Adrián Martinez

Adrián Martinez P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA4.83

FIP5.02

K%19.8%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4093.8

Whiff%

p3523.1%

p3219.5%

xwOBA vs

p180.350

FB-0.7

SL-2.2

CH-2.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	7	2	16	72	19	2	0	29%	2.3	17.9%	3.5%	14.5%	0.0%	4.41	2.02	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	7	2	16	72	19	2	0	29%	2.3	26.4%	2.8%	23.6%	0.0%	4.41	1.14	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	13	4	30	134	37	9	3	31%	2.3	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.1%	4.50	4.30	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	13	4	30	134	37	9	3	31%	2.3	27.6%	6.7%	20.9%	2.2%	4.50	2.83	—
2018	21	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	8	1	17	92	26	12	2	12%	2.2	20.9%	15.4%	5.5%	2.4%	9.87	4.60	—
2018	21	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	8	1	17	92	26	12	2	12%	2.2	28.3%	13.0%	15.2%	2.2%	9.87	3.68	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	6	81	332	76	22	7	18%	2.5	16.5%	8.4%	8.1%	2.6%	3.22	4.17	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	6	81	332	76	22	7	18%	2.5	22.9%	6.6%	16.3%	2.1%	3.22	3.16	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	125	523	122	39	10	85%	4.8	19.4%	8.0%	11.4%	2.2%	3.38	3.66	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	125	523	122	39	10	85%	4.8	23.3%	7.5%	15.9%	1.9%	3.38	3.12	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	147	648	153	51	37	100%	4.9	21.8%	8.1%	13.6%	6.0%	5.93	5.58	-1.1
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	147	648	153	51	37	100%	4.9	23.6%	7.9%	15.7%	5.7%	5.93	5.33	-0.7
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	13	93	432	71	40	17	37%	2.7	15.5%	8.8%	6.7%	4.3%	6.27	5.28	-0.8
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	13	93	432	71	40	17	37%	2.7	15.5%	8.8%	6.7%	4.3%	6.27	5.28	-0.8
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	13	93	432	71	40	17	37%	2.7	16.4%	9.3%	7.2%	3.9%	6.27	5.23	-0.7
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	27	137	27	15	8	5%	1.2	13.6%	11.6%	2.0%	6.6%	9.22	7.07	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	27	137	27	15	8	5%	1.2	13.6%	11.6%	2.0%	6.6%	9.22	7.07	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	27	137	27	15	8	5%	1.2	19.7%	10.9%	8.8%	5.8%	9.22	6.58	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			34	13	113	500	100	37	21	38%	3.3	20.0%	7.4%	12.6%	4.2%	5.51	4.73	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	OAK	13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.6%	10.2%	3.6%	4.83	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	157	0	164	695	133	68	27	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.9%	9.2%	3.8%	5.07	5.23	-1.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	OAK	146	0	153	648	119	66	26	0%	1.1	18.4%	10.2%	8.1%	4.1%	5.30	5.46	-1.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	57	0	60	253	48	25	10	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.9%	9.2%	3.8%	5.07	5.23	-0.5
2028	31	MLB CTX	OAK	81	0	85	359	66	37	15	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.2%	8.1%	4.1%	5.30	5.46	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	13	258	1112	214	99	45	8%	1.5	19.3%	8.9%	10.4%	4.1%	5.34	4.83	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		134	10	200	863	166	77	35	8%	1.5	19.3%	8.9%	10.4%	4.1%	5.34	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		174	79	538	2370	440	204	93	45%	3.1	18.6%	8.6%	10.0%	3.9%	5.16	4.77	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	29	200	882	164	76	35	45%	3.1	18.6%	8.6%	10.0%	3.9%	5.16	4.77	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adrián Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	19.8%	9.6%	3.6%	—	5.34	18.7%	8.7%	318	+0.32	—	—	—
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	72
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	29	SW	3.97	15.3%	8.5%	2.0%	.316	3.74	17.1%	8.5%	348	-0.23	3.13	593	71
Seth Simmons R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	28	SW	4.27	18.1%	8.1%	3.0%	.262	6.20	13.3%	2.4%	54	+1.93	3.07	251	68
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	66
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	66
Aaron Brooks R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.0%	7.1%	3.9%	.281	4.38	15.8%	8.8%	70	-0.34	3.71	879	65
Scott Carroll R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	30	SW	3.92	12.7%	7.7%	1.7%	.286	5.07	11.2%	2.6%	128	+1.15	3.92	248	64
Burch Smith R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	29	SW	3.96	22.6%	12.3%	2.2%	.271	4.19	14.9%	9.0%	43	+0.23	3.50	382	64
Daniel McCutchen R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	32	SP-	4.30	13.9%	4.4%	3.3%	.268	4.74	10.8%	4.9%	155	+0.44	4.30	287	64
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	63
Joel De La Cruz R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	14.4%	8.6%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	205	62
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	62
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	62
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	62
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	61
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	60
Mike Bolsinger R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	29	SW	4.26	20.2%	9.4%	3.0%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	327	60
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	59
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	59
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	59

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	164	19.1%	9.9%	1.49	5.06
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47