Manuel Cruz
P
FCL Yankees
Age 20
RHP
6'2" / 178 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%22.0%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 12 | 38 | 185 | 30 | 25 | 3 | 100% | 3.1 | 11.0% | 16.9% | -5.9% | 1.9% | 8.60 | 5.36 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 12 | 12 | 38 | 185 | 30 | 25 | 3 | 100% | 3.1 | 16.2% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 8.60 | 4.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 10 | 1 | 34 | 163 | 29 | 25 | 3 | 10% | 3.4 | 12.1% | 19.2% | -7.1% | 2.6% | 6.09 | 5.92 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 56 | 258 | 50 | 35 | 6 | — | — | 19.4% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 5.46 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 24 | 99 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | NYY | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 31 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 87 | 17 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 13 | 72 | 348 | 40 | 62 | 8 | 59% | 3.3 | 11.5% | 18.0% | -6.4% | 2.2% | 7.41 | 5.62 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 36 | 200 | 971 | 112 | 174 | 22 | 59% | 3.3 | 11.5% | 18.0% | -6.4% | 2.2% | 7.41 | 5.62 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Manuel Cruz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 22.6% | 13.0% | 24 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 84 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 83 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 83 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 82 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.27 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 153 | 81 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 80 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 79 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 79 |
| Geno Encina R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 79 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 79 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 78 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 78 |
| Saul Gonzalez R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.69 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .320 | 3.27 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 70 | -0.42 | 2.98 | 110 | 78 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2029 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 78 |
| Henry Valencio R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.15 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .293 | 5.11 | 11.9% | -11.9% | 14 | +0.96 | 3.48 | 136 | 78 |
| Michael Knorr R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 78 |
| Lisandro Almonte R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.83 | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .310 | 5.17 | 20.5% | 3.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 3.92 | 128 | 78 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 78 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 3.70 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 111 | -0.76 | 3.25 | 266 | 78 |