Luis Reyes

P DSL Astros Orange

Age 20 LHP 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

Scout OFP45ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	14	5	37	5.35	4.67	15.3%	18.8%	—	K 10.4% · BB 23.4% · FIP 5.48
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	26	0	27	5.96	5.96	17.8%	18.7%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	16	0	17	5.59	5.45	19.2%	15.9%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control45

CompsBryce Hubbart (age 22) · Colby Langford (age 22) · Roberto Medina (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130138vR 146

ERA5.96

FIP5.96

K%17.8%

BB%18.7%

K-BB%-0.9%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF—50

CTRL—45

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	14	5	37	176	27	33	1	36%	2.6	10.4%	23.4%	-13.0%	0.5%	5.35	5.48	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	14	5	37	176	27	33	1	36%	2.6	10.4%	23.4%	-13.0%	0.5%	5.35	5.48	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	14	5	37	176	27	33	1	36%	2.6	15.3%	18.8%	-3.4%	0.6%	5.35	4.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	26	0	27	114	20	21	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	18.7%	-0.9%	2.9%	5.96	5.96	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	33	0	35	148	28	23	4	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.59	5.45	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	16	0	17	72	14	11	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.59	5.45	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	73	14	12	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.59	5.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	139	23	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.9%	3.4%	2.9%	5.59	5.07	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		14	5	37	176	18	41	1	36%	2.6	10.4%	23.4%	-13.0%	0.5%	5.35	5.48	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	27	200	951	99	223	5	36%	2.6	10.4%	23.4%	-13.0%	0.5%	5.35	5.48	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.96	17.8%	18.7%	2.9%	—	5.45	19.2%	3.4%	35	-0.51	—	—	—
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	83
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	83
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	82
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	81
Joseph Herrera L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	18	SW	5.50	13.0%	20.5%	1.6%	.325	5.55	13.6%	-4.1%	67	+0.05	4.67	105	80
Oriel Castro L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	20	SW	4.95	19.6%	19.0%	2.0%	.390	5.41	16.3%	-0.1%	41	+0.46	4.63	129	79
Brayan Restituyo L 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.397	4.46	18.4%	6.3%	144	-0.35	3.66	239	79
Roberth Fernandez L 2015 · 5.66 FIP	20	SW	5.66	11.4%	16.2%	2.7%	.356	4.92	14.7%	6.3%	60	-0.74	4.92	103	79
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	79
Javier Navas L 2017 · 6.10 FIP	19	SW	6.10	11.1%	19.7%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	103	78
Alvaro Gamez L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	19	SW	5.50	13.2%	21.0%	1.6%	.278	7.06	15.0%	-9.3%	21	+1.56	4.57	115	78
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	74
Julian Smith L 2019 · 4.79 FIP	22	SW	4.79	14.5%	17.4%	1.3%	.399	5.33	17.9%	5.8%	110	+0.54	2.87	189	74
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	74
Jose Rengel L 2024 · 4.97 FIP	18	SW	4.97	13.4%	19.4%	1.0%	.340	5.07	13.4%	-0.0%	46	+0.10	3.33	132	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	74
Gabriel Cotto L 2019 · 5.98 FIP	19	SW	5.98	11.3%	18.4%	2.8%	.309	5.15	18.5%	2.4%	113	-0.83	5.02	236	74
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	73
Salvador Montano L 2015 · 5.23 FIP	21	SP-	5.23	11.5%	15.9%	2.0%	.301	4.65	21.3%	-0.0%	71	-0.58	4.44	116	73
Yenfri Sosa L 2024 · 6.08 FIP	20	SU	6.08	19.0%	21.3%	3.4%	.309	4.41	21.7%	7.4%	38	-1.67	2.49	128	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	18.6%	17.1%	1.13	5.75
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*