Aiden Robbins — OGILVIE

Aiden RobbinsOF St. Lucie Mets

Age 22 R/R A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .276 / .337

PA111

HR3

K%29

BB%7

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	22	19	6	0	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	316	409	474	883	158	500	36	14	395	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	89	77	21	2	0	4	11	19	1	3	0	273	371	455	825	182	315	21	12	369	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	22	20	5	0	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	250	318	400	718	150	442	45	9	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	89	80	18	2	0	3	8	26	1	3	0	225	303	362	666	137	283	29	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	100	23	2	0	4	10	36	1	3	0	230	306	370	676	140	317	32	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	111	96	27	2	0	5	14	27	1	3	0	281	378	458	837	177	344	24	13	375	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	99	23	2	0	4	10	36	1	3	0	232	306	374	680	141	315	32	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	111	99	23	2	0	4	10	36	1	3	0	232	306	374	680	141	315	32	9	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	221	201	43	6	1	6	16	65	2	4	1	213	279	340	618	126	281	29	7	278	74	-7	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	196	177	38	5	1	5	15	57	2	4	1	216	282	346	628	130	283	29	8	282	77	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	46%	305	276	60	9	1	8	23	87	3	6	1	219	285	352	637	133	284	29	8	286	79	-7	+1	-0	-2	+7	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	370	336	74	11	2	10	28	105	3	7	2	221	287	356	644	136	285	28	8	288	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	412	374	83	12	2	12	31	115	4	8	2	222	289	359	648	137	285	28	8	290	82	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	431	391	86	13	2	12	33	120	4	8	2	222	289	359	648	137	284	28	8	290	83	-9	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	440	399	88	13	2	12	34	123	4	8	2	220	287	354	642	134	283	28	8	287	81	-10	+1	-0	-3	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	67	61	13	2	0	2	5	19	1	1	0	211	277	338	615	128	274	28	7	276	77	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	46%	141	128	28	4	1	4	11	40	1	3	1	213	280	344	624	131	275	28	8	280	79	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	191	173	37	5	1	5	14	54	2	4	1	215	282	348	630	133	276	28	7	282	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	223	202	43	6	1	6	17	62	2	4	1	216	283	351	634	135	276	28	8	284	82	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	234	212	46	7	1	7	18	65	2	5	1	216	284	351	634	135	276	28	8	284	83	-5	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	239	217	47	7	1	7	18	67	2	4	1	214	282	346	628	132	275	28	8	282	81	-5	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1095	993	214	31	5	31	83	307	10	21	5	216	283	350	633	135	277	28	8	282	81	-25	+2	+0	-7	+24	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	126	18	3	18	49	182	6	12	3	214	281	346	627	132	276	28	8	282	81	-15	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2376	2154	474	68	11	66	182	676	22	46	11	220	288	354	641	134	287	28	8	287	81	-52	+4	-0	-14	+49	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	130	19	3	18	50	185	6	13	3	221	288	355	643	134	288	28	8	287	81	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.8	1,206	34	23	221	284	356	-7	+3	0.1	0.1
/162	664	18	13	-4.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aiden Robbins (OGILVIE)	22	20→40	40→53	55→52	40	212/276/337	125	281	3	2	29%	7%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	41	46→55	49→45	44	208/269/341	133	270	13	6	28%	7%	72	-0.7	206/283/358	152	269	17	6	28%	9%	81	-0.1	191/276/354	163	247	19	6	30%	10%	74	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	37→42	46→55	44→50	48	186/273/317	131	265	13	8	33%	10%	68	-1.0	200/284/350	150	294	15	9	35%	9%	80	-0.2	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	37→36	50→60	50	36	195/243/346	150	282	18	14	37%	6%	63	-1.4	213/276/401	188	298	24	14	35%	7%	89	+0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	39→44	46→55	51→50	36	195/262/318	123	289	14	12	36%	5%	65	-1.2	203/263/356	153	280	18	9	33%	6%	74	-0.6	207/271/356	148	277	17	8	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Anthony García 2014 · A	22	39→48	50→55	44→45	37	204/261/359	155	279	17	6	33%	5%	74	-0.6	210/280/350	140	262	15	6	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/291/361	142	265	17	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Matthew Lugo 2023 · A	22	47→50	46→55	52→50	40	233/278/366	133	296	13	13	26%	5%	80	-0.2	225/274/372	147	307	15	14	30%	5%	80	-0.1	219/277/384	165	302	17	15	32%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→30	47→60	51→50	42	207/297/346	139	317	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.2	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	194/269/385	191	316	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jake Gelof 2024 · A	22	42→38	47→55	51→50	40	201/267/339	139	322	14	9	40%	8%	70	-0.8	190/268/339	149	263	17	12	32%	9%	72	-0.7	186/271/356	170	244	21	12	32%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/277/310	106	298	11	13	33%	8%	68	-1.0	202/279/357	155	294	19	17	36%	8%	80	-0.2	186/267/343	157	262	20	18	36%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jacob Scavuzzo 2016 · A	22	41→49	48→55	47→45	37	211/254/352	141	279	15	8	30%	5%	68	-1.0	215/256/351	136	287	16	7	30%	4%	69	-0.9	186/225/356	171	242	24	8	35%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Zach Levenson 2024 · A	22	44→39	48→45	48→45	40	220/273/361	140	306	16	8	33%	6%	78	-0.3	200/278/327	127	264	14	8	28%	9%	72	-0.7	188/274/314	126	243	15	7	28%	9%	65	-0.8
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	38→44	49→55	50→55	33	191/247/337	146	319	17	14	44%	6%	63	-1.4	207/257/374	167	330	19	19	41%	5%	75	-0.5	207/257/386	179	313	22	22	40%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→50	49→45	38	204/270/315	111	285	10	12	31%	5%	66	-1.1	200/240/310	110	252	12	7	26%	4%	53	-2.1	241/269/392	150	282	18	8	21%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Clint Coulter 2015 · A	22	43	48→50	42→40	46	218/299/364	146	282	16	5	28%	8%	88	+0.5	210/277/335	125	268	12	4	26%	6%	74	-0.6	200/266/338	137	245	16	4	25%	5%	67	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps