Geremias Pena — OGILVIE

Geremias Pena P DSL Arizona Red

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%21.0%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%6.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	3	3	8	33	6	4	0	100%	2.6	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	0.0%	5.87	3.10	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	3	3	8	33	6	4	0	100%	2.6	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	0.0%	5.87	3.10	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	3	3	8	33	6	4	0	100%	2.6	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	0.0%	5.87	3.10	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	4	26	125	24	20	2	33%	2.2	13.1%	20.0%	-6.9%	2.0%	5.19	5.63	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	4	26	125	24	20	2	33%	2.2	13.1%	20.0%	-6.9%	2.0%	5.19	5.63	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	12	4	26	125	24	20	2	33%	2.2	19.2%	16.0%	3.2%	1.6%	5.19	4.56	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	8	3	26	111	33	13	1	38%	3.2	20.2%	14.6%	5.6%	1.3%	2.42	3.94	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	8	3	26	111	33	13	1	38%	3.2	20.2%	14.6%	5.6%	1.3%	2.42	3.94	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	8	3	26	111	33	13	1	38%	3.2	29.7%	11.7%	18.0%	0.9%	2.42	2.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ARI	15	0	16	68	14	10	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	15.0%	6.1%	2.9%	5.21	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	23	0	25	104	23	14	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.98	4.89	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	11	0	12	51	11	7	1	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.98	4.89	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	11	7	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.98	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	116	17	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.5%	2.9%	4.98	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		23	10	60	269	45	45	4	43%	2.6	16.6%	16.8%	-0.2%	1.4%	4.07	4.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	34	200	902	150	152	13	43%	2.6	16.6%	16.8%	-0.2%	1.4%	4.07	4.62	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Geremias Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	21.0%	15.0%	2.9%	—	4.89	21.7%	8.5%	25	-0.32	—	—	—
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	89
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	87
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	85
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	83
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	83
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	82
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	82
Joseph Hernandez R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	21	SW	4.39	24.7%	16.7%	2.3%	.348	4.92	18.1%	4.0%	190	+0.53	4.39	260	81
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	81
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	81
Jose Vasquez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	19	SW	4.12	21.9%	13.4%	2.1%	.359	6.49	15.6%	-10.2%	66	+2.37	4.12	123	81
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	80
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	80
Alfred Vega R 2021 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	20.5%	16.0%	2.1%	.203	4.66	13.4%	0.6%	81	+0.10	2.07	234	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	80
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	80
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	79