Nick Becker — OGILVIE

Nick BeckerSS ACL Mariners

Age 19 R/R 6'4" / 190 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP300

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	28	24	5	0	0	0	4	9	0	2	0	208	321	208	530		333	32	14	261	63	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	3	12	0	2	0	160	250	160	410		307	43	11	202	23	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	18	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	3	12	0	2	0	160	250	160	410		308	43	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	28	24	5	0	0	0	4	9	0	2	0	208	321	208	530		333	32	14	261	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	3	12	0	2	0	160	250	160	410		307	43	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	28	25	4	0	0	0	3	12	0	2	0	160	250	160	410		307	43	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	SEA	—	365	306	47	11	2	3	45	172	11	46	4	154	285	232	517	78	328	47	12	242	50	-22	+8	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	SEA	—	237	179	49	13	3	5	46	82	8	32	2	274	436	464	900	190	473	35	19	402	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	SEA	—	128	98	17	4	0	0	24	40	3	14	2	173	349	214	563	41	283	31	19	280	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		303	33	11	268	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	SEA	—	374	314	48	11	2	3	46	175	11	47	4	153	283	229	512	76	324	47	12	243	50	-22	+8	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	344	299	59	12	2	7	36	123	6	12	1	197	296	321	617	124	301	36	10	280	75	-10	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	445	387	78	15	2	10	47	153	8	13	2	202	301	328	629	127	301	34	11	289	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	508	441	92	18	3	12	53	170	9	14	2	209	306	345	651	136	302	33	10	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	545	474	99	19	3	14	57	180	9	14	2	209	306	350	656	141	302	33	10	299	89	-7	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	567	492	104	20	3	15	60	187	10	14	2	211	310	356	665	144	303	33	11	302	91	-6	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	579	503	108	21	3	16	61	190	10	14	2	215	312	364	676	149	303	33	11	304	92	-6	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	583	506	108	21	3	16	62	192	10	14	2	213	311	362	673	148	303	33	11	304	92	-5	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	581	504	107	21	3	16	62	192	10	14	2	212	311	361	672	149	303	33	11	305	92	-5	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	575	498	106	20	3	16	62	190	10	14	2	213	312	361	674	149	303	33	11	304	92	-6	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	564	488	103	20	3	15	61	188	10	13	1	211	311	357	668	145	302	33	11	302	91	-6	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	60%	553	478	100	19	3	15	60	186	10	12	1	209	310	356	666	146	301	34	11	299	89	-7	+2	-2	+6	+12	1.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	SEA	62%	538	466	96	18	3	14	58	182	9	11	1	206	306	348	653	142	299	34	11	296	86	-9	+2	-3	+6	+12	0.8
2039	32	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	519	449	90	17	2	13	56	178	9	10	1	200	302	334	636	134	295	34	11	290	83	-11	+2	-3	+6	+11	0.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	490	426	82	15	2	11	53	170	8	9	1	192	294	315	608	122	291	35	11	284	78	-13	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.1
2041	34	MLB MLE	SEA	59%	443	386	73	13	2	10	47	157	7	8	1	189	289	311	600	122	285	35	11	276	73	-14	+1	-5	+5	+10	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	118	103	20	4	1	2	12	42	2	4	0	194	291	311	601	117	298	36	10	264	75	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	216	187	37	7	1	5	23	74	4	7	1	198	299	326	625	128	299	34	11	273	82	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	276	240	51	10	2	7	29	93	5	8	1	212	310	358	669	146	299	34	11	280	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	308	268	57	11	2	8	32	102	5	8	1	213	308	358	666	146	299	33	10	284	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	321	278	58	11	2	8	34	106	6	8	1	209	308	349	657	140	300	33	11	286	91	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	327	283	60	11	2	9	35	108	6	8	1	212	312	360	672	148	300	33	11	288	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	329	285	60	11	2	9	35	108	6	8	1	211	310	358	668	147	300	33	11	289	92	-3	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	322	278	59	11	2	9	35	106	6	8	1	212	313	363	677	151	300	33	11	289	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	316	273	57	11	2	8	34	105	6	7	1	209	310	352	662	143	300	33	11	288	92	-3	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	328	283	60	11	2	9	36	109	6	7	1	212	314	360	674	148	299	33	11	286	91	-4	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.7
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	60%	333	288	60	11	2	9	36	112	6	7	1	208	309	354	663	146	298	34	11	284	89	-4	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2038	31	MLB CTX	SEA	62%	332	287	59	11	2	8	36	112	6	7	1	206	307	341	648	136	296	34	11	280	86	-5	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	326	282	56	10	2	8	35	112	6	7	1	199	300	333	634	135	293	34	11	275	83	-7	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.3
2040	33	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	311	269	52	10	1	7	34	108	5	6	1	193	295	316	611	123	288	35	11	269	78	-8	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.0
2041	34	MLB CTX	SEA	59%	261	227	42	7	1	6	28	92	4	5	1	185	286	304	590	119	283	35	11	261	73	-8	+1	-3	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4424	3831	788	147	26	112	474	1489	79	105	14	206	306	345	651	140	300	34	11	281	86	-70	+15	-11	+47	+96	7.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	116	22	4	16	70	219	12	15	2	206	307	345	652	139	301	34	11	281	86	-10	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7871	6830	1410	269	40	200	839	2653	135	189	23	206	305	345	651	139	301	34	11	296	86	-125	+28	-18	+84	+170	14.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	116	22	3	17	69	219	11	16	2	206	304	346	650	140	299	34	11	296	86	-10	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,537	115	108	208	303	348	+47	+9	11.5	9.4
/162	664	17	16	+6.8	+1.4	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Becker (OGILVIE)	19	20→47	30→50	60→58	52	184/287/284	100	303	2	8	38%	11%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	69	-0.9	238/288/366	128	310	12	12	26%	6%	84	+0.1	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→48	46→45	52→55	43	221/287/358	137	309	13	9	31%	8%	82	+0.0	212/317/339	127	293	12	16	29%	11%	90	+0.6	205/315/325	120	278	12	21	28%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→48	42→45	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/281/338	118	321	11	16	33%	7%	75	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2019 · A	20	48	42→45	52→50	43	226/288/345	119	321	8	10	30%	7%	79	-0.2	202/270/304	102	302	9	11	34%	7%	63	-1.3	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	216/279/314	98	304	7	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	204/259/293	89	287	6	10	29%	6%	56	-1.9	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	48→56	46→55	54→50	37	233/275/371	139	333	12	10	33%	5%	80	-0.2	187/231/278	91	295	8	8	37%	4%	42	-2.9	249/290/398	149	316	16	12	26%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→36	41→50	55	45	231/306/331	100	330	7	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	193/323/316	123	270	12	20	30%	11%	89	+0.5	189/341/340	151	235	17	19	25%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	63	-1.3	236/282/327	91	298	8	17	23%	5%	72	-0.7	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	55	216/324/330	114	293	8	18	27%	12%	91	+0.6	237/321/380	143	308	13	20	25%	10%	100	+1.3	237/324/389	152	306	14	21	25%	10%	100	+0.9
✕Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	45→54	46→45	52→40	49	225/297/363	139	266	12	6	20%	8%	87	+0.4	237/302/348	111	297	9	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	42→45	51→55	53	197/305/310	112	291	8	16	32%	12%	79	-0.2	210/302/306	96	297	6	20	28%	11%	76	-0.4	217/288/319	102	277	9	23	24%	8%	72	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps