Owen Carey

OF Rome Emperors

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #302MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2030FG ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AATL	525	.258/.332/.345	4	17	60	—	.228/.290/.301
2026	20	AAATL	152	.211/.300/.323	2	3	52	—	.197/.267/.307
2026	20	A+ATL	225	.272/.347/.480	8	3	82	—	.225/.280/.392
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBATL	2	.214/.272/.330	0	0	69	-0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	22	MLBATL	119	.220/.280/.349	3	2	77	-0.2
2029PROJ38% MLB	23	MLBATL	200	.224/.286/.361	5	4	82	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed80

Z-Con%47

K%39

BB%30

Whiff%29

ISO28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 73%

CompsLivan Soto (age 22) · Gavin Conticello (age 21) · Conner Capel (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .272 / .330

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	469	121	25	2	4	38	82	14	17	10	258	332	345	677	87	303	16	7	308	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	152	133	28	5	2	2	13	40	4	3	1	211	300	323	623	113	280	26	9	283	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Rome Emperors	—	225	202	55	10	4	8	19	40	4	3	1	272	347	480	827	208	305	18	8	364	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	167	250	222	472	56	231	25	10	224	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	34	27	7	0	2	0	5	3	2	0	0	259	412	407	819	148	292	9	15	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	479	109	22	2	3	28	113	14	17	10	228	290	301	590	73	282	22	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	152	137	27	5	2	2	9	49	4	3	1	197	267	307	573	109	271	32	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	225	209	47	8	3	7	12	52	4	3	1	225	280	392	672	167	265	23	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	20	19	2	1	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	105	150	158	308	53	181	35	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	479	109	22	2	3	28	113	14	17	10	228	290	301	590	73	290	22	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	469	121	25	2	4	38	82	14	17	10	258	332	345	677	87	303	16	7	308	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	431	395	82	14	6	10	24	118	10	7	2	208	270	349	620	142	268	27	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	431	380	93	16	8	10	39	88	10	7	2	245	331	408	739	163	292	20	9	330	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	478	109	22	2	3	28	113	14	17	10	228	290	301	591	73	282	22	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	431	394	82	14	6	10	24	118	10	7	2	208	270	350	621	142	263	27	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	525	478	109	22	2	3	28	113	14	17	10	228	290	301	591	73	282	22	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	431	394	82	14	6	10	24	118	10	7	2	208	270	350	621	142	263	27	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	507	465	99	19	4	9	28	136	9	8	3	214	272	330	602	117	279	27	6	270	69	-19	+0	-0	-3	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	214	272	330	602	117	279	50	0	270	69	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	25%	473	434	95	18	4	10	28	123	8	9	3	220	280	349	629	130	280	26	6	281	77	-13	+1	-0	-3	+10	-0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	38%	521	475	106	20	4	12	32	133	9	11	4	224	286	361	647	137	281	26	6	289	82	-11	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	44%	552	503	115	21	5	14	35	138	9	11	4	227	290	369	658	142	283	25	6	294	85	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	47%	570	519	119	22	5	15	37	142	9	12	4	228	292	373	665	145	283	25	6	296	87	-9	+1	+1	-3	+12	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	578	525	121	22	5	15	39	143	9	12	4	229	294	374	668	145	283	25	7	298	88	-9	+1	+1	-3	+13	0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	578	525	119	22	4	15	39	144	9	12	4	228	293	372	664	144	283	25	7	296	87	-9	+1	+1	-3	+13	0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	49%	574	522	118	22	4	14	38	144	9	10	4	226	290	367	658	141	282	25	7	293	85	-10	+0	+0	-3	+12	-0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	564	513	115	21	4	14	38	143	8	9	4	224	288	361	648	137	280	25	7	290	82	-12	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	553	504	111	20	4	13	36	142	8	8	4	221	284	353	637	132	278	26	7	285	79	-14	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.7
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	25%	119	109	24	4	1	3	7	31	2	2	1	220	280	349	629	130	280	26	6	281	77	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	38%	200	183	42	8	2	5	12	51	3	4	1	224	286	361	647	137	281	26	6	289	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	44%	243	221	50	9	2	6	16	61	4	5	2	227	290	369	658	142	283	25	7	294	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	47%	269	245	56	10	2	7	18	67	4	6	2	228	292	373	665	145	283	25	7	296	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	284	258	59	11	2	7	19	70	5	6	2	229	294	374	668	145	283	25	7	298	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	284	259	58	11	2	7	19	71	4	6	2	228	293	372	664	144	283	25	7	296	87	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	49%	282	257	58	11	2	7	19	71	4	5	2	226	290	367	658	141	282	25	7	293	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	272	248	56	10	2	7	18	69	4	4	2	224	288	361	648	137	280	25	7	290	82	-6	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	263	240	53	10	2	6	17	68	4	4	2	221	284	353	637	132	278	26	6	285	79	-7	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2216	2020	456	84	17	55	145	559	34	42	16	226	289	366	655	140	283	25	7	292	80	-43	+2	+0	-13	+48	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	134	25	5	16	43	164	10	12	5	226	290	366	656	140	284	25	7	292	80	-12	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6239	5687	1273	236	50	141	392	1569	108	123	49	224	287	357	644	133	282	25	6	286	80	-109	+5	+0	-32	+114	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	133	25	5	15	41	163	11	13	5	225	287	360	647	135	283	25	6	286	80	-13	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Frank Isbell'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,483 PA	6.8	4,483	13	250	248*	300*	403*	-42	+24	9.5	10.1
/162	664	2	37	-6.2	+3.6	1.4	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#5Dustan Mohr'01-'07 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,537 PA	2.3	1,537	49	13	241*	315*	412*	-15	+20	3.8	3.8
/162	664	21	6	-6.6	+8.6	1.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.3	2,218	55	42	227	287	367	-13	+7	0.8	0.8
/162	664	16	13	-4.0	+2.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Carey (OGILVIE)	21	30→50	35→45	55	50	212/270/328	116	279	6	5	27%	6%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	37→47	40	50	42	186/244/277	91	256	7	11	30%	7%	47	-2.6	234/302/324	90	314	7	9	25%	8%	80	-0.2	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Conner Capel 2018 · A	21	39→48	47→45	49→55	42	203/257/343	140	262	14	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	215/268/332	117	289	11	11	28%	6%	69	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos Alvarez 2009 · AAA	21	46	44→45	49→45	46	228/278/338	110	272	12	10	21%	6%	74	-0.6	234/301/347	113	301	11	12	24%	8%	84	+0.2	247/325/329	81	299	5	6	17%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2024 · AA	22	43→46	43→55	51→50	42	213/264/326	114	277	10	11	27%	6%	66	-1.1	230/284/377	147	283	17	11	24%	7%	85	+0.2	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	47→54	43→50	52→50	42	231/269/337	106	282	10	9	22%	5%	70	-0.9	217/274/323	106	272	10	10	23%	7%	69	-0.9	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	42→45	45→50	55→50	39	207/270/339	132	294	12	8	32%	6%	72	-0.7	210/260/342	132	294	14	8	32%	5%	68	-1.0	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Angel Ortiz 2024 · A	21	40→45	39→50	47→45	40	197/244/283	86	268	6	8	28%	6%	48	-2.5	228/285/354	126	301	11	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	41→51	38→45	48→50	42	199/263/279	80	267	6	13	27%	6%	55	-1.9	237/303/342	105	312	9	14	25%	7%	84	+0.2	242/312/349	107	314	9	14	24%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Darrell Ceciliani 2011 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/263/283	77	275	6	13	26%	6%	55	-1.9	236/292/325	89	318	5	16	26%	6%	76	-0.4	259/299/367	108	345	9	26	26%	4%	86	+0.2
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A	21	43→53	45	51→60	38	217/252/345	127	271	12	13	25%	4%	65	-1.2	245/275/343	98	330	4	28	26%	3%	72	-0.7	279/314/423	145	342	13	14	22%	4%	104	+0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2022 · A	22	44→54	42→45	52→50	39	218/265/326	108	279	9	9	25%	4%	66	-1.1	234/286/340	106	285	10	10	21%	5%	77	-0.3	229/282/328	99	275	10	12	20%	5%	71	-0.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2024 · A	21	39→44	40→50	52→55	44	186/271/278	93	294	7	15	36%	9%	59	-1.7	222/298/356	134	324	13	17	33%	9%	86	+0.3	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Jake Shaffer 2009 · A	21	43→53	38→45	52→45	42	207/257/288	81	283	5	15	28%	6%	54	-2.0	250/282/362	112	317	9	7	23%	4%	80	-0.2	265/295/386	122	329	9	6	22%	3%	87	+0.3
✕Forrest Wall 2017 · A	21	47→55	40→45	52→70	43	226/279/321	95	294	7	17	25%	6%	70	-0.9	222/278/324	102	303	9	19	28%	7%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3

Owen Carey

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps