Nick Becker

SS ACL Mariners
Age 20 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP40OGV rank#383ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202518AModesto Nuts28.208/.321/.2080227—.160/.250/.160
202619A/ROKSEA365.238/.406/.37554650—.150/.282/.228
2027PROJMLE20MLBSEA475.203/.292/.307712720.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBSEA112.206/.296/.32123780.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBSEA198.211/.300/.33445830.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$4M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%92
Chase%90
Speed70
wOBA20
wRC+18
K%18
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%
CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 20) · Masyn Winn (age 20) · Jett Williams (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .290 / .305
PA210
HR3
SB5
K%30
BB%10
ISO105
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.70.80.90.80.70.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Arb-1$4M+0.8$2M+$0.1M
2035Arb-2$6M+0.7$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-3$7M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $7M $11M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202518 AModesto Nuts — 2824 5000 490 20 208321208530 333 3214 261 27 — — — — — —
202619 AInland Empire 66ers — 12898 17400 24403 142 173349214563 41283 3119 280 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Mariners — 237179 491335 46828 322 274436464900 190473 3519 402 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202518 A MLEModesto Nuts — 2825 4000 3120 20 160250160410 324 4311 208 27 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEInland Empire 66ers — 128106 14300 17543 142 132270160430 28261 4213 219 34 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 237200 32823 281188 322 160288265553 105352 5012 255 59 — — — — — —
202518 A MLEModesto Nuts — 2825 4000 3120 20 160250160410 308 4311 208 27 — — — — — —
202518 A RAWModesto Nuts — 2824 5000 490 20 208321208530 333 3214 261 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 365306 471123 4517211 464 154285232517 78328 4712 242 50 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 365277 661735 7012211 464 238406375782 137399 3319 359 50 — — — — — —
202518 A MLEModesto Nuts — 2825 4000 3120 20 160250160410 324 4311 208 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 365306 471123 4517211 464 154285232517 78320 4712 242 50 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202518 A MLEModesto Nuts — 2825 4000 3120 20 160250160410 324 4311 208 27 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 365306 471123 4517211 464 154285232517 78320 4712 242 50 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLESEA 0% 475419 851637 471446 122 203292307599 105286 3010 275 72 -16 +2 -0 +5 +10 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLESEA 34% 325286 591126 32964 81 209298325623 117288 3010 284 78 -8 +1 -0 +3 +7 0.3
202922 MLB MLESEA 48% 408359 761429 401196 102 213302339641 126289 2910 291 83 -8 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.7
203023 MLB MLESEA 54% 455401 8816311 451306 112 217305350655 133290 2910 296 87 -7 +1 +1 +5 +10 1.0
203124 MLB MLESEA 55% 505444 9918313 491427 122 220308358666 138291 2810 301 90 -6 +2 +1 +5 +11 1.3
203225 MLB MLESEA 56% 530466 10419314 521487 132 222309364673 142291 2810 303 91 -5 +2 +1 +6 +11 1.5
203326 MLB MLESEA 56% 541476 10519314 531517 132 223309366675 143291 2810 304 92 -5 +2 +1 +6 +12 1.6
203427 MLB MLESEA 55% 541476 10519314 531527 132 222309363672 141291 2810 302 91 -6 +2 +1 +6 +12 1.5
203528 MLB MLESEA 55% 536472 10419314 521517 122 220307359665 139290 2810 300 89 -7 +2 +1 +6 +12 1.3
203629 MLB MLESEA 53% 523461 10118313 511496 112 218304353656 135288 2810 296 87 -8 +1 -0 +6 +11 1.0
203730 MLB MLESEA 53% 510450 9818312 491476 102 215301345646 130287 2910 292 84 -10 +1 -1 +5 +11 0.7
203831 MLB MLESEA 52% 493437 9217211 471446 82 211296336631 125284 2910 286 80 -12 +1 -2 +5 +11 0.3
203932 MLB MLESEA 56% 472419 8615210 451405 73 206290324614 118280 3010 279 75 -14 +0 -2 +5 +10 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXSEA 34% 11298 21412 11332 31 206296321617 114285 2910 282 78 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.1
202922 MLB CTXSEA 48% 198174 37714 19583 51 211300334635 123286 2910 288 83 -4 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203023 MLB CTXSEA 54% 247218 47916 24713 61 215303345648 130287 2910 294 87 -4 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203124 MLB CTXSEA 55% 280247 551027 27794 71 218306353659 135288 2810 298 90 -3 +1 +1 +3 +6 0.7
203225 MLB CTXSEA 56% 297262 581127 29834 71 220307359666 138289 2810 300 91 -3 +1 +1 +3 +6 0.8
203326 MLB CTXSEA 56% 304267 601128 30854 71 220307360668 140288 2810 301 92 -3 +1 +1 +3 +7 0.9
203427 MLB CTXSEA 55% 299264 591128 29844 71 219307358664 138288 2810 300 91 -3 +1 +1 +3 +6 0.8
203528 MLB CTXSEA 55% 294259 561027 29834 61 218305353658 136287 2810 297 89 -4 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.7
203629 MLB CTXSEA 53% 279247 531017 27803 61 215302347649 132286 2910 294 87 -4 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.5
203730 MLB CTXSEA 53% 268237 50916 26773 51 213299340639 127284 2910 289 84 -5 +1 -0 +3 +6 0.4
203831 MLB CTXSEA 52% 257227 48916 25753 41 209294331625 122281 2910 284 80 -6 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.2
203932 MLB CTXSEA 56% 265235 48915 25793 42 204288319607 115278 309 277 75 -8 +0 -1 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 31002735 5921101773 30188740 6713 216303349652 133290 2910 293 83 -51 +8 +1 +33 +67 6.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 12423415 631868 143 216302349651 133291 2910 293 83 -11 +2 +0 +7 +14 1.3
Career— MLE — 64425662 120522135147 637191788 18129 213302342644 129291 3010 291 83 -104 +17 +1 +65 +131 11.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12222415 641939 183 214303345648 131292 3010 291 83 -11 +2 +0 +7 +14 1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Mariners · 237 PAwOBA .394 → .255 (−139)K% 34.6% → 49.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.60%÷1.000×1.440——49.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.41%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99511.97%
HBP% /PA3.38%—×0.720—×0.9952.42%
Singles /BIP28.87%÷1.000×0.820×0.968×0.99522.80%
Doubles /BIP13.40%÷1.000×0.720×0.968×0.9959.29%
Triples /BIP3.09%÷1.000×0.720×0.968×0.9952.14%
Home runs /BIP5.15%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9954.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .394 → .255; ISO .190 → .121; BABIP .473 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AInland Empire 66ers · 128 PAwOBA .279 → .219 (−60)K% 31.2% → 42.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷1.000×1.360——42.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.75%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03013.33%
HBP% /PA2.34%—×0.780—×1.0301.88%
Singles /BIP22.41%÷1.000×0.920×0.998×1.03021.19%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.000×0.830×0.998×1.0305.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.998×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .279 → .219; ISO .041 → .032; BABIP .283 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AModesto Nuts · 28 PAwOBA .256 → .208 (−48)K% 32.1% → 41.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.14%÷1.045×1.360——41.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.29%÷0.988×0.690—×1.04510.43%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷0.989×0.920—×1.04532.39%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.067×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.097×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.759×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 52, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 119, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .256 → .208; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).