Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
13
12
52
251
65
24
4
92%
4.0
16.9%
12.1%
4.8%
2.4%
7.14
4.50
—
2026
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
13
12
52
251
65
24
4
92%
4.0
16.9%
12.1%
4.8%
2.4%
7.14
4.50
—
2026
19
MIXRAW
2 levels
13
12
52
251
65
24
4
92%
4.0
25.9%
9.6%
16.3%
1.6%
7.14
2.98
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
20
MLB
LAA
6
6
29
122
25
14
4
100%
4.8
20.2%
11.6%
8.6%
3.0%
4.87
4.87
+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
21
MLBMLE
LAA
10
10
49
206
43
22
6
100%
4.9
21.0%
10.7%
10.4%
2.9%
4.71
4.65
+0.1
2029
22
MLBMLE
LAA
10
10
51
216
48
21
6
100%
5.1
22.1%
9.8%
12.3%
2.9%
4.52
4.42
+0.3
2030
23
MLBMLE
LAA
10
10
53
224
51
21
6
100%
5.3
22.9%
9.2%
13.7%
2.8%
4.36
4.26
+0.4
2031
24
MLBMLE
LAA
10
10
54
230
54
20
6
100%
5.4
23.4%
8.9%
14.6%
2.8%
4.24
4.15
+0.5
2032
25
MLBMLE
LAA
9
9
55
233
55
20
6
100%
6.1
23.8%
8.7%
15.2%
2.8%
4.15
4.09
+0.5
2033
26
MLBMLE
LAA
9
9
55
233
56
20
6
100%
6.1
24.0%
8.6%
15.4%
2.8%
4.10
4.07
+0.5
2034
27
MLBMLE
LAA
9
9
54
229
55
20
6
100%
6.0
24.0%
8.7%
15.3%
2.8%
4.10
4.10
+0.5
2028
21
MLBCTX
LAA
5
5
24
101
21
11
3
100%
4.8
21.0%
10.7%
10.4%
3.0%
4.74
4.68
+0.1
2029
22
MLBCTX
LAA
7
7
37
156
35
15
5
100%
5.3
22.1%
9.8%
12.3%
2.9%
4.55
4.45
+0.2
2030
23
MLBCTX
LAA
8
8
45
190
43
17
5
100%
5.6
22.9%
9.2%
13.7%
2.9%
4.39
4.29
+0.3
2031
24
MLBCTX
LAA
9
9
48
203
48
18
6
100%
5.3
23.4%
8.9%
14.6%
2.8%
4.27
4.18
+0.4
2032
25
MLBCTX
LAA
9
9
51
215
51
19
6
100%
5.7
23.8%
8.7%
15.2%
2.8%
4.18
4.12
+0.5
2033
26
MLBCTX
LAA
8
8
51
215
52
19
6
100%
6.4
24.0%
8.6%
15.4%
2.8%
4.13
4.10
+0.5
2034
27
MLBCTX
LAA
9
9
52
220
53
19
6
100%
5.8
24.0%
8.7%
15.3%
2.9%
4.13
4.13
+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
55
55
308
1301
303
118
37
100%
5.6
23.3%
9.1%
14.2%
2.9%
4.30
3.86
+3.9
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
36
36
200
844
197
77
24
100%
5.6
23.3%
9.1%
14.2%
2.9%
4.30
3.86
+2.5
Career
—
MLE
13
12
52
251
42
30
6
92%
4.0
16.9%
12.1%
4.8%
2.4%
7.14
4.50
+2.9
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
50
46
200
972
164
117
23
92%
4.0
16.9%
12.1%
4.8%
2.4%
7.14
4.50
+1.6
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.