Andrew Salas

SS Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 19 S/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1535ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	AMIA	453	.186/.321/.245	3	39	30	—	.153/.254/.199
2026	18	A/ROKMIA	289	.200/.315/.355	9	14	36	—	.152/.238/.269
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBMIA	399	.171/.260/.257	6	13	49	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIA	81	.174/.265/.267	1	3	58	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIA	172	.180/.272/.284	3	6	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed65

Z-Con%58

Whiff%57

Max EV48

Chase%47

BB%44

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Leandro Arias (age 19) · Dalton Pompey (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .258 / .255

PA174

HR3

SB6

K%29

BB%10

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	453	371	69	9	2	3	72	110	2	39	10	186	321	245	567	59	253	24	16	270	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	184	159	27	5	1	2	20	48	2	6	4	170	271	252	522	82	225	26	11	244	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	105	86	22	2	1	7	19	28	0	8	4	256	390	547	937	291	294	27	18	408	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	453	392	60	8	2	2	51	148	2	39	10	153	254	199	453	46	227	33	11	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	184	164	23	4	1	2	15	65	2	6	4	140	221	213	434	73	204	35	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	105	93	16	1	1	5	12	40	0	8	4	172	267	366	632	194	226	38	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	453	392	60	8	2	2	51	148	2	39	10	153	254	199	453	46	237	33	11	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	453	371	69	9	2	3	72	110	2	39	10	186	321	245	567	59	253	24	16	270	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	289	257	38	5	1	7	27	106	2	14	8	148	234	257	491	109	212	37	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	289	245	49	7	2	9	39	76	2	14	8	200	315	355	670	155	247	26	13	303	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	453	397	60	8	2	2	51	148	2	39	10	151	254	196	450	45	227	33	11	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	289	258	38	5	1	7	27	106	2	14	8	147	234	256	490	109	212	37	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	453	397	60	8	2	2	51	148	2	39	10	151	254	196	450	45	227	33	11	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	289	258	38	5	1	7	27	106	2	14	8	147	234	256	490	109	212	37	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	399	353	60	9	2	6	41	117	2	13	4	171	260	257	517	87	233	29	10	241	49	-24	+1	+1	+4	+9	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	237	209	37	6	1	4	24	68	2	8	3	179	270	278	549	99	239	29	10	254	58	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	356	313	58	9	2	7	37	98	3	13	4	186	278	297	574	110	243	28	10	264	65	-15	+1	+1	+4	+8	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	439	387	74	12	2	10	46	118	3	17	6	192	283	310	594	118	246	27	10	271	70	-16	+1	+1	+5	+10	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	492	434	85	14	2	12	51	130	4	19	6	197	288	321	609	124	249	26	10	277	74	-15	+1	+2	+5	+11	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	527	463	93	15	3	13	55	137	4	20	7	201	291	329	620	128	252	26	10	282	77	-14	+1	+3	+6	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	547	481	98	16	3	14	57	142	4	21	7	201	292	331	622	130	252	26	10	283	78	-15	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	557	490	99	16	3	14	58	145	4	21	7	201	292	330	622	129	252	26	10	283	77	-15	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	557	490	99	16	3	14	58	146	4	21	7	200	291	328	619	128	251	26	10	281	77	-16	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	551	485	97	16	3	13	57	145	4	18	6	198	289	323	612	125	251	26	10	279	75	-17	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	538	473	93	15	2	13	56	144	4	15	6	196	286	317	604	121	249	27	10	275	72	-18	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	526	463	89	14	2	12	54	142	4	12	5	193	283	310	593	117	248	27	10	271	70	-19	+0	+1	+6	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	81	72	12	2	0	1	8	23	1	3	1	174	265	267	532	93	232	28	10	247	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	172	151	27	4	1	3	18	48	1	6	2	180	272	284	556	104	235	28	10	257	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	238	209	39	6	1	5	25	64	2	9	3	186	278	297	575	111	238	27	11	264	70	-9	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	278	245	46	7	1	6	29	73	2	11	4	190	282	307	589	117	241	26	10	270	74	-9	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	298	263	51	8	1	7	31	78	2	12	4	194	285	315	600	121	244	26	10	274	77	-8	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	309	271	52	8	1	7	32	80	3	12	4	195	286	316	602	122	244	26	10	275	78	-8	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	315	276	54	8	1	8	33	82	3	12	4	194	286	316	602	122	244	26	10	275	77	-8	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	309	272	52	8	1	7	32	81	2	11	4	194	285	314	599	120	243	26	10	273	77	-9	+1	+2	+3	+7	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	302	265	51	8	1	7	32	80	2	10	4	192	283	309	592	118	243	26	11	271	75	-9	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	288	254	47	7	1	6	30	77	2	8	3	190	280	304	584	114	242	27	10	268	72	-9	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	300	264	48	7	1	6	31	81	2	7	3	187	277	297	574	110	240	27	10	264	70	-11	+0	+1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2890	2542	479	73	10	63	301	767	22	101	36	188	280	299	579	111	241	27	10	269	68	-91	+6	+12	+31	+63	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	107	16	2	14	68	173	5	23	8	187	279	295	575	108	240	27	10	269	68	-21	+1	+3	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6243	5490	1047	166	30	138	649	1720	45	244	84	191	282	307	589	117	248	28	10	268	68	-181	+12	+22	+59	+119	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	108	17	3	14	68	179	5	25	9	189	281	302	584	114	245	28	10	268	68	-21	+1	+3	+7	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 184 PAwOBA .240 → .191 (−49)K% 26.1% → 35.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.09%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	35.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.87%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.050	7.88%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.89%
Singles /BIP	17.12%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.960	×1.050	15.87%
Doubles /BIP	4.50%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.960	×1.050	3.77%
Triples /BIP	0.90%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.960	×1.050	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	1.80%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	1.51%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .240 → .191; ISO .082 → .064; BABIP .225 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 105 PAwOBA .398 → .275 (−123)K% 26.7% → 38.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.67%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	38.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.10%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	11.47%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.966	×1.022	16.76%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.966	×1.022	2.45%
Triples /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.966	×1.022	1.23%
Home runs /BIP	12.07%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	9.63%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .398 → .275; ISO .291 → .207; BABIP .294 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 453 PAwOBA .266 → .213 (−53)K% 24.3% → 32.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.28%	÷1.014	×1.360	—	—	32.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.89%	÷1.018	×0.690	—	×1.050	11.31%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.36%
Singles /BIP	21.07%	÷1.019	×0.920	×0.950	×1.050	18.98%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷0.947	×0.830	×0.950	×1.050	3.02%
Triples /BIP	0.77%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.950	×1.050	0.77%
Home runs /BIP	1.15%	÷1.035	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.93%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .266 → .213; ISO .059 → .050; BABIP .253 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#4Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,065	71	107	196	283	318	+33	+21	2.4	2.5
/162	664	15	23	+7.1	+4.5	0.5	pk7: 3
#5Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Salas (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	169/258/255	86	233	3	6	29%	10%	49	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Leandro Arias 2024 · A	19	40→45	39→40	53→45	48	194/267/279	85	248	6	14	23%	8%	57	-1.8	205/275/282	77	269	6	8	24%	8%	61	-1.5	203/277/274	71	268	6	8	25%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	40→50	36→45	52→65	45	189/257/257	67	264	2	17	28%	8%	47	-2.5	204/269/271	67	302	2	17	30%	8%	55	-2.0	227/306/323	96	332	8	52	31%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Karexon Sanchez 2007 · A	19	39→47	38→45	49→50	52	188/277/267	78	236	6	16	22%	10%	59	-1.7	201/265/298	97	283	9	12	30%	7%	60	-1.6	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Greg Veloz 2007 · A	19	39→49	38→40	53→55	46	188/261/267	79	260	5	20	28%	8%	51	-2.2	204/253/287	83	292	5	17	30%	6%	52	-2.2	207/252/286	79	292	5	17	30%	5%	48	-2.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	44→48	37→50	54→65	53	203/294/283	80	276	3	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	206/284/334	128	307	12	34	34%	9%	76	-0.4	210/288/361	151	303	15	47	33%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	37→47	35→45	52→55	45	176/234/234	58	224	2	14	22%	6%	33	-3.6	205/271/276	71	256	3	20	20%	8%	57	-1.8	258/296/362	104	307	8	28	18%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Tito Polo 2014 · A	19	41→51	36→45	54→60	43	196/264/262	66	267	4	22	27%	6%	51	-2.2	212/270/304	92	282	7	23	26%	5%	63	-1.4	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A	19	40→45	39→40	50	47	192/277/282	90	267	6	15	28%	8%	61	-1.5	194/279/270	76	279	3	11	29%	8%	59	-1.6	188/274/265	77	265	4	13	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	38→47	35→40	52→60	47	181/251/244	63	237	2	17	23%	8%	42	-2.9	216/281/305	89	285	5	23	24%	7%	68	-1.0	218/285/304	87	285	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8

Andrew Salas

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps