Emmanuel Cedeno — OGILVIE

Emmanuel Cedeno2B DSL Rays

Age 18 S/R 5'9" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.5 · 2034

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .299 / .319

PA181

HR2

K%25

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

20→20

SPD

55→55

EYE

68↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.5peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+4.1	$39M	+$38M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.3	$42M	+$41M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.5	$46M	+$45M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+4.5	$47M	+$38M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+4.4	$47M	+$33M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$20M	+4.1	$45M	+$25M
Totals		$47M		$267M	+$220M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	212	177	44	3	0	1	29	17	1	14	5	.249	.357	.282	.640	.034	.269	8	14	.297	85	-3	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	TB	181	161	35	6	1	2	16	45	2	3	1	.217	.296	.304	.600	.087	.293	25	9	.284	75	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	TB	263	233	57	10	2	4	25	62	3	6	2	.245	.326	.356	.682	.112	.312	24	10	.311	96	-1	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.8
2028	20	MLB 28%	TB	386	339	87	14	3	8	39	87	5	10	2	.257	.342	.386	.728	.130	.320	23	10	.325	107	+3	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.7
2029	21	MLB 48%	TB	479	420	109	18	3	10	50	105	6	12	3	.260	.347	.388	.735	.129	.321	22	10	.333	113	+7	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.4
2030	22	MLB 65%	TB	544	474	127	21	4	13	58	115	7	13	3	.268	.356	.411	.768	.143	.322	21	11	.340	118	+11	+1	+0	+2	+15	3.1
2031	23	MLB 86%	TB	588	510	137	22	4	15	65	121	8	14	3	.269	.360	.416	.776	.147	.323	21	11	.346	123	+15	+2	+0	+2	+17	3.6
2032	24	MLB	TB	617	534	144	23	4	16	70	125	8	14	3	.270	.363	.418	.780	.148	.323	20	11	.351	126	+18	+2	+0	+2	+17	4.1
2033	25	MLB	TB	633	546	149	24	4	17	73	127	9	14	3	.273	.368	.425	.793	.152	.324	20	12	.354	129	+21	+2	+0	+2	+18	4.3
2034	26	MLB	TB	641	552	150	24	4	17	75	129	9	14	3	.272	.368	.422	.790	.150	.325	20	12	.355	130	+22	+2	+0	+2	+18	4.5
2035	27	MLB	TB	641	551	150	24	4	17	76	130	9	14	3	.272	.369	.423	.792	.151	.325	20	12	.356	130	+22	+2	+0	+2	+18	4.5
2036	28	MLB	TB	636	546	149	24	4	17	76	130	9	13	2	.273	.371	.425	.796	.152	.325	20	12	.355	130	+21	+2	-1	+2	+18	4.4
2037	29	MLB	TB	626	538	146	23	4	17	75	130	8	13	2	.271	.369	.424	.793	.152	.325	21	12	.353	128	+20	+2	-1	+2	+18	4.1
2038	30	MLB	TB	616	529	143	23	4	16	74	130	8	12	1	.270	.368	.420	.788	.149	.324	21	12	.350	126	+18	+2	-2	+2	+17	3.8
2039	31	MLB	TB	602	517	138	22	4	15	72	129	8	11	1	.267	.365	.412	.777	.145	.323	21	12	.346	123	+16	+2	-3	+2	+17	3.5
2040	32	MLB	TB	583	501	131	21	3	14	69	128	8	10	0	.261	.360	.399	.759	.138	.322	22	12	.342	120	+13	+2	-4	+2	+17	3.1
2041	33	MLB	TB	553	475	123	19	3	13	66	125	7	10	0	.259	.358	.394	.751	.135	.322	23	12	.337	116	+10	+2	-4	+2	+16	2.6
2042	34	MLB	TB	506	435	111	17	3	11	60	119	6	9	0	.255	.353	.384	.737	.129	.321	24	12	.331	111	+7	+2	-5	+2	+14	2.0
2043	35	MLB	TB	449	389	96	14	3	9	52	110	5	8	0	.247	.343	.368	.711	.121	.320	24	12	.324	106	+3	+2	-6	+2	+13	1.4
2044	36	MLB	TB	388	335	81	12	2	7	45	99	5	7	0	.242	.340	.352	.692	.110	.319	26	12	.316	100	-0	+1	-6	+1	+11	0.8
2045	37	MLB	TB	323	279	66	9	2	5	37	86	4	6	0	.237	.334	.337	.671	.100	.317	27	11	.307	93	-3	+1	-7	+1	+9	0.2
2046	38	MLB	TB	253	220	50	7	1	4	28	69	3	5	0	.227	.323	.323	.645	.095	.313	27	11	.297	85	-4	+1	-8	+1	+7	-0.3
2047	39	MLB	TB	179	155	35	5	1	2	20	50	2	3	0	.226	.322	.310	.632	.084	.308	28	11	.287	78	-5	+1	-8	+1	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10899	9416	2458	385	67	250	1250	2368	140	235	37	.261	.356	.396	.752	.135	.322	22	11	.338	117	+206	+32	-55	+39	+309	54.2
/ 162G	—			650	562	147	23	4	15	75	141	8	14	2	.262	.357	.397	.753	.135	.323	22	12	.338	117	+12	+2	-3	+2	+18	3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	212	158	48	4	1	1	48	12	1	14	5	.304	.469	.361	.829	.057	.322	6	23	.382	151	+12	+1	—	—	+6	1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emmanuel Cedeno (OGILVIE)	18	60	20	55	60	.223/.299/.319	.097	.293	2	3	25%	9%	75	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	55→60	49	.241/.304/.317	.076	.306	3	17	21%	8%	75	-0.0	.250/.296/.310	.060	.296	1	19	15%	6%	69	-0.4	.299/.358/.381	.081	.343	4	36	13%	8%	110	+2.1
●Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	45→54	37→40	51→65	44	.205/.292/.286	.080	.293	3	15	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.210/.299/.284	.074	.292	3	18	26%	10%	66	-0.6	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	.212/.301/.276	.064	.273	3	16	22%	11%	65	-0.7	.218/.304/.295	.077	.280	4	15	21%	9%	71	-0.3	.256/.355/.382	.126	.288	11	19	14%	12%	111	+2.2
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→45	54→55	48	.224/.278/.312	.088	.269	4	13	18%	6%	63	-0.9	.222/.274/.287	.065	.277	3	16	20%	6%	54	-1.4	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	57→50	55	.211/.299/.288	.077	.267	4	15	21%	11%	67	-0.5	.229/.289/.320	.091	.303	6	11	25%	7%	70	-0.3	.255/.302/.371	.117	.316	8	12	21%	6%	85	+0.5
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	49→58	37→45	50	48	.231/.293/.308	.076	.300	4	13	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.243/.308/.337	.094	.291	8	13	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Luis Arraez 2015 · A	18	52→62	36→45	48→45	51	.242/.302/.307	.066	.282	3	13	15%	7%	72	-0.2	.264/.305/.332	.068	.298	2	7	11%	5%	79	+0.3	.321/.366/.416	.094	.333	7	5	6%	6%	120	+3.3
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	.236/.311/.314	.079	.286	5	13	19%	8%	79	+0.3	.227/.282/.296	.069	.275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	.248/.314/.340	.093	.289	6	1	16%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A	19	48	37→45	47→55	50	.226/.292/.301	.075	.272	4	14	18%	8%	66	-0.6	.220/.286/.278	.058	.274	2	18	19%	8%	58	-1.2	.238/.306/.305	.068	.287	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→49	38→40	53→55	57	.220/.313/.307	.086	.278	4	14	20%	12%	78	+0.2	.225/.315/.310	.085	.316	4	20	27%	11%	79	+0.3	.219/.316/.296	.077	.309	5	23	27%	12%	75	+0.0
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	44→54	40	51→40	49	.210/.275/.306	.096	.257	7	7	21%	8%	61	-1.0	.232/.280/.319	.087	.274	5	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	.274/.327/.360	.086	.313	3	3	13%	7%	93	+0.9
★Jean Segura 2008 · A	18	50→60	37→50	52→60	46	.238/.288/.305	.067	.286	4	17	18%	6%	65	-0.7	.247/.291/.331	.084	.291	6	17	16%	5%	73	-0.1	.304/.351/.439	.135	.338	12	24	13%	6%	123	+3.5
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	48	36→40	54→60	50	.215/.310/.286	.072	.325	3	19	31%	11%	72	-0.2	.247/.324/.323	.076	.343	3	23	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.263/.336/.338	.075	.360	3	29	25%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Miguel Chacoa 2008 · A	19	50	38→30	52→50	46	.236/.296/.315	.079	.307	5	16	24%	7%	72	-0.2	.236/.298/.295	.059	.279	3	15	15%	8%	67	-0.5	.241/.304/.284	.043	.277	1	17	12%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	50→60	38→45	49→50	47	.236/.290/.321	.086	.287	3	11	19%	7%	70	-0.3	.235/.279/.310	.075	.290	3	12	19%	5%	62	-0.9	.268/.313/.373	.105	.325	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	51	.218/.295/.314	.096	.275	8	8	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.288/.359	.134	.280	15	4	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→57	37→50	44→50	42	.231/.298/.310	.079	.319	4	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.233/.297/.322	.089	.310	7	4	25%	6%	74	-0.1	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	49	35→30	50	51	.230/.308/.283	.054	.284	3	13	19%	8%	69	-0.4	.222/.281/.288	.066	.257	3	15	14%	6%	59	-1.1	.181/.232/.244	.063	.237	4	19	24%	4%	25	-1.1
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	53→52	38→45	51→50	54	.246/.334/.327	.081	.326	6	14	24%	11%	92	+1.2	.211/.307/.286	.075	.348	4	12	35%	12%	70	-0.3	.200/.298/.277	.076	.341	4	13	38%	12%	61	-0.5
✕Jorge Minyety 2009 · A	18	48	36→30	46→50	58	.220/.318/.291	.071	.282	2	13	21%	12%	76	+0.0	.211/.292/.270	.059	.288	1	11	24%	10%	59	-1.1	.200/.279/.238	.038	.278	0	11	25%	10%	41	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)