Cristopher Aranguren

Cristopher Aranguren P ACL Cubs

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.88

FIP4.88

K%18.3%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	9	34	155	23	14	0	75%	2.8	10.1%	11.3%	-1.2%	0.0%	6.09	3.68	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	12	9	34	155	23	14	0	75%	2.8	10.1%	11.3%	-1.2%	0.0%	6.09	3.68	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	12	9	34	155	23	14	0	75%	2.8	14.8%	9.0%	5.8%	0.0%	6.09	2.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	13	3	29	142	33	22	5	23%	2.2	15.7%	19.2%	-3.5%	3.6%	8.16	6.18	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	13	3	29	142	33	22	5	23%	2.2	15.7%	19.2%	-3.5%	3.6%	8.16	6.18	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	CHC	11	3	24	117	27	18	3	27%	2.2	23.1%	15.4%	7.7%	2.6%	6.46	4.51	—
2026	20	A RAW	CHC	2	0	5	25	6	4	2	0%	2.5	24.0%	16.0%	8.0%	8.0%	16.20	7.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CHC	31	0	32	136	27	14	4	0%	1.0	19.6%	10.1%	9.6%	2.8%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	CHC	15	0	16	68	13	7	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.1%	9.6%	2.8%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	13	7	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.1%	9.6%	2.8%	4.72	4.27	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	89	25	0%	1.1	19.6%	10.1%	9.6%	2.8%	4.72	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		25	12	63	297	38	45	5	48%	2.5	12.8%	15.1%	-2.3%	1.7%	7.04	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	38	200	948	121	143	16	48%	2.5	12.8%	15.1%	-2.3%	1.7%	7.04	4.87	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristopher Aranguren (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	18.3%	10.8%	2.9%	—	4.65	19.6%	9.6%	32	-0.23	—	—	—
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	88
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	88
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	87
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	85
Carlos Espinosa R 2022 · 3.73 FIP	20	SW	3.73	17.0%	11.2%	1.2%	.260	4.52	22.0%	9.8%	177	+0.79	3.73	274	84
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Conor Harber R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	21	SW	3.93	14.3%	10.0%	1.4%	.257	4.33	16.3%	2.8%	262	+0.40	3.05	333	82
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	82
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	82
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	82
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	82
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	82
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	81
Darwin Ramos R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	20	SW	4.03	16.0%	11.2%	1.6%	.353	3.66	15.7%	5.9%	177	-0.37	3.34	262	81
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	80
Nick Lockhart R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	20	SW	5.73	18.3%	11.6%	4.9%	.315	4.53	19.3%	9.0%	92	-1.20	4.44	140	80
Victor Simeon R 2021 · 3.87 FIP	20	SW	3.87	17.7%	13.8%	0.9%	.266	4.21	21.3%	5.1%	105	+0.34	3.22	180	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	80
Adrián Martinez R 2017 · 4.30 FIP	20	SW	4.30	18.8%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	4.25	17.3%	7.6%	92	-0.05	2.02	526	80
Henson Leal R 2023 · 5.16 FIP	19	SP-	5.16	17.6%	10.0%	4.2%	.408	4.05	17.7%	7.8%	146	-1.11	3.49	193	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.1%	10.3%	1.10	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19