Nick GoodwinSS New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION249 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .267 / .347
PA166
HR5
K%28
BB%7
BABIP240
ISO153
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +11.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.40.50.50.30.2+$14M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1.0M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Arb-1$0.4M+0.2$0.5M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 A2 teams — 135115 22322 9379 32 191301304605 113256 277 268 63 — — — — — —
202321 A2 teams — 135110 27433 14279 32 245376418794 173293 2010 355 130 — — — — — —
202422 A+Vancouver Canadians — 451413 59926 2216913 74 143210218428 75220 375 188 2 — — — — — —
202422 A+Vancouver Canadians — 451402 811629 3311613 74 201283318602 117257 267 275 69 — — — — — —
202523 A+Vancouver Canadians — 385342 6511113 3010510 103 190275342617 152231 278 270 65 — — — — — —
202523 A+Vancouver Canadians — 385320 7813112 526910 103 244366403770 159275 1814 348 124 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AATOR — 249220 501329 20645 13 227306427733 200272 268 316 100 +0 -1 +0 +3 +7 0.9
YTD24 AATOR — 249211 5515210 29505 13 261363493856 232290 2012 372 143 +12 -1 +0 +3 +7 2.1
ROS24 AATOR 2% 166150 29615 12463 21 193267347613 153242 287 276 69 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
ROS24 MLBTOR 2% 33 0000 010 00 243 330 262 58 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 AATOR — 252223 501329 20655 13 224302422724 197268 268 315 100 -0 -1 +0 +3 +7 0.9
TOT24 AATOR — 415370 7919314 321108 34 214290395685 181259 278 300 88 -6 -1 +0 +4 +12 1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBTOR 31% 363326 6413211 271007 33 196272350622 153246 287 280 72 -11 -1 +0 +4 +10 0.2
202826 MLBTOR 45% 402362 7315212 301097 43 202276354629 152250 277 284 76 -11 -0 +0 +4 +11 0.4
202927 MLBTOR 49% 417375 7716213 321127 43 205280363643 157252 278 286 77 -11 -0 +0 +4 +12 0.5
203028 MLBTOR 52% 423380 7816213 331147 43 205281361641 155252 278 286 77 -11 -0 -1 +5 +12 0.5
203129 MLBTOR 52% 419376 7716213 331147 43 205281362643 157252 278 285 76 -11 -0 -1 +4 +12 0.3
203230 MLBTOR 52% 413370 7415212 331137 32 200278349627 149251 278 282 74 -12 -0 -2 +4 +12 0.2
202725 MLBTOR 31% 113102 20413 8312 11 196268343611 147247 277 267 62 -5 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202826 MLBTOR 45% 179160 33715 14483 21 206282356639 150251 278 272 66 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.0
202927 MLBTOR 49% 205183 38816 16554 21 208286361646 153253 278 274 68 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203028 MLBTOR 52% 218195 40817 17594 21 205282364647 159254 278 274 68 -8 +0 -0 +2 +6 0.0
203129 MLBTOR 52% 216193 39816 17594 21 202280347628 145253 278 273 67 -8 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.0
203230 MLBTOR 52% 213190 38816 17584 21 200280347627 147252 278 270 65 -8 +0 -1 +2 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 11471026 20843633 8931121 116 203280353633 150254 278 272 66 -44 -0 -2 +12 +32 -0.1
/ 162G— — 650581 11724319 5017612 63 201278351629 150252 278 272 66 -25 +0 -1 +7 +18 -0.1
Career— — 35743209 61812018100 261101977 4427 193270335604 142246 297 269 64 -144 -2 -4 +38 +101 -1.1
/ 162G— — 650584 11222318 4718514 85 192268332600 140245 287 269 64 -26 -0 -1 +7 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202321 A+Vancouver Canadians — 2115 4200 551 01 267476400876 133400 2424 410 172 +2 -0 — — +1 0.2
202321 ADunedin Blue Jays — 11495 23233 9228 31 242357421778 179278 198 346 123 +3 +0 — — +3 0.6
202422 A+Vancouver Canadians — 451402 811629 3311613 74 201283318602 117257 267 275 69 -16 -0 — — +13 -0.4
202523 A+Vancouver Canadians — 385320 7813112 526910 103 244366403770 159275 1814 348 124 +11 +1 — — +11 2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,1503510203277357+12+91.11.1
/162664206+7.1+5.20.6pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nick Goodwin (OGILVIE) 24 45 45 45 55 214/290/395 181259 143 27% 8% 88 +1.0 ————————— —————————
✕Mitch Nay
2018 · A 		24 37→47 45→50 47→30 37 193/235/311 119254 143 30% 4% 45 -2.1 223/278/362 139280 163 26% 6% 77 +0.1 213/280/36014726917227%8%74-0.0
✕Jacob Amaya
2022 · AA 		23 39→46 44→45 48→45 45 198/261/314 116258 136 28% 8% 57 -1.2 214/281/337 123274 147 26% 8% 72 -0.2 210/281/32811826813625%8%68-0.4
✕Chuckie Robinson
2019 · A 		24 42→52 44→45 44→45 39 210/252/330 119274 126 28% 5% 57 -1.2 195/248/299 104284 118 34% 5% 48 -1.9 236/291/36012429415724%6%78+0.1
✕Christian Koss
2022 · A 		24 41→44 49→45 49→50 39 216/261/359 144275 189 29% 5% 69 -0.4 219/262/344 125293 1414 29% 4% 65 -0.7 231/280/346114294101824%5%70-0.2
✕Eric Wood
2017 · AA 		24 41→48 44→55 42→45 43 206/265/320 114271 116 28% 7% 60 -1.0 219/277/381 162283 197 29% 7% 82 +0.5 218/275/39017327921629%6%81+0.2
✕Nick Fortes
2021 · A 		24 40→44 41→45 46→45 46 198/261/293 96247 85 23% 7% 53 -1.5 224/289/353 129259 158 20% 6% 80 +0.4 221/287/34812725016819%6%76+0.0
✕Tim Tawa
2023 · AA 		24 42→44 47→50 49→50 46 213/276/339 126264 1612 25% 8% 70 -0.3 208/272/338 130272 1511 28% 8% 69 -0.4 216/281/385169263201326%7%83+0.3
✕Larry Cobb
2009 · A 		24 42→43 43→45 48→50 46 208/273/316 108257 1112 23% 7% 63 -0.8 215/275/332 117288 1210 28% 6% 68 -0.5 176/235/28611024815434%4%36-0.5
✕Jeferson Morales
2023 · A 		24 38→45 47→50 49→50 43 195/276/331 137262 149 30% 7% 69 -0.4 215/289/349 134277 139 26% 7% 79 +0.3 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
✕Gerson Montilla
2014 · A 		24 43→46 45 46→45 41 217/253/338 121259 136 22% 4% 59 -1.1 218/261/337 119266 146 23% 5% 63 -0.9 214/260/32611325914423%5%59-0.9
✕Jake Noll
2018 · A 		24 42→50 48→50 48→45 40 218/254/350 132245 178 20% 4% 64 -0.8 233/269/341 108291 126 24% 4% 66 -0.6 230/271/37014027014521%4%73-0.1
✕Alika Williams
2023 · AAA 		24 43→45 41→45 44→45 44 214/271/309 96275 97 25% 6% 60 -1.0 223/277/326 103287 97 24% 6% 67 -0.5 242/291/3491073049422%5%75+0.0
✕Mike McGee
2013 · A 		24 44→41 43→45 48→45 45 217/272/330 112267 108 23% 6% 66 -0.6 200/262/297 97291 99 32% 7% 53 -1.5 94/175/132381736746%9%-26-1.3
✕Nick Quintana
2022 · A 		24 33→39 43→45 47→45 45 172/254/283 111243 116 33% 9% 47 -1.9 188/273/293 105265 115 31% 9% 58 -1.2 172/265/2689524010330%10%45-1.0
✕Dustin Garneau
2012 · A 		24 35→37 44→50 44→45 46 182/254/305 123230 126 26% 8% 53 -1.5 198/265/326 128230 135 20% 7% 63 -0.9 171/262/34717721422131%8%67-0.2
✕Gavin Collins
2019 · A 		24 40 45→50 41→40 39 203/251/330 127259 134 27% 5% 57 -1.2 213/269/332 119258 134 22% 6% 66 -0.6 206/278/33012425116125%6%66-0.2
✕Trent Giambrone
2018 · A 		24 40→41 43→50 41→55 40 203/250/302 99268 127 29% 5% 50 -1.8 207/262/350 143271 1817 30% 6% 67 -0.5 185/246/322137242171931%7%51-1.1
✕Rodolfo Durán
2022 · AAA 		24 37 45→55 47→40 37 193/228/312 120251 135 30% 4% 43 -2.2 212/253/363 151272 174 28% 5% 67 -0.5 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
✕Andre Lipcius
2022 · AA 		24 43→49 45→50 48→45 46 216/277/342 126275 127 26% 8% 71 -0.3 233/304/373 140288 168 23% 9% 91 +1.1 234/306/37914528818724%9%90+1.0
✕Bryan Holaday
2012 · AA 		24 41 41→45 48→40 40 201/257/296 95274 97 29% 6% 51 -1.7 214/263/302 88270 75 23% 5% 55 -1.4 223/289/35313025614219%7%76+0.0