Andres Ortiz

P DSL Tigers 1

Age 20 RHP 6'6" / 195 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Tigers 1	14	9	30	5.34	3.92	15.6%	16.3%	—	K 10.6% · BB 20.4% · FIP 4.79
2026	19	ROKDSL Tigers 1	11	11	40	5.22	5.80	19.1%	18.0%	—	K 13.0% · BB 22.5% · FIP 7.38
2027PROJ	20	MLBDET	4	4	22	6.16	6.16	17.8%	19.9%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBDET	3	3	18	5.75	5.61	19.3%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJackson Fristoe (age 22) · Jefferson Jean (age 19) · Marlon Nieves (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.16

FIP6.16

K%17.8%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%-2.1%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	14	9	30	141	22	23	0	64%	2.2	10.6%	20.4%	-9.8%	0.0%	5.34	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	14	9	30	141	22	23	0	64%	2.2	10.6%	20.4%	-9.8%	0.0%	5.34	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	14	9	30	141	22	23	0	64%	2.2	15.6%	16.3%	-0.7%	0.0%	5.34	3.92	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	11	11	40	183	35	33	6	100%	3.6	13.0%	22.5%	-9.5%	4.6%	5.22	7.38	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	11	11	40	183	35	33	6	100%	3.6	13.0%	22.5%	-9.5%	4.6%	5.22	7.38	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	11	11	40	183	35	33	6	100%	3.6	19.1%	18.0%	1.1%	3.3%	5.22	5.80	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	DET	4	4	22	93	17	19	3	100%	5.5	17.8%	19.9%	-2.1%	3.0%	6.16	6.16	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	DET	7	7	38	158	30	27	5	100%	5.4	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	3.0%	5.75	5.61	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	DET	3	3	18	76	15	13	2	100%	6.0	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	3.0%	5.75	5.61	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	18	78	15	13	2	100%	4.6	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	3.0%	5.75	5.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	163	141	22	100%	4.9	19.3%	16.8%	2.5%	3.0%	5.75	5.22	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		25	20	70	324	39	70	8	80%	2.8	12.0%	21.6%	-9.6%	2.6%	5.27	6.25	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	57	200	926	111	200	24	80%	2.8	12.0%	21.6%	-9.6%	2.6%	5.27	6.25	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andres Ortiz (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.16	17.8%	19.9%	3.0%	—	5.61	19.3%	2.5%	38	-0.55	—	—	—
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	87
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	85
Marlon Nieves R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	19	SP	5.63	17.9%	20.0%	2.8%	.300	4.19	18.6%	1.2%	134	-1.44	3.82	187	84
Ismael Agreda R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SP-	5.28	17.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.269	4.71	21.1%	6.1%	178	-0.57	3.35	272	84
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	83
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	83
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	82
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	82
Jhonly Taveras R 2024 · 6.59 FIP	19	SP	6.59	13.0%	27.1%	2.1%	.311	5.00	12.1%	-11.0%	34	-1.59	5.00	133	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	81
Gage Stanifer R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	20	SP	5.65	17.2%	21.4%	2.4%	.318	3.96	26.2%	11.6%	199	-1.69	2.85	301	81
Omar Victorino R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	19	SP-	5.88	19.5%	30.3%	1.1%	.302	5.30	13.2%	-5.7%	97	-0.58	5.26	182	80
Marlon De La Cruz R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	18	SP	5.31	17.1%	20.9%	1.8%	.306	5.34	13.8%	-6.9%	101	+0.03	4.35	140	80
Dylan Questad R 2024 · 6.95 FIP	19	SP-	6.95	17.6%	24.0%	4.2%	.392	6.50	17.3%	-5.3%	89	-0.45	6.31	117	80
Jorge Bautista R 2021 · 6.09 FIP	20	SP	6.09	13.1%	16.5%	3.6%	.297	4.86	16.8%	7.5%	231	-1.23	3.80	336	80
Justin Lange R 2022 · 5.00 FIP	20	SP	5.00	20.2%	21.8%	1.5%	.303	4.73	24.7%	5.9%	85	-0.27	4.55	144	80
Luis Ghisays R 2024 · 5.74 FIP	18	SP	5.74	13.8%	15.0%	3.5%	.291	5.08	16.2%	5.4%	75	-0.66	4.58	110	80
Moises Nova R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	20	SP	5.61	14.2%	16.8%	2.9%	.263	4.05	18.3%	4.2%	110	-1.56	3.42	219	80
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	18.7%	17.9%	1.15	5.90
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*