Jhonny Chaparro — OGILVIE

Jhonny ChaparroC DSL Cardinals

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 176 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 32 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .281 / .241

PA32

HR0

K%25

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO34

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$36M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	85	71	11	1	1	0	9	12	3	1	1	155	277	197	474	42	180	14	11	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	85	65	13	1	1	0	15	8	3	1	1	200	373	246	620	46	220	9	18	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	STL	—	45	40	8	3	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	200	273	275	548	75	286	29	9	234	37	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
YTD	19	ROK	STL	—	45	38	10	4	0	0	6	9	0	0	0	263	364	368	732	105	333	20	13	328	109	+0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	19	ROK	STL	0%	32	29	6	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	207	281	241	523	34	288	25	9	267	63	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	19	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	259	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	STL	—	45	41	8	3	0	0	4	13	0	0	0	195	273	268	541	73	276	29	9	234	37	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
TOT	19	ROK	STL	—	77	69	14	4	0	0	7	21	0	0	0	203	276	261	537	58	286	27	9	248	48	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	STL	34%	168	150	33	6	1	2	14	41	2	1	1	220	295	313	609	93	288	24	8	276	69	-6	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2028	21	MLB	STL	48%	307	275	62	12	2	4	25	74	4	3	1	225	299	327	627	102	290	24	8	283	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.6
2029	22	MLB	STL	54%	411	369	84	16	3	6	34	99	5	4	1	228	301	336	638	108	291	24	8	288	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.0
2030	23	MLB	STL	57%	479	430	99	19	3	8	40	114	6	4	1	230	305	344	649	114	292	24	8	292	82	-10	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.3
2031	24	MLB	STL	57%	520	465	107	20	3	9	43	124	7	5	2	230	305	344	649	114	293	24	8	294	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2032	25	MLB	STL	57%	520	465	107	20	3	9	43	123	7	5	2	230	305	344	649	114	293	24	8	296	84	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2033	26	MLB	STL	56%	520	465	107	20	3	9	43	123	7	5	2	230	305	344	649	114	293	24	8	297	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2034	27	MLB	STL	55%	520	464	107	20	3	9	44	124	7	5	2	231	307	345	652	114	293	24	8	297	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2035	28	MLB	STL	59%	520	464	106	20	3	9	44	125	7	4	2	228	305	343	648	114	292	24	8	296	84	-9	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2036	29	MLB	STL	61%	520	464	106	20	3	9	45	126	6	4	1	228	305	343	648	114	291	24	9	294	83	-10	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2037	30	MLB	STL	62%	520	464	106	20	3	9	45	127	6	4	1	228	305	343	648	114	290	24	9	291	81	-11	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2038	31	MLB	STL	63%	504	450	101	19	3	8	43	125	6	3	1	224	301	333	634	109	288	25	9	287	78	-13	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.8
2039	32	MLB	STL	64%	489	438	96	18	3	7	42	123	6	2	1	219	296	322	618	103	284	25	9	281	73	-15	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.4
2040	33	MLB	STL	65%	447	401	85	15	2	6	38	115	5	2	1	212	288	304	593	92	280	26	9	274	68	-16	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.0
2041	34	MLB	STL	60%	391	351	72	12	2	5	33	103	4	1	0	205	281	293	574	88	274	26	8	266	62	-17	+0	-5	+7	+11	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	STL	34%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	212	293	308	601	96	288	24	9	267	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB	STL	48%	149	134	30	6	1	2	12	36	2	1	0	224	297	328	626	104	290	24	8	274	68	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB	STL	54%	223	200	45	9	1	3	18	53	3	2	1	225	299	325	624	100	291	24	8	279	72	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	23	MLB	STL	57%	271	244	56	11	2	4	22	65	3	2	1	230	301	340	641	111	292	24	8	283	74	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	24	MLB	STL	57%	294	264	60	11	2	5	24	70	4	3	1	227	301	341	642	114	293	24	8	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB	STL	57%	294	264	60	11	2	5	24	70	4	3	1	227	301	341	642	114	293	24	8	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	26	MLB	STL	56%	294	263	60	11	2	5	25	70	4	3	1	228	305	342	647	114	293	24	9	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	27	MLB	STL	55%	288	258	59	11	2	5	24	69	4	3	1	229	304	345	649	116	292	24	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2035	28	MLB	STL	59%	307	274	63	12	2	5	26	74	4	3	1	230	306	343	649	113	292	24	8	286	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+9	0.6
2036	29	MLB	STL	61%	317	283	64	12	2	5	27	77	4	2	1	226	303	336	638	110	291	24	9	284	76	-9	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2037	30	MLB	STL	62%	324	289	65	12	2	5	28	79	4	2	1	225	302	332	634	107	290	24	9	281	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2038	31	MLB	STL	63%	318	284	64	12	2	5	27	79	4	2	1	225	302	335	636	109	287	25	8	277	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2039	32	MLB	STL	64%	311	277	61	11	2	5	27	78	4	2	1	220	299	329	627	108	284	25	9	272	66	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.0
2040	33	MLB	STL	65%	291	261	56	10	2	4	25	75	3	1	0	215	291	314	605	100	280	26	9	266	62	-13	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.2
2041	34	MLB	STL	60%	237	212	43	7	1	3	20	62	3	1	0	203	281	288	569	85	274	26	8	257	55	-12	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3976	3560	797	148	25	62	334	971	51	31	11	224	300	332	631	108	289	24	8	279	72	-126	+2	-12	+71	+113	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	24	4	10	55	159	8	5	2	223	299	330	629	107	288	24	8	279	72	-21	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	6953	6215	1395	259	41	109	588	1686	88	53	20	224	301	332	632	107	288	24	8	288	78	-171	+3	-20	+124	+197	13.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	130	24	4	10	55	158	8	5	2	224	300	330	630	107	288	24	8	288	78	-16	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	85	65	13	1	1	0	15	8	3	1	1	200	373	246	620	46	220	9	18	300	88	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,052	65	30	227	299	337	+72	+40	8.5	7.2
	/162	664	11	5	227	299	337	+11.9	+6.6	1.4	pk7: 6
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonny Chaparro (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	203/276/261	58	286	0	0	27%	9%	48	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Carlos Soto 2017 · A	18	47	38→50	48→30	54	221/304/300	79	282	5	4	22%	10%	72	-0.2	200/263/275	75	270	6	3	26%	7%	48	-1.9	169/254/290	121	232	12	0	31%	9%	48	-0.7
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2023 · A	20	43	36→45	47→40	54	196/312/270	74	246	3	7	19%	10%	71	-0.3	190/286/298	108	283	10	4	34%	9%	66	-0.6	174/281/288	113	266	12	2	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	48	38→30	43→45	51	224/306/303	80	299	4	6	25%	10%	74	-0.1	219/319/282	63	283	2	7	20%	12%	74	-0.1	214/326/298	84	277	4	4	21%	12%	79	+0.1
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Francisco Arcia 2008 · A	18	43	41→40	50→40	46	207/290/314	107	281	7	7	27%	8%	70	-0.3	201/266/294	93	256	7	5	23%	7%	54	-1.4	216/262/296	80	279	7	1	24%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→40	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	85	+0.7	215/317/292	77	291	4	7	25%	10%	77	+0.1	211/334/282	71	273	4	7	21%	12%	79	+0.1
●Josh Thole 2006 · A	19	46→56	37→40	47→45	53	218/297/291	73	256	5	5	16%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/293	66	286	3	4	20%	7%	64	-0.8	281/343/378	97	316	5	4	12%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Ramón Rodríguez 2018 · A	19	48	40	49→45	45	232/284/331	99	286	7	5	21%	6%	71	-0.3	212/263/280	68	261	4	4	19%	6%	48	-1.9	215/285/319	104	236	12	5	15%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	72	-0.2	201/244/277	76	295	6	5	32%	5%	39	-2.5	180/204/231	51	257	9	0	33%	2%	11	-0.8
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	45	40→45	49→40	45	213/288/309	96	295	6	7	28%	8%	68	-0.5	179/233/250	71	283	5	4	36%	5%	28	-3.2	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Yoandy Rea 2019 · A	19	50	37→40	45→40	45	231/293/316	85	277	2	5	16%	5%	71	-0.3	242/294/356	114	287	9	5	18%	5%	82	+0.5	289/333/469	179	306	22	3	14%	4%	124	+0.6
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	49→45	37→40	49→50	46	231/297/312	81	291	3	9	21%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/287	70	281	2	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	42	41→45	48→40	42	201/285/303	102	283	9	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	214/290/334	120	285	13	5	28%	8%	76	+0.0	213/279/330	117	277	14	2	27%	7%	69	-0.2