Edwin Arroyo — OGILVIE

Edwin ArroyoSS Louisville Bats

Age 22 S/R 5'11" / 173 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION492 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP299

ISO99

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 51 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT51

xAVG

710.268

POWER48

Barrel%

102.7

Avg EV

3588.0

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED55

Sprint

8428.8

DEFENSE58

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼▼29% over 52 PA (60d) · proj 20%

BB%5%·6% over 52 PA (60d) · proj 5%

ISO.081▼.021 over 48 AB (60d) · proj .099

HR/BB1.4%·0.0% over 33 BBE (60d) · proj 1.8%

BABIP.290·.273 over 33 BIP (60d) · proj .291

SLASH.225/.274/.306▼▼proj .240/.287/.340

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$7M	+1.9	$12M	+$7M
2030	Arb-2	$12M	+2.0	$12M	+$4M
2031	Arb-3	$18M	+2.0	$11M	+$0.4M
Totals		$38M		$56M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	86	71	15	2	0	2	10	26	4	4	1	211	341	324	665	113	295	30	12	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	17	INTL	RA12	—	65	56	14	3	0	0	6	14	1	1	0	250	333	304	637	54	333	22	9	288	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	519	461	137	25	10	14	44	121	10	25	6	297	371	486	857	189	373	23	8	376	140	+25	+3	—	—	+11	4.0
2022	18	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	37	27	4	0	0	0	9	9	1	0	0	148	378	148	527		222	24	24	287	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	19	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	20	17	6	2	1	0	1	6	1	1	0	353	421	588	1.009	235	500	30	5	417	168	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	534	475	118	26	10	13	48	112	5	28	7	248	323	427	751	179	297	21	9	330	109	+6	+3	—	—	+12	2.1
2024	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	81	75	19	4	1	0	6	19	0	7	0	253	309	333	642	80	339	23	7	291	83	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	521	464	132	23	4	3	40	88	7	12	7	284	350	371	721	86	339	17	8	322	104	+2	-0	—	—	+11	1.4
2025	21	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	70	62	22	5	1	0	4	9	4	1	0	355	429	468	896	113	415	13	6	404	159	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	86	75	11	1	0	2	6	38	4	4	1	147	247	240	487	93	232	44	7	208	27	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	519	472	109	20	7	13	33	168	10	25	6	231	295	386	681	155	322	32	6	295	86	-9	+3	—	—	+11	0.5
2023	19	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	20	17	6	2	1	0	1	8	1	1	0	353	421	588	1.009	235	449	40	5	365	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	534	491	99	20	8	11	33	155	5	28	7	202	259	342	601	141	260	29	6	258	61	-25	+3	—	—	+12	-1.1
2025	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	521	478	129	19	4	2	26	106	7	12	7	270	317	339	656	69	327	20	5	288	81	-12	-0	—	—	+11	-0.1
2021	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	151	132	19	2	0	3	11	66	5	5	1	144	236	227	464	83	250	44	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	151	127	29	5	0	2	16	40	5	5	1	228	338	315	653	87	314	26	11	300	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	556	505	117	22	7	14	36	180	11	25	6	232	297	386	683	154	327	32	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	556	488	141	25	10	14	53	130	11	25	6	289	371	467	839	178	365	23	10	370	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	554	509	103	21	9	11	33	162	6	29	7	202	259	344	603	141	270	29	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	554	492	124	28	11	13	49	118	6	29	7	252	327	433	760	181	303	21	9	333	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL MLE	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	81	75	19	4	1	0	6	19	0	7	0	253	309	333	642	80	339	23	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL RAW	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	81	75	19	4	1	0	6	19	0	7	0	253	309	333	642	80	339	23	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	591	541	147	22	4	3	29	121	11	13	7	272	322	344	666	72	339	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	591	526	154	28	5	3	44	97	11	13	7	293	360	382	742	89	348	16	7	331	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	151	134	19	2	0	3	11	66	5	5	1	142	236	224	460	82	232	44	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	556	504	117	22	7	14	36	180	11	25	6	232	297	387	684	155	322	32	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	554	510	103	21	9	11	33	162	6	29	7	202	259	343	602	141	267	29	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	591	546	147	22	4	3	29	121	11	13	7	269	322	341	663	71	327	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	554	510	103	21	9	11	33	162	6	29	7	202	259	343	602	141	267	29	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	591	546	147	22	4	3	29	121	11	13	7	269	322	341	663	71	327	20	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	CIN	—	492	449	113	15	6	11	24	111	8	14	1	252	301	385	687	134	308	23	5	293	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	22	MLB RAW	CIN	—	160	148	33	4	1	0	6	38	3	1	1	223	268	264	531	41	297	24	4	241	84	-3	-0	+0	+5	+3	0.6
YTD	22	AAA RAW	CIN	—	332	289	90	13	5	15	28	61	5	13	0	311	380	547	926	235	347	18	8	394	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	MLB RAW	CIN	—	160	148	33	4	1	0	6	38	3	1	1	223	268	264	531	41	297	24	4	241	49	-10	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
ROS	22	AAA MLE	CIN	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		297	20	10	291	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	22	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		299	20	10	285	83	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	CIN	—	170	157	35	4	1	0	7	40	3	1	1	223	269	261	531	38	297	24	4	243	84	-3	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
TOT	22	AAA MLE	CIN	—	502	458	115	15	6	11	25	113	8	14	1	251	301	382	684	131	308	23	5	293	84	-9	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	598	554	135	19	6	12	31	127	8	20	3	244	293	365	658	121	293	21	5	292	84	-12	+3	+4	+6	+13	1.5
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	646	596	147	21	6	15	36	136	9	22	3	247	300	378	677	131	294	21	6	301	90	-8	+3	+4	+7	+14	2.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	648	596	148	22	6	16	38	136	9	22	3	248	303	386	689	138	294	21	6	306	93	-5	+3	+4	+7	+14	2.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	648	595	149	22	6	17	39	136	9	22	3	250	306	393	700	143	294	21	6	308	95	-4	+3	+4	+7	+14	2.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	643	590	148	22	6	17	39	135	9	22	3	251	307	395	702	144	294	21	6	309	95	-4	+3	+4	+7	+14	2.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	635	583	144	21	6	16	39	134	8	21	3	247	303	386	689	139	294	21	6	308	94	-4	+3	+4	+7	+14	2.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	623	571	141	21	5	16	39	133	8	19	3	247	304	385	689	138	293	21	6	306	93	-5	+3	+3	+7	+13	2.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	611	560	137	20	5	15	38	132	8	17	3	245	302	379	681	134	292	22	6	303	92	-6	+2	+2	+7	+13	1.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	596	546	132	19	5	14	37	131	8	14	2	242	299	372	671	130	290	22	6	300	89	-8	+2	+1	+6	+13	1.5
2036	32	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	577	529	126	18	5	13	36	129	7	11	2	238	295	365	660	127	288	22	6	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	CIN	82%	547	501	117	16	4	12	34	125	7	8	1	234	292	353	645	120	284	23	6	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.6
2038	34	MLB MLE	CIN	77%	499	460	104	14	4	10	30	117	6	5	1	226	282	339	621	113	279	23	6	279	75	-15	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	490	454	112	16	5	10	26	104	7	17	3	247	298	370	668	123	296	21	5	287	84	-9	+2	+3	+5	+11	1.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	530	488	122	18	5	13	30	112	7	18	3	250	303	387	690	137	297	21	6	296	90	-6	+2	+4	+6	+11	1.7
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	531	488	123	18	5	14	31	111	7	18	3	252	306	395	702	143	297	21	6	302	93	-4	+2	+4	+6	+12	1.9
2030	26	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	531	487	124	18	5	15	32	111	7	18	3	255	310	405	714	150	297	21	6	304	95	-3	+2	+4	+6	+12	2.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	527	483	123	18	5	15	32	111	7	18	3	255	310	406	716	151	297	21	6	305	95	-3	+2	+4	+6	+11	2.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	521	477	121	18	5	14	32	110	7	17	3	254	310	400	710	147	297	21	6	304	94	-3	+2	+3	+6	+11	1.9
2033	29	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	511	467	117	17	4	14	32	109	7	15	2	251	308	394	702	143	296	21	6	302	93	-4	+2	+2	+5	+11	1.7
2034	30	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	501	458	114	17	4	13	31	108	7	14	2	249	306	389	695	140	295	22	6	299	92	-5	+2	+2	+5	+11	1.5
2035	31	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	489	449	109	16	4	12	31	107	6	12	2	243	300	376	677	134	293	22	6	295	89	-6	+2	+1	+5	+11	1.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	473	435	105	15	4	12	29	106	6	9	1	241	298	377	675	136	290	22	6	290	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2037	33	MLB CTX	CIN	82%	449	412	97	13	4	10	28	103	6	7	1	235	294	359	653	124	287	23	6	284	81	-10	+1	-0	+5	+10	0.5
2038	34	MLB CTX	CIN	77%	387	355	81	11	3	8	24	91	5	4	1	228	286	344	630	115	282	24	6	275	75	-11	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5950	5462	1350	195	53	150	359	1285	79	167	27	247	303	385	688	137	296	22	6	296	84	-76	+23	+24	+64	+129	16.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	147	21	6	16	39	140	9	18	3	246	302	382	684	136	295	22	6	296	84	-8	+2	+3	+7	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	9214	8452	2035	306	85	204	552	2121	129	282	51	241	297	369	667	129	296	23	6	293	84	-93	+29	+29	+78	+158	20.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	144	22	6	14	39	150	9	20	4	242	298	369	667	128	298	23	6	293	84	-8	+3	+3	+7	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#3Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#4Clint Barmeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,100 PA	6.2	4,100	89	43	245	294	379	+34	+76	16.8	16.2
/162	664	14	7	+5.4	+12.4	2.7	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.5	6,302	143	177	244	296	372	+65	+40	17.1	15.0
/162	664	15	19	+6.8	+4.2	1.8	pk7: 13
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edwin Arroyo (OGILVIE)	22	49→51	45→48	56→55	46	242/291/356	114	297	4	7	21%	5%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	50→58	39→50	58→60	50	236/300/327	91	298	5	22	21%	8%	79	-0.2	247/302/345	98	313	7	27	22%	7%	84	+0.1	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Luis Rengifo 2019 · AAA	22	49→56	42→55	57→55	48	237/298/354	118	288	8	25	20%	7%	84	+0.2	233/300/356	123	286	11	14	21%	8%	86	+0.3	271/321/427	157	304	18	16	17%	6%	109	+1.5
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	41→50	53→50	47	240/299/345	104	301	6	14	22%	7%	82	+0.0	245/303/377	132	305	11	12	22%	7%	92	+0.7	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Alen Hanson 2015 · AA	22	48→52	45→50	56→60	42	237/276/371	134	292	10	20	23%	5%	80	-0.2	233/269/343	110	287	8	29	21%	5%	70	-0.8	246/282/378	132	296	11	30	20%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Ehire Adrianza 2012 · A	22	47→50	40→50	49→50	45	223/280/321	98	287	6	13	24%	7%	70	-0.8	217/275/306	89	279	4	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	241/326/373	132	289	11	1	19%	10%	98	+0.4
✕Freddy Galvis 2013 · MLB	23	49→54	40→50	48→50	42	234/266/332	99	274	7	12	18%	4%	68	-1.0	225/263/339	114	269	10	7	20%	5%	68	-1.0	250/299/389	139	300	14	8	21%	6%	90	+0.7
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2011 · AA	22	54→58	39→45	51→50	48	254/308/348	94	308	4	12	18%	7%	86	+0.3	263/303/357	94	304	5	14	15%	5%	86	+0.3	270/305/359	90	305	5	14	13%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Harold Garcia 2009 · A	22	47→57	42→45	55	44	226/298/339	113	281	8	14	22%	6%	82	+0.0	248/299/351	103	332	8	22	26%	4%	84	+0.2	259/308/359	100	352	7	27	27%	4%	88	+0.4
✕Orlando Arcia 2016 · AA	21	54→57	40→50	54→55	44	255/291/361	105	299	6	19	17%	5%	83	+0.1	244/286/356	112	298	10	16	21%	5%	80	-0.1	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	8%	96	+0.7
●Andrés Giménez 2021 · MLB	22	48→58	43→50	55	40	232/288/349	117	295	9	26	24%	5%	80	-0.1	254/316/403	149	311	16	23	23%	5%	103	+1.6	260/325/413	154	312	16	25	21%	5%	105	+1.5
✕Cliff Pennington 2006 · A	22	47→55	38→45	52→55	49	224/287/301	77	276	6	20	20%	8%	69	-0.9	218/287/297	79	268	5	16	19%	9%	68	-1.0	247/310/355	108	294	7	24	18%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2014 · AA	22	49	44→55	56→55	41	240/282/364	125	312	11	21	26%	5%	81	-0.1	217/259/360	143	297	14	22	30%	5%	72	-0.7	212/259/369	157	293	16	14	32%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Greg Allen 2016 · A	23	49→57	39→45	52→65	49	234/302/324	90	268	6	23	15%	6%	80	-0.2	247/319/337	90	302	6	28	19%	7%	89	+0.5	252/325/355	103	322	6	35	22%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Taylor Walls 2019 · A	23	52→54	40→45	52→60	50	245/310/343	98	306	6	17	21%	8%	86	+0.3	228/296/349	121	296	10	20	25%	9%	83	+0.1	197/283/321	124	258	11	20	26%	10%	72	-0.5
✕Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2012 · AA	22	53→61	44→45	51→55	42	261/292/378	118	303	11	19	18%	4%	88	+0.4	248/279/326	78	296	6	11	18%	4%	70	-0.8	269/301/365	97	307	10	11	16%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Victor Reyes 2018 · AA	23	55→58	38→50	51→55	41	260/290/344	85	317	5	14	20%	4%	78	-0.3	258/287/364	106	318	8	17	21%	4%	82	+0.0	280/315/415	135	345	11	18	21%	4%	103	+1.0
✕Osleivis Basabe 2023 · AA	22	57→62	40→45	56→50	46	270/315/373	103	320	5	17	17%	6%	95	+0.9	244/289/348	104	297	7	13	20%	5%	80	-0.2	230/276/336	106	279	9	11	21%	5%	70	-0.6
●Jemile Weeks 2009 · A	22	50→60	41→45	52→55	50	239/316/342	103	298	8	14	22%	8%	89	+0.5	247/305/360	113	295	9	16	19%	7%	88	+0.5	262/318/375	113	310	7	21	17%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Cole Tucker 2018 · AA	22	47	39→45	56→55	44	223/277/312	89	299	5	24	26%	7%	67	-1.1	220/277/319	99	287	7	20	24%	7%	68	-1.0	209/274/322	113	274	9	12	26%	8%	65	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps