Juan Mieses
P
FCL Astros
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 200 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 13 | 2 | 22 | 103 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 15% | 1.7 | 12.5% | 19.4% | -6.9% | 1.4% | 6.55 | 5.28 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 13 | 2 | 22 | 103 | 19 | 16 | 1 | 15% | 1.7 | 18.4% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 6.55 | 4.15 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 3 | 36 | 164 | 43 | 21 | 0 | 25% | 3.0 | 17.8% | 16.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 3.22 | 3.62 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros Blue | 12 | 3 | 36 | 164 | 43 | 21 | 0 | 25% | 3.0 | 26.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 3.22 | 2.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Astros | 8 | 4 | 15 | 69 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 50% | 1.8 | 19.7% | 23.6% | -3.8% | 4.1% | 5.52 | 6.65 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 19 | 79 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 33 | 148 | 38 | 21 | 4 | — | — | 25.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.91 | 5.40 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | HOU | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 9 | 73 | 336 | 56 | 62 | 4 | 27% | 2.2 | 16.6% | 18.6% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 4.68 | 4.75 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 25 | 200 | 921 | 153 | 171 | 12 | 27% | 2.2 | 16.6% | 18.6% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 4.68 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan Mieses (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.29 | 23.0% | 13.4% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 81 |
| Adrián Martinez R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.30 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 4.09 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 92 | -0.21 | 2.02 | 526 | 81 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 81 |
| Brendan Collins R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Saul Teran R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.23 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.3% | .333 | 3.83 | 20.8% | 8.7% | 94 | -1.40 | 2.28 | 158 | 80 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 80 |
| David Davalillo R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.24 | 18.6% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .292 | 3.32 | 21.0% | 12.0% | 262 | +0.08 | 2.94 | 279 | 80 |
| Cole Stapler R 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 79 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 79 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Franco Aleman R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 79 |
| Juan Mendez R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 78 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 78 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 78 |
| Chris Powell R 2028 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.31 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 0.9% | .320 | 3.63 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 62 | +0.32 | 3.31 | 102 | 78 |
| Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 78 |
| Daniel Bies R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 78 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 77 |