Ryan CesariniOF
Lake County Captains
Age 23
L/R
5'10" / 211 lbs
A+
K +5%HR +5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.4 · 2029
wRC+†92
AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .308 / .350
PA320
HR6
SB9
K%22
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
25→25
SPD
60→60
EYE
51↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $4M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $9M | $45M | +$36M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 54 | 49 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .245 | .302 | .490 | .792 | .245 | .333 | 26 | 7 | .314 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 425 | 375 | 74 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 83 | 11 | 40 | 7 | .197 | .287 | .280 | .567 | .083 | .241 | 20 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -22 | +5 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .278 | .333 | .472 | .806 | .194 | .348 | 28 | 8 | .314 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CLE | 281 | 251 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 62 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .239 | .315 | .371 | .686 | .131 | .289 | 22 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | CLE | 320 | 287 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 73 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .244 | .318 | .383 | .701 | .139 | .300 | 23 | 8 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | CLE | 434 | 386 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 86 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .244 | .323 | .381 | .703 | .137 | .285 | 20 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | CLE | 467 | 415 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 93 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .321 | .378 | .699 | .137 | .286 | 20 | 9 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | CLE | 487 | 432 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 97 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .243 | .324 | .384 | .709 | .141 | .287 | 20 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | CLE | 493 | 436 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 99 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .243 | .327 | .383 | .710 | .140 | .287 | 20 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | CLE | 493 | 436 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 100 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .324 | .381 | .705 | .140 | .286 | 20 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | CLE | 486 | 430 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 100 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .242 | .325 | .384 | .709 | .142 | .286 | 21 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | CLE | 477 | 422 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 100 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .237 | .321 | .372 | .693 | .135 | .284 | 21 | 10 | .313 | 97 | -1 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | CLE | 464 | 411 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 99 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .234 | .317 | .363 | .679 | .129 | .283 | 21 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 446 | 394 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 98 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .231 | .316 | .355 | .671 | .124 | .282 | 22 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 417 | 369 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 94 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .225 | .309 | .341 | .651 | .117 | .280 | 23 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 371 | 329 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 87 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .222 | .304 | .337 | .642 | .116 | .278 | 23 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5795 | 5135 | 1203 | 216 | 41 | 124 | 540 | 1212 | 81 | 165 | 21 | .234 | .317 | .365 | .682 | .130 | .282 | 21 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -45 | +25 | -20 | -35 | +164 | 9.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 576 | 135 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 136 | 9 | 19 | 2 | .234 | .317 | .366 | .684 | .132 | .282 | 21 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -5 | +3 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 54 | 46 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .283 | .377 | .543 | .921 | .261 | .351 | 19 | 13 | .389 | 156 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 110 | 96 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | .292 | .376 | .469 | .845 | .177 | .329 | 16 | 10 | .373 | 143 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 315 | 260 | 61 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 44 | 42 | 9 | 33 | 7 | .235 | .364 | .319 | .683 | .085 | .271 | 13 | 14 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +4 | — | — | +9 | 1.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ryan Cesarini (OGILVIE) | 23 | 45 | 25 | 60 | 55 | .230/.308/.350 | .120 | .284 | 6 | 9 | 22% | 9% | 87 | +0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A |
23 | 49 | 40 | 58→60 | 50 | .230/.303/.328 | .098 | .298 | 6 | 21 | 24% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.286/.297 | .077 | .280 | 4 | 17 | 21% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .202/.266/.223 | .021 | .248 | 0 | 22 | 17% | 6% | 32 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A |
22 | 47→57 | 42→40 | 56→55 | 51 | .229/.303/.336 | .107 | .265 | 9 | 17 | 17% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .248/.301/.331 | .083 | .281 | 5 | 14 | 13% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .256/.317/.334 | .078 | .294 | 4 | 14 | 13% | 8% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
●Alan Roden 2023 · A |
23 | 47→57 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 51 | .224/.308/.323 | .099 | .271 | 8 | 12 | 20% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .255/.331/.375 | .120 | .298 | 11 | 15 | 17% | 8% | 103 | +1.9 | .258/.335/.383 | .125 | .300 | 12 | 14 | 17% | 8% | 103 | +1.4 |
|
✕Alden Carrithers 2009 · A |
24 | 50→60 | 39→30 | 56→55 | 53 | .235/.323/.325 | .090 | .294 | 6 | 17 | 21% | 10% | 87 | +0.8 | .259/.333/.325 | .066 | .312 | 3 | 15 | 16% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .278/.352/.333 | .055 | .322 | 1 | 17 | 13% | 10% | 96 | +0.9 |
|
✕Ryan Rogowski 2007 · A |
23 | 49→46 | 40 | 58→55 | 52 | .230/.301/.332 | .102 | .279 | 6 | 18 | 19% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.288/.310 | .091 | .274 | 5 | 26 | 20% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.285/.300 | .086 | .266 | 4 | 31 | 20% | 8% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕Michael Gigliotti 2019 · A |
23 | 50 | 42→40 | 51→55 | 50 | .241/.311/.348 | .107 | .300 | 8 | 16 | 22% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .222/.285/.308 | .086 | .299 | 5 | 22 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.303/.306 | .114 | .265 | 11 | 24 | 29% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Robert Perry 2008 · A |
23 | 49→42 | 44→50 | 53→55 | 51 | .240/.317/.368 | .128 | .275 | 10 | 16 | 17% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .210/.292/.304 | .094 | .254 | 6 | 12 | 19% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.283/.262 | .067 | .233 | 3 | 12 | 17% | 8% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA |
23 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 54→50 | 49 | .225/.293/.348 | .122 | .288 | 9 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .227/.293/.350 | .123 | .284 | 10 | 12 | 22% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .224/.293/.346 | .123 | .275 | 10 | 11 | 21% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A |
23 | 48 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 56 | .228/.322/.334 | .106 | .302 | 7 | 15 | 25% | 12% | 89 | +0.9 | .195/.288/.290 | .095 | .289 | 7 | 13 | 31% | 11% | 63 | -0.8 | .147/.251/.227 | .080 | .231 | 6 | 13 | 35% | 12% | 30 | -2.1 |
|
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A |
22 | 45→47 | 43→45 | 57→60 | 53 | .214/.313/.328 | .115 | .295 | 9 | 20 | 28% | 11% | 84 | +0.6 | .215/.314/.338 | .123 | .272 | 13 | 32 | 24% | 11% | 87 | +0.8 | .209/.308/.338 | .130 | .260 | 14 | 40 | 24% | 11% | 81 | +0.5 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2019 · AA |
23 | 49→53 | 40→50 | 53→55 | 46 | .231/.299/.327 | .096 | .299 | 6 | 16 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .223/.296/.332 | .109 | .281 | 9 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
✕Kyle Mottice 2019 · A |
23 | 50 | 36→30 | 57→55 | 54 | .228/.331/.293 | .065 | .273 | 2 | 17 | 16% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .228/.324/.286 | .058 | .278 | 2 | 19 | 17% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .232/.323/.274 | .042 | .286 | 0 | 25 | 16% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Thomas Coyle 2014 · A |
23 | 50→51 | 40 | 57→55 | 54 | .236/.311/.336 | .100 | .290 | 6 | 20 | 20% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .213/.281/.305 | .092 | .294 | 6 | 20 | 27% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .192/.260/.280 | .088 | .276 | 6 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 45 | -1.3 |
|
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 39→45 | 56→55 | 49 | .210/.288/.294 | .085 | .276 | 6 | 17 | 25% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .228/.306/.323 | .095 | .301 | 7 | 16 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.306/.338 | .119 | .290 | 13 | 18 | 27% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brett Nommensen 2011 · A |
24 | 47 | 44→45 | 55 | 50 | .228/.298/.345 | .117 | .268 | 11 | 21 | 19% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .239/.314/.341 | .102 | .292 | 7 | 17 | 19% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .243/.324/.334 | .091 | .301 | 5 | 16 | 19% | 8% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
●Tyler Black 2023 · A |
23 | 48→52 | 41→50 | 50→60 | 54 | .223/.318/.326 | .103 | .296 | 7 | 14 | 25% | 11% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.328/.389 | .152 | .306 | 13 | 30 | 25% | 10% | 105 | +2.1 | .235/.328/.388 | .154 | .304 | 14 | 35 | 25% | 10% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Joe McCarthy 2017 · A |
23 | 48→49 | 42→45 | 50 | 51 | .230/.313/.334 | .104 | .289 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .220/.306/.342 | .122 | .289 | 10 | 13 | 25% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .197/.279/.353 | .156 | .261 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Caleb Durbin 2023 · A |
23 | 45→53 | 41→45 | 55→60 | 49 | .217/.291/.318 | .101 | .245 | 8 | 21 | 15% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .243/.316/.359 | .116 | .264 | 10 | 31 | 12% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .255/.331/.382 | .127 | .270 | 11 | 34 | 10% | 7% | 101 | +1.2 |
|
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A |
23 | 46 | 40→45 | 52→55 | 46 | .219/.288/.317 | .098 | .289 | 6 | 14 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.262/.298 | .089 | .296 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.209/.223 | .049 | .263 | 0 | 15 | 32% | 4% | 8 | -0.8 |
|
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A |
22 | 52→60 | 41→45 | 55 | 48 | .247/.306/.350 | .103 | .310 | 7 | 16 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .264/.324/.374 | .110 | .307 | 8 | 18 | 16% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .265/.329/.365 | .100 | .306 | 7 | 20 | 15% | 8% | 94 | +1.1 |