Nick Becker — OGILVIE

Nick BeckerSS ACL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION223 act + 148 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .284 / .285

PA148

HR2

SB9

K%39

BB%10

BABIP311

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$39M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	3	11	0	2	0	160	250	160	410		286	39	11	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	28	24	5	0	0	0	4	9	0	2	0	208	321	208	530		333	32	14	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	223	189	30	7	2	3	27	112	6	29	2	159	284	265	548	106	360	50	12	252	51	-12	+5	+0	+2	+6	0.1
YTD	19	ROK	SEA	—	223	170	46	12	3	5	43	78	6	29	2	271	428	465	893	194	466	35	19	397	162	+16	+5	+0	+2	+6	3.0
ROS	19	ROK	SEA	0%	148	129	24	5	1	2	15	58	3	9	1	185	284	285	570	100	306	39	10	265	61	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	250	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	SEA	—	223	190	30	7	2	3	27	112	6	29	2	158	284	263	547	105	355	50	12	252	51	-12	+5	+0	+2	+6	0.1
TOT	19	ROK	SEA	—	371	318	54	12	3	5	42	170	9	38	3	169	284	273	557	104	336	46	11	257	55	-19	+6	+0	+4	+11	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	332	291	55	11	2	6	33	124	5	10	1	189	283	302	585	113	305	37	10	274	68	-12	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	435	382	76	15	3	9	43	157	7	12	1	199	292	325	616	126	305	36	10	282	74	-13	+2	+0	+5	+12	0.7
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	501	438	90	17	4	12	50	177	8	13	1	205	298	345	643	139	305	35	10	288	78	-12	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	540	473	98	19	4	13	54	188	8	14	1	207	299	347	646	140	306	35	10	291	81	-12	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	564	494	103	20	4	14	56	196	9	14	1	209	301	350	651	142	307	35	10	293	83	-11	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2032	25	MLB	SEA	57%	577	505	106	20	4	15	58	201	9	14	1	210	302	354	657	145	307	35	10	295	84	-11	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2033	26	MLB	SEA	56%	582	510	106	20	4	15	58	202	9	14	1	208	300	351	651	143	307	35	10	295	84	-10	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2034	27	MLB	SEA	55%	580	507	106	20	4	15	59	202	9	14	1	209	303	353	656	144	306	35	10	295	84	-10	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2035	28	MLB	SEA	55%	574	501	105	20	4	15	59	201	9	13	1	210	304	355	659	146	306	35	10	294	84	-11	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.4
2036	29	MLB	SEA	53%	564	492	101	19	4	14	58	198	9	13	1	205	301	346	646	140	305	35	10	293	82	-11	+2	-1	+6	+16	1.2
2037	30	MLB	SEA	53%	552	482	98	18	4	14	57	195	8	12	1	203	298	344	642	141	304	35	10	290	80	-12	+2	-2	+6	+16	0.9
2038	31	MLB	SEA	52%	538	470	94	18	3	13	55	192	8	11	1	200	295	334	629	134	302	36	10	286	77	-14	+2	-3	+6	+15	0.6
2027	20	MLB	SEA	34%	114	100	19	4	1	2	11	43	2	4	0	190	283	310	593	120	302	38	10	261	58	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	SEA	48%	211	185	36	7	1	4	21	76	3	6	1	195	287	308	595	114	302	36	10	268	64	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2029	22	MLB	SEA	54%	272	239	48	9	2	6	27	96	4	7	1	201	293	331	623	130	302	35	10	274	68	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2030	23	MLB	SEA	57%	306	268	54	10	2	7	30	107	5	8	1	201	294	332	626	131	303	35	10	277	70	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB	SEA	57%	319	279	58	11	2	8	32	111	5	8	1	208	301	348	648	140	304	35	10	279	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB	SEA	57%	326	285	58	11	2	8	33	113	5	8	1	204	297	340	638	137	304	35	10	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB	SEA	56%	329	288	59	11	2	8	33	114	5	8	1	205	298	340	638	135	304	35	10	281	73	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB	SEA	55%	322	281	58	11	2	8	33	112	5	8	1	206	301	345	646	139	304	35	10	281	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2035	28	MLB	SEA	55%	315	275	57	11	2	8	32	110	5	7	1	207	301	349	650	142	303	35	10	280	73	-10	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.3
2036	29	MLB	SEA	53%	302	263	53	10	2	7	31	106	5	7	1	202	298	335	632	133	302	35	10	279	71	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2037	30	MLB	SEA	53%	291	255	52	10	2	7	30	103	4	6	1	204	298	341	639	137	301	35	10	276	70	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2038	31	MLB	SEA	52%	281	246	49	9	2	7	29	100	4	6	1	199	294	337	631	138	299	36	10	273	67	-11	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3388	2965	601	114	22	80	342	1191	52	83	11	203	296	337	633	134	304	35	10	277	70	-114	+12	-3	+36	+96	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	115	22	4	15	66	228	10	16	2	202	297	334	631	132	303	35	10	277	70	-22	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6515	5699	1166	222	45	157	658	2302	101	165	13	205	298	342	640	137	308	35	10	290	80	-148	+28	-6	+70	+185	13.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	116	22	4	16	66	230	10	16	1	204	298	341	639	137	307	35	10	290	80	-15	+3	-1	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	28	24	5	0	0	0	4	9	0	2	0	208	321	208	530		333	32	14	261	58	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,494	86	86	206	295	345	+37	+7	7.1	6.2
	/162	664	16	16	206	295	345	+7.1	+1.4	1.4	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Becker (OGILVIE)	19	20→47	30→50	60→58	52	169/284/273	104	336	5	38	46%	11%	55	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	40→50	57→55	42	201/257/293	92	281	6	22	30%	7%	50	-1.8	232/286/367	135	290	12	21	23%	7%	82	+0.5	254/312/374	120	299	11	11	18%	7%	92	+1.0
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	40→47	41→55	54→60	38	186/258/282	96	310	8	10	40%	7%	49	-1.8	171/260/277	106	355	10	21	50%	8%	49	-1.8	203/276/380	177	287	24	34	36%	7%	80	+0.2
●Lewis Brinson 2013 · A	19	41→51	44→55	56→50	34	198/246/326	128	318	10	12	39%	5%	54	-1.4	199/253/330	131	332	14	13	42%	6%	58	-1.2	232/284/407	175	291	20	17	27%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Sean Henry 2006 · A	20	42→52	43→50	55	42	204/270/313	108	299	11	15	34%	8%	61	-1.0	227/282/354	127	289	11	19	24%	6%	76	+0.1	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→55	40→45	53→50	44	216/279/314	98	304	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	199/257/288	89	280	6	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	277	6	19	20%	7%	66	-0.6	232/302/304	72	281	5	22	18%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→49	37→45	60→50	41	210/271/293	83	300	4	18	30%	6%	56	-1.3	213/257/291	78	286	5	11	26%	4%	49	-1.8	254/306/422	168	324	18	9	26%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	40→50	41→50	47→55	38	197/248/296	99	280	8	13	32%	5%	46	-2.0	223/270/347	124	311	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	43	43→50	54→45	40	209/265/321	112	301	11	10	33%	6%	60	-1.0	173/235/266	93	312	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8