Victor Rodriguez

P FCL Marlins

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKMIA	7	0	9	6.00	5.32	11.1%	22.2%	—	K 11.1% · BB 22.2% · FIP 4.98
2025	18	ROKDSL Miami	6	2	17	4.76	2.34	21.5%	8.9%	—	K 14.6% · BB 11.1% · FIP 3.27
2026	19	MIX2 levels	22	8	45	5.56	4.95	20.9%	17.0%	—	K 14.7% · BB 20.8% · FIP 6.25
2027PROJ	20	MLBMIA	20	0	21	5.81	5.81	18.6%	17.6%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIA	20	0	21	5.48	5.35	19.9%	15.1%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsWill Kobos (age 20) · Over Galue (age 20) · Tanner Cooper (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.81

FIP5.81

K%18.6%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	0	9	45	5	10	0	0%	1.3	11.1%	22.2%	-11.1%	0.0%	6.00	4.98	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	0	9	45	5	10	0	0%	1.3	11.1%	22.2%	-11.1%	0.0%	6.00	4.98	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	7	0	9	45	5	10	0	0%	1.3	11.1%	22.2%	-11.1%	0.0%	6.00	5.32	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	6	2	17	79	17	7	0	33%	2.8	14.6%	11.1%	3.6%	0.0%	4.76	3.27	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	6	2	17	79	17	7	0	33%	2.8	14.6%	11.1%	3.6%	0.0%	4.76	3.27	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	6	2	17	79	17	7	0	33%	2.8	21.5%	8.9%	12.7%	0.0%	4.76	2.34	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	8	45	206	43	35	5	36%	2.1	14.7%	20.8%	-6.1%	3.2%	5.56	6.25	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	8	45	206	43	35	5	36%	2.1	14.7%	20.8%	-6.1%	3.2%	5.56	6.25	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	8	45	206	43	35	5	36%	2.1	20.9%	17.0%	3.9%	2.4%	5.56	4.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIA	20	0	21	89	17	16	3	0%	1.1	18.6%	17.6%	1.1%	3.1%	5.81	5.81	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	41	0	43	181	36	27	5	0%	1.0	19.9%	15.1%	4.8%	3.0%	5.48	5.35	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	20	0	21	89	18	13	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	15.1%	4.8%	3.0%	5.48	5.35	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	89	18	13	3	0%	1.1	19.9%	15.1%	4.8%	3.0%	5.48	4.97	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	124	29	0%	1.1	19.9%	15.1%	4.8%	3.0%	5.48	4.97	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		35	10	71	330	47	62	7	29%	2.0	14.2%	18.7%	-4.5%	2.0%	5.43	5.36	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	28	200	925	131	173	19	29%	2.0	14.2%	18.7%	-4.5%	2.0%	5.43	5.36	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.81	18.6%	17.6%	3.1%	—	5.35	19.9%	4.8%	43	-0.46	—	—	—
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	88
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	88
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	83
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	82
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	81
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	81
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	80
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	79
Yeiber Cartaya R 2023 · 5.38 FIP	20	SW	5.38	16.4%	21.2%	1.8%	.307	4.38	20.4%	3.8%	235	-1.00	4.12	283	79
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	79
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	79
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	79
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	79
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	79
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	19.5%	15.9%	1.17	5.59
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*