Elian Peña
SS St. Lucie Mets| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROKDSL Mets Oran… | 223 | .292/.421/.528 | 9 | 21 | 67 | — | .174/.290/.305 |
| 2026 | 18 | A+/ANYM | 516 | .255/.371/.370 | 8 | 30 | 67 | — | .208/.297/.294 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 19 | MLBNYM | 8 | .183/.272/.272 | 0 | 0 | 60 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ36% MLB | 20 | MLBNYM | 176 | .191/.280/.295 | 3 | 6 | 69 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 21 | MLBNYM | 264 | .198/.288/.319 | 6 | 9 | 78 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | — | 223 | 178 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 292 | 421 | 528 | 949 | 236 | 319 | 16 | 16 | 413 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 77 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 263 | 224 | 487 | 60 | 250 | 31 | 12 | 230 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 439 | 365 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 61 | 94 | 10 | 28 | 9 | 271 | 390 | 397 | 787 | 126 | 343 | 21 | 14 | 358 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 223 | 190 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 174 | 290 | 305 | 595 | 132 | 195 | 20 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 77 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 129 | 197 | 171 | 369 | 43 | 218 | 40 | 8 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 439 | 384 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 128 | 10 | 28 | 9 | 221 | 314 | 315 | 629 | 94 | 306 | 29 | 10 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 223 | 190 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 174 | 290 | 305 | 595 | 132 | 197 | 20 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets Orange | — | 223 | 178 | 52 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 292 | 421 | 528 | 949 | 236 | 319 | 16 | 16 | 413 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 455 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 159 | 10 | 30 | 9 | 207 | 295 | 295 | 589 | 88 | 300 | 31 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 516 | 432 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 70 | 118 | 10 | 30 | 9 | 255 | 371 | 370 | 741 | 116 | 330 | 23 | 14 | 339 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 223 | 190 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 174 | 290 | 305 | 595 | 132 | 195 | 20 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 454 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 159 | 10 | 30 | 9 | 207 | 295 | 295 | 590 | 88 | 293 | 31 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets Orange | — | 223 | 190 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 45 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 174 | 290 | 305 | 595 | 132 | 195 | 20 | 12 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 454 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 159 | 10 | 30 | 9 | 207 | 295 | 295 | 590 | 88 | 293 | 31 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB MLE | NYM | 4% | 626 | 553 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 58 | 161 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 188 | 277 | 280 | 556 | 92 | 245 | 26 | 9 | 257 | 60 | -29 | +2 | -4 | +7 | +14 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB CTX | NYM | 4% | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 272 | 272 | 543 | 89 | 237 | 25 | 12 | 252 | 60 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 20 | MLB MLE | NYM | 36% | 488 | 431 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 123 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 196 | 285 | 304 | 589 | 107 | 249 | 25 | 9 | 270 | 69 | -18 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB MLE | NYM | 49% | 537 | 472 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 132 | 9 | 19 | 5 | 204 | 293 | 328 | 621 | 124 | 253 | 25 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -14 | +2 | -3 | +6 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB MLE | NYM | 55% | 560 | 493 | 103 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 53 | 135 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 211 | 300 | 348 | 648 | 138 | 256 | 24 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -10 | +2 | -2 | +6 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYM | 57% | 578 | 509 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 138 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 216 | 304 | 363 | 667 | 147 | 259 | 24 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -7 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYM | 57% | 590 | 520 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 56 | 139 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 220 | 307 | 373 | 680 | 153 | 261 | 24 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -5 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYM | 57% | 599 | 527 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 19 | 57 | 141 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 221 | 309 | 377 | 686 | 157 | 262 | 24 | 10 | 308 | 94 | -4 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYM | 57% | 604 | 531 | 118 | 20 | 3 | 20 | 58 | 142 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 221 | 309 | 379 | 688 | 158 | 261 | 24 | 10 | 309 | 95 | -4 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYM | 55% | 599 | 527 | 116 | 20 | 3 | 19 | 58 | 142 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 220 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 157 | 261 | 24 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +2 | +1 | +6 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYM | 55% | 589 | 518 | 113 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 57 | 141 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 218 | 306 | 372 | 678 | 154 | 260 | 24 | 10 | 305 | 92 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYM | 53% | 568 | 500 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 54 | 137 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 216 | 304 | 366 | 670 | 150 | 259 | 24 | 10 | 301 | 90 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYM | 53% | 553 | 487 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 136 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 213 | 300 | 359 | 659 | 145 | 257 | 25 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +6 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB MLE | NYM | 52% | 534 | 471 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 133 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 209 | 296 | 349 | 645 | 140 | 255 | 25 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB MLE | NYM | 52% | 512 | 452 | 93 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 130 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 204 | 290 | 337 | 627 | 133 | 251 | 25 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -13 | -0 | -3 | +5 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB CTX | NYM | 36% | 176 | 155 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 191 | 280 | 295 | 576 | 105 | 242 | 25 | 9 | 265 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB CTX | NYM | 49% | 264 | 233 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 65 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 198 | 288 | 319 | 607 | 121 | 245 | 25 | 9 | 277 | 78 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB CTX | NYM | 55% | 305 | 268 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 74 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 205 | 295 | 340 | 634 | 135 | 248 | 24 | 10 | 288 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYM | 57% | 328 | 289 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 78 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 210 | 299 | 354 | 653 | 144 | 250 | 24 | 9 | 295 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +4 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYM | 57% | 334 | 294 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 79 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 214 | 302 | 364 | 666 | 151 | 253 | 24 | 10 | 300 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYM | 57% | 339 | 298 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 80 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 215 | 303 | 369 | 672 | 154 | 253 | 24 | 10 | 302 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYM | 57% | 341 | 300 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 80 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 215 | 304 | 370 | 674 | 155 | 253 | 23 | 10 | 303 | 95 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYM | 55% | 332 | 292 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 79 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 214 | 303 | 368 | 671 | 154 | 253 | 24 | 10 | 302 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYM | 55% | 323 | 284 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 77 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 212 | 301 | 364 | 664 | 151 | 252 | 24 | 10 | 299 | 92 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYM | 53% | 304 | 267 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 74 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 210 | 298 | 358 | 656 | 147 | 251 | 24 | 10 | 296 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYM | 53% | 291 | 257 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 71 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 207 | 295 | 350 | 645 | 143 | 249 | 24 | 10 | 291 | 87 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB CTX | NYM | 52% | 278 | 246 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 203 | 290 | 341 | 631 | 137 | 246 | 25 | 9 | 286 | 83 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB CTX | NYM | 52% | 266 | 235 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 67 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 199 | 285 | 329 | 614 | 130 | 243 | 25 | 9 | 279 | 78 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3881 | 3418 | 709 | 117 | 13 | 113 | 370 | 937 | 59 | 113 | 33 | 207 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 141 | 249 | 24 | 10 | 293 | 85 | -56 | +9 | -6 | +42 | +84 | 7.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 119 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 62 | 157 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 208 | 297 | 350 | 646 | 142 | 250 | 24 | 10 | 293 | 85 | -9 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8260 | 7269 | 1537 | 266 | 36 | 224 | 788 | 2027 | 132 | 267 | 80 | 211 | 300 | 350 | 650 | 139 | 259 | 25 | 10 | 293 | 85 | -121 | +16 | -13 | +81 | +163 | 12.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 160 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 213 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 142 | 262 | 25 | 10 | 293 | 85 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 439 PAwOBA .349 → .284 (−65)K% 21.4% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.41% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 9.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.28% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 23.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.47% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .349 → .284; ISO .126 → .102; BABIP .343 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 77 PAwOBA .228 → .169 (−58)K% 31.2% → 40.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.050 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 16.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.979 | ×1.050 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .228 → .169; ISO .060 → .046; BABIP .250 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 223 PAwOBA .406 → .267 (−139)K% 16.1% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.14% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.14% | ÷0.971 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.42% | ÷1.012 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 13.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷0.944 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.34% | ÷0.873 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 3.44% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 111, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .406 → .267; ISO .236 → .139; BABIP .319 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).