Player 827382 — OGILVIE

Player 8273821B DSL Pirates Black

Age — —/— ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION159 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .286 / .211

PA21

HR0

K%19

BB%10

BABIP307

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	PIT	—	159	133	39	2	1	0	22	22	3	3	3	293	405	323	728	30	348	14	14	338	115	+3	-1	+0	-3	+3	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	PIT	—	159	119	43	3	1	0	36	15	3	3	3	361	519	403	922	42	410	9	23	428	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	PIT	0%	21	19	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	211	286	211	496		308	19	10	295	86	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	PIT	—	180	152	43	2	1	0	24	26	3	3	3	283	391	309	700	26	339	14	13	333	112	+2	-1	+0	-3	+4	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	291	255	63	7	2	3	31	61	3	3	1	247	336	325	661	78	308	21	11	301	90	-3	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	392	342	84	10	2	5	42	82	5	4	2	246	337	330	667	85	307	21	11	305	92	-4	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	460	403	99	12	3	6	49	97	5	5	2	246	335	335	670	89	306	21	11	307	94	-3	+0	+0	-8	+10	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	506	442	109	13	3	8	53	107	6	6	3	247	335	344	679	97	306	21	10	309	95	-3	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	538	470	116	14	3	8	57	113	6	6	3	247	336	340	676	94	306	21	11	310	96	-2	+0	+0	-10	+12	-0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	561	490	121	15	3	9	59	118	7	6	3	247	336	345	681	98	305	21	11	312	97	-2	+0	+0	-10	+12	0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	578	505	125	15	3	10	61	122	7	6	3	248	337	349	685	101	305	21	11	313	98	-1	+0	+0	-10	+13	0.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	590	516	128	15	3	11	62	124	7	7	3	248	337	353	689	105	305	21	11	314	99	-1	+0	+0	-11	+13	0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	307	—	—	290	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	305	—	—	293	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	296	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	297	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	304	—	—	298	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	299	97	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	300	98	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	301	99	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3937	3442	849	101	22	60	416	828	46	43	20	247	336	341	677	94	307	21	11	310	96	-20	+1	+0	-70	+85	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	141	17	4	10	69	137	8	7	3	248	338	345	683	97	309	21	11	310	96	-3	+0	+0	-12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA	6.9	4,561	93	67	242	345	374	-49	-62	5.0	6.1
/162	664	14	10	-7.1	-9.0	0.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.3	4,205	62	46	246	332	340	-47	+0	4.6	4.7
/162	664	10	7	-7.4	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Daric Bartonlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	30	13	247	356	365	-37	-10	3.0	3.4
/162	664	10	4	-11.9	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 4
#6Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	5.1	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
/162	664	14	3	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 827382 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	240/333/297	58	308	2	4	21%	11%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David MacKinnon 2021 · A	26	47→50	39→45	47→30	55	217/317/303	86	303	6	5	28%	12%	82	-0.0	233/307/370	137	297	13	4	24%	9%	92	+0.7	233/310/379	146	292	14	2	24%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Rolando Acosta 2008 · A	25	45→55	41→50	51→45	44	219/279/316	97	283	8	8	25%	7%	69	-0.9	252/301/349	97	306	6	17	19%	6%	84	+0.2	269/312/404	135	308	11	10	16%	4%	98	+0.6
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45	40→45	46→45	43	218/284/316	97	290	7	6	26%	6%	72	-0.7	240/299/378	138	295	14	8	23%	5%	91	+0.7	245/306/391	146	298	14	8	22%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Jantzen Witte 2014 · A	24	44→54	37→45	51→45	43	208/269/288	80	296	4	7	29%	7%	59	-1.7	245/298/362	117	307	8	5	22%	6%	86	+0.3	251/305/367	116	309	7	4	20%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Maxwell Costes 2023 · A	24	46	38→50	50→45	54	214/318/292	78	299	5	8	27%	12%	80	-0.2	206/283/315	109	263	12	7	25%	7%	72	-0.7	188/267/293	105	232	13	6	24%	7%	60	-0.6
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	45→48	40→45	47→50	48	211/299/311	100	285	6	9	26%	9%	77	-0.3	201/281/287	86	292	5	8	30%	9%	64	-1.3	170/256/245	75	258	4	4	32%	9%	45	-1.7
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2014 · A	24	44	38→40	49→50	50	210/290/289	79	270	5	9	23%	9%	68	-1.0	210/277/303	93	289	8	8	28%	7%	65	-1.2	184/246/269	85	256	9	5	30%	6%	47	-1.0
●David Hensley 2021 · A	25	42→52	40→45	45→55	39	202/251/292	90	295	7	8	33%	6%	53	-2.1	239/311/357	118	345	9	14	30%	9%	91	+0.6	233/317/353	120	339	10	15	31%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Edgar Corcino 2016 · A	24	47→53	39→45	49→45	44	224/273/307	83	288	6	9	24%	6%	64	-1.3	234/280/336	102	296	7	6	22%	6%	73	-0.6	235/281/345	110	297	10	4	23%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Neil Sellers 2007 · A	25	49→57	38→50	45→40	46	229/284/318	88	275	3	8	17%	6%	71	-0.8	247/292/365	118	290	10	4	18%	5%	85	+0.2	258/303/390	131	296	14	2	17%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Austin Nola 2014 · A	24	42→52	36→45	46→45	48	198/273/266	67	267	2	7	25%	8%	55	-1.9	222/286/290	68	284	2	5	21%	7%	65	-1.2	266/341/420	154	313	16	3	19%	9%	113	+1.1
✕P.J. Higgins 2018 · A	25	48→54	36→45	46→40	50	224/293/291	67	274	4	4	19%	8%	69	-0.9	225/284/312	87	282	7	5	21%	7%	70	-0.8	241/305/360	118	308	12	3	24%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Dan Nelson 2009 · A	25	45→49	37→45	48→50	51	213/291/287	74	283	4	13	25%	10%	67	-1.1	229/292/336	107	285	9	10	22%	8%	78	-0.3	239/298/348	109	288	10	8	20%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Justin Maffei 2016 · A	24	50	37→40	49→50	46	231/299/305	74	305	3	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	230/300/301	71	302	4	11	23%	8%	74	-0.6	230/305/277	47	303	2	11	22%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Jeremy Barnes 2012 · A	25	47→54	41→45	41→45	43	224/278/329	105	297	7	4	26%	6%	72	-0.7	206/263/288	82	287	6	5	28%	6%	57	-1.8	152/216/169	17	222	0	0	29%	7%	11	-1.4
✕Blake Miller 2014 · A	24	46→54	37→45	49→45	45	208/296/281	73	322	4	6	33%	9%	68	-1.0	235/287/334	99	322	7	6	28%	6%	76	-0.4	244/293/348	104	330	8	5	27%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jake Smith 2008 · A	25	49	39→45	44→40	47	231/293/321	90	292	6	5	22%	7%	76	-0.4	232/287/336	104	288	8	6	21%	6%	77	-0.3	235/290/337	102	286	8	3	20%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Trenton Brooks 2019 · A	24	45→50	39→50	44→45	45	216/273/305	89	270	6	4	22%	6%	64	-1.3	219/276/350	131	262	12	4	20%	7%	76	-0.4	238/323/378	140	272	15	8	18%	10%	98	+0.9
✕Sean Nicol 2012 · A	25	48	37→40	45	46	225/280/304	79	284	4	7	22%	7%	66	-1.1	228/277/308	80	292	5	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	230/279/301	72	291	4	8	21%	6%	62	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps