Braylon Whitaker

OF Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 160 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#746ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKBAL	15	.154/.267/.154	0	2	-14	—	.143/.200/.143
2026	20	A+/ABAL	423	.256/.380/.333	3	32	72	—	.223/.316/.288
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBBAL	523	.231/.317/.323	6	14	84	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBBAL	126	.239/.324/.345	2	3	89	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBBAL	200	.242/.327/.357	3	6	93	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%98

Speed90

K%88

Whiff%85

BB%78

Z-Con%73

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 4.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsBrett Bateman (age 22) · Cal Stevenson (age 22) · Chandler Simpson (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .315 / .320

PA210

HR2

SB6

K%21

BB%10

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	15	13	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	154	267	154	421		200	20	13	214	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Frederick Keys	—	79	66	13	3	1	1	12	13	0	7	1	197	321	318	639	121	226	16	15	293	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	344	282	76	11	1	2	53	51	5	25	11	270	394	337	731	67	319	15	15	339	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	143	200	143	343		166	27	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	79	70	11	2	1	1	8	17	0	7	1	157	244	257	501	100	189	22	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	344	298	71	9	1	2	37	69	5	25	11	238	332	295	628	57	295	20	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	143	200	143	343		200	27	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	15	13	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	154	267	154	421		200	20	13	214	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	423	368	83	12	2	3	45	87	5	32	12	226	318	293	612	68	284	21	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	423	348	89	14	2	3	65	64	5	32	12	256	380	333	714	78	302	15	15	331	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	143	200	143	343		166	27	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	423	370	83	12	2	3	45	87	5	32	12	224	318	292	610	68	275	21	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	143	200	143	343		166	27	7	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	423	370	83	12	2	3	45	87	5	32	12	224	318	292	610	68	275	21	11	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	523	460	107	20	3	6	53	112	5	14	4	231	317	323	640	92	290	21	10	293	84	-10	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	368	323	76	14	2	5	38	78	4	10	3	235	321	339	660	104	291	21	10	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	412	363	86	16	2	7	42	87	4	11	3	238	324	350	674	112	292	21	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	460	405	98	18	3	8	47	96	5	13	4	240	325	358	683	118	293	21	10	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	510	448	109	20	3	10	52	107	5	14	4	241	326	362	688	121	293	21	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	526	463	112	21	3	10	53	111	5	14	4	241	326	365	690	124	293	21	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	527	464	112	21	3	10	53	112	5	14	4	240	325	362	687	122	292	21	10	310	96	-3	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	521	459	110	20	3	10	52	112	5	13	4	238	323	357	680	119	291	21	10	307	94	-4	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	510	449	106	19	3	9	51	111	5	12	4	236	320	351	670	115	290	22	10	304	92	-5	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	496	440	102	19	2	8	49	109	4	11	4	233	316	343	659	110	288	22	10	299	89	-7	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	126	111	27	5	1	2	13	27	1	3	1	239	324	345	670	107	295	21	10	304	89	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	200	176	42	8	1	3	20	42	2	6	2	242	327	357	684	116	296	21	10	310	93	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	243	214	53	10	1	5	25	51	2	7	2	244	329	366	694	122	297	21	10	314	95	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	279	246	60	11	2	5	28	59	3	8	2	245	329	370	700	126	297	21	10	315	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	293	259	64	12	2	6	29	62	3	8	2	245	329	373	702	128	297	21	10	316	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	290	256	63	12	2	6	29	61	3	8	2	244	328	370	698	126	297	21	10	315	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	285	251	61	11	2	6	29	61	3	7	2	242	326	365	691	123	296	21	10	312	94	-2	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	272	241	57	11	1	5	27	59	2	6	2	239	323	358	682	119	294	22	10	308	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	261	231	55	10	1	5	26	58	2	6	2	236	319	350	670	114	292	22	10	303	89	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2249	1985	482	90	13	43	226	480	21	59	17	243	327	366	693	123	298	21	10	311	91	-16	+5	-2	-13	+49	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	139	26	4	12	65	139	6	17	5	242	326	364	690	122	298	21	10	311	91	-5	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4978	4381	1038	188	27	82	504	1059	49	152	48	237	322	348	671	111	293	21	10	303	91	-36	+9	-4	-27	+98	4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	137	25	4	11	66	138	6	20	6	240	325	355	679	115	295	21	10	303	91	-5	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 344 PAwOBA .334 → .285 (−50)K% 14.8% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.83%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	20.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.41%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	10.95%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.17%
Singles /BIP	26.84%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.991	×1.030	25.21%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.991	×1.030	4.03%
Triples /BIP	0.43%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.991	×1.030	0.40%
Home runs /BIP	0.87%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	0.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .334 → .285; ISO .067 → .058; BABIP .319 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 79 PAwOBA .290 → .226 (−64)K% 16.5% → 21.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.46%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	21.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.19%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.042	9.50%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.042	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.09%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.950	×1.042	13.00%
Doubles /BIP	5.66%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.950	×1.042	4.37%
Triples /BIP	1.89%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.950	×1.042	1.59%
Home runs /BIP	1.89%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×1.042	1.73%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .290 → .226; ISO .121 → .105; BABIP .226 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 15 PAwOBA .209 → .147 (−62)K% 20.0% → 29.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.980	×1.440	—	—	29.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷1.020	×0.620	—	×1.008	8.16%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.997	×0.820	—	×1.008	16.57%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.033	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .209 → .147; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .166. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,458	43	64	239	320	354	-15	+0	3.8	3.6
/162	664	11	17	-4.0	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braylon Whitaker (OGILVIE)	21	53→58	32→37	60→65	63	229/315/320	91	290	2	6	21%	10%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brett Bateman 2024 · A	22	51→61	37→30	54→55	55	238/324/309	70	307	4	18	22%	11%	84	+0.2	252/333/313	61	337	3	21	23%	11%	88	+0.5	267/352/328	61	355	3	23	23%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Cal Stevenson 2019 · A	22	56	39→45	59→60	63	261/353/361	100	302	4	16	14%	13%	107	+1.8	233/306/323	90	291	7	13	21%	10%	81	-0.1	243/336/358	114	313	9	30	23%	12%	99	+0.7
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Carlos Mendoza 2022 · A	22	52→56	37→40	55	58	239/338/313	74	288	3	18	17%	11%	91	+0.7	238/338/308	70	305	3	14	20%	11%	91	+0.6	246/335/334	88	300	7	18	19%	10%	93	+0.6
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	53→63	40→45	56→55	49	250/311/350	101	314	7	17	22%	8%	88	+0.5	269/331/377	108	313	8	19	15%	8%	102	+1.5	271/336/373	101	313	6	20	15%	8%	101	+1.2
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	227/302/334	107	261	9	17	17%	8%	82	+0.0	255/308/340	85	288	5	13	13%	7%	84	+0.2	264/325/346	82	304	4	14	13%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A	21	49→59	39→40	57→55	43	235/284/320	85	293	6	21	22%	5%	72	-0.7	255/301/321	66	316	4	22	19%	5%	78	-0.3	277/332/344	68	330	4	22	16%	5%	92	+0.4
✕Drew Cumberland 2010 · A	21	54	38→45	56→55	51	252/313/337	85	294	4	17	15%	7%	86	+0.3	269/314/393	124	321	11	18	19%	5%	99	+1.3	315/346/461	146	370	14	25	18%	4%	124	+1.7
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2016 · A	21	52	35→30	60	58	235/338/301	66	307	2	25	21%	12%	88	+0.5	219/281/293	74	322	4	19	30%	7%	64	-1.3	223/263/298	74	316	6	25	30%	5%	55	-0.6
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
●Ezequiel Carrera 2009 · A	22	50→60	39→45	57→60	46	235/297/328	93	300	6	20	23%	7%	78	-0.3	268/329/345	77	338	3	25	20%	8%	93	+0.8	279/339/344	65	344	2	32	18%	7%	94	+0.7
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	51→58	39→45	58→60	51	240/305/333	93	302	5	22	21%	9%	82	-0.0	250/306/350	100	317	7	27	22%	8%	86	+0.3	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
●Dylan Beavers 2023 · A	21	54→52	40→50	54→55	49	250/321/353	103	332	5	14	24%	9%	93	+0.8	230/303/363	133	312	12	21	28%	9%	89	+0.5	228/310/367	139	301	14	23	27%	10%	91	+0.6
✕Tre' Morgan 2024 · A	22	51→57	41→45	53→50	53	245/312/345	100	287	7	14	17%	9%	88	+0.4	256/323/381	125	309	11	12	20%	8%	101	+1.4	251/322/379	128	310	13	11	22%	8%	97	+0.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	52→62	38→45	56→50	45	246/290/332	86	302	5	15	20%	6%	76	-0.4	264/309/368	104	320	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.7	268/314/373	105	323	5	15	18%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	48→55	42→45	58→70	46	229/285/342	114	291	8	18	24%	7%	77	-0.3	223/277/319	96	299	8	18	26%	6%	69	-0.9	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3

Braylon Whitaker

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps