Oscar Borges

C DSL Pirates Black

Age 18 R/R ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#743ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	159	.361/.519/.403	0	3	97	—	.254/.386/.285
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBPIT	269	.228/.315/.291	2	3	76	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPIT	47	.232/.319/.304	0	1	81	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPIT	117	.235/.323/.316	1	1	86	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%98

K%96

Z-Con%96

wOBA94

Chase%94

wRC+93

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMichael Arroyo (age 18) · Miguel Rodríguez (age 18) · Alirio Ferrebus (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .313 / .288

PA82

HR0

K%21

BB%10

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$40M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	159	119	43	3	1	0	36	15	3	3	3	361	519	403	922	42	410	9	23	428	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	159	130	33	2	1	0	25	18	3	3	3	254	386	285	671	31	289	11	16	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	159	130	33	2	1	0	25	18	3	3	3	254	386	285	671	31	292	11	16	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	159	119	43	3	1	0	36	15	3	3	3	361	519	403	922	42	410	9	23	428	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	159	130	33	2	1	0	25	18	3	3	3	254	386	285	671	31	289	11	16	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	159	130	33	2	1	0	25	18	3	3	3	254	386	285	671	31	289	11	16	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	269	237	54	6	2	2	27	56	3	3	1	228	315	291	606	62	289	21	10	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	136	119	27	3	1	1	14	28	2	2	1	232	320	305	625	73	291	21	10	288	81	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	242	213	51	6	2	3	24	50	3	3	1	236	323	318	642	82	293	21	10	295	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	21	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	364	320	76	10	2	5	36	75	5	4	2	238	326	329	655	91	294	21	10	300	89	-5	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.0
2031	22	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	94	12	3	7	44	91	6	5	2	241	328	339	667	98	294	20	10	304	92	-4	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.4
2032	23	MLB MLE	PIT	58%	445	392	96	13	3	8	44	91	6	5	2	243	329	347	676	105	295	20	10	307	94	-3	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	96	13	3	8	44	91	6	5	2	244	330	351	681	107	296	20	10	310	96	-2	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	96	13	3	8	44	91	6	5	2	245	331	354	685	109	296	20	10	311	96	-2	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	392	96	13	3	8	44	91	6	5	3	245	331	356	687	111	296	20	10	312	97	-2	-0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	445	392	96	13	3	8	44	92	6	5	3	244	330	353	683	109	295	21	10	310	96	-2	-0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	445	392	95	12	3	8	44	93	6	4	3	242	328	348	676	106	294	21	10	307	94	-3	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	445	392	94	12	3	8	44	94	6	4	4	239	325	342	666	102	293	21	10	303	92	-4	-1	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	445	393	92	12	2	7	44	95	5	4	5	236	321	333	654	97	291	21	10	299	88	-6	-1	-2	+8	+10	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	426	376	87	11	2	6	42	93	5	3	13	231	316	323	639	92	288	22	10	293	84	-8	-5	-3	+8	+9	0.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	407	360	82	10	2	6	39	91	5	3	56	226	310	311	621	85	284	22	10	285	79	-10	-22	-4	+7	+9	-2.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	47	41	9	1	0	0	5	10	1	1	0	232	319	304	623	72	291	21	11	288	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	117	102	24	3	1	1	12	24	2	1	1	235	323	316	639	81	293	21	10	294	86	-2	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	197	172	40	5	1	2	20	40	3	2	1	238	325	326	652	89	294	20	10	299	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	222	54	7	2	4	25	52	3	3	1	240	327	336	662	96	295	21	10	302	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2032	23	MLB CTX	PIT	58%	256	226	55	8	2	4	25	53	3	3	1	242	328	343	671	102	295	21	10	306	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2033	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	254	224	55	8	2	4	25	52	3	3	1	243	329	347	676	104	296	20	10	308	96	-1	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	222	54	7	2	4	25	52	3	3	1	243	330	350	679	106	296	21	10	309	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	252	222	54	7	2	4	25	52	3	3	1	244	330	351	681	108	296	21	10	309	97	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	247	217	53	7	2	4	25	51	3	3	1	243	329	349	677	106	295	21	10	308	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	244	215	51	7	1	4	24	51	3	2	2	241	327	344	671	103	294	21	10	305	94	-2	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	238	209	50	7	1	4	24	50	3	2	2	238	324	337	661	99	293	21	10	302	92	-2	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	254	224	52	7	1	4	25	54	3	2	3	235	320	329	650	95	291	21	10	297	88	-4	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	233	205	47	6	1	3	23	51	3	2	7	231	315	320	635	89	288	22	10	291	84	-4	-2	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	217	192	43	5	1	3	21	48	2	2	30	225	309	308	617	82	284	22	10	284	79	-5	-12	-2	+4	+5	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3060	2693	641	85	19	45	304	640	38	32	52	238	324	334	658	96	295	21	10	301	91	-32	-14	-6	+55	+66	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	137	18	4	10	65	136	8	7	11	240	326	337	663	98	296	21	10	301	91	-7	-3	-1	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5821	5120	1228	157	37	91	584	1201	77	61	102	240	327	338	665	98	295	21	10	303	91	-61	-28	-10	+101	+123	12.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	137	18	4	10	65	134	9	7	11	240	327	337	664	98	295	21	10	303	91	-7	-3	-1	+12	+14	1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 159 PAwOBA .422 → .312 (−110)K% 9.4% → 11.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.43%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	11.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.64%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	15.85%
HBP% /PA	1.89%	—	×0.700	—	—	1.32%
Singles /BIP	37.50%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.050	—	26.78%
Doubles /BIP	2.88%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	—	1.82%
Triples /BIP	0.96%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.050	—	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .422 → .312; ISO .042 → .029; BABIP .410 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Omar Narváezlast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,298 PA	3.5	2,298	53	0	251	334	374	+41	+15	12.6	12.9
/162	664	15	0	+11.9	+4.3	3.6	pk7: 13
#3Josh Bardlast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,958 PA	2.9	1,958	38	1	252	318	381	+33	+24	10.4	10.4
/162	664	13	0	+11.1	+8.0	3.5	pk7: 11
#4Dave Rader'71-'80 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,702 PA	4.1	2,702	30	8	254*	323*	380*	+47	+0	9.3	9.4
/162	664	7	2	+11.5	+0.0	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.7	3,143	50	32	240	322	340	+56	+36	9.4	8.3
/162	664	11	7	+11.9	+7.6	2.0	pk7: 7
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oscar Borges (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	226/313/288	62	289	0	1	21%	10%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
●Franklin Arias 2024 · A	18	48→58	37→50	46→50	52	223/290/295	72	258	3	6	15%	8%	68	-1.0	246/303/362	116	293	11	14	19%	7%	88	+0.5	260/316/394	134	300	15	13	18%	6%	99	+1.0
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	48→58	37→40	45→50	52	224/309/297	73	285	4	5	21%	9%	76	-0.4	212/273/299	87	269	6	4	22%	6%	63	-1.4	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Carlos Pérez 2009 · A	18	47→49	35→55	45	62	215/322/274	59	257	1	8	16%	12%	77	-0.3	215/284/292	77	274	3	6	21%	8%	65	-1.2	249/297/366	117	288	10	4	17%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Carlos Virahonda 2024 · A	18	43	38→55	44→45	42	202/279/289	86	248	3	7	19%	4%	64	-1.3	190/275/279	89	238	7	5	22%	6%	61	-1.5	195/286/306	111	240	12	4	23%	6%	69	-0.5
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Andres Melendez 2019 · A	18	46	37→50	49→40	48	215/276/292	77	257	4	7	18%	6%	62	-1.4	205/273/296	91	276	6	5	26%	8%	63	-1.4	189/272/303	114	277	10	2	33%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	42→40	50	210/283/277	67	260	5	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/266/268	53	272	3	6	21%	6%	53	-2.1	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Edward Duran 2022 · A	18	47→48	37→40	49→45	48	221/290/297	77	273	3	9	20%	7%	70	-0.9	209/283/276	67	264	2	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	230/305/310	79	304	5	8	24%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→57	35→50	51→50	48	237/305/292	56	305	2	9	22%	7%	73	-0.6	238/293/326	88	307	6	12	23%	6%	76	-0.4	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0

Oscar Borges

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps