Lionel Prevosti

P DSL Braves

Age 20 RHP 6'4" / 188 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKATL	8	5	22	10.64	7.37	12.9%	20.7%	—	K 8.8% · BB 25.9% · FIP 8.65
2026	19	ROKATL	11	7	34	9.36	5.12	18.5%	17.9%	—	K 12.6% · BB 22.4% · FIP 6.21
2027PROJ	20	MLBATL	4	4	18	6.17	6.17	17.8%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBATL	3	3	16	5.76	5.61	19.2%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJefferson Jean (age 19) · Ismael Agreda (age 20) · Chris Viall (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.17

FIP6.17

K%17.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-2.3%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	8	5	22	116	15	24	4	62%	2.8	8.8%	25.9%	-17.1%	5.5%	10.64	8.65	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	8	5	22	116	15	24	4	62%	2.8	8.8%	25.9%	-17.1%	5.5%	10.64	8.65	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	8	5	22	116	15	24	4	62%	2.8	12.9%	20.7%	-7.8%	3.4%	10.64	7.37	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	7	34	173	32	31	3	64%	3.1	12.6%	22.4%	-9.8%	2.4%	9.36	6.21	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	11	7	34	173	32	31	3	64%	3.1	12.6%	22.4%	-9.8%	2.4%	9.36	6.21	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	11	7	34	173	32	31	3	64%	3.1	18.5%	17.9%	0.6%	1.7%	9.36	5.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ATL	4	4	18	76	13	15	2	100%	4.5	17.8%	20.0%	-2.3%	3.0%	6.17	6.17	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	7	7	32	134	26	23	4	100%	4.5	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	3.0%	5.76	5.61	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	3	3	16	68	13	11	2	100%	5.3	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	3.0%	5.76	5.61	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	66	13	11	2	100%	5.2	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	3.0%	5.76	5.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	166	141	26	100%	4.8	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	3.0%	5.76	5.23	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		19	12	56	289	32	69	11	63%	2.9	11.1%	23.8%	-12.7%	3.7%	9.86	7.19	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	43	200	1038	115	247	38	63%	2.9	11.1%	23.8%	-12.7%	3.7%	9.86	7.19	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Lionel Prevosti (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.17	17.8%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.61	19.2%	2.4%	32	-0.56	—	—	—
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	87
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	86
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	86
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	84
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	84
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	83
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	83
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	83
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	82
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	82
Rubén Menes R 2023 · 6.12 FIP	21	SP-	6.12	13.1%	21.9%	2.5%	.257	4.94	15.6%	2.1%	100	-1.18	3.39	112	81
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	81
Mason Denaburg R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	19	SP-	4.98	12.8%	17.3%	1.4%	.328	4.95	16.3%	-0.1%	39	-0.03	4.48	151	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	80
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	80
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	80
Bryan Sanchez R 2023 · 6.58 FIP	20	SP-	6.58	15.7%	19.3%	4.3%	.296	5.63	14.6%	-3.0%	65	-0.95	2.99	142	80
Abraham Parra R 2024 · 5.40 FIP	18	SP-	5.40	14.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.376	4.82	15.3%	1.3%	181	-0.58	4.16	243	80