Alexander Frias
OF Palm Beach Cardinals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROKDSL Brewers G… | 112 | .316/.414/.400 | 1 | 7 | 49 | — | .192/.279/.222 |
| 2026 | 18 | A/ROK2 orgs | 373 | .314/.406/.500 | 10 | 25 | 99 | — | .256/.328/.399 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 19 | MLBSTL | 8 | .216/.281/.341 | 0 | 0 | 76 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ36% MLB | 20 | MLBSTL | 124 | .223/.289/.362 | 3 | 3 | 84 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 21 | MLBSTL | 200 | .228/.296/.381 | 6 | 4 | 92 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers Gold | — | 112 | 95 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 316 | 414 | 400 | 814 | 84 | 392 | 19 | 12 | 370 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 236 | 204 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 56 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 240 | 340 | 397 | 737 | 157 | 301 | 24 | 11 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 137 | 118 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 441 | 518 | 678 | 1.196 | 237 | 516 | 15 | 12 | 519 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers Gold | — | 112 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 192 | 279 | 222 | 502 | 30 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 236 | 212 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 76 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 208 | 285 | 340 | 625 | 132 | 288 | 32 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 137 | 124 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 339 | 401 | 500 | 901 | 161 | 428 | 22 | 7 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers Gold | — | 112 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 192 | 279 | 222 | 502 | 30 | 260 | 24 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers Gold | — | 112 | 95 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 316 | 414 | 400 | 814 | 84 | 392 | 19 | 12 | 370 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 336 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 107 | 8 | 25 | 9 | 253 | 325 | 393 | 718 | 140 | 347 | 29 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 322 | 101 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 77 | 8 | 25 | 9 | 314 | 406 | 500 | 906 | 186 | 386 | 21 | 11 | 401 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers Gold | — | 112 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 192 | 279 | 222 | 502 | 30 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 334 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 107 | 8 | 25 | 9 | 254 | 325 | 395 | 720 | 141 | 339 | 29 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers Gold | — | 112 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 192 | 279 | 222 | 502 | 30 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 334 | 85 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 107 | 8 | 25 | 9 | 254 | 325 | 395 | 720 | 141 | 339 | 29 | 8 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB MLE | STL | 4% | 483 | 441 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 132 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 216 | 281 | 345 | 625 | 129 | 280 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -14 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +10 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB CTX | STL | 4% | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 281 | 341 | 622 | 125 | 281 | 25 | 12 | 279 | 76 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 20 | MLB MLE | STL | 36% | 345 | 313 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 93 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 289 | 367 | 656 | 144 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 293 | 84 | -6 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB MLE | STL | 49% | 408 | 369 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 107 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 229 | 297 | 387 | 683 | 158 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB MLE | STL | 55% | 455 | 412 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 117 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 234 | 302 | 402 | 704 | 168 | 286 | 26 | 7 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 505 | 455 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 129 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 237 | 306 | 413 | 719 | 176 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 562 | 506 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 43 | 142 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 240 | 309 | 421 | 730 | 181 | 289 | 25 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 589 | 531 | 129 | 22 | 4 | 23 | 45 | 148 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 241 | 310 | 427 | 737 | 185 | 289 | 25 | 8 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 597 | 538 | 131 | 22 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 150 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 242 | 311 | 430 | 741 | 188 | 289 | 25 | 8 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB MLE | STL | 55% | 596 | 537 | 130 | 22 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 151 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 241 | 310 | 427 | 737 | 186 | 288 | 25 | 8 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB MLE | STL | 55% | 585 | 527 | 125 | 21 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 150 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 239 | 308 | 422 | 730 | 183 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB MLE | STL | 53% | 566 | 511 | 121 | 20 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 146 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 236 | 305 | 416 | 721 | 180 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB MLE | STL | 57% | 552 | 498 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 21 | 42 | 144 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 233 | 301 | 408 | 709 | 175 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB MLE | STL | 60% | 534 | 483 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 142 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 229 | 296 | 398 | 694 | 169 | 280 | 27 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -4 | -1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB MLE | STL | 61% | 511 | 463 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 138 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 224 | 290 | 385 | 675 | 161 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -7 | -2 | -3 | -3 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB CTX | STL | 36% | 124 | 112 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 289 | 362 | 651 | 139 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 291 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB CTX | STL | 49% | 200 | 180 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 296 | 381 | 677 | 152 | 286 | 26 | 8 | 301 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB CTX | STL | 55% | 248 | 224 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 64 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 233 | 301 | 395 | 696 | 162 | 287 | 26 | 7 | 309 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 286 | 258 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 73 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 236 | 305 | 406 | 711 | 169 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 315 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 318 | 287 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 80 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 239 | 308 | 413 | 721 | 174 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 319 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 333 | 300 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 84 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 309 | 418 | 728 | 178 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 321 | 106 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 337 | 303 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 85 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 241 | 310 | 421 | 731 | 180 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 323 | 107 | +3 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB CTX | STL | 55% | 330 | 298 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 84 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 240 | 309 | 418 | 727 | 179 | 289 | 25 | 8 | 321 | 106 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB CTX | STL | 55% | 321 | 289 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 238 | 307 | 414 | 721 | 176 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 319 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB CTX | STL | 53% | 303 | 273 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 78 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 235 | 304 | 408 | 712 | 172 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 315 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB CTX | STL | 57% | 315 | 284 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 82 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 300 | 400 | 700 | 168 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 310 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB CTX | STL | 60% | 318 | 287 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 84 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 228 | 295 | 390 | 686 | 162 | 281 | 26 | 8 | 304 | 94 | -2 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB CTX | STL | 61% | 313 | 283 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 85 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 223 | 289 | 378 | 667 | 155 | 277 | 27 | 7 | 297 | 89 | -4 | -1 | -2 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3746 | 3378 | 796 | 142 | 24 | 130 | 283 | 967 | 51 | 63 | 27 | 236 | 304 | 407 | 712 | 172 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 313 | 98 | +0 | +2 | -6 | -22 | +81 | 5.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 139 | 25 | 4 | 23 | 49 | 168 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 237 | 306 | 411 | 717 | 174 | 291 | 26 | 8 | 313 | 98 | +0 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7500 | 6768 | 1595 | 272 | 47 | 264 | 566 | 1948 | 103 | 153 | 57 | 236 | 304 | 407 | 711 | 171 | 290 | 26 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -8 | +6 | -11 | -42 | +152 | 10.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 139 | 24 | 4 | 23 | 49 | 169 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 237 | 305 | 409 | 714 | 172 | 291 | 26 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 236 PAwOBA .324 → .270 (−54)K% 23.7% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.12% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 1.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .324 → .270; ISO .157 → .128; BABIP .301 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Brewers · 137 PAwOBA .505 → .390 (−115)K% 15.3% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×1.022 | 30.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×1.022 | 9.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×1.022 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 3.29% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .505 → .390; ISO .237 → .179; BABIP .516 → .428. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Brewers Gold · 112 PAwOBA .364 → .241 (−123)K% 18.8% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.947 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.43% | ÷1.006 | ×0.680 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 21.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.958 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.121 | ×0.600 | ×0.976 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.040 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.62% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 124, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .364 → .241; ISO .084 → .047; BABIP .392 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).