Daniel Bucciero3B Stockton Ports
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 215 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION370 act + 246 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†94
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .311 / .369
PA246
HR6
SB6
K%30
BB%9
BABIP318
ISO137
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +2.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +17.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+17REPTotal WAR: +2.10+2.1WAR
0.01.42.81.61.92.22.32.32.32.21.91.71.4+$140M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT33
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE57
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.3$13M+$12M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.3$12M+$11M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.2$10M+$10M
2034Arb-1$4M+1.9$8M+$7M
2035Arb-2$5M+1.7$7M+$5M
2036Arb-3$6M+1.4$5M+$3M
Totals $18M $55M +$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AOAK 370324 821239 331239 110 253339392731 139372 339 315 100 -0 +2 +0 +1 +10 1.4
YTD21 AOAK 370310 9515410 47929 110 306413477890 171401 2513 394 159 +25 +2 +0 +1 +10 4.0
ROS21 AOAK 0% 246219 51826 21734 61 232311369679 137318 309 308 94 -2 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.7
ROS21 MLBOAK 0% 01 0000 000 00 316 292 81 +0 +0
FULL21 AOAK 370325 821239 331239 110 252339391730 138371 339 315 100 -0 +2 +0 +1 +10 1.4
TOT21 AOAK 616543 13320515 5419613 171 245328383710 138349 329 312 97 -2 +3 +0 +2 +17 2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBOAK 43% 581517 12220415 501699 111 236314377691 141315 299 307 93 -5 +2 +0 +2 +16 1.6
202823 MLBOAK 61% 609542 12821416 531739 122 236315378693 142314 289 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +2 +17 1.9
202924 MLBOAK 66% 627558 13322417 551769 132 238317384700 145314 289 315 99 -1 +2 +0 +2 +18 2.2
203025 MLBOAK 69% 638568 13522418 561779 132 238316386702 148313 289 317 101 +0 +2 +0 +2 +18 2.3
203126 MLBOAK 70% 637567 13522418 561779 132 238316386703 148313 289 317 101 +1 +2 +0 +2 +18 2.3
203227 MLBOAK 69% 634563 13422418 571779 132 238318387705 149313 289 317 101 +1 +2 +0 +2 +18 2.3
203328 MLBOAK 68% 629558 13322418 571769 132 238319389708 151312 289 316 100 +0 +2 -1 +2 +18 2.2
203429 MLBOAK 67% 619549 13021417 561759 122 237318383700 146311 289 314 99 -1 +2 -1 +2 +18 1.9
203530 MLBOAK 66% 609539 12721317 561739 122 236318380698 145309 289 311 96 -3 +2 -2 +2 +17 1.7
203631 MLBOAK 65% 595527 12220316 541719 111 231314372685 140307 299 307 93 -5 +2 -3 +2 +17 1.4
203732 MLBOAK 70% 576511 11618315 521688 101 227308362670 135303 299 301 89 -7 +2 -4 +2 +16 0.9
203833 MLBOAK 74% 546484 10716313 491628 91 221303347650 126299 309 294 83 -10 +1 -4 +2 +15 0.5
202722 MLBOAK 43% 251223 52826 22734 51 233313368681 135312 299 293 83 -5 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.4
202823 MLBOAK 61% 371330 7813210 321066 71 236315379694 142311 299 298 86 -6 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.7
202924 MLBOAK 66% 415370 8714311 361166 91 235313378691 143311 289 301 89 -5 +1 +0 +1 +12 1.0
203025 MLBOAK 69% 438390 9215312 391226 91 236315382697 146310 289 303 90 -5 +1 +0 +2 +12 1.1
203126 MLBOAK 70% 445396 9315312 391247 91 235314379693 144310 289 304 91 -5 +1 +0 +2 +13 1.1
203227 MLBOAK 69% 437388 9215312 391227 91 237318384702 147310 289 304 91 -5 +1 +0 +2 +12 1.1
203328 MLBOAK 68% 431383 9115312 391216 91 238318386704 149309 289 303 90 -5 +1 -0 +2 +12 1.0
203429 MLBOAK 67% 413366 8514211 381176 81 232315372686 139308 289 301 88 -5 +1 -1 +1 +12 0.8
203530 MLBOAK 66% 400354 8213211 371146 81 232315373688 141307 289 298 86 -6 +1 -1 +1 +11 0.6
203631 MLBOAK 65% 387343 7913210 351116 71 230312367680 137304 299 294 83 -7 +1 -2 +1 +11 0.4
203732 MLBOAK 70% 406360 8113210 371186 71 225308356663 131301 299 288 79 -10 +1 -2 +1 +12 0.2
203833 MLBOAK 74% 404358 7912210 371206 71 221304349653 128296 309 282 74 -12 +1 -3 +1 +11 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 47984262 99116029127 430136472 9412 233313373687 141309 289 298 86 -76 +14 -10 +17 +136 8.2
/ 162G 650577 13422417 5818510 132 232313373686 140310 289 298 86 -10 +2 -1 +2 +18 1.1
Career 75466702 157325546204 6722147110 14821 235315378692 143312 289 311 96 -33 +21 -15 +27 +214 21.9
/ 162G 650577 13622418 581859 132 236315381696 146313 289 311 96 -3 +2 -1 +2 +18 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16
career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA
115,13915587251330422+8-322.321.3
/1626642011+1.0-0.42.9pk7: 20
#2Chris Younglast yr '18
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA
135,316191142235314428-0+321.320.7
/1626642418-0.0+0.42.7pk7: 20
#3Bill Halllast yr '11
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA
93,62112362249308437+22+715.916.6
/1626642311+4.1+1.32.9pk7: 17
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA
104,42417870230288422+16+3215.215.0
/1626642711+2.4+4.92.3pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
95,118139101235311379+18+414.512.4
/1626641813+2.4+0.61.9pk7: 10
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#6Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA
63,1508634246304402-0+239.79.7
/162664187-0.0+4.92.1pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Daniel Bucciero (OGILVIE) 21 28→33 45→50 49→54 57 245/328/383 138349 1517 32% 9% 97 +2.1
Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A
21 43→45 45→55 51→55 44 215/274/342 127287 1211 29% 7% 70 -0.3 231/293/393 162278 1913 24% 7% 92 +1.2 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
Kevin Padlo
2017 · A
21 37→40 46→55 46→50 47 187/275/320 133269 139 34% 10% 66 -0.6 187/271/328 141273 148 34% 9% 66 -0.6 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
Jason Taylor
2009 · A
21 42→39 46→45 53→55 51 210/295/335 126263 1320 25% 10% 78 +0.2 210/269/323 113265 1117 24% 7% 63 -0.8 202/247/30210024981822%5%46-0.6
Johan Mieses
2016 · A
21 40→33 46→55 52→50 39 205/249/339 134269 1414 29% 5% 59 -1.1 183/230/341 158264 204 38% 5% 52 -1.6 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
Juan Mora
2021 · A
21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
Jerry Sands
2009 · A
21 35→45 50→60 51→45 45 191/275/338 147260 198 33% 9% 71 -0.3 228/294/419 191283 246 28% 8% 99 +1.7 225/292/42019527325727%8%97+1.3
Ravel Santana
2011 · A
19 43 46→50 51→55 47 216/296/344 128273 1516 26% 8% 81 +0.4 220/281/361 141294 1513 29% 7% 78 +0.2 205/253/387182264221531%6%72-0.1
Brennen Davis
2021 · A
21 47→41 48→50 51→45 43 235/298/375 140305 169 27% 7% 89 +1.0 201/278/338 137293 168 35% 7% 72 -0.2 185/285/36518023225431%8%81+0.2
Ceddanne Rafaela
2022 · A
21 42→48 47→55 59→55 38 216/258/360 144272 1415 26% 4% 68 -0.5 239/275/399 160304 1822 27% 4% 85 +0.7 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
Aaron Luna
2009 · A
22 42→44 50 51→45 45 210/316/367 157290 187 32% 8% 96 +1.5 216/319/370 154271 177 26% 8% 98 +1.6 214/320/36715226717725%8%95+0.9
Bo Naylor
2021 · A
21 40→44 44→55 51→50 41 201/254/327 127274 117 30% 6% 57 -1.2 199/281/358 159276 1913 33% 10% 79 +0.3 218/311/403185271231227%11%99+1.3
Sean Rodríguez
2006 · A
21 43→49 45→60 49→50 52 213/296/343 130256 1215 22% 10% 80 +0.4 230/299/397 167296 1911 28% 7% 96 +1.5 237/310/439202292251227%7%107+1.7
Max Muncy
2023 · A
20 38→45 48→55 50 41 195/268/337 143297 1712 38% 8% 67 -0.5 211/276/338 127323 139 36% 7% 70 -0.3 226/295/38816231320632%6%90+0.5
Alexander Canario
2021 · A
21 44→34 50→60 48→50 40 223/281/376 154307 188 33% 7% 82 +0.5 201/256/378 177290 2314 38% 6% 72 -0.2 205/276/414209281281337%8%87+0.5
Tyler Kolodny
2009 · A
21 46→36 44→45 53→50 42 227/288/350 123294 128 26% 6% 79 +0.3 207/279/338 131277 138 29% 6% 72 -0.2 198/277/33113326113928%6%67-0.3
Hao-Yu Lee
2023 · A
20 48→47 45→55 48→55 46 233/305/357 125310 1212 27% 8% 87 +0.8 242/305/384 142306 1516 25% 7% 94 +1.3 248/306/416169299181623%6%100+1.2
Jeferson Quero
2023 · A
20 44→42 44→50 49→45 41 219/269/335 116284 129 27% 6% 66 -0.6 226/283/364 138283 167 25% 7% 79 +0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
Carlos Jimenez
2023 · A
20 38→43 46→55 53→50 45 188/278/321 133289 1416 37% 10% 68 -0.5 217/294/348 131331 1416 35% 9% 81 +0.4 229/308/399169310211831%9%95+0.9
Sean Coyle
2012 · A
20 38→34 48→50 53→50 42 192/272/344 152278 1513 35% 8% 70 -0.3 196/254/341 145281 1714 35% 6% 62 -0.9 192/251/359168278231539%7%64-0.4
Deibinson Romero
2008 · A
21 47→45 44→55 48→40 44 233/292/354 121295 128 25% 6% 81 +0.4 209/271/306 97290 84 29% 7% 59 -1.1 221/287/39016926123225%7%87+0.7