Mani Cedeno

SS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1510ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	16	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	213	.183/.371/.305	3	21	20	—	.096/.244/.152
2026	17	ROKDSL NYY Bombe…	126	.228/.371/.396	3	9	36	—	.130/.242/.204
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBNYY	236	.188/.274/.276	2	6	58	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	19	MLBNYY	30	.195/.281/.295	0	1	64	-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	20	MLBNYY	86	.200/.287/.309	1	2	70	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO73

Chase%73

BB%65

Speed53

wOBA46

wRC+35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCristian Hernández (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18) · Juan Villavicencio (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .272 / .273

PA66

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	164	30	5	3	3	43	76	6	21	2	183	371	305	676	122	318	36	20	324	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	101	23	8	0	3	22	38	1	9	2	228	371	396	767	168	323	30	17	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	178	17	3	2	1	29	94	6	21	2	96	244	152	396	56	191	44	14	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	108	14	5	0	1	15	46	1	9	2	130	242	204	446	74	208	37	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	178	17	3	2	1	29	94	6	21	2	96	244	152	396	56	193	44	14	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	164	30	5	3	3	43	76	6	21	2	183	371	305	676	122	318	36	20	324	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	108	14	5	0	1	15	46	1	9	2	130	242	204	446	74	206	37	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	101	23	8	0	3	22	38	1	9	2	228	371	396	767	168	323	30	17	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	176	17	3	2	1	29	94	6	21	2	97	244	153	398	57	191	44	14	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	109	14	5	0	1	15	46	1	9	2	128	242	202	444	73	208	37	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	176	17	3	2	1	29	94	6	21	2	97	244	153	398	57	191	44	14	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	126	109	14	5	0	1	15	46	1	9	2	128	242	202	444	73	208	37	12	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	236	209	39	7	2	2	22	75	3	6	1	188	274	276	550	87	276	32	9	254	58	-12	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYY	25%	122	108	22	4	1	2	11	38	2	3	1	194	281	292	573	97	279	31	9	263	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYY	38%	224	198	39	7	2	3	21	68	3	6	1	200	287	305	592	106	281	30	9	271	70	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYY	45%	346	306	62	11	3	6	32	103	5	9	2	204	291	317	608	113	283	30	9	277	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYY	49%	437	387	80	15	3	8	41	128	6	11	3	208	294	326	620	118	284	29	9	282	77	-12	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	495	439	93	17	4	10	46	143	7	12	3	211	297	334	631	123	286	29	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.6
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	536	473	100	18	4	11	50	155	8	13	4	212	298	337	634	125	286	29	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	560	494	105	19	4	12	53	162	8	14	4	212	298	338	636	126	287	29	9	288	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	575	508	108	20	4	12	54	166	8	14	4	212	298	338	636	126	286	29	9	288	81	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	576	509	108	20	4	12	54	167	8	14	4	211	297	336	633	125	286	29	9	287	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.7
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYY	50%	569	503	105	19	4	11	53	166	8	13	4	210	295	331	627	122	285	29	9	284	79	-14	+1	-0	+6	+12	0.5
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	556	492	102	18	4	11	52	164	7	12	4	207	292	325	618	118	284	29	9	281	76	-16	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.2
2039	30	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	543	481	99	18	4	10	50	162	7	11	4	204	289	318	607	114	282	30	9	277	73	-17	+1	-2	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYY	25%	30	27	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	195	281	295	576	100	279	30	10	265	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYY	38%	86	77	15	3	1	1	8	26	1	2	1	200	287	309	597	109	281	30	9	273	70	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYY	45%	157	139	28	5	1	3	15	47	2	4	1	205	292	321	613	116	283	30	10	279	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYY	49%	215	190	40	7	2	4	20	63	3	5	1	209	295	331	626	122	284	29	9	284	77	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	254	224	48	9	2	5	24	73	4	6	2	212	298	339	637	127	286	29	9	289	80	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	276	244	52	9	2	6	26	80	4	7	2	213	299	342	641	129	287	29	9	290	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	289	256	54	10	2	6	27	83	4	7	2	214	299	344	643	130	287	29	9	291	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	297	263	56	10	2	7	28	86	4	7	2	214	299	344	643	131	286	29	9	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	292	259	55	10	2	6	27	85	4	7	2	212	298	341	640	129	286	29	9	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYY	50%	285	252	53	9	2	6	27	83	4	6	2	211	296	337	633	126	285	29	9	287	79	-7	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	297	263	55	10	2	6	28	88	4	6	2	208	293	331	624	122	284	30	9	283	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2039	30	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	304	269	56	10	2	6	28	91	4	6	2	205	290	323	613	117	282	30	9	279	73	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2782	2463	517	93	20	56	261	814	38	64	19	210	295	332	628	122	287	29	9	286	75	-73	+5	-0	+30	+60	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	121	22	5	13	61	190	9	15	4	210	296	334	630	123	288	29	9	286	75	-17	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5944	5243	1066	196	44	111	567	1783	85	164	42	203	291	321	612	118	283	30	10	279	75	-149	+12	-0	+60	+121	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	116	21	5	12	62	195	9	18	5	202	290	319	609	117	282	30	10	279	75	-17	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 126 PAwOBA .342 → .222 (−120)K% 30.2% → 36.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.16%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	36.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.46%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	12.31%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.56%
Singles /BIP	19.05%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.011	×1.008	13.20%
Doubles /BIP	12.70%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.011	×1.008	7.76%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.011	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.25%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .342 → .222; ISO .168 → .091; BABIP .323 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL NYY Yankees · 213 PAwOBA .318 → .198 (−120)K% 35.7% → 44.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.68%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	44.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.19%	÷1.066	×0.700	—	×1.022	13.56%
HBP% /PA	2.82%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.02%
Singles /BIP	21.59%	÷1.113	×0.680	×0.990	×1.022	13.35%
Doubles /BIP	5.68%	÷1.069	×0.600	×0.990	×1.022	3.23%
Triples /BIP	3.41%	÷0.943	×0.600	×0.990	×1.022	2.20%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.093	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.50%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 123, 2B 114, 3B 89, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .318 → .198; ISO .122 → .064; BABIP .318 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,849	55	67	209	292	330	+31	+0	3.9	3.6
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 3
#4Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3
#5Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mani Cedeno (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	187/272/273	87	276	1	2	32%	9%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Angel Cepeda 2024 · A	18	45→43	37→45	52→55	46	205/294/283	79	301	4	9	30%	9%	68	-1.0	205/276/298	93	338	8	17	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/276/300	101	335	10	19	40%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	37→47	36→45	54→50	59	173/286/238	65	220	3	15	21%	12%	57	-1.8	191/267/256	65	260	3	9	25%	8%	52	-2.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5

Mani Cedeno

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps