Conor Essenburg

OF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 20 R/L 6'2" / 200 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTFG #326MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP48ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	A+ATL	136	.235/.418/.392	3	5	81	—	.196/.328/.330
2026	19	AATL	279	.286/.431/.564	14	6	106	—	.216/.330/.411
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBATL	545	.220/.323/.379	16	10	100	0.8
2028PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBATL	227	.224/.327/.390	7	4	104	0.5
2029PROJ68% MLB	22	MLBATL	346	.228/.330/.398	11	7	107	0.9

Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$5M2034Arb-2$8M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%95

Chase%93

wRC+81

wOBA73

Speed61

ISO52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 24, comp-based) · star 9% · didn't stick 77%

CompsAndy Pages (age 20) · Luke Adams (age 20) · Noelvi Marte (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .321 / .375

PA320

HR10

SB6

K%28

BB%12

ISO159

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$52M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$7M	+$3M
2035	Arb-3	$10M	+1.2	$5M	+$1.0M
Totals		$25M		$44M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A+	Rome Emperors	—	136	102	24	7	0	3	28	32	4	5	0	235	418	392	810	157	304	24	21	370	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	279	220	63	13	3	14	55	88	1	6	2	286	431	564	995	277	405	32	20	429	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	20	17	3	0	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	176	300	176	476		300	35	15	240	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	136	112	22	6	0	3	18	42	4	5	0	196	328	330	659	134	256	31	13	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	279	236	51	10	3	10	39	120	1	6	2	216	330	411	741	195	365	43	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	1	111	200	111	311		245	50	10	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	435	367	75	16	3	13	58	172	5	11	3	204	321	371	692	166	332	40	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	435	339	90	20	3	17	86	127	5	11	3	265	421	493	914	227	365	29	20	402	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	435	369	75	16	3	13	58	172	5	11	3	203	321	369	689	165	325	40	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	435	369	75	16	3	13	58	172	5	11	3	203	321	369	689	165	325	40	13	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	545	468	103	20	3	16	66	153	6	10	2	220	323	379	702	159	285	28	12	316	100	+0	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	470	405	90	17	2	15	57	129	5	9	2	224	327	390	718	166	286	27	12	322	104	+2	+1	-0	-3	+10	1.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	ATL	68%	507	435	100	19	3	17	61	136	6	10	2	228	330	398	728	170	287	27	12	326	107	+4	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	ATL	76%	548	472	109	21	3	18	65	145	6	11	2	230	331	403	735	173	288	26	12	328	108	+6	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	ATL	78%	592	510	118	22	3	20	70	154	7	11	3	233	332	407	739	174	289	26	12	330	110	+7	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	ATL	79%	632	546	128	24	3	22	74	163	7	12	3	234	332	408	740	174	289	26	12	330	110	+7	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	ATL	79%	638	552	128	24	3	22	74	165	7	12	3	233	332	408	740	174	289	26	12	330	110	+7	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	ATL	78%	636	550	127	24	3	21	74	165	7	11	3	232	331	405	736	173	288	26	12	329	109	+7	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	ATL	77%	631	545	126	24	3	21	74	165	7	10	3	230	329	400	729	170	287	26	12	326	107	+5	+1	-0	-4	+14	1.6
2036	29	MLB MLE	ATL	75%	620	537	122	23	3	20	72	164	6	9	3	228	326	393	719	166	286	26	12	322	104	+3	+1	-1	-4	+13	1.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	ATL	80%	609	528	118	22	3	19	70	163	6	8	3	224	322	385	707	161	283	27	11	318	101	+1	+0	-2	-4	+13	0.9
2038	31	MLB MLE	ATL	84%	595	516	113	21	2	18	68	162	6	7	4	220	318	375	692	155	280	27	11	312	97	-2	-0	-2	-4	+13	0.5
2039	32	MLB MLE	ATL	86%	576	501	108	20	2	17	65	159	5	6	7	214	311	361	673	147	276	28	11	304	92	-6	-2	-3	-3	+12	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	227	195	43	8	1	7	27	62	3	4	1	224	327	390	718	166	286	27	12	322	104	+1	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	ATL	68%	346	298	68	13	2	11	41	93	4	7	2	228	330	398	728	170	287	27	12	326	107	+3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.9
2030	23	MLB CTX	ATL	76%	418	360	83	16	2	14	50	110	5	8	2	230	331	403	735	173	288	26	12	328	108	+4	+1	+0	-3	+9	1.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	ATL	78%	461	399	92	17	2	16	54	120	5	9	2	233	332	407	739	174	289	26	12	330	110	+5	+1	+0	-3	+10	1.4
2032	25	MLB CTX	ATL	79%	497	430	101	19	3	17	58	128	6	9	2	234	332	408	740	174	289	26	12	330	110	+6	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	ATL	79%	504	434	102	19	3	17	59	130	6	9	2	233	332	408	740	174	289	26	12	330	110	+6	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	ATL	78%	493	427	99	19	2	17	58	128	5	9	2	232	331	405	736	173	288	26	12	329	109	+5	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	ATL	77%	485	420	96	18	2	16	57	127	5	8	2	230	329	400	729	170	287	26	12	326	107	+4	+1	-0	-3	+11	1.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	ATL	75%	463	401	91	17	2	15	54	123	5	7	2	228	326	393	719	166	286	27	12	322	104	+2	+1	-1	-3	+10	1.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	ATL	80%	488	424	95	18	2	15	56	131	5	7	2	224	322	385	707	161	283	27	11	318	101	+1	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	ATL	84%	499	434	95	18	2	15	57	136	5	6	3	220	318	375	692	155	280	27	11	312	97	-2	+0	-2	-3	+11	0.4
2039	32	MLB CTX	ATL	86%	498	434	93	17	2	14	56	138	5	5	6	214	311	361	673	147	276	28	11	304	92	-5	-1	-3	-3	+11	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5379	4656	1058	199	25	174	627	1426	59	88	28	227	326	393	719	166	287	27	12	323	104	+30	+6	-6	-32	+117	11.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	563	128	24	3	21	76	172	7	11	3	227	327	393	720	165	287	26	12	323	104	+4	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7809	6739	1524	289	38	253	921	2132	83	133	42	226	326	393	719	167	289	27	12	322	104	+41	+9	-8	-44	+160	16.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	127	24	3	21	77	177	7	11	3	226	327	392	719	166	290	27	12	322	104	+4	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	10.9	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
/162	664	17	10	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#2Tom Brunansky'81-'94 * career totals — 13 seasons, 7,169 PA	10.8	7,169	271	69	243*	327*	457*	-77	-6	19.0	17.7
/162	664	25	6	-7.1	-0.5	1.8	pk7: 16
#3Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.6	5,700	185	93	228	324	395	-34	+0	16.0	13.6
/162	664	21	11	-4.0	+0.0	1.9	pk7: 11
#4Max West'38-'48 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,057 PA	4.6	3,057	77	19	245*	335*	446*	-31	+6	13.4	13.4
/162	664	17	4	-6.7	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 13
#5Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#6Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Conor Essenburg (OGILVIE)	20	25→42	37→51	51→49	50	218/321/375	158	285	10	6	28%	12%	100	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Luke Adams 2024 · A	20	42→39	44→50	53→55	51	201/318/323	122	288	11	21	31%	11%	88	+0.4	207/347/351	144	268	15	19	27%	12%	106	+1.8	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
✕Noelvi Marte 2022 · A	20	45→55	48→50	51→55	44	224/289/369	144	298	16	14	29%	8%	86	+0.3	237/299/368	131	306	15	18	26%	7%	88	+0.5	247/296/385	137	310	14	21	24%	5%	91	+0.4
●Sal Stewart 2024 · A	20	49→53	43→55	48→50	55	236/321/346	110	286	11	10	21%	11%	92	+0.7	249/321/397	148	298	16	12	21%	9%	104	+1.6	255/323/425	170	297	21	13	21%	8%	109	+1.8
●Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	45→48	49→60	46→50	47	220/300/377	156	305	15	6	31%	9%	92	+0.7	206/285/353	147	323	17	6	38%	9%	81	-0.1	222/305/421	199	281	26	11	30%	10%	104	+1.3
●Coby Mayo 2022 · A	20	49→48	49→60	55→45	47	243/314/397	154	308	17	13	26%	8%	101	+1.4	228/301/402	174	307	20	6	31%	8%	98	+1.2	225/308/413	188	297	21	4	30%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	49→51	44→50	48→55	46	237/306/359	122	312	12	12	27%	8%	89	+0.5	247/312/378	131	315	13	16	24%	7%	96	+1.0	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→46	51→50	51→45	45	211/318/370	159	292	18	7	32%	9%	99	+1.2	219/326/372	153	274	16	7	25%	8%	101	+1.4	219/329/369	150	272	17	7	24%	9%	99	+0.8
✕Xavier Isaac 2024 · A	20	45→44	51→55	55→50	48	228/303/392	164	299	18	9	29%	9%	96	+1.0	216/302/390	174	327	21	12	37%	10%	96	+1.0	205/305/390	184	309	24	14	38%	12%	94	+0.6
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→55	48→50	43→45	42	231/293/376	145	306	15	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	241/311/374	133	318	15	6	27%	8%	95	+0.9	239/318/366	128	315	14	5	27%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Marco Luciano 2021 · A	19	46→51	50	46→45	45	229/304/385	155	317	17	10	32%	8%	95	+1.0	213/279/361	148	307	18	5	35%	8%	80	-0.1	219/303/364	145	307	18	7	32%	10%	87	+0.3
●Junior Caminero 2023 · A	20	46→55	48→65	53→45	45	233/290/368	135	275	17	10	22%	6%	86	+0.3	260/306/451	191	302	26	6	23%	6%	111	+2.1	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
✕Harry Ford 2023 · A	20	48→53	46→45	53→55	51	224/330/360	136	328	13	14	32%	11%	99	+1.3	225/334/351	126	300	12	18	26%	12%	99	+1.3	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	47→57	46→55	47→55	44	234/286/363	129	291	13	12	24%	6%	82	+0.0	262/312/422	160	320	13	18	21%	6%	105	+1.7	272/324/442	170	325	14	20	20%	6%	113	+2.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	44→51	46→60	49→50	53	217/301/350	133	262	13	15	22%	10%	86	+0.3	235/307/404	169	301	19	11	27%	8%	101	+1.4	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	44→54	45→55	49→50	41	220/273/347	128	293	12	11	29%	6%	74	-0.5	259/309/398	139	326	14	13	24%	6%	99	+1.3	267/319/412	145	327	15	13	22%	6%	104	+1.4
✕George Valera 2022 · AA	21	44→43	52→50	49→45	52	221/322/385	164	301	20	12	32%	12%	102	+1.5	215/299/365	150	300	18	6	32%	10%	88	+0.5	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
●Jackson Chourio 2023 · AA	19	43→53	49→60	51→55	39	217/269/368	151	298	16	12	32%	6%	78	-0.3	255/299/422	167	316	18	23	24%	6%	101	+1.4	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Roman Anthony 2024 · AA	20	48→57	47→50	49→50	50	230/314/369	139	322	13	11	31%	10%	95	+0.9	254/340/410	156	347	15	12	28%	11%	114	+2.3	261/352/422	161	350	16	11	27%	12%	119	+2.1
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	47	52→65	54→50	37	238/286/414	176	325	19	12	32%	5%	95	+0.9	228/279/388	160	328	18	10	34%	6%	86	+0.3	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3

Conor Essenburg

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps