Cooper Flemming

SS Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 190 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP45OGV rank#130ETA2028MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ATB	518	.298/.384/.450	11	16	97	—	.264/.333/.390
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBTB	8	.243/.308/.371	0	0	91	0.0
2028PROJ45% MLB	21	MLBTB	220	.248/.314/.389	5	4	98	0.6
2029PROJ62% MLB	22	MLBTB	330	.252/.319/.402	9	6	103	1.1

Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$6M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wRC+82

K%82

Whiff%80

wOBA76

Z-Con%75

ISO61

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.8 / P90 23, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 68%

CompsMoisés Ballesteros (age 19) · Cole Young (age 20) · Hank Conger (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .308 / .371

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP293

ISO121

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$75M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$10M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2034	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$8M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$7M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+1.3	$5M	+$0.8M
Totals		$29M		$49M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	518	447	133	29	3	11	51	89	12	16	8	298	384	450	834	152	345	17	10	368	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	518	462	122	25	3	9	36	121	12	16	8	264	333	390	723	126	321	23	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	518	462	122	25	3	9	36	121	12	16	8	264	333	390	723	126	333	23	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	518	447	133	29	3	11	51	89	12	16	8	298	384	450	834	152	345	17	10	368	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	518	465	122	25	3	9	36	121	12	16	8	262	333	387	720	125	321	23	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	518	465	122	25	3	9	36	121	12	16	8	262	333	387	720	125	321	23	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	4%	628	569	137	27	4	13	44	134	10	11	4	241	306	371	677	130	290	21	7	303	91	-7	+1	-4	+7	+14	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	4%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	243	308	371	678	128	293	25	12	304	91	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	45%	490	444	109	21	3	12	35	103	8	8	3	246	312	390	702	144	291	21	7	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+5	+11	1.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	62%	537	485	121	23	3	15	39	111	8	9	3	250	317	403	720	153	292	21	7	320	103	+2	+1	-2	+6	+12	1.8
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	68%	560	504	127	24	3	17	42	115	9	9	3	252	320	412	732	159	293	21	8	325	106	+4	+1	-2	+6	+12	2.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	70%	578	520	132	25	3	18	44	118	9	9	3	254	322	417	739	163	294	20	8	328	108	+5	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	70%	590	531	136	26	3	19	45	121	9	9	3	254	323	420	743	166	294	21	8	329	109	+6	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	71%	599	539	137	26	3	19	46	123	9	9	3	254	323	421	744	166	294	21	8	329	109	+6	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	69%	596	536	136	26	3	19	46	123	9	8	3	253	322	418	740	165	293	21	8	328	108	+6	+0	-1	+6	+13	2.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	69%	585	527	132	25	3	18	45	122	8	7	3	252	320	414	734	162	293	21	8	325	106	+4	+0	-2	+6	+13	2.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	67%	568	512	128	24	3	17	43	120	8	6	3	249	318	408	725	158	292	21	8	322	104	+3	+0	-3	+6	+12	1.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	66%	552	498	123	23	3	16	42	119	7	6	3	247	314	400	715	154	290	22	8	318	101	+1	+0	-3	+6	+12	1.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	TB	65%	534	482	117	22	2	15	40	117	7	4	6	243	310	391	701	148	288	22	7	312	97	-2	-2	-4	+6	+12	1.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	TB	65%	511	463	110	20	2	14	37	114	6	3	28	237	303	379	682	141	284	22	7	304	92	-5	-11	-5	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	45%	220	199	48	9	1	5	16	46	3	4	1	248	314	389	703	141	294	21	7	313	98	-1	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.6
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	62%	330	298	75	14	2	9	24	68	5	6	2	252	319	402	720	150	295	21	7	320	103	+1	+0	-1	+4	+7	1.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	68%	383	345	87	16	2	11	29	79	6	6	2	254	321	410	732	156	296	21	8	325	106	+3	+0	-1	+4	+8	1.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	70%	403	364	92	17	2	12	30	83	6	6	2	256	324	416	739	160	297	21	7	328	108	+4	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	70%	415	374	96	18	2	13	32	85	6	6	2	256	324	418	742	162	297	20	8	329	109	+4	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	71%	423	382	97	18	2	13	32	87	6	6	2	256	324	419	743	163	297	21	8	329	109	+5	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	69%	413	372	94	17	2	13	32	85	6	6	2	255	324	417	740	162	296	21	8	328	108	+4	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.7
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	69%	402	362	92	17	2	12	31	84	6	5	2	253	322	412	734	159	296	21	8	326	106	+3	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	67%	380	343	86	16	2	11	29	81	5	4	2	251	319	406	725	155	295	21	8	322	104	+2	+0	-2	+4	+8	1.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	66%	363	328	81	15	2	10	27	78	5	4	2	248	316	399	715	151	293	21	7	318	101	+0	+0	-2	+4	+8	1.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	TB	65%	348	314	77	14	2	9	26	76	5	3	4	244	311	390	701	145	291	22	7	312	97	-1	-1	-3	+4	+8	0.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	TB	65%	331	300	73	13	2	9	24	74	4	2	18	239	305	378	683	138	287	22	7	305	92	-3	-7	-3	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4411	3981	998	184	23	127	332	926	63	58	41	251	318	404	722	153	295	21	8	322	103	+21	-5	-17	+47	+96	14.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	147	27	3	19	49	136	9	9	6	250	318	404	722	153	294	21	8	322	103	+3	-1	-3	+7	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7428	6693	1675	319	38	212	555	1572	112	107	73	250	318	404	723	154	295	21	7	320	103	+27	-8	-28	+74	+150	21.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	147	28	3	19	49	138	10	9	6	251	320	406	726	155	296	21	8	320	103	+3	-1	-3	+7	+14	2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 518 PAwOBA .364 → .312 (−52)K% 17.2% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.18%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	23.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.85%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.030	7.00%
HBP% /PA	2.32%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.86%
Singles /BIP	25.14%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.012	×1.030	24.12%
Doubles /BIP	8.10%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.012	×1.030	7.01%
Triples /BIP	0.84%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.012	×1.030	0.80%
Home runs /BIP	3.07%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .364 → .312; ISO .152 → .127; BABIP .345 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jay Bell'86-'03 * career totals — 17 seasons, 8,525 PA	12.8	8,525	195	91	257*	334*	419*	+73	+9	39.1	36.0
/162	664	15	7	+5.7	+0.7	3.0	pk7: 33
#2Asdrúbal Cabreralast yr '21 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,401 PA	11.1	7,401	195	91	266	329	423	+58	+11	38.2	32.2
/162	664	17	8	+5.2	+1.0	3.4	pk7: 26
#3Robby Thompson'86-'96 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,235 PA	7.9	5,235	119	103	254*	327*	426*	+19	+20	25.4	24.6
/162	664	15	13	+2.4	+2.5	3.2	pk7: 24
#4Phil Garner'73-'88 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,860 PA	10.3	6,860	109	225	256*	321*	420*	+25	+14	26.6	24.1
/162	664	11	22	+2.5	+1.3	2.6	pk7: 22
#5Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.7	4,419	131	58	251	315	409	+47	-9	18.7	16.2
/162	664	20	9	+7.1	-1.3	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cooper Flemming (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	239/303/368	129	290	4	4	21%	7%	91	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	41→51	46→50	45→40	50	210/283/334	125	261	14	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	248/309/379	131	301	14	4	21%	8%	95	+0.9	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	51→52	45	49→50	47	249/304/371	122	299	13	11	21%	7%	91	+0.6	242/328/367	125	291	10	13	19%	10%	99	+1.3	240/330/363	124	285	10	12	18%	10%	97	+1.0
✕Hank Conger 2008 · A	20	48→58	47→50	48→45	43	241/281/376	136	287	14	9	22%	5%	84	+0.1	255/300/394	139	301	15	4	20%	6%	95	+0.9	260/314/394	134	302	14	2	18%	7%	99	+0.9
✕Josue Briceño 2024 · A	19	43	44→60	45→40	45	212/270/332	119	265	11	5	24%	7%	70	-0.9	231/302/376	145	286	16	3	24%	8%	92	+0.7	230/310/399	168	278	22	1	25%	9%	99	+0.6
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	54→57	41→45	46→50	52	258/327/358	100	312	9	15	20%	9%	96	+1.0	243/315/344	101	290	8	10	18%	9%	88	+0.5	261/352/384	123	304	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.4
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→59	49→55	42→30	44	249/294/398	149	296	16	5	22%	6%	93	+0.8	268/308/425	157	313	19	2	20%	5%	105	+1.7	274/316/435	161	317	20	0	20%	5%	108	+1.5
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→48	42→55	45→50	49	189/279/298	109	272	9	7	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/296/340	135	284	14	9	30%	11%	82	-0.0	233/312/421	188	299	22	7	28%	10%	105	+1.6
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	53→56	46→50	46→55	55	258/340/385	126	301	13	14	18%	10%	108	+1.9	241/316/374	133	282	15	21	19%	9%	97	+1.1	231/310/357	126	266	13	22	18%	9%	88	+0.4
●Ryan McMahon 2015 · A	20	43→53	46→55	43→45	39	211/269/348	136	312	12	6	35%	7%	73	-0.6	240/294/393	153	349	15	7	33%	6%	93	+0.8	232/313/397	165	299	19	6	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→55	48→50	43→45	42	231/293/376	145	306	15	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	241/311/374	133	318	15	6	27%	8%	95	+0.9	239/318/366	128	315	14	5	27%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Jorbit Vivas 2022 · A	21	54→57	47→45	47→50	47	267/331/407	140	302	14	7	16%	6%	110	+2.1	241/322/356	115	273	10	11	15%	8%	95	+1.0	228/319/335	107	260	9	14	15%	9%	88	+0.4
●Kolten Wong 2012 · A	21	52→58	45→50	48→55	48	253/304/381	129	285	11	12	16%	6%	93	+0.8	259/304/373	114	299	10	19	16%	5%	91	+0.6	272/342/411	139	310	13	20	16%	7%	116	+1.7
✕John Drennen 2007 · A	20	48→58	43→45	45	44	234/295/346	113	303	10	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0	221/276/324	103	282	9	5	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	47→57	43→45	37→40	45	231/292/342	111	292	10	3	24%	7%	80	-0.1	252/320/366	114	316	9	3	22%	7%	96	+1.0	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
●Taylor Green 2008 · A	21	50→56	44→50	35→30	48	244/303/366	122	289	11	2	20%	7%	89	+0.5	246/305/371	125	283	13	3	17%	7%	92	+0.7	251/309/394	143	284	14	0	17%	7%	97	+0.8
●Alek Thomas 2021 · A	21	51→57	43→50	48→50	43	245/299/361	116	327	9	10	27%	6%	86	+0.3	253/307/401	148	314	13	11	23%	7%	99	+1.3	252/305/401	149	304	14	11	21%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Blake DeWitt 2006 · A	20	50→53	44→50	44→40	42	243/281/362	119	291	11	2	20%	5%	80	-0.2	243/287/373	130	287	14	4	20%	6%	85	+0.2	245/312/369	123	280	10	3	16%	8%	93	+0.7

Cooper Flemming

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps