Trevor Condon — OGILVIE

Trevor CondonCF Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 19 L/R A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .286 / .363

PA58

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	31	28	9	3	0	1	3	6	0	2	1	321	387	536	923	214	381	19	10	405	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	31	29	8	2	0	1	2	8	0	2	1	276	323	448	771	172	352	26	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	31	29	8	2	0	1	2	8	0	2	1	276	323	448	771	172	350	26	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	31	28	9	3	0	1	3	6	0	2	1	321	387	536	923	214	381	19	10	405	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	31	29	8	2	0	1	2	8	0	2	1	276	323	448	771	172	352	26	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	31	29	8	2	0	1	2	8	0	2	1	276	323	448	771	172	352	26	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	STL	0%	141	130	30	7	1	3	9	37	1	4	1	232	288	366	654	134	298	26	6	291	83	-3	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	STL	34%	174	159	38	9	1	4	12	45	1	5	1	234	293	372	664	137	299	26	7	296	86	-3	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	STL	48%	312	285	66	15	1	7	22	80	2	8	2	236	296	377	673	140	300	26	7	299	89	-4	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	STL	54%	413	378	89	20	2	10	29	105	3	11	3	238	299	381	679	143	300	25	7	302	91	-5	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	STL	57%	481	439	105	24	2	12	35	121	4	13	3	239	301	384	685	145	300	25	7	304	92	-4	+1	+1	+2	+10	1.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	STL	57%	525	478	115	26	2	13	38	131	4	14	3	240	302	387	689	146	301	25	7	306	93	-4	+2	+3	+2	+11	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	STL	60%	551	501	121	27	3	14	40	137	5	15	3	240	303	387	690	147	301	25	7	307	94	-4	+2	+4	+2	+12	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	STL	58%	565	514	124	28	3	14	41	141	5	15	3	240	302	387	689	147	300	25	7	306	93	-4	+2	+4	+2	+12	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	STL	56%	569	517	124	28	3	14	42	142	5	15	3	239	302	384	686	145	300	25	7	305	93	-5	+2	+4	+2	+12	1.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	567	517	123	28	2	14	41	143	4	14	3	238	300	380	680	142	299	25	7	302	91	-6	+2	+3	+2	+12	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	STL	54%	559	509	120	27	2	13	41	143	4	13	3	235	297	374	671	139	298	26	7	299	89	-8	+1	+3	+2	+12	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	550	501	116	26	2	12	40	142	4	13	4	233	294	367	661	134	297	26	7	295	86	-9	+1	+2	+2	+12	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	STL	57%	536	489	112	25	2	11	38	141	4	11	4	229	289	358	647	129	294	26	7	289	82	-12	+1	+1	+2	+12	0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	STL	34%	60	56	12	3	0	1	4	16	0	2	0	235	293	370	663	135	302	27	7	295	86	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	STL	48%	151	138	33	8	1	3	11	39	1	4	1	237	297	374	671	138	302	26	7	299	89	-2	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	STL	54%	224	204	49	12	1	5	16	57	2	6	1	238	299	378	677	140	303	25	7	301	91	-3	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	STL	57%	272	248	59	14	1	6	20	68	2	7	2	240	301	381	683	142	303	25	7	304	92	-3	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	STL	57%	297	271	65	15	1	7	22	74	2	8	2	241	303	384	687	143	303	25	7	306	93	-2	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	STL	60%	333	303	74	17	2	8	24	83	3	9	2	241	303	384	687	143	303	25	7	306	94	-3	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	STL	58%	329	299	73	17	2	8	24	82	3	9	2	241	303	384	687	143	303	25	7	305	93	-3	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	STL	56%	321	291	69	16	1	7	24	80	3	8	2	240	302	381	683	142	303	25	7	304	93	-3	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.9
2036	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	314	286	68	16	1	7	23	79	2	8	2	238	300	377	677	139	302	25	7	302	91	-3	+1	+2	+1	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	STL	54%	300	273	64	15	1	6	22	77	2	7	2	236	298	372	669	136	301	26	7	298	89	-4	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	290	265	61	14	1	6	21	75	2	7	2	233	294	365	659	131	300	26	7	294	86	-5	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	STL	57%	304	277	64	15	1	6	22	80	2	6	2	230	290	356	646	126	297	26	7	289	82	-7	+0	+1	+1	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3195	2911	691	162	13	70	233	810	24	81	20	237	299	374	673	137	303	25	7	301	90	-37	+8	+14	+11	+69	6.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	141	33	3	14	47	165	5	16	4	238	299	375	674	137	305	25	7	301	90	-8	+2	+3	+2	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5891	5370	1273	288	25	140	425	1494	45	150	36	237	298	378	677	141	301	25	7	301	90	-70	+16	+24	+21	+127	12.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	140	32	3	15	47	165	5	17	4	236	298	376	674	140	300	25	7	301	90	-8	+2	+3	+2	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael A. Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,758 PA	5.7	3,758	108	128	232	288	380	+12	+64	13.3	12.9
/162	664	19	23	+2.1	+11.2	2.3	pk7: 13
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,253	77	83	238	296	380	+12	+28	7.3	6.4
/162	664	16	17	+2.4	+5.7	1.5	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trevor Condon (OGILVIE)	19	25→57	30→42	60→64	40	230/286/363	133	298	1	1	26%	7%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Marcelo Mayer 2022 · A	19	46→47	42→50	53→50	42	215/279/322	107	328	10	12	35%	8%	71	-0.8	225/292/370	145	321	15	12	32%	8%	86	+0.3	229/294/381	151	313	16	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Max Clark 2024 · A	19	44→53	42→45	51→55	48	207/292/314	106	308	9	11	33%	10%	74	-0.5	238/314/357	119	306	11	17	24%	9%	92	+0.7	245/323/369	124	304	11	19	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
●Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42→47	45	53→55	45	210/280/332	122	276	12	11	28%	8%	74	-0.6	194/285/295	101	272	9	22	29%	10%	68	-1.0	192/290/337	145	263	17	31	32%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Carlos Jorge 2024 · A	20	45→55	46→45	60	45	219/294/354	135	303	12	25	30%	8%	84	+0.1	215/278/322	107	304	10	27	30%	7%	70	-0.8	221/282/318	97	305	9	33	29%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Edwin Arroyo 2023 · A	19	48→58	47→45	55→50	40	230/290/370	140	327	13	14	32%	6%	86	+0.3	233/286/359	126	312	10	16	27%	6%	82	-0.0	244/294/361	117	313	9	15	24%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	226/277/312	86	293	6	14	24%	6%	67	-1.1	258/305/354	96	315	6	11	19%	6%	86	+0.3	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
✕Akil Baddoo 2018 · A	19	46→53	42→50	52→55	49	220/298/335	114	290	7	10	25%	9%	80	-0.1	201/274/317	116	305	8	13	34%	9%	68	-1.0	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Harry Ford 2022 · A	19	45→53	47→45	52→55	43	223/289/361	138	311	13	9	31%	8%	84	+0.1	221/332/349	128	309	12	16	29%	12%	98	+1.2	226/338/346	120	294	12	19	24%	12%	96	+0.9
✕Héctor Rodríguez 2024 · A	20	48→52	46→50	54→50	41	238/279/378	140	292	12	13	23%	4%	83	+0.1	242/280/378	136	286	14	10	20%	5%	84	+0.1	243/284/388	145	281	17	9	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	45→55	43→55	54→50	39	221/262/338	118	304	9	10	30%	5%	68	-1.0	185/227/272	87	291	7	8	37%	4%	39	-3.1	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Bryan Anderson 2006 · A	19	49→59	45	51→30	42	242/288/365	123	304	13	9	25%	6%	84	+0.1	257/306/348	91	327	6	3	22%	6%	86	+0.3	270/319/355	85	341	5	1	21%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	47→57	40→50	54→45	44	224/275/327	103	289	6	6	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/289/389	139	299	15	6	21%	5%	90	+0.6	260/314/394	134	302	14	2	18%	7%	99	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps