Player 827382 — OGILVIE

Player 827382— DSL Pirates Black

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION88 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .329 / .262

PA70

HR0

K%21

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO33

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	PIT	—	88	72	22	2	0	0	14	12	2	3	2	306	432	333	765	28	367	14	16	352	128	+3	-0	+0	-2	+2	0.4
YTD	—	ROK	PIT	—	88	64	24	3	0	0	22	8	2	3	2	375	545	422	967	47	429	9	25	451	203	+10	-0	+0	-2	+2	1.1
ROS	—	ROK	PIT	0%	70	61	14	2	0	0	8	15	1	1	0	230	329	262	591	33	305	21	11	297	85	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
ROS	—	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	286	77	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	PIT	—	88	73	22	2	0	0	14	12	2	3	2	301	432	329	761	27	361	14	16	352	128	+3	-0	+0	-2	+2	0.4
TOT	—	ROK	PIT	—	158	133	36	4	0	0	22	27	3	4	2	271	386	301	687	30	340	17	14	327	109	+2	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PIT	0%	160	139	34	5	1	1	18	34	2	2	1	245	340	317	656	72	304	21	11	300	88	-2	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PIT	0%	306	265	63	9	1	3	34	65	4	3	1	238	333	313	647	75	303	21	11	303	90	-3	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	PIT	0%	404	351	85	12	2	5	45	86	5	4	1	242	337	330	667	88	302	21	11	305	92	-4	+0	+0	-7	+11	0.1
2030	25	MLB	PIT	0%	469	409	99	15	2	6	51	100	6	5	2	242	335	333	667	90	302	21	11	306	93	-4	+0	+0	-8	+13	0.1
2031	25	MLB	PIT	0%	514	447	108	16	2	7	56	109	6	5	2	242	334	333	667	92	302	21	11	307	93	-4	+0	+0	-9	+15	0.2
2032	25	MLB	PIT	0%	545	473	115	17	2	8	60	116	7	5	2	243	337	338	675	95	301	21	11	308	94	-4	+0	+0	-10	+15	0.2
2033	25	MLB	PIT	0%	567	493	119	17	2	9	62	121	7	6	2	241	335	339	673	97	301	21	11	309	94	-4	+0	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2027	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	293	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		300	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		300	—	—	297	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		300	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		300	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3035	2638	637	93	12	39	334	646	38	31	11	241	335	330	665	89	304	21	11	306	92	-26	+2	+0	-54	+86	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	137	20	3	8	72	138	8	7	2	242	336	331	667	88	306	21	11	306	92	-6	+1	+0	-12	+18	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Robert Ficklast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,585 PA	8	2,585	63	4	258	327	400	-24	-19	4.0	4.6
	/162	664	16	1	258	327	400	-6.3	-4.8	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Daric Bartonlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,085 PA	8	2,085	30	13	247	356	365	-37	-10	3.0	3.4
	/162	664	10	4	247	356	365	-11.9	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Jose Offermanlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,767 PA	5	1,767	27	15	253	342	362	-14	-2	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	10	6	253	342	362	-5.4	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,123	41	31	242	332	331	-35	+0	2.9	3.0
	/162	664	9	7	242	332	331	-7.4	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 827382 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	271/386/301	30	340	0	4	17%	14%	109	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	47	38→50	50→45	55	216/320/294	78	299	5	8	26%	12%	79	+0.3	206/285/319	113	263	12	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3	188/269/298	110	231	14	6	25%	7%	56	-0.5
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	47→50	39→45	47→30	55	218/318/303	85	302	6	5	27%	12%	79	+0.3	233/307/368	135	300	12	4	25%	9%	91	+1.1	233/310/376	143	294	13	2	24%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	45→48	40→45	47→50	48	211/299/306	95	287	6	9	26%	9%	72	-0.2	204/284/292	88	294	5	8	29%	9%	62	-0.9	178/264/262	84	264	5	4	31%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Dan Nelson 2009 · A	25	45→51	37→45	48→50	51	213/291/287	74	283	4	13	25%	10%	63	-0.9	231/294/340	109	288	9	10	22%	8%	78	+0.2	241/300/355	114	292	10	8	20%	7%	81	+0.3
●Jantzen Witte 2014 · A	24	44→54	37→50	51→45	43	208/269/288	80	296	4	7	29%	7%	53	-1.5	245/296/361	116	310	8	5	22%	6%	84	+0.6	253/305/370	117	314	7	4	21%	6%	89	+0.7
✕Austin Murr 2023 · A	24	46→42	37→50	49→50	52	214/286/294	80	264	4	9	20%	9%	63	-0.9	213/279/341	128	266	11	11	23%	7%	72	-0.2	223/289/397	174	280	18	15	26%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Justin Maffei 2016 · A	24	50	37→40	50	46	233/299/306	74	305	3	11	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/299/300	72	302	4	11	24%	8%	69	-0.4	224/300/271	47	301	1	11	23%	8%	60	-0.2
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	47	37→40	45	46	222/277/300	78	281	4	7	22%	7%	59	-1.1	228/278/310	82	294	5	8	23%	6%	63	-0.9	231/280/306	75	295	4	8	22%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	43	38→40	50	50	205/285/287	82	263	6	9	23%	9%	61	-1.0	207/276/302	95	284	8	8	28%	8%	60	-1.0	181/247/265	84	252	9	5	30%	7%	39	-0.9
✕Paul Gran 2010 · A	24	47	38→45	49→50	44	221/281/299	78	289	5	8	24%	6%	61	-1.0	219/284/332	113	311	9	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	212/283/331	120	309	10	9	32%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jake Smith 2008 · A	25	49	39→45	44→40	47	231/293/321	90	292	6	5	22%	7%	72	-0.2	232/287/336	104	288	8	6	21%	6%	74	-0.1	235/290/337	102	286	8	3	20%	5%	73	-0.1
✕P.J. Higgins 2018 · A	25	48→55	37→45	46→40	51	224/296/292	68	275	4	4	19%	8%	66	-0.6	222/281/311	89	281	7	5	22%	7%	65	-0.7	239/302/362	123	304	13	3	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Blake Miller 2014 · A	24	46→54	37→45	49→45	45	208/296/281	73	322	4	6	33%	9%	64	-0.8	237/287/340	103	324	8	6	28%	5%	75	-0.0	247/294/357	110	332	8	5	27%	5%	80	+0.2
●Neil Sellers 2007 · A	25	49→57	38→50	45→40	46	229/284/318	88	275	3	8	17%	6%	67	-0.5	247/292/373	126	290	12	4	19%	5%	85	+0.7	259/304/402	142	297	16	2	18%	5%	96	+1.2
✕Anthony Prato 2022 · A	24	47→48	36→45	49→55	49	213/306/279	66	310	3	11	29%	10%	69	-0.4	214/304/326	112	305	9	15	30%	10%	79	+0.3	206/303/321	115	290	9	16	29%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Brian Conley 2010 · A	24	41→50	39→45	47→50	51	200/277/288	88	254	7	7	23%	9%	58	-1.2	226/302/332	106	290	8	13	23%	9%	79	+0.3	237/315/350	113	297	9	15	22%	10%	86	+0.6
●David Hensley 2021 · A	25	42→52	40→45	44→55	39	202/251/290	88	295	7	8	33%	6%	46	-2.0	237/311/359	122	350	10	14	32%	10%	90	+1.0	233/319/359	126	346	10	15	32%	11%	90	+0.8
✕Casey Grayson 2017 · A	25	47	36→40	45→40	56	217/312/287	70	295	4	3	25%	12%	72	-0.2	218/295/292	74	323	5	5	31%	10%	66	-0.6	212/284/275	63	324	5	2	33%	9%	53	-0.9