Mani Cedeno — OGILVIE

Mani CedenoSS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 17 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 84 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .262 / .253

PA84

HR1

K%35

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$6M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$17M		$34M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	183	17	3	2	2	24	112	6	21	2	93	221	164	385	71	217	53	11	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	164	30	5	3	3	43	76	6	21	2	183	371	305	676	122	318	36	20	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	NYY	—	126	109	16	5	0	2	14	55	1	9	2	147	250	248	498	101	259	44	11	231	35	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
YTD	17	ROK	NYY	—	126	101	23	8	0	3	22	38	1	9	2	228	371	396	767	168	323	30	17	345	122	+3	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.9
ROS	17	ROK	NYY	0%	84	75	13	3	0	1	8	29	1	3	1	173	262	253	515	80	274	35	10	254	52	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	17	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	248	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	NYY	—	126	110	16	5	0	2	14	55	1	9	2	145	250	245	495	100	255	44	11	231	35	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
TOT	17	ROK	NYY	—	210	184	29	8	0	3	22	84	2	12	3	158	255	250	505	92	263	40	10	240	42	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	NYY	24%	266	236	45	9	2	4	25	88	3	7	1	191	277	297	573	106	277	33	9	263	59	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2028	19	MLB	NYY	38%	393	348	69	14	2	8	37	126	5	10	2	198	285	319	604	121	281	32	9	273	67	-15	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
2029	20	MLB	NYY	45%	490	435	88	18	3	10	46	154	6	12	2	202	287	326	614	124	284	31	9	280	72	-15	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2030	21	MLB	NYY	49%	563	496	101	20	3	12	54	174	8	14	3	204	292	329	621	125	285	31	10	285	76	-15	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2031	22	MLB	NYY	51%	598	528	110	22	3	14	57	184	8	15	3	208	295	341	636	133	286	31	10	287	78	-15	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2032	23	MLB	NYY	52%	615	542	113	23	3	14	59	188	9	15	3	208	297	339	636	131	286	31	10	289	79	-14	+2	+0	+7	+17	1.2
2033	24	MLB	NYY	52%	627	552	116	23	4	15	61	191	9	15	3	210	299	348	647	138	287	30	10	290	80	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2034	25	MLB	NYY	52%	634	559	117	23	4	15	61	193	9	16	3	209	297	345	643	136	287	30	10	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.4
2035	26	MLB	NYY	52%	639	563	118	23	4	15	62	195	9	16	3	210	298	345	643	135	287	31	10	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.4
2036	27	MLB	NYY	51%	637	560	117	23	4	15	63	194	9	16	3	209	299	345	644	136	287	30	10	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.4
2037	28	MLB	NYY	50%	631	554	115	23	3	15	63	193	9	15	3	208	299	341	640	134	286	31	10	291	81	-14	+2	-0	+7	+18	1.3
2038	29	MLB	NYY	49%	621	545	112	22	3	14	62	192	9	14	3	206	297	334	631	128	286	31	10	289	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2039	30	MLB	NYY	48%	609	535	110	22	3	14	61	189	8	14	3	206	296	336	633	131	285	31	10	286	77	-16	+2	-2	+7	+17	0.8
2040	31	MLB	NYY	47%	595	523	106	21	3	13	59	187	8	13	3	203	293	329	622	126	283	31	10	283	74	-17	+1	-2	+6	+17	0.5
2041	32	MLB	NYY	47%	576	506	101	20	3	12	57	183	8	12	2	200	291	322	613	123	279	32	10	277	70	-19	+2	-3	+6	+16	0.2
2027	18	MLB	NYY	24%	64	57	10	2	0	1	6	21	1	2	0	175	266	263	529	88	279	33	9	257	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	19	MLB	NYY	38%	148	131	26	5	1	3	14	48	2	4	1	198	286	321	606	122	283	32	9	266	62	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	20	MLB	NYY	45%	221	195	40	8	1	5	21	69	3	5	1	205	292	333	626	128	285	31	10	273	67	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2030	21	MLB	NYY	49%	276	244	50	10	2	6	26	85	4	7	1	205	292	336	628	131	286	31	9	277	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	22	MLB	NYY	51%	306	270	56	11	2	7	29	94	4	8	1	207	294	341	634	133	287	31	9	279	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	23	MLB	NYY	52%	322	283	60	12	2	8	31	99	5	8	2	212	301	353	654	141	288	31	10	281	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2033	24	MLB	NYY	52%	327	287	61	12	2	8	32	100	5	8	2	213	302	352	654	139	289	31	10	283	75	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	25	MLB	NYY	52%	329	289	61	12	2	8	32	100	5	8	2	211	301	349	650	138	289	30	10	283	75	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2035	26	MLB	NYY	52%	331	291	61	12	2	8	32	101	5	8	2	210	299	347	646	137	289	31	10	284	75	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2036	27	MLB	NYY	51%	324	284	60	12	2	8	32	99	5	8	2	211	302	352	654	141	289	31	10	284	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2037	28	MLB	NYY	50%	317	279	59	12	2	8	31	97	4	8	2	211	299	355	654	143	288	31	10	283	75	-9	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.4
2038	29	MLB	NYY	49%	303	266	56	11	2	7	30	94	4	7	1	211	300	346	646	135	287	31	10	281	73	-9	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.3
2039	30	MLB	NYY	48%	292	257	53	11	1	7	29	91	4	7	1	206	297	339	635	132	286	31	10	279	71	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2040	31	MLB	NYY	47%	282	248	50	10	1	6	28	89	4	6	1	202	293	323	615	121	284	32	10	275	69	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2041	32	MLB	NYY	47%	270	237	47	9	1	6	27	86	4	6	1	198	291	321	612	122	281	32	10	270	65	-11	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4112	3619	750	149	23	96	400	1273	59	100	20	207	297	341	637	133	288	31	10	279	72	-132	+12	-2	+44	+117	3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	119	24	4	15	63	201	9	16	3	208	296	343	639	135	290	31	10	279	72	-21	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	8791	7740	1568	312	49	193	859	2772	124	228	43	203	292	330	623	128	286	32	10	283	75	-252	+28	-4	+94	+249	11.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	116	23	4	14	64	205	9	17	3	203	293	330	623	128	287	32	10	283	75	-19	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	213	164	30	5	3	3	43	76	6	21	2	183	371	305	676	122	318	36	20	324	106	+2	+3	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,296	96	103	206	292	336	+46	+0	6.4	5.4
	/162	664	15	16	206	292	336	+7.1	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mani Cedeno (OGILVIE)	17	40	45	60	64	158/255/250	92	263	3	12	40%	10%	42	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	45→46	38→45	55→60	46	212/281/288	76	301	6	19	30%	8%	59	-1.1	193/251/266	73	311	6	18	37%	7%	40	-2.4	212/279/312	100	297	8	33	29%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	43→53	38→45	54→55	48	203/273/292	90	270	5	13	25%	8%	56	-1.3	209/261/295	86	283	6	11	27%	6%	52	-1.6	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	45→46	39→50	51→55	53	209/310/290	81	290	7	9	27%	11%	73	-0.1	209/281/326	117	306	11	14	33%	8%	69	-0.4	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	54	-1.4	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	49	-1.8	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	35	-0.9
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7