Emmanuel Cedeno

2B FCL Rays

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1041ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTB	212	.304/.469/.361	1	14	72	—	.220/.348/.266
2026	18	ROKTB	243	.223/.402/.310	1	17	55	—	.178/.305/.243
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTB	353	.223/.309/.303	3	7	77	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTB	62	.231/.317/.322	1	1	83	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTB	143	.235/.321/.336	2	3	88	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%92

Z-Con%91

Speed90

Whiff%89

BB%81

wRC+48

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 83%

CompsAngel Genao (age 19) · Ramón Cabrera (age 19) · Jaison Chourio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 132 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .307 / .300

PA132

HR1

K%22

BB%10

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	212	158	48	4	1	1	48	12	1	14	5	304	469	361	829	57	322	6	23	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	243	184	41	7	3	1	49	28	6	17	2	223	402	310	711	87	255	12	20	336	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	212	173	38	3	1	1	33	15	1	14	5	220	348	266	614	46	223	7	16	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	243	202	36	6	2	1	31	40	6	17	2	178	305	243	548	64	207	16	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	212	173	38	3	1	1	33	15	1	14	5	220	348	266	614	46	234	7	16	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	212	158	48	4	1	1	48	12	1	14	5	304	469	361	829	57	322	6	23	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	243	202	36	6	2	1	31	40	6	17	2	178	305	243	548	64	215	16	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	243	184	41	7	3	1	49	28	6	17	2	223	402	310	711	87	255	12	20	336	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	212	176	38	3	1	1	33	15	1	14	5	216	348	261	609	45	223	7	16	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	243	204	36	6	2	1	31	40	6	17	2	176	305	240	546	64	207	16	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	212	176	38	3	1	1	33	15	1	14	5	216	348	261	609	45	223	7	16	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	243	204	36	6	2	1	31	40	6	17	2	176	305	240	546	64	207	16	13	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	353	311	70	11	3	3	35	78	4	7	2	223	309	303	613	80	286	22	10	282	77	-10	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	180	158	36	6	1	2	18	39	2	4	1	228	315	321	636	93	288	22	10	291	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	296	260	60	10	2	4	30	64	4	7	2	232	319	335	653	103	290	22	10	298	88	-4	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	396	349	82	14	3	6	39	85	5	9	2	235	321	345	667	110	291	21	10	303	91	-4	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	460	405	96	16	3	8	46	99	6	10	3	237	323	353	676	116	292	22	10	306	93	-4	+1	-2	+2	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	500	441	106	18	4	9	49	107	6	11	3	239	324	359	683	120	292	21	10	309	95	-3	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	525	462	110	18	4	10	52	113	6	11	3	239	324	360	685	121	292	22	10	310	96	-3	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	537	473	113	19	4	10	53	115	6	12	3	239	324	361	685	121	292	21	10	310	96	-3	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	538	474	113	19	4	10	53	116	6	11	3	238	323	358	681	120	292	22	10	308	95	-3	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	533	469	111	18	4	10	53	116	6	10	3	236	321	353	674	117	291	22	10	305	93	-5	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	522	459	107	18	3	9	52	115	6	9	3	234	319	346	665	113	289	22	10	302	90	-6	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	57%	510	450	103	17	3	8	50	114	5	8	3	230	315	338	653	108	288	22	10	297	87	-8	+0	-4	+2	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	60%	493	437	99	16	3	8	48	112	5	7	4	226	310	328	638	102	285	23	10	291	83	-10	-0	-4	+2	+11	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	62	55	12	2	0	1	6	14	1	1	0	231	317	322	640	92	292	23	10	293	83	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	143	126	30	5	1	2	14	31	2	3	1	235	321	336	657	101	293	22	10	299	88	-2	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	215	189	45	7	2	3	21	46	3	5	1	237	324	346	670	109	294	21	10	304	91	-2	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	260	229	55	9	2	4	26	56	3	6	2	240	325	354	679	114	295	22	10	308	93	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	283	250	60	10	2	5	28	61	3	6	2	241	326	360	686	118	296	22	10	310	95	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	297	262	63	10	2	6	29	64	4	6	2	242	327	361	688	119	296	22	10	311	96	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	303	266	64	10	2	6	30	65	4	6	2	241	326	361	688	120	296	21	10	311	96	-2	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	298	263	62	10	2	5	30	64	3	6	2	240	325	358	684	118	295	21	10	309	95	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	293	259	61	10	2	5	29	64	3	6	2	238	323	354	677	115	294	22	10	307	93	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	279	246	58	9	2	5	28	62	3	5	2	236	321	347	668	111	293	22	10	303	90	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	57%	291	257	60	9	2	5	29	65	3	5	2	233	317	339	656	106	291	22	10	298	87	-4	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	60%	294	260	59	9	2	4	29	67	3	4	2	229	312	329	641	101	288	23	10	292	83	-6	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3018	2662	629	100	21	51	299	659	35	59	20	236	321	347	669	111	294	22	10	305	89	-30	+4	-13	+11	+65	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	136	22	5	11	64	142	8	13	4	237	322	351	673	113	296	22	10	305	89	-7	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6077	5329	1236	202	42	97	620	1279	71	143	41	232	320	340	660	108	286	21	10	300	89	-59	+9	-25	+20	+122	6.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	132	22	4	10	66	137	8	15	4	232	320	337	657	105	286	21	10	300	89	-7	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 243 PAwOBA .332 → .250 (−81)K% 11.5% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.52%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	16.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.16%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	12.60%
HBP% /PA	2.47%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	1.79%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.014	×1.008	16.12%
Doubles /BIP	4.49%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.014	×1.008	3.30%
Triples /BIP	1.92%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.014	×1.008	1.42%
Home runs /BIP	0.64%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.50%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .332 → .250; ISO .087 → .070; BABIP .255 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rays · 212 PAwOBA .376 → .275 (−101)K% 5.7% → 6.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.66%	÷1.003	×1.220	—	—	6.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.64%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×1.008	15.65%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.33%
Singles /BIP	28.77%	÷0.985	×0.680	×1.014	×1.008	20.29%
Doubles /BIP	2.74%	÷0.989	×0.600	×1.014	×1.008	1.70%
Triples /BIP	0.68%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.014	×1.008	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	0.68%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.32%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .376 → .275; ISO .057 → .035; BABIP .322 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Dave Chalk'73-'81 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,330 PA	5.0	3,330	15	36	250*	327*	339*	+20	-13	6.1	6.6
/162	664	3	7	+3.9	-2.5	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,150	54	63	236	317	349	+11	-14	7.0	6.1
/162	664	11	13	+2.4	-3.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#3U. L. Washington'77-'87 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,124 PA	4.7	3,124	27	132	246*	313*	363*	+30	-28	4.2	5.1
/162	664	6	28	+6.3	-6.0	0.9	pk7: 6
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Febles'98-'03 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,892 PA	2.8	1,892	24	68	239*	316*	342*	+6	-4	0.5	0.5
/162	664	8	24	+2.2	-1.5	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emmanuel Cedeno (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	221/307/300	79	286	1	3	22%	10%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	41→51	38→40	51→40	52	192/263/273	81	229	5	7	18%	8%	54	-2.0	235/284/320	85	277	4	5	16%	6%	71	-0.8	280/335/367	87	319	3	3	12%	7%	98	+0.9
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	45→55	37→40	53→55	62	208/315/286	78	255	3	15	18%	13%	77	-0.3	227/325/310	83	318	4	21	26%	12%	85	+0.2	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→45	53→55	57	205/300/267	62	260	3	17	20%	11%	67	-1.1	222/307/301	79	287	4	15	22%	9%	77	-0.3	258/359/382	124	284	11	19	13%	13%	115	+2.4
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	44→54	34→30	53→60	55	197/283/248	51	232	1	19	14%	9%	56	-1.9	222/305/277	55	273	1	24	17%	9%	70	-0.8	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Hector Osorio 2024 · A	19	44	35→45	51→50	62	200/321/262	62	245	2	15	17%	13%	76	-0.4	216/319/308	92	262	8	12	19%	11%	84	+0.1	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	227/308/323	96	307	7	7	26%	9%	82	+0.0	224/297/299	75	308	5	6	26%	8%	72	-0.7	277/345/359	82	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5

Emmanuel Cedeno

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps