Colby Turner

2B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 22 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1608ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	AMIN	110	.330/.440/.505	3	7	118	—	.277/.376/.404
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBMIN	220	.223/.294/.340	4	4	80	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBMIN	42	.226/.297/.348	1	1	83	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBMIN	90	.228/.299/.354	2	2	85	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%81

Whiff%65

Max EV62

Speed59

Z-Con%57

BB%36

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJuan Mora (age 22) · Agustín Ramírez (age 21) · Blaze Alexander (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .291 / .337

PA68

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	110	91	30	5	1	3	11	19	7	7	2	330	440	505	946	176	386	17	10	419	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	110	94	26	4	1	2	8	26	7	7	2	277	376	404	780	128	348	24	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	110	94	26	4	1	2	8	26	7	7	2	277	376	404	780	128	358	24	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	110	91	30	5	1	3	11	19	7	7	2	330	440	505	946	176	386	17	10	419	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	110	94	26	4	1	2	8	26	7	7	2	277	376	404	780	128	348	24	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	110	94	26	4	1	2	8	26	7	7	2	277	376	404	780	128	348	24	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	220	198	44	7	2	4	15	58	5	4	1	223	294	340	634	117	291	26	7	286	80	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	122	110	25	4	1	3	8	32	3	2	0	226	296	348	644	122	292	26	7	290	83	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	46%	195	175	40	7	1	4	14	51	4	4	1	228	299	354	652	126	293	26	7	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	260	235	54	9	2	6	18	67	5	5	1	229	300	358	658	129	293	26	7	296	86	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	311	280	64	11	2	7	22	79	6	6	1	230	301	361	662	131	292	25	7	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	336	302	70	12	2	8	24	86	7	6	1	230	301	361	662	131	292	26	7	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	348	313	71	12	2	8	25	90	7	6	1	228	299	356	655	128	291	26	7	295	85	-6	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	345	311	70	12	2	7	25	90	6	6	1	225	296	350	646	124	289	26	7	291	83	-7	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	338	305	67	11	2	7	24	89	6	6	1	222	293	342	634	119	287	26	7	286	80	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	42	38	8	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	226	297	348	645	122	292	26	7	290	83	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	46%	90	82	19	3	1	2	6	23	2	2	0	228	299	354	653	126	293	26	7	294	85	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	134	121	28	5	1	3	9	34	3	3	0	229	300	358	659	129	293	25	7	296	86	-2	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	169	152	35	6	1	4	12	43	3	3	1	230	301	362	663	131	292	25	7	298	87	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	182	163	37	6	1	4	13	46	4	3	1	230	301	361	663	131	292	25	7	298	87	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	189	169	39	7	1	4	14	49	4	3	1	228	299	356	656	128	291	26	7	295	85	-3	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	183	165	37	6	1	4	13	48	3	3	1	226	296	350	646	125	289	26	7	291	83	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	177	159	36	6	1	4	13	47	3	3	1	222	293	342	635	120	287	27	7	286	80	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1166	1049	239	40	7	26	83	301	23	21	5	228	299	354	652	126	293	26	7	294	86	-21	+2	-2	+4	+25	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	133	22	4	14	46	168	13	12	3	227	298	350	649	123	293	26	7	294	86	-12	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2433	2186	501	84	16	53	173	628	53	49	9	229	301	355	656	126	295	26	7	295	86	-43	+6	-4	+8	+50	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	133	22	4	14	46	168	14	13	2	228	300	351	651	123	293	26	7	295	86	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 110 PAwOBA .412 → .343 (−69)K% 17.3% → 23.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.27%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	23.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	6.90%
HBP% /PA	6.36%	—	×0.780	—	—	4.96%
Singles /BIP	29.17%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.008	—	27.04%
Doubles /BIP	6.94%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.008	—	5.81%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.008	—	1.27%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	3.33%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .412 → .343; ISO .176 → .143; BABIP .386 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	12	34	232*	283*	343*	+14	+14	2.2	3.0
/162	664	5	14	+5.7	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Chris Woodward'99-'11 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,896 PA	2.9	1,896	33	9	230*	288*	354*	+9	+15	1.1	2.4
/162	664	12	3	+3.1	+5.4	0.4	pk7: 4
#6Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.9	1,234	27	23	228	296	355	+4	+5	1.9	1.8
/162	664	15	12	+2.4	+2.7	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colby Turner (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	221/291/337	116	291	1	1	26%	7%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→48	45→55	51→55	44	213/272/340	128	284	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.7	233/294/390	157	279	18	13	23%	7%	93	+0.8	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	46→50	42→50	51→50	42	219/286/327	109	306	9	11	30%	7%	74	-0.5	211/283/339	128	327	14	12	37%	7%	77	-0.3	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	48	44→45	49→50	41	235/292/354	119	291	11	12	23%	4%	83	+0.1	240/299/357	117	292	10	13	21%	5%	86	+0.3	238/300/350	112	289	10	12	20%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A	23	46→44	45→50	49→40	44	228/280/350	122	288	12	8	25%	6%	77	-0.3	216/283/360	144	273	19	4	27%	8%	82	-0.0	212/283/353	141	263	19	2	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A	23	47→46	44→50	51→50	44	226/291/350	124	304	11	11	28%	7%	82	-0.0	221/268/359	138	289	14	12	28%	5%	75	-0.5	213/256/352	139	273	14	12	27%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	47	44→50	56→50	44	229/282/358	129	287	10	10	23%	6%	80	-0.2	230/274/338	108	308	6	9	26%	5%	72	-0.7	232/275/343	110	324	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Jared Serna 2024 · A	22	45→48	45	53→50	45	226/284/352	126	276	13	18	23%	7%	79	-0.2	214/271/321	107	261	11	15	22%	6%	68	-1.0	202/265/300	97	245	10	16	21%	6%	58	-1.4
✕Nick Goodwin 2024 · A	22	45→46	42→45	49→45	44	214/297/327	113	289	9	9	28%	7%	80	-0.2	190/264/304	114	260	12	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	187/265/309	122	249	13	6	29%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Christian Villanueva 2013 · A	22	46→47	44→55	47→50	40	226/282/339	114	291	11	13	26%	5%	76	-0.4	218/266/358	140	275	15	6	26%	5%	74	-0.5	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→52	46→45	50→40	42	231/293/362	131	322	13	8	31%	7%	85	+0.2	230/295/359	129	310	12	3	28%	8%	85	+0.2	226/292/357	131	305	12	1	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2022 · A	22	48→42	43→50	50→40	45	229/300/343	114	314	11	7	29%	8%	84	+0.1	204/282/366	162	271	20	5	31%	8%	83	+0.1	192/273/350	158	256	20	4	32%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Ben Ross 2023 · A	22	46→44	46→45	54→55	46	224/295/357	132	306	13	14	30%	8%	85	+0.2	187/251/310	123	264	14	13	33%	7%	58	-1.7	186/257/314	129	258	15	19	33%	8%	59	-1.3
✕Ricardo Olivar 2024 · A	22	49→50	44→45	51→50	45	233/311/357	125	326	10	9	30%	8%	91	+0.7	224/296/352	128	290	14	9	26%	9%	84	+0.2	215/289/349	134	265	17	10	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2013 · A	22	46→53	47→45	53→45	45	230/284/365	135	276	14	8	22%	6%	82	+0.0	238/301/345	107	300	9	5	22%	8%	84	+0.1	238/306/340	102	302	8	5	22%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	48→43	47→50	51→45	43	237/301/376	139	306	15	9	27%	7%	92	+0.7	206/288/340	134	299	15	8	34%	8%	80	-0.2	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0

Colby Turner

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps