Bruin Agbayani

SS St. Lucie Mets

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1322ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	AMIN	23	.250/.478/.250	0	3	89	—	.222/.391/.222
2026	19	A/INTL2 orgs	105	.195/.333/.264	0	5	62	—	.232/.328/.304
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBNYM	174	.229/.308/.326	2	4	81	0.1
2028PROJ25% MLB	21	MLBNYM	29	.225/.305/.325	0	1	85	0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	22	MLBNYM	79	.227/.307/.332	1	2	87	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%94

Whiff%80

Chase%79

K%73

Speed70

BB%63

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 2.0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 91%

CompsHoy Park (age 20) · Canaan Smith-Njigba (age 20) · Diego Velasquez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .305 / .323

PA48

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	16	4	0	0	0	7	3	0	3	0	250	478	250	728		308	13	30	370	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	64	53	13	4	0	0	10	8	1	3	0	245	375	321	696	75	289	12	16	328	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	41	34	4	2	0	0	7	13	0	2	0	118	268	176	445	59	190	32	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	18	4	0	0	0	5	4	0	3	0	222	391	222	614		289	17	22	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	64	56	13	4	0	0	7	11	1	3	0	232	328	304	632	71	278	17	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	18	4	0	0	0	5	4	0	3	0	222	391	222	614		286	17	22	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	16	4	0	0	0	7	3	0	3	0	250	478	250	728		308	13	30	370	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	92	21	6	0	0	12	18	1	5	0	228	324	293	617	65	284	17	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	105	87	17	6	0	0	17	21	1	5	0	195	333	264	598	69	258	20	16	288	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	18	4	0	0	0	5	4	0	3	0	222	391	222	614		289	17	22	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	91	21	6	0	0	12	18	1	5	0	231	324	297	621	66	278	17	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	23	18	4	0	0	0	5	4	0	3	0	222	391	222	614		289	17	22	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	105	91	21	6	0	0	12	18	1	5	0	231	324	297	621	66	278	17	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	174	154	36	7	1	2	16	41	2	4	1	229	308	326	634	97	295	24	9	289	81	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYM	25%	117	104	24	4	1	2	11	27	1	3	1	232	311	335	646	103	296	23	9	293	85	-2	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYM	38%	206	183	43	8	1	3	19	48	2	5	1	234	313	342	655	108	297	23	9	297	87	-3	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYM	45%	300	266	64	12	2	5	28	69	3	7	1	236	314	348	663	113	297	23	9	300	89	-4	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	374	333	80	15	2	7	34	86	4	9	2	237	316	354	669	116	298	23	9	302	91	-4	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	414	369	87	16	2	8	38	95	4	10	2	238	316	357	673	119	298	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	438	391	92	17	2	8	40	101	4	10	2	238	316	357	673	119	297	23	9	304	92	-4	+1	-1	+5	+9	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	446	398	94	18	2	8	41	103	4	10	2	237	315	354	669	117	297	23	9	302	91	-5	+1	-1	+5	+10	1.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYM	50%	447	399	93	17	2	8	41	104	4	9	2	235	313	350	663	115	296	23	9	300	89	-6	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYM	49%	439	392	91	17	2	7	40	104	4	7	1	233	311	344	654	111	295	24	9	296	87	-7	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	428	382	88	16	2	7	39	103	4	5	1	230	307	336	644	106	294	24	9	292	84	-8	+1	-3	+5	+9	0.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	412	369	83	15	2	6	37	100	3	2	1	226	303	327	630	101	291	24	9	286	80	-10	+0	-4	+4	+9	-0.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	391	350	78	14	2	5	35	97	3	1	1	221	297	315	612	94	288	25	9	279	75	-12	-0	-4	+4	+8	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYM	25%	29	26	5	1	0	0	3	7	0	1	0	225	305	325	630	100	287	24	10	287	85	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYM	38%	79	71	15	3	0	1	7	18	1	2	0	227	307	332	639	105	287	23	9	290	87	-1	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYM	45%	136	122	28	5	1	2	12	31	1	3	1	229	308	338	647	109	288	23	9	293	89	-2	+0	-1	+1	+3	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	180	159	37	7	1	3	17	42	2	4	1	230	309	343	653	113	288	23	9	296	91	-2	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	205	182	43	8	1	4	19	47	2	5	1	231	310	347	657	116	288	23	9	297	92	-2	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	221	197	45	8	1	4	20	51	2	5	1	231	310	347	656	116	288	23	9	297	92	-2	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	223	198	45	8	1	4	21	52	2	5	1	230	309	344	653	114	287	23	9	296	91	-2	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYM	50%	222	198	45	8	1	4	20	52	2	4	1	228	307	340	647	112	287	23	9	293	89	-3	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYM	49%	213	190	44	8	1	4	19	50	2	3	1	226	304	334	638	108	286	23	9	290	87	-3	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	223	199	45	8	1	4	20	53	2	3	1	223	301	327	628	103	285	24	9	285	84	-4	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	227	203	44	8	1	3	20	55	2	1	0	220	297	317	614	98	282	24	9	280	80	-5	+0	-2	+2	+5	0.0
2039	32	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	224	200	44	8	1	3	20	56	2	1	0	215	291	306	597	91	279	25	9	273	75	-7	+0	-3	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2182	1945	440	80	10	36	198	514	20	37	8	226	304	333	637	107	288	24	9	290	87	-35	+4	-11	+23	+47	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	132	24	3	11	59	153	6	11	2	228	306	337	643	109	289	24	9	290	87	-10	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	4588	4090	952	177	22	75	424	1070	41	87	17	233	311	342	653	109	296	23	9	296	87	-70	+9	-23	+48	+97	6.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	135	25	3	11	60	152	6	12	2	233	312	344	655	111	296	23	9	296	87	-10	+1	-3	+7	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASt. Lucie Mets · 64 PAwOBA .321 → .280 (−41)K% 12.5% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	17.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.62%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	11.27%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	1.27%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.034	×1.045	19.88%
Doubles /BIP	8.89%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.034	×1.045	7.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.034	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .321 → .280; ISO .075 → .068; BABIP .289 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 23 PAwOBA .363 → .300 (−63)K% 13.0% → 17.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.04%	÷0.994	×1.360	—	—	17.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	30.43%	÷1.054	×0.690	—	×1.050	20.91%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.77%	÷1.029	×0.920	—	×1.050	28.90%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.032	×0.830	—	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.898	×0.800	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .363 → .300; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .308 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#2Kevin Stocker'93-'00 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,197 PA	4.8	3,197	23	45	241*	324*	337*	+34	+8	6.4	6.5
/162	664	5	9	+7.1	+1.8	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.4	2,231	37	39	234	308	345	+24	-6	5.4	4.8
/162	664	11	12	+7.1	-1.8	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Larry Brown'63-'74 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,871 PA	5.8	3,871	47	22	242*	308*	348*	+32	-24	2.4	3.9
/162	664	8	4	+5.5	-4.1	0.4	pk7: 6
#5Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Luis Rivera'86-'98 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	28	20	232*	291*	357*	+24	+5	1.2	2.3
/162	664	8	5	+6.4	+1.4	0.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bruin Agbayani (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	227/305/323	96	295	1	1	24%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2019 · A	20	46→51	41→45	46→55	51	218/304/317	98	298	9	7	28%	10%	79	-0.2	237/308/353	116	333	10	11	29%	9%	88	+0.5	242/319/359	118	343	9	15	29%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2024 · A	20	48→57	42→45	51→55	48	234/298/345	111	291	9	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	255/308/360	105	318	8	17	21%	6%	90	+0.6	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	45→54	44→50	50→40	45	221/278/350	129	289	10	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	241/308/352	111	311	9	4	23%	9%	88	+0.4	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Cam Maron 2011 · A	20	47→57	40	50→40	47	226/291/320	94	287	8	6	23%	8%	74	-0.5	244/314/326	82	314	5	4	22%	8%	84	+0.2	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
●Jorbit Vivas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	49→50	47	215/289/297	81	268	3	11	20%	7%	69	-0.9	253/327/377	124	285	11	7	15%	7%	101	+1.4	252/334/373	121	281	11	9	14%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	44→50	41→50	47→45	46	215/282/311	96	276	9	12	25%	8%	70	-0.9	234/317/368	134	286	12	9	21%	10%	96	+1.0	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
●Bryan Rincon 2024 · A	20	43→47	43→45	49→55	54	210/307/319	109	268	10	19	24%	11%	82	-0.0	196/286/316	120	277	12	25	31%	10%	73	-0.6	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕John Drennen 2007 · A	20	48→58	43→45	45	44	234/295/346	113	303	10	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0	221/276/324	103	282	9	5	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/301/374	124	298	8	1	18%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	50→55	38→40	46→45	47	233/301/319	86	310	3	10	24%	8%	78	-0.3	248/302/338	90	307	5	8	20%	6%	82	-0.0	254/303/338	84	308	4	7	18%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Cole Young 2023 · A	20	51→52	45	49→50	47	249/304/371	122	299	13	11	21%	7%	91	+0.6	242/328/367	125	291	10	13	19%	10%	99	+1.3	240/330/363	124	285	10	12	18%	10%	97	+1.0
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	48	38→40	50	60	221/321/305	85	261	4	10	16%	12%	83	+0.1	203/276/272	69	258	3	7	20%	9%	58	-1.7	170/226/236	67	206	0	6	17%	6%	28	-0.9
✕Shed Long Jr. 2016 · A	20	44→50	42→50	44→50	43	216/269/322	106	282	10	6	27%	6%	66	-1.1	235/294/368	133	322	13	11	29%	7%	87	+0.4	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Tucker Barnhart 2011 · A	20	47→53	35→45	48→40	45	217/281/283	66	304	2	7	28%	8%	62	-1.4	230/289/313	83	297	4	3	22%	8%	72	-0.7	241/315/366	125	285	12	2	19%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9

Bruin Agbayani

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps