	9	2	4	35	103	8	5	10	219	302	294	596	75	290	25	9	275	73	-13	-3	-4	+7	+9	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	38	34	7	1	0	0	3	9	1	1	0	232	319	310	629	77	307	24	8	290	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	100	89	21	3	1	1	9	24	2	2	1	235	322	321	643	86	307	24	9	295	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	172	151	36	5	1	2	15	41	4	3	1	238	324	330	654	93	308	24	9	299	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	227	200	48	7	2	3	20	53	5	4	2	240	325	339	664	99	309	23	9	303	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	252	223	54	8	2	4	22	59	5	5	2	242	327	345	672	104	309	23	9	306	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	251	222	54	8	2	4	22	59	5	5	2	242	327	347	674	105	309	24	9	306	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	251	222	54	8	2	4	22	59	5	5	2	242	327	347	674	105	309	24	9	307	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	247	218	52	7	2	4	22	58	5	5	2	241	326	345	670	104	308	23	9	305	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	244	215	52	7	2	4	22	58	5	4	2	239	324	340	663	101	308	24	9	302	87	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	238	210	50	7	2	3	21	57	5	4	2	236	321	333	654	97	306	24	9	299	85	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	234	206	49	7	2	3	21	57	5	3	2	233	317	325	642	92	304	24	9	294	81	-5	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	222	197	45	6	1	3	19	55	4	3	3	229	312	315	627	86	301	25	9	288	77	-6	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	OAK	52%	211	187	41	5	1	2	18	53	4	2	5	224	306	302	609	78	297	25	9	280	73	-7	-2	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2687	2374	563	79	20	37	236	642	55	46	26	237	320	334	654	97	308	24	9	299	83	-48	-1	-6	+48	+58	5.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	136	19	5	9	57	155	13	11	6	237	320	334	654	98	308	24	9	299	83	-12	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5241	4611	1050	128	35	69	472	1243	120	87	49	228	316	316	631	88	295	24	9	291	83	-92	-2	-10	+90	+109	9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	130	16	4	9	59	154	15	11	6	227	316	316	632	89	294	24	9	291	83	-12	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Athletics · 105 PAwOBA .288 → .211 (−77)K% 16.2% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.19%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.14%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.09%
HBP% /PA	5.71%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	4.03%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	×1.008	17.13%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .288 → .211; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .234 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Athletics · 95 PAwOBA .338 → .254 (−84)K% 14.7% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.74%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	17.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.84%	÷1.009	×0.700	—	×1.022	11.94%
HBP% /PA	7.37%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.27%
Singles /BIP	28.07%	÷0.994	×0.680	×1.049	×1.022	20.60%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.013	×0.600	×1.049	×1.022	0.00%
Triples /BIP	1.75%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.049	×1.022	1.25%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.868	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .338 → .254; ISO .028 → .022; BABIP .293 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
#4Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.1	2,744	38	46	233	314	325	+49	+32	7.4	6.5
/162	664	9	11	+11.9	+7.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Jerry May'64-'73 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,716 PA	2.6	1,716	15	1	236*	314*	355*	+31	+0	5.6	5.6
/162	664	6	0	+11.8	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aiverson Barazarte (OGILVIE)	19	57→62	28→33	45→50	68	221/308/285	64	298	0	1	24%	9%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Josh Morgan 2015 · A	19	52→57	35→45	45→40	51	240/324/298	58	290	2	6	17%	8%	82	+0.0	253/313/325	72	305	5	5	17%	6%	83	+0.1	256/310/332	76	305	6	4	17%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	48→58	37→40	45→50	52	224/309/297	73	285	4	5	21%	9%	76	-0.4	212/273/299	87	269	6	4	22%	6%	63	-1.4	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕George Lombard Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→48	39→45	48→55	49	232/311/316	85	335	6	12	30%	10%	81	-0.1	208/291/311	103	304	8	22	31%	9%	74	-0.6	208/297/325	117	296	10	23	30%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Adrián Sugastey 2022 · A	19	51	37→40	49→40	42	244/287/314	70	318	5	5	24%	5%	71	-0.8	222/270/304	82	282	6	3	22%	5%	62	-1.4	225/265/311	86	256	8	3	15%	4%	60	-0.7

Aiverson Barazarte

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps