Jhonny Chaparro — OGILVIE

Jhonny ChaparroC DSL Cardinals

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	85	65	13	1	1	0	15	8	3	1	1	200	373	246	620	46	220	9	18	300	89	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	85	71	11	1	1	0	9	12	3	1	1	155	277	197	474	42	172	14	11	220	35	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	85	71	11	1	1	0	9	12	3	1	1	155	277	197	474	42	180	14	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	85	65	13	1	1	0	15	8	3	1	1	200	373	246	620	46	220	9	18	300	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	85	73	11	1	1	0	9	12	3	1	1	151	277	192	469	41	172	14	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	85	73	11	1	1	0	9	12	3	1	1	151	277	192	469	41	172	14	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	STL	—	98	90	16	3	1	1	7	27	0	0	0	178	237	267	504	89	238	28	7	214	31	-8	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	STL	—	98	85	21	4	1	1	12	19	0	0	0	247	340	353	693	106	303	19	12	314	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	STL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		278	22	11	258	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	STL	—	107	98	17	3	1	1	8	29	0	0	0	173	236	255	491	82	232	27	7	218	33	-8	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	34%	168	151	32	5	1	2	13	43	2	1	1	212	283	298	581	86	280	26	8	268	68	-6	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	48%	307	277	60	10	2	5	24	78	3	3	1	217	286	321	607	105	282	25	8	277	74	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	54%	411	371	82	14	3	7	33	103	4	4	1	221	292	332	623	111	284	25	8	283	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	57%	479	433	97	16	4	9	38	119	5	5	2	224	294	342	636	118	285	25	8	287	80	-11	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	57%	520	467	106	18	4	10	42	129	6	5	2	227	299	347	646	120	286	25	8	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	57%	520	467	107	18	4	11	42	128	6	5	2	229	301	355	656	126	286	25	8	291	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	520	467	107	18	4	11	42	128	6	5	2	229	301	355	656	126	286	25	8	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	520	466	106	17	4	11	43	129	6	5	2	227	301	352	653	124	286	25	8	292	84	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	520	466	105	17	4	11	43	129	6	5	2	225	299	350	649	124	285	25	8	291	83	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	58%	520	466	104	17	4	10	43	130	6	5	2	223	297	341	638	118	284	25	8	289	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	60%	520	467	104	17	4	10	43	132	5	5	2	223	295	340	636	118	283	25	8	286	80	-13	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	62%	504	452	98	16	3	9	42	129	5	5	2	217	291	325	616	108	281	26	8	282	77	-14	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	STL	63%	489	440	94	15	3	9	41	127	5	4	2	214	288	323	611	109	277	26	8	276	73	-16	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.0
2040	33	MLB MLE	STL	63%	447	403	84	13	3	7	37	119	4	4	1	208	282	308	589	99	273	27	8	270	69	-17	+0	-4	+8	+10	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	34%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	212	293	308	601	96	280	26	9	259	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	48%	149	134	29	5	1	2	12	38	2	1	0	216	291	313	604	97	282	26	8	267	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	54%	223	201	45	7	2	4	18	56	2	2	1	224	294	338	632	114	283	25	8	272	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	57%	271	244	54	9	2	5	22	67	3	3	1	221	294	336	630	115	284	25	8	276	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	57%	294	265	59	10	2	5	24	73	3	3	1	223	295	332	627	109	285	25	8	278	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	57%	294	265	60	10	2	6	24	73	3	3	1	226	298	347	645	121	285	25	8	280	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	294	265	60	10	2	6	24	73	3	3	1	226	298	347	645	121	285	25	8	281	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	288	259	59	10	2	6	24	71	3	3	1	228	301	351	652	124	285	25	8	281	84	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	285	256	56	9	2	5	24	71	3	3	1	219	293	328	621	109	284	25	8	280	83	-6	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	58%	302	271	60	10	2	6	25	76	3	3	1	221	294	339	634	118	283	25	8	278	82	-7	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	60%	313	281	62	10	2	6	26	79	3	3	1	221	294	335	628	114	282	25	8	275	80	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	62%	311	279	60	10	2	5	26	80	3	3	1	215	289	319	608	104	280	26	8	271	77	-9	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	STL	63%	307	275	58	9	2	5	26	80	3	3	1	211	286	313	599	102	277	26	8	266	73	-10	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	STL	63%	284	256	53	8	2	4	23	75	3	2	1	207	280	301	581	94	273	26	8	260	69	-11	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3673	3303	726	119	25	66	303	927	38	36	12	220	293	331	624	111	284	25	8	274	78	-92	+2	-9	+66	+80	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	21	4	12	54	164	7	6	2	219	293	330	623	111	282	25	8	274	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6539	5872	1298	212	48	122	536	1637	72	62	25	221	294	336	630	115	283	25	8	284	78	-162	+3	-15	+115	+140	8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	21	5	12	53	163	7	6	2	221	293	336	629	115	283	25	8	284	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.6	3,750	71	35	222	291	338	+67	+36	7.4	6.3
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+6.4	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonny Chaparro (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/272/289	83	278	1	1	26%	8%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→50	49→40	45	196/264/278	82	269	6	5	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/286/292	92	306	7	4	34%	10%	68	-1.0	189/297/321	132	304	15	2	39%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	44	37→55	49→50	47	210/269/289	79	269	4	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	208/258/305	97	283	7	9	27%	6%	58	-1.7	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	56	-1.9	199/300/314	115	273	13	6	30%	9%	79	-0.2	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	44	41→45	46→45	43	211/283/321	110	282	7	6	26%	6%	73	-0.6	197/255/304	107	263	9	6	27%	5%	58	-1.7	132/175/242	109	157	14	3	27%	3%	12	-1.3
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/295	89	268	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/258/303	96	280	7	7	27%	6%	58	-1.7	218/275/359	140	283	14	8	27%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	47	-2.6	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	38	36→55	53→50	41	181/253/249	68	278	3	8	34%	7%	45	-2.7	199/265/293	94	283	4	9	29%	7%	58	-1.7	197/264/318	122	274	4	11	28%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→52	38→50	52→40	41	203/259/295	92	291	4	6	30%	6%	56	-1.9	225/288/338	113	293	9	5	24%	8%	77	-0.3	218/284/357	138	259	16	3	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps