Mani Cedeno — OGILVIE

Mani CedenoSS DSL NYY Yankees

Age 17 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs ROK HR +8%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.3 · 2035

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .277 / .308

PA182

HR4

K%34

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

60→60

FLD

50→50

EYE

60↗65

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.3peak

2035

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.9	$38M	+$37M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.2	$43M	+$42M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+4.3	$45M	+$36M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+4.3	$46M	+$31M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$21M	+4.1	$45M	+$25M
Totals		$47M		$251M	+$204M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	213	183	18	3	2	2	24	112	6	21	2	.098	.225	.169	.395	.071	.232	53	11	.184	-1	-24	+3	+0	+2	+6	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	17	MLB	NYY	182	161	32	5	1	4	17	61	2	4	1	.199	.283	.317	.600	.118	.287	34	9	.269	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	18	MLB 7%	NYY	266	237	48	8	2	6	24	87	3	6	1	.203	.284	.329	.613	.127	.288	33	9	.275	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2028	19	MLB 18%	NYY	393	347	74	13	2	9	38	124	5	10	2	.213	.300	.340	.640	.127	.303	32	10	.294	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+11	1.0
2029	20	MLB 27%	NYY	490	430	96	16	3	13	50	150	7	14	3	.223	.314	.365	.679	.142	.309	31	10	.306	93	-4	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.7
2030	21	MLB 38%	NYY	563	490	112	19	3	16	60	168	8	16	4	.229	.323	.378	.700	.149	.310	30	11	.315	99	-1	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.4
2031	22	MLB 48%	NYY	616	534	124	21	4	18	68	179	9	17	4	.232	.329	.388	.717	.155	.310	29	11	.323	105	+4	+2	+0	+7	+17	3.0
2032	23	MLB 56%	NYY	653	564	133	22	4	21	74	187	10	17	4	.236	.335	.401	.736	.165	.310	29	11	.328	109	+7	+2	+0	+7	+19	3.5
2033	24	MLB 64%	NYY	677	583	138	23	4	22	79	192	10	18	4	.237	.338	.403	.741	.166	.311	28	12	.332	112	+10	+2	+0	+7	+19	3.9
2034	25	MLB 71%	NYY	690	592	141	23	4	23	82	194	11	18	3	.238	.342	.407	.749	.169	.311	28	12	.335	115	+12	+2	+0	+7	+20	4.2
2035	26	MLB 77%	NYY	695	596	141	23	4	23	83	196	11	17	3	.237	.341	.404	.745	.168	.312	28	12	.337	116	+13	+2	+0	+7	+20	4.3
2036	27	MLB 92%	NYY	694	594	141	23	4	23	84	196	11	17	3	.237	.343	.406	.748	.168	.312	28	12	.337	116	+13	+2	+0	+7	+20	4.3
2037	28	MLB	NYY	688	588	140	23	4	23	84	196	11	16	3	.238	.344	.408	.752	.170	.312	28	12	.336	115	+12	+2	-0	+7	+19	4.1
2038	29	MLB	NYY	677	579	136	22	4	22	83	195	10	16	2	.235	.341	.401	.741	.166	.311	29	12	.334	114	+11	+2	-1	+7	+19	3.9
2039	30	MLB	NYY	666	569	133	22	4	21	82	194	10	15	2	.234	.340	.397	.738	.163	.309	29	12	.331	111	+9	+2	-2	+7	+19	3.6
2040	31	MLB	NYY	652	557	127	21	3	20	80	192	10	14	1	.228	.335	.384	.720	.156	.308	29	12	.327	108	+6	+2	-2	+7	+18	3.2
2041	32	MLB	NYY	633	542	122	20	3	19	77	190	9	13	0	.225	.331	.378	.709	.153	.306	30	12	.322	105	+3	+3	-3	+7	+18	2.8
2042	33	MLB	NYY	604	517	115	18	3	18	73	185	9	12	0	.222	.329	.373	.702	.151	.305	31	12	.317	101	+0	+2	-4	+6	+17	2.3
2043	34	MLB	NYY	555	475	103	16	3	15	67	175	8	11	0	.217	.324	.358	.682	.141	.303	32	12	.310	96	-3	+2	-5	+6	+16	1.7
2044	35	MLB	NYY	497	427	90	14	2	13	60	162	7	11	0	.211	.318	.344	.662	.133	.301	33	12	.303	90	-6	+2	-5	+5	+14	1.1
2045	36	MLB	NYY	435	374	77	12	2	11	52	146	6	10	0	.206	.312	.337	.649	.131	.298	34	12	.294	83	-8	+2	-6	+5	+12	0.5
2046	37	MLB	NYY	369	318	62	9	2	8	43	128	5	8	0	.195	.301	.311	.612	.116	.294	35	12	.284	75	-10	+2	-7	+4	+10	-0.1
2047	38	MLB	NYY	298	258	48	7	1	6	34	105	4	6	0	.186	.291	.291	.581	.105	.289	35	11	.273	67	-11	+1	-7	+3	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			12206	10515	2351	383	68	356	1418	3714	182	307	42	.224	.326	.375	.701	.151	.307	30	12	.317	100	+7	+45	-38	+131	+346	50.0
/ 162G	—			650	560	125	20	4	19	76	198	10	16	2	.223	.327	.375	.702	.152	.306	30	12	.317	100	+0	+2	-2	+7	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	213	164	30	5	3	3	43	76	6	21	2	.183	.371	.305	.676	.122	.318	36	20	.324	106	+2	+3	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mani Cedeno (OGILVIE)	17	40	45	60	65	.195/.277/.308	.114	.287	4	4	34%	9%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	52→50	41	.218/.277/.333	.115	.291	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	.218/.286/.320	.102	.285	6	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Leo Balcazar 2022 · A	18	42→48	46→40	51→45	41	.209/.271/.341	.132	.294	13	11	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.274/.318	.103	.323	9	12	34%	6%	63	-0.8	.221/.269/.302	.081	.287	8	9	25%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	42→46	41→50	48→45	47	.202/.283/.303	.101	.271	9	13	27%	9%	65	-0.7	.209/.282/.326	.117	.298	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45	41→55	55	43	.216/.285/.315	.099	.290	7	13	27%	7%	68	-0.5	.204/.313/.323	.119	.295	10	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	.202/.308/.336	.135	.284	11	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→38	45→50	51→50	41	.206/.265/.330	.123	.286	12	10	31%	6%	63	-0.8	.179/.232/.274	.095	.315	9	12	43%	6%	34	-2.8	.159/.213/.235	.076	.282	8	15	44%	6%	16	-1.8
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	40→49	43→55	49→45	43	.200/.260/.310	.110	.274	11	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	.226/.280/.361	.135	.299	16	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	42	42→45	50→30	47	.200/.281/.306	.106	.296	9	6	33%	10%	64	-0.8	.208/.272/.296	.088	.261	6	3	21%	7%	56	-1.3	.212/.269/.300	.089	.261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	38→48	42→50	52→30	40	.190/.250/.299	.109	.265	10	10	31%	6%	49	-1.8	.194/.244/.301	.107	.299	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	.227/.278/.348	.120	.320	13	2	32%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	44→42	45→55	48→40	40	.212/.282/.337	.125	.313	13	7	35%	7%	73	-0.1	.198/.275/.323	.125	.300	13	5	36%	8%	66	-0.6	.194/.284/.363	.169	.278	23	2	37%	9%	78	+0.1
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	47→56	43→60	59→55	46	.228/.289/.349	.121	.291	8	9	24%	7%	77	+0.1	.249/.303/.399	.150	.321	15	8	26%	6%	97	+1.5	.288/.348/.497	.209	.353	27	29	25%	7%	136	+3.8
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	49→37	40→45	54→55	45	.229/.303/.328	.098	.328	7	17	30%	8%	79	+0.3	.197/.323/.323	.126	.275	12	20	30%	11%	89	+1.0	.179/.324/.312	.133	.244	14	22	29%	12%	86	+0.5
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	45	43→45	51→45	42	.217/.277/.329	.112	.301	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.193/.253/.278	.085	.304	6	8	36%	7%	44	-2.1	.166/.241/.231	.064	.289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	.212/.282/.303	.091	.284	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.8	.209/.269/.306	.097	.282	7	33	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→48	39→45	51→55	53	.211/.309/.293	.083	.292	6	9	28%	11%	73	-0.1	.214/.289/.328	.114	.305	10	14	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.225/.283/.349	.124	.320	12	19	32%	6%	72	-0.1
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	45→50	51→45	43	.217/.278/.347	.131	.273	12	9	25%	6%	73	-0.1	.235/.293/.357	.122	.286	13	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	.254/.307/.383	.129	.303	13	6	20%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→50	57→50	40	.222/.271/.344	.122	.287	10	14	26%	5%	69	-0.4	.224/.289/.328	.104	.294	9	12	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.212/.286/.306	.093	.292	9	9	28%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	39→50	49→30	42	.212/.275/.295	.083	.309	6	6	31%	7%	58	-1.2	.222/.269/.326	.104	.290	9	4	26%	5%	63	-0.8	.221/.264/.326	.105	.281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)