Warren Calcaño — OGILVIE

Warren CalcañoSS DSL Royals Ventura

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 154 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION174 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP291

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-2	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$10M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	26	9	2	0	1	8	10	1	7	1	346	514	538	1.053	192	533	29	23	468	203	+4	+1	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	29	6	1	0	1	5	14	1	7	1	207	343	345	688	138	398	40	14	318	101	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	29	6	1	0	1	5	14	1	7	1	207	343	345	688	138	357	40	14	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	26	9	2	0	1	8	10	1	7	1	346	514	538	1.053	192	533	29	23	468	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	29	6	1	0	1	5	14	1	7	1	207	343	345	688	138	398	40	14	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	35	29	6	1	0	1	5	14	1	7	1	207	343	345	688	138	398	40	14	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	174	145	31	5	2	1	21	49	3	18	4	214	325	297	622	83	309	28	12	272	70	-6	+2	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	KC	—	174	133	36	6	3	1	33	34	3	18	4	271	426	383	809	113	350	20	19	364	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	KC	0%	16	14	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	143	250	143	393		293	25	12	278	74	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	KC	—	190	159	33	5	2	1	23	53	3	19	4	208	319	283	602	75	299	28	12	272	71	-7	+2	-0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	34%	226	199	43	7	2	3	22	60	3	6	1	216	304	317	620	101	293	27	10	285	79	-6	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	48%	357	315	70	12	3	6	34	93	5	9	2	222	308	337	644	114	295	26	10	292	84	-7	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.6
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	54%	454	400	90	15	4	8	44	117	7	11	2	225	313	343	655	118	295	26	10	297	87	-7	+1	-0	+5	+10	0.9
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	57%	522	459	106	18	5	10	50	133	8	12	2	231	317	357	675	126	296	25	10	300	89	-7	+2	-0	+6	+11	1.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	58%	567	499	114	19	5	11	55	144	8	13	2	228	315	353	668	124	297	25	10	302	91	-6	+2	-0	+6	+12	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	597	525	120	20	5	11	58	151	9	14	2	229	316	349	664	120	298	25	10	304	92	-6	+2	-0	+6	+13	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	614	540	125	21	6	12	60	155	9	14	3	231	319	359	678	128	298	25	10	304	92	-6	+2	-0	+7	+13	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	57%	621	547	126	21	6	12	60	157	9	14	3	230	317	356	673	126	298	25	10	305	92	-6	+2	-0	+7	+13	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	622	547	126	21	6	12	61	158	9	14	3	230	318	356	674	126	298	25	10	305	92	-6	+2	-0	+7	+13	1.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	617	542	124	21	5	12	61	157	9	14	2	229	317	352	669	124	297	25	10	304	92	-6	+2	-1	+7	+13	1.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	607	532	120	20	5	11	61	156	9	13	2	226	316	344	660	118	297	26	10	302	91	-7	+2	-2	+7	+13	1.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	597	523	119	20	5	11	60	155	9	13	2	228	318	348	666	120	296	26	10	300	89	-8	+2	-2	+6	+13	1.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	52%	582	511	114	19	5	10	58	153	8	12	2	223	312	339	651	115	294	26	10	296	86	-10	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.8
2040	32	MLB MLE	KC	52%	564	495	109	18	5	9	56	150	8	11	2	220	309	331	641	111	291	27	10	290	83	-12	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.4
2041	33	MLB MLE	KC	52%	534	469	100	16	4	8	53	145	7	10	2	213	302	316	618	102	287	27	10	284	78	-14	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.0
2042	34	MLB MLE	KC	47%	487	429	88	13	4	7	48	135	7	9	2	205	295	303	598	98	282	28	10	276	73	-16	+1	-5	+5	+11	-0.4
2027	19	MLB CTX	KC	34%	78	69	15	2	1	1	8	21	1	2	0	217	308	319	627	101	291	27	10	273	79	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	48%	173	152	35	6	2	3	17	45	2	4	1	230	316	355	671	125	292	26	10	279	84	-3	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	54%	246	216	48	8	2	4	24	63	4	6	1	222	311	333	645	111	293	26	10	283	87	-4	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	57%	295	261	59	10	3	5	28	75	4	7	1	226	311	345	655	119	294	25	9	286	89	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	58%	326	286	65	11	3	6	32	83	5	8	1	227	316	350	665	122	294	25	10	288	91	-4	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	340	299	67	11	3	6	33	86	5	8	1	224	312	341	653	117	295	25	10	289	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	348	306	69	12	3	6	34	88	5	8	1	225	313	343	656	118	295	25	10	290	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	57%	351	309	70	12	3	6	34	89	5	8	1	227	313	343	656	117	295	25	10	290	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	345	303	68	11	3	6	34	87	5	8	1	224	313	340	653	116	295	25	10	290	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	339	297	67	11	3	6	34	86	5	8	1	226	315	343	659	118	295	25	10	289	92	-3	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.8
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	325	285	65	11	3	6	32	83	5	7	1	228	317	351	668	123	294	26	10	288	91	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.7
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	314	275	61	10	3	5	31	81	5	7	1	222	312	335	646	113	293	26	10	285	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	52%	304	267	59	10	3	5	30	80	4	6	1	221	309	337	646	116	291	26	10	282	86	-5	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2040	32	MLB CTX	KC	52%	293	258	56	9	3	4	29	78	4	6	1	217	306	322	628	105	288	27	10	277	83	-6	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2041	33	MLB CTX	KC	52%	276	243	51	8	2	4	27	75	4	5	1	210	299	309	608	99	285	27	10	271	78	-7	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2042	34	MLB CTX	KC	47%	230	202	41	6	2	3	23	64	3	4	1	203	294	297	591	94	280	28	10	263	73	-7	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4583	4028	896	148	42	76	450	1184	66	102	15	222	311	337	647	114	294	26	10	284	88	-66	+14	-13	+49	+99	8.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	127	21	6	11	64	168	9	14	2	222	310	338	648	116	294	26	10	284	88	-9	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	8619	7575	1702	282	75	154	848	2237	125	197	35	225	313	343	656	118	296	26	10	298	88	-127	+24	-25	+92	+186	15.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	129	21	6	12	64	169	9	15	3	226	313	347	660	121	298	26	10	298	88	-10	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,661	83	104	226	310	345	+48	+17	12.3	10.0
/162	664	12	15	+6.9	+2.4	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Warren Calcaño (OGILVIE)	18	20→50	20→40	50→57	40	211/298/303	92	293	1	4	27%	10%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	208/298/282	74	292	3	17	27%	10%	69	-0.9	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Olvy Marte 2013 · A	18	46	36→40	49→55	44	213/288/277	65	286	3	18	25%	7%	64	-1.3	220/281/292	72	293	2	16	24%	6%	64	-1.3	224/283/295	71	296	1	19	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	237/285/325	88	280	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.6	271/325/356	85	309	2	3	12%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2010 · A	18	44→54	37→50	50	44	202/279/274	72	309	4	8	33%	9%	60	-1.6	234/303/297	63	303	2	10	22%	8%	74	-0.6	248/310/361	113	309	7	9	21%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	74	-0.6	226/277/349	123	297	11	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	42→46	42→45	51→55	53	197/305/310	112	291	8	16	32%	12%	79	-0.2	210/302/306	96	297	6	20	28%	11%	76	-0.4	217/288/319	102	277	9	23	24%	8%	72	-0.5
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→55	41	202/272/282	80	293	3	10	30%	6%	59	-1.6	220/300/318	98	281	6	11	23%	6%	78	-0.3	253/307/362	109	339	8	26	26%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→52	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	61	-1.5	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→51	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/307	86	277	4	15	20%	12%	81	-0.1	224/315/307	83	317	4	21	27%	12%	81	-0.1	223/313/312	89	304	7	28	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	53→55	45	210/278/331	121	275	12	11	28%	8%	73	-0.6	192/286/292	100	274	9	22	30%	11%	68	-1.0	183/281/318	135	255	15	31	32%	11%	70	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps