Edwin Arroyo — OGILVIE

Edwin ArroyoSS Louisville Bats

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 22 S/R 5'11" / 173 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.6 · 2030

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .279 / .329

PA222

HR3

SB8

K%24

BB%6

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

FLD

60→60

EYE

40↗45

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$11M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$16M	+$15M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.4	$21M	+$20M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+2.6	$23M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+2.6	$24M	+$15M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+2.4	$23M	+$11M
Totals		$28M		$118M	+$90M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	2 teams	151	133	19	2	0	3	10	66	5	5	1	.143	.230	.226	.455	.083	.246	44	7	.212	20	-14	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.7
2022	18	A	2 teams	556	505	117	21	7	15	36	178	11	25	6	.232	.297	.390	.687	.158	.323	32	6	.299	87	-8	+3	+0	+6	+16	1.6
2023	19	A+	2 teams	554	509	107	21	10	11	33	156	6	29	7	.210	.266	.356	.622	.145	.277	28	6	.267	63	-23	+3	+0	+6	+16	0.1
2024	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	81	75	19	4	1	0	6	19	0	7	0	.253	.309	.333	.642	.080	.339	23	7	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2025	21	AA	2 teams	591	541	142	23	4	3	29	129	11	13	7	.262	.313	.336	.650	.074	.333	22	5	.283	75	-17	-0	+0	+6	+17	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	AAA	Louisville Bats	113	97	26	3	1	3	8	25	1	5	0	.268	.330	.412	.743	.144	.319	22	7	.305	92	-1	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	109	100	24	4	1	2	7	26	1	3	1	.240	.296	.360	.656	.120	.295	24	6	.283	74	-3	+0	+1	+1	+3	0.2
TOT	22	MLB	CIN	222	197	50	7	2	5	15	51	2	8	1	.254	.313	.386	.699	.132	.310	23	7	.294	83	-4	+1	+1	+2	+6	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 58%	CIN	573	525	122	21	5	9	37	125	6	16	4	.232	.290	.343	.633	.110	.286	22	6	.284	76	-16	+2	+5	+6	+16	1.3
2028	24	MLB 76%	CIN	611	558	132	23	5	12	42	132	6	17	4	.237	.297	.360	.657	.124	.287	22	7	.294	83	-12	+2	+5	+7	+17	1.9
2029	25	MLB 91%	CIN	634	578	138	24	5	13	45	136	6	18	4	.239	.300	.365	.666	.126	.288	21	7	.299	87	-9	+2	+5	+7	+18	2.4
2030	26	MLB	CIN	646	586	140	24	5	14	48	139	7	18	4	.239	.304	.369	.673	.130	.289	22	7	.302	89	-8	+2	+6	+7	+18	2.6
2031	27	MLB	CIN	649	588	140	24	5	14	49	140	7	17	3	.238	.304	.367	.672	.129	.289	22	8	.302	90	-8	+2	+6	+7	+18	2.6
2032	28	MLB	CIN	646	585	139	24	5	14	49	141	7	16	3	.238	.304	.368	.672	.130	.289	22	8	.301	89	-8	+2	+5	+7	+18	2.4
2033	29	MLB	CIN	637	577	137	24	5	13	49	141	6	15	2	.237	.304	.364	.668	.127	.288	22	8	.299	87	-9	+2	+4	+7	+18	2.2
2034	30	MLB	CIN	627	568	134	23	5	13	48	141	6	13	2	.236	.302	.363	.665	.127	.287	22	8	.296	85	-11	+2	+3	+7	+18	1.9
2035	31	MLB	CIN	614	556	129	22	5	12	47	140	6	10	1	.232	.299	.354	.653	.122	.285	23	8	.292	82	-13	+2	+2	+7	+17	1.6
2036	32	MLB	CIN	596	540	123	21	4	11	45	139	6	8	0	.228	.294	.343	.637	.115	.284	23	8	.288	78	-15	+2	+2	+6	+17	1.2
2037	33	MLB	CIN	566	513	115	19	4	10	43	136	5	5	0	.224	.291	.335	.626	.111	.282	24	8	.282	74	-17	+1	+1	+6	+16	0.7
2038	34	MLB	CIN	517	468	103	17	4	8	39	129	5	4	0	.220	.287	.325	.612	.105	.281	25	8	.276	69	-18	+1	-0	+6	+15	0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9358	8505	1980	341	80	177	662	2213	107	239	49	.233	.296	.354	.651	.121	.292	24	7	.288	78	-229	+28	+44	+100	+265	21.3
/ 162G	—			650	591	138	24	6	12	46	154	7	17	3	.234	.297	.355	.652	.122	.294	24	7	.288	78	-16	+2	+3	+7	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Mariners	86	71	15	2	0	2	10	26	4	4	1	.211	.341	.324	.665	.113	.295	30	12	.309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	17	INTL	RA12	65	56	14	3	0	0	6	14	1	1	0	.250	.333	.304	.637	.054	.333	22	9	.288	79	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	519	461	137	25	10	14	44	121	10	25	6	.297	.371	.486	.857	.189	.373	23	8	.376	146	+27	+3	—	—	+15	4.5
2022	18	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	37	27	4	0	0	0	9	9	1	0	0	.148	.378	.148	.527	.000	.222	24	24	.287	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	19	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	20	17	6	2	1	0	1	6	1	1	0	.353	.421	.588	1.009	.235	.500	30	5	.417	177	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	534	475	118	26	10	13	48	112	5	28	7	.248	.323	.427	.751	.179	.297	21	9	.330	111	+6	+3	—	—	+15	2.5
2024	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	81	75	19	4	1	0	6	19	0	7	0	.253	.309	.333	.642	.080	.339	23	7	.291	81	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	521	464	132	23	4	3	40	88	7	12	7	.284	.350	.371	.721	.086	.339	17	8	.322	104	+3	-0	—	—	+15	1.7
2025	21	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	70	62	22	5	1	0	4	9	4	1	0	.355	.429	.468	.896	.113	.415	13	6	.404	167	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edwin Arroyo (OGILVIE)	22	50	45	55	45	.226/.279/.329	.102	.292	3	5	24%	6%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→54	41→50	52→50	46	.238/.295/.341	.103	.299	7	14	22%	7%	78	+0.2	.244/.303/.376	.132	.304	11	12	22%	7%	91	+1.1	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2
✕Harold Garcia 2009 · A	22	47→57	42→45	54→55	44	.225/.299/.336	.110	.281	8	13	22%	6%	80	+0.4	.244/.294/.348	.104	.324	8	22	26%	4%	79	+0.3	.255/.303/.356	.102	.345	8	27	27%	4%	83	+0.5
✕Alex Yarbrough 2014 · AA	22	51→54	42→45	53→45	39	.246/.272/.359	.112	.299	8	10	21%	3%	72	-0.2	.231/.260/.322	.091	.312	6	6	27%	4%	57	-1.2	.218/.249/.297	.078	.307	4	5	29%	4%	44	-2.0
✕Humberto Castro 2013 · AAA	22	51	41→40	53→45	42	.248/.297/.346	.097	.308	9	13	22%	5%	80	+0.4	.230/.276/.307	.077	.279	6	8	19%	4%	61	-1.0	.264/.322/.324	.060	.311	3	5	15%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Ehire Adrianza 2013 · AA	23	45→50	39→50	51→50	44	.213/.268/.308	.094	.275	5	14	24%	6%	58	-1.2	.224/.285/.311	.087	.287	5	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	.239/.324/.368	.129	.285	11	1	19%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Alen Hanson 2015 · AA	22	48→51	46→50	55→60	42	.237/.278/.377	.139	.293	12	20	23%	5%	79	+0.3	.236/.272/.354	.118	.291	9	28	21%	5%	71	-0.3	.248/.284/.386	.138	.297	12	30	20%	4%	81	+0.3
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2011 · AA	22	53→59	38→45	50	47	.248/.302/.338	.090	.301	4	12	19%	7%	79	+0.3	.262/.303/.359	.097	.304	6	15	15%	5%	85	+0.7	.267/.302/.360	.093	.301	6	14	13%	4%	81	+0.3
✕Nick Franklin 2013 · AAA	22	46→49	46→50	53→50	42	.230/.280/.363	.133	.294	13	13	26%	6%	78	+0.2	.231/.296/.367	.136	.295	14	12	25%	8%	85	+0.7	.224/.295/.363	.139	.281	16	11	25%	9%	82	+0.4
✕Nick Gordon 2018 · AA	22	50→56	39→50	49→55	41	.236/.282/.330	.093	.318	5	13	27%	5%	69	-0.4	.226/.268/.330	.104	.297	7	15	25%	5%	63	-0.8	.251/.296/.382	.131	.320	10	19	24%	4%	87	+0.5
✕Freddy Galvis 2012 · AAA	22	49→55	38→50	49→50	41	.233/.265/.314	.081	.283	6	14	20%	4%	57	-1.2	.227/.262/.341	.114	.272	9	9	20%	4%	64	-0.8	.250/.299/.387	.138	.300	14	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9
✕Danny Worth 2009 · AA	23	48→53	42→45	56→50	45	.230/.286/.340	.110	.297	8	12	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.219/.269/.305	.086	.293	6	12	26%	6%	57	-1.2	.227/.289/.333	.106	.294	9	18	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Adrian Cardenas 2009 · AA	21	51→57	40	53→50	45	.246/.291/.339	.092	.297	7	13	20%	6%	75	-0.0	.259/.307/.352	.093	.307	5	9	16%	6%	85	+0.7	.269/.318/.358	.090	.312	5	8	15%	6%	90	+0.9
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	.232/.293/.343	.110	.273	9	8	18%	8%	78	+0.2	.210/.273/.306	.096	.274	7	5	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.174/.244/.247	.073	.238	6	1	28%	8%	29	-0.8
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2014 · AA	22	49→48	44→55	55	40	.238/.279/.362	.124	.311	11	20	27%	5%	76	+0.1	.218/.260/.363	.145	.298	14	22	30%	5%	69	-0.4	.212/.259/.378	.167	.294	18	14	34%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA	22	49→51	44→50	52→55	46	.237/.296/.355	.118	.303	12	14	25%	8%	82	+0.5	.240/.297/.372	.132	.298	14	23	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.232/.286/.357	.124	.293	12	26	24%	7%	76	+0.0
●Brice Turang 2022 · AAA	22	46→56	39→45	52→60	50	.220/.288/.302	.082	.280	6	18	23%	9%	65	-0.7	.238/.297/.338	.100	.297	10	28	22%	8%	78	+0.2	.273/.346/.393	.120	.333	12	35	20%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Ronny Simon 2021 · A	21	45→53	41→50	52→55	46	.215/.277/.324	.109	.271	6	13	22%	7%	66	-0.6	.212/.263/.367	.155	.273	18	19	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.239/.300/.355	.117	.301	11	27	23%	7%	81	+0.4
✕Shelby Ford 2008 · A	23	47→51	43→50	55→50	41	.228/.283/.349	.121	.294	8	11	25%	5%	76	+0.0	.221/.269/.335	.114	.278	8	14	23%	4%	66	-0.6	.209/.254/.317	.108	.264	8	14	23%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A	22	49→59	40	55→60	44	.234/.284/.337	.103	.297	6	13	23%	6%	72	-0.2	.216/.269/.274	.058	.292	2	21	25%	6%	49	-1.8	.274/.334/.339	.065	.334	3	24	17%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Mason Williams 2014 · AA	22	48→54	41→45	47→55	44	.232/.274/.338	.105	.276	8	13	19%	5%	68	-0.5	.235/.279/.318	.083	.280	5	15	17%	6%	64	-0.8	.250/.295/.373	.123	.304	14	7	22%	6%	81	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)