Warren Calcaño

SS DSL Royals Ventura

Age 19 S/R 6'1" / 154 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1289ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	35	.346/.514/.538	1	7	92	—	.214/.371/.357
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	174	.271/.426/.383	1	18	59	—	.189/.314/.266
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBKC	284	.211/.293/.296	2	7	69	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	49	.214/.296/.305	0	1	74	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBKC	118	.217/.299/.314	1	3	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed95

BB%74

wOBA69

Chase%66

wRC+60

K%59

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuis Lara (age 19) · Cole Tucker (age 19) · Thayron Liranzo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .290 / .293

PA90

HR1

K%27

BB%9

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	26	9	2	0	1	8	10	1	7	1	346	514	538	1.053	192	533	29	23	468	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	174	133	36	6	3	1	33	34	3	18	4	271	426	383	809	113	350	20	19	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	28	6	1	0	1	6	12	1	7	1	214	371	357	729	143	326	34	17	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	174	143	27	4	2	1	23	41	3	18	4	189	314	266	579	77	237	24	13	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	28	6	1	0	1	6	12	1	7	1	214	371	357	729	143	333	34	17	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	26	9	2	0	1	8	10	1	7	1	346	514	538	1.053	192	533	29	23	468	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	174	143	27	4	2	1	23	41	3	18	4	189	314	266	579	77	252	24	13	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	174	133	36	6	3	1	33	34	3	18	4	271	426	383	809	113	350	20	19	364	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	28	6	1	0	1	6	12	1	7	1	214	371	357	729	143	326	34	17	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	174	146	27	4	2	1	23	41	3	18	4	185	314	260	574	75	237	24	13	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	28	6	1	0	1	6	12	1	7	1	214	371	357	729	143	326	34	17	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	174	146	27	4	2	1	23	41	3	18	4	185	314	260	574	75	237	24	13	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	284	253	53	9	3	2	26	76	3	7	1	211	293	296	588	85	288	27	9	270	69	-10	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	142	126	27	4	1	2	13	37	2	4	1	215	297	308	605	93	289	26	9	277	74	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	48%	244	216	47	8	2	3	23	63	3	6	1	218	301	318	619	100	291	26	9	283	77	-7	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	54%	355	315	70	12	3	5	33	91	4	8	2	221	304	327	631	106	292	26	9	287	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	57%	428	381	85	14	4	7	39	109	5	10	2	224	306	334	640	111	292	25	9	291	83	-9	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	474	421	95	16	4	8	44	119	6	11	2	226	307	341	648	115	293	25	9	294	85	-9	+1	+2	+5	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	501	444	101	17	4	9	46	126	6	11	2	226	308	342	650	116	293	25	9	294	85	-9	+1	+2	+5	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	516	457	104	18	4	9	48	130	6	12	2	226	308	342	650	116	293	25	9	294	85	-9	+2	+2	+6	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	520	461	104	18	4	9	48	132	6	12	2	225	307	340	646	114	293	25	9	293	84	-10	+2	+2	+6	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	516	457	101	17	4	8	48	132	6	11	2	224	305	335	640	112	292	26	9	290	83	-11	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	505	448	100	17	4	8	46	130	6	10	2	221	302	329	631	108	291	26	9	287	80	-12	+1	+1	+5	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	57%	493	440	96	16	4	7	45	129	5	9	2	218	299	322	621	103	289	26	9	283	77	-13	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	60%	477	426	91	15	4	6	43	127	5	8	2	214	294	312	606	98	286	27	9	277	73	-15	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	49	43	9	2	0	0	5	13	1	1	0	214	296	305	601	91	288	27	10	275	74	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	48%	118	105	22	4	1	1	11	31	1	3	1	217	299	314	614	98	289	26	9	280	77	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	54%	193	171	38	6	2	3	18	49	2	5	1	219	302	323	625	103	290	25	9	285	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	57%	242	215	48	8	2	4	22	61	3	6	1	222	304	329	633	108	291	25	9	288	83	-5	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	268	238	53	9	2	4	25	68	3	6	1	224	306	335	641	111	292	25	9	291	85	-5	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	283	252	57	10	3	4	26	71	3	6	1	224	306	336	642	112	292	25	9	291	85	-5	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	291	258	59	10	3	5	27	73	4	7	1	224	306	337	642	113	291	25	9	291	85	-5	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	288	256	58	10	3	5	27	73	3	6	1	223	305	334	639	111	291	25	9	290	84	-5	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	283	252	54	9	2	4	26	72	3	6	1	221	303	330	633	109	290	25	9	288	83	-6	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	270	240	52	9	2	4	25	70	3	5	1	219	300	324	625	105	289	26	9	284	80	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	57%	281	250	54	9	2	4	26	73	3	5	1	216	297	317	614	101	288	26	9	280	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	60%	284	253	54	9	2	4	26	75	3	5	1	213	292	308	600	96	285	26	9	274	73	-9	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2850	2533	558	95	24	42	264	729	32	61	11	220	302	326	628	106	291	26	9	286	80	-63	+8	+6	+31	+62	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	128	22	5	10	60	166	7	14	3	221	302	329	631	107	291	26	9	286	80	-14	+2	+1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5470	4844	1071	180	45	84	513	1402	65	139	27	221	304	329	633	108	291	26	9	287	80	-118	+14	+11	+56	+114	7.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	127	21	5	10	61	167	8	17	3	220	304	326	630	106	291	26	9	287	80	-15	+2	+1	+7	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 174 PAwOBA .360 → .256 (−105)K% 19.5% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.54%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	23.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.97%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	13.21%
HBP% /PA	1.72%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.20%
Singles /BIP	26.26%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.036	×0.995	18.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.06%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.036	×0.995	3.75%
Triples /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.036	×0.995	1.87%
Home runs /BIP	1.01%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.47%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .360 → .256; ISO .113 → .072; BABIP .350 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 35 PAwOBA .458 → .304 (−154)K% 28.6% → 34.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷1.023	×1.220	—	—	34.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.86%	÷0.974	×0.700	—	×1.008	16.55%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.01%
Singles /BIP	37.50%	÷1.083	×0.680	—	×1.008	23.72%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.965	×0.600	—	×1.008	7.83%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷0.936	×0.470	—	×1.008	3.16%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 105, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .458 → .304; ISO .192 → .110; BABIP .533 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,942	45	63	223	301	332	+32	+13	5.5	4.9
/162	664	10	14	+7.1	+2.9	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Warren Calcaño (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	209/290/293	84	288	1	2	27%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Cole Tucker 2015 · A	19	45→51	37→45	50→55	45	212/276/286	75	285	5	13	26%	7%	61	-1.5	233/279/311	78	310	4	18	24%	6%	67	-1.1	230/292/338	108	300	7	25	24%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A	19	40→45	39→40	50	47	192/277/282	90	267	6	15	28%	8%	61	-1.5	194/279/270	76	279	3	11	29%	8%	59	-1.6	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	44→54	36→40	54→65	49	204/291/273	69	274	2	21	24%	9%	65	-1.2	201/291/278	77	291	4	13	29%	10%	65	-1.2	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Leandro Arias 2024 · A	19	40→45	39→40	53→45	48	194/267/279	85	248	6	14	23%	8%	57	-1.8	205/275/282	77	269	6	8	24%	8%	61	-1.5	203/277/274	71	268	6	8	25%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	44→53	38→50	57→60	45	209/264/300	92	257	4	19	20%	6%	59	-1.6	242/290/382	140	307	10	20	23%	6%	88	+0.4	250/295/399	149	313	11	21	23%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1

Warren Calcaño

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps