Nick Goodwin — OGILVIE

Nick GoodwinSS New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION408 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP257

ISO118

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	21	15	4	2	0	0	5	5	1	0	1	267	476	400	876	133	400	24	24	410	163	+2	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	114	95	23	2	3	3	9	22	8	3	1	242	357	421	778	179	278	19	8	346	120	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	402	81	16	2	9	33	116	13	7	4	201	283	318	602	117	257	26	7	275	72	-15	-0	—	—	+10	-0.5
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	320	78	13	1	12	52	69	10	10	3	244	366	403	770	159	275	18	14	348	122	+10	+1	—	—	+8	1.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	21	17	4	2	0	0	3	7	1	0	1	235	381	353	734	118	333	33	14	302	91	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	114	98	19	2	2	2	6	31	8	3	1	194	295	316	611	122	234	27	5	268	68	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	414	58	10	1	6	21	166	13	7	4	140	205	213	418	72	208	37	5	189	14	-46	-0	—	—	+10	-3.7
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	341	63	10	1	11	31	101	10	10	3	185	272	317	589	132	223	26	8	260	62	-17	+1	—	—	+8	-0.8
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	135	114	21	3	2	2	10	37	9	3	2	184	301	298	599	114	247	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	135	110	27	4	3	3	14	27	9	3	2	245	376	418	794	173	293	20	10	355	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	414	58	10	1	6	21	166	13	7	4	140	205	213	418	72	212	37	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	402	81	16	2	9	33	116	13	7	4	201	283	318	602	117	257	26	7	275	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	341	63	10	1	11	31	101	10	10	3	185	272	317	589	132	226	26	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	320	78	13	1	12	52	69	10	10	3	244	366	403	770	159	275	18	14	348	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	135	115	21	3	2	2	10	37	9	3	2	183	301	296	596	113	249	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	414	58	10	1	6	21	166	13	7	4	140	205	213	418	72	208	37	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	341	63	10	1	11	31	101	10	10	3	185	272	317	589	132	223	26	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	135	115	21	3	2	2	10	37	9	3	2	183	301	296	596	113	249	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	414	58	10	1	6	21	166	13	7	4	140	205	213	418	72	208	37	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	341	63	10	1	11	31	101	10	10	3	185	272	317	589	132	223	26	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	TOR	—	408	359	82	25	3	9	35	101	8	2	3	228	311	390	701	162	286	25	9	304	92	-4	-1	+0	+4	+9	0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	TOR	—	312	261	69	21	3	10	40	64	5	2	3	264	373	483	855	218	306	21	13	371	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	TOR	—	96	82	21	8	0	1	11	19	3	0	0	256	365	390	755	134	323	20	11	345	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	TOR	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		256	22	11	280	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	TOR	—	417	367	83	25	3	9	36	103	8	2	3	226	309	384	693	158	284	25	9	304	92	-4	-1	+0	+4	+9	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	31%	369	330	67	17	2	8	29	96	7	3	2	203	281	339	621	136	257	26	8	281	77	-10	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	45%	406	363	75	18	2	10	33	104	7	3	2	207	285	350	635	143	260	26	8	286	80	-10	-0	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	49%	420	376	78	19	2	10	34	108	7	3	2	207	285	348	634	141	261	26	8	288	81	-9	-0	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	424	379	79	19	2	10	35	109	7	3	2	208	287	348	636	140	262	26	8	288	81	-10	-0	-1	+5	+9	0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	420	375	77	18	2	10	35	109	7	3	2	205	285	344	629	139	261	26	8	286	80	-10	-0	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	414	369	76	18	2	10	35	108	7	3	2	206	287	347	634	141	260	26	8	284	78	-11	-0	-2	+4	+9	0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	31%	114	102	21	5	1	3	9	30	2	1	1	206	283	363	646	157	258	26	8	269	77	-3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	45%	181	161	33	8	1	4	15	47	3	2	1	205	285	342	627	137	261	26	8	274	80	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	49%	207	184	38	9	1	5	17	53	4	2	1	207	288	348	636	141	263	26	8	276	81	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	219	195	41	10	1	5	18	56	4	2	1	210	290	349	639	138	263	26	8	276	81	-5	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	217	193	40	10	1	5	18	56	4	2	1	207	288	347	636	140	262	26	8	275	80	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	213	189	39	9	1	5	18	56	4	1	1	206	289	344	633	138	261	26	8	272	78	-6	-0	-1	+2	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1151	1024	212	51	6	27	95	298	21	10	6	207	288	348	635	141	262	26	8	274	69	-28	-0	-2	+12	+25	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	119	29	3	15	54	168	12	6	3	206	287	344	632	138	261	26	8	274	69	-16	-0	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3433	3069	595	132	16	77	264	940	74	38	21	194	274	323	596	129	250	27	8	270	69	-60	-1	-4	+26	+53	1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	113	25	3	15	50	178	14	7	4	194	274	325	600	131	251	27	8	270	69	-16	-0	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,157	28	9	208	284	350	+12	+9	1.5	1.5
/162	664	16	5	+7.1	+5.2	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Goodwin (OGILVIE)	24	45	45	45	55	199/278/338	138	256	7	3	26%	8%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	49→50	43	193/273/321	128	259	13	9	30%	7%	70	-0.9	215/289/341	126	276	12	9	25%	7%	79	-0.2	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Andre Lipcius 2022 · AA	24	43→49	44→45	48→45	46	214/273/331	117	273	11	7	25%	8%	70	-0.8	230/300/357	127	286	13	8	23%	9%	86	+0.3	229/301/358	129	284	15	7	24%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Chuckie Robinson 2019 · A	24	41→51	45	44→45	39	210/251/329	119	275	12	6	28%	5%	61	-1.5	198/250/298	100	280	10	8	32%	5%	55	-2.0	234/287/347	113	292	13	7	24%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Mitch Nay 2018 · A	24	37→47	44→50	47→30	38	194/237/310	115	255	13	3	29%	5%	52	-2.2	223/278/354	131	281	14	3	25%	6%	78	-0.3	214/280/355	141	270	16	2	26%	8%	77	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	46→45	46→45	44	182/271/305	123	284	14	6	38%	10%	65	-1.2	206/290/331	125	292	13	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	37→40	46→55	48→45	41	194/258/325	131	264	14	9	32%	7%	64	-1.3	204/278/363	159	283	19	5	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/279/422	206	274	28	2	32%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Larry Cobb 2009 · A	24	42→43	43→45	48→50	46	208/273/316	108	257	11	12	23%	7%	68	-1.0	215/275/332	117	288	12	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	176/235/286	110	248	15	4	34%	4%	43	-0.5
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	42→44	45→55	49→50	46	211/275/328	117	264	14	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	213/275/347	134	274	15	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Brian Serven 2019 · A	24	42	42→50	41→30	41	206/258/318	112	267	9	4	26%	5%	62	-1.4	192/248/315	123	247	13	4	27%	5%	58	-1.7	217/296/335	118	314	12	1	32%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/305/312	96	290	6	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	208/311/302	94	281	5	10	24%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Alika Williams 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	41→45	43→45	44	212/271/307	95	272	9	7	25%	7%	64	-1.3	223/279/323	100	286	9	7	24%	6%	70	-0.8	238/286/342	104	298	8	5	22%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Pedro Pagés 2023 · AAA	24	41→45	44→50	44→40	41	201/265/312	111	295	12	4	34%	7%	63	-1.3	224/284/356	132	292	15	4	27%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/364	137	285	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	38→48	46→45	47→45	46	195/269/321	126	268	13	5	31%	9%	68	-1.0	226/287/344	118	301	12	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	231/291/344	113	305	11	4	27%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	40→45	43→45	48→45	46	200/265/306	106	257	11	6	26%	8%	62	-1.4	212/281/326	114	273	12	7	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/280/316	108	268	11	6	26%	9%	68	-0.9
✕Alberth Martinez 2015 · A	24	45→51	45→50	46→45	43	223/272/348	125	270	12	7	22%	6%	74	-0.6	229/275/340	111	281	11	6	22%	5%	73	-0.6	230/275/340	110	281	11	6	22%	5%	70	-0.7
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41→40	44→55	46→50	44	203/280/318	115	282	11	13	30%	8%	71	-0.8	217/276/370	153	271	17	14	26%	6%	81	-0.1	214/273/383	169	262	19	17	26%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Clint Coulter 2017 · AA	24	42→43	44→50	43→40	42	210/274/328	118	266	11	4	25%	6%	71	-0.8	204/261/322	118	282	11	4	31%	5%	64	-1.3	201/269/342	141	247	16	4	25%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Hunter Stovall 2021 · A	24	43→49	41→45	45→50	46	209/263/313	104	247	7	8	19%	6%	62	-1.4	237/289/337	100	310	8	16	25%	7%	77	-0.3	237/289/338	101	304	8	18	24%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A	24	45→43	45	48→45	45	225/280/349	124	273	12	8	22%	6%	77	-0.3	205/268/311	106	291	10	9	31%	7%	64	-1.3	103/186/148	46	179	7	7	44%	9%	-4	-1.1
✕Clay Harris 2007 · A	24	42→45	44→45	43→30	47	209/283/327	118	270	11	2	26%	8%	74	-0.5	231/305/363	132	276	14	2	21%	8%	90	+0.6	238/315/374	136	273	16	0	18%	9%	95	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps