Emmanuel Cedeno — OGILVIE

Emmanuel Cedeno2B FCL Rays

Age 18 S/R 5'9" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION234 act + 156 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .303 / .279

PA156

HR1

SB6

K%20

BB%11

BABIP257

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$10M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.1	$9M	+$9M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.1	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.0	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$23M		$51M	+$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	212	177	46	3	1	1	29	17	1	14	5	260	367	305	672	45	281	8	14	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	212	158	48	4	1	1	48	12	1	14	5	304	469	361	829	57	322	6	23	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	234	195	33	5	2	1	30	40	5	17	2	169	296	231	526	62	205	17	13	247	47	-14	+3	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	234	177	39	7	3	1	48	28	5	17	2	220	400	311	711	90	253	12	21	335	115	+4	+3	+0	+1	+7	1.4
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	156	136	28	5	1	1	17	31	2	6	1	206	303	279	583	74	260	20	11	274	68	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		264	—	—	266	62	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	234	196	33	5	2	1	30	40	5	17	2	168	296	230	525	61	204	17	13	247	47	-14	+3	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	390	331	61	10	3	2	47	71	7	23	3	184	299	251	549	66	226	18	12	258	55	-20	+3	+0	+1	+11	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	374	325	71	12	3	4	41	75	5	9	2	218	315	311	626	92	268	20	11	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.4
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	470	409	92	15	4	7	51	94	7	11	2	225	321	333	654	108	271	20	11	297	85	-8	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.9
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	537	466	106	18	4	9	58	106	8	12	2	227	323	341	665	114	273	20	11	303	90	-6	+2	+0	+2	+15	1.3
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	584	507	117	20	4	11	63	115	9	13	2	231	326	351	678	120	275	20	11	307	93	-4	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.6
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	615	534	125	21	5	12	67	120	9	14	3	234	330	360	689	125	276	20	11	310	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.8
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	633	550	129	22	5	12	69	123	9	14	3	235	330	358	688	124	276	19	11	312	97	-2	+2	+0	+2	+18	2.0
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	638	553	130	22	5	13	70	123	10	14	3	235	332	363	695	128	276	19	11	313	97	-2	+2	+0	+2	+18	2.1
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	642	556	131	22	5	13	71	124	10	14	3	236	333	363	696	128	276	19	11	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+2	+18	2.1
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	639	553	130	22	5	13	71	124	10	14	3	235	333	363	696	128	276	19	11	313	98	-2	+2	+0	+2	+18	2.1
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	632	547	127	21	5	12	71	123	9	13	2	232	330	355	685	122	276	19	11	312	97	-2	+2	-1	+2	+18	2.0
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	621	537	124	21	4	12	70	122	9	13	2	231	330	352	682	121	275	20	11	310	96	-3	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.7
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	610	527	120	20	4	11	69	122	9	12	2	228	327	343	671	116	274	20	11	308	94	-4	+2	-2	+2	+17	1.5
2039	31	MLB	TB	57%	595	514	116	19	4	11	67	121	9	11	2	226	325	342	668	117	272	20	11	304	90	-6	+1	-3	+2	+17	1.1
2040	32	MLB	TB	54%	577	499	111	18	4	10	65	119	8	10	2	222	322	335	656	112	269	21	11	298	86	-9	+1	-4	+2	+16	0.7
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	129	112	24	4	1	1	14	26	2	3	1	214	312	295	607	80	272	20	11	280	72	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.0
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	228	198	44	7	2	3	25	45	3	5	1	222	319	323	642	101	275	20	11	288	79	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	291	253	59	10	2	5	32	58	4	7	1	233	329	348	677	115	277	20	11	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	331	287	67	11	3	6	36	65	5	7	1	233	329	355	685	122	279	20	11	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	354	307	73	12	3	7	39	69	5	8	1	238	333	365	698	127	279	19	11	300	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.8
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	361	313	74	12	3	7	40	70	5	8	1	236	332	361	693	125	280	19	11	302	90	-4	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	362	314	74	12	3	7	40	70	5	8	1	236	331	360	691	124	280	19	11	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	363	315	74	12	3	7	40	70	5	8	1	235	331	359	689	124	280	19	11	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	355	307	73	12	3	7	40	69	5	8	1	238	335	365	700	127	280	19	11	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	347	300	71	11	3	7	39	68	5	7	1	237	334	363	698	127	279	20	11	303	90	-4	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.8
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	332	287	67	11	3	6	37	65	5	7	1	233	331	355	687	122	279	20	11	301	88	-4	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.7
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	321	277	64	10	2	6	36	64	5	6	1	231	330	347	677	116	278	20	11	298	86	-5	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2039	31	MLB	TB	57%	336	290	67	11	2	6	38	68	5	6	1	231	330	345	675	114	275	20	11	294	83	-6	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.4
2040	32	MLB	TB	54%	314	272	60	9	2	5	35	65	4	6	1	221	318	324	642	103	272	21	11	289	79	-7	+1	-2	+1	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4424	3833	891	144	35	80	491	872	63	94	14	232	329	351	680	118	279	20	11	298	86	-68	+13	-6	+16	+125	8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	131	21	5	12	72	128	9	14	2	233	329	352	681	119	279	20	11	298	86	-10	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	8535	7390	1703	281	63	152	949	1659	124	194	39	230	328	347	675	117	276	19	11	306	93	-72	+23	-10	+30	+242	21.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	130	21	5	12	72	126	9	15	3	231	327	350	677	119	276	19	11	306	93	-5	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	212	158	48	4	1	1	48	12	1	14	5	304	469	361	829	57	322	6	23	382	151	+12	+1	—	—	+6	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,681	83	100	231	324	348	+17	+8	12.0	9.9
	/162	664	12	14	231	324	348	+2.4	+1.1	1.7	pk7: 8
#5Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#6Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emmanuel Cedeno (OGILVIE)	18	60	20	55	60	184/299/251	66	226	2	23	18%	12%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	63	-0.8	208/298/281	73	293	3	17	27%	10%	65	-0.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2009 · A	18	48	35→30	46→50	58	220/319/290	70	282	1	13	20%	12%	76	+0.1	212/292/272	60	291	2	11	25%	10%	59	-1.1	202/281/241	39	282	0	11	25%	10%	42	-0.6
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Hancer Vargas 2007 · A	18	53	35→30	49→50	52	243/298/305	62	269	3	9	11%	7%	69	-0.4	210/256/252	42	272	1	11	22%	5%	37	-2.6	194/234/209	16	259	0	14	24%	4%	14	-1.6
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	50→60	38→40	51→50	50	237/313/315	78	287	5	13	18%	8%	79	+0.3	227/281/295	68	275	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	246/313/343	97	286	7	1	15%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	72	-0.2	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	61	-1.0	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Pedro Ramírez 2022 · A	18	53→55	38→45	48→55	44	249/297/335	86	299	3	10	17%	5%	77	+0.1	236/289/338	102	300	8	13	23%	6%	75	-0.0	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	59	-1.1	225/304/282	57	280	1	24	18%	9%	67	-0.5	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
●Vidal Bruján 2016 · A	18	50→58	37→45	50→65	55	230/302/309	79	254	4	17	11%	8%	73	-0.1	236/293/328	92	268	5	17	13%	7%	73	-0.1	245/304/358	113	290	9	43	18%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Lurvin Basabe 2008 · A	18	48	35→30	47→55	55	223/303/284	61	272	3	15	18%	10%	67	-0.5	203/267/268	65	275	4	14	25%	7%	47	-1.9	125/191/170	45	173	4	22	29%	6%	-10	-1.1
✕Luis Durango 2006 · A	20	55→65	34→30	46→60	53	252/333/305	53	307	2	16	17%	9%	85	+0.7	267/335/325	58	322	2	16	16%	8%	90	+1.0	289/352/322	33	348	0	30	15%	9%	92	+1.0
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	50	36→40	55→45	58	230/334/299	69	299	2	9	22%	12%	85	+0.7	231/326/326	95	288	8	10	21%	11%	89	+0.9	220/314/312	92	279	9	9	22%	11%	79	+0.1
✕Michael Chirinos 2019 · A	19	49	36→40	51→55	56	226/296/292	67	252	4	11	12%	9%	66	-0.6	223/285/300	77	247	6	14	12%	8%	63	-0.8	217/274/284	67	224	7	22	7%	7%	60	-0.4
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2017 · A	18	47	34→30	51→55	58	211/319/262	51	303	2	14	27%	13%	69	-0.4	204/289/261	57	297	3	9	29%	10%	56	-1.3	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Eliezer Alfonzo 2018 · A	18	50→51	35→45	50→40	52	232/303/288	55	280	2	8	17%	8%	68	-0.5	236/302/306	70	280	3	8	16%	8%	72	-0.2	245/294/342	97	263	10	3	11%	6%	75	-0.0