Kristian Cardozo

Kristian Cardozo P ACL Mariners

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.95

FIP4.95

K%21.7%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	50	210	40	19	3	92%	4.1	13.0%	11.3%	1.6%	2.0%	3.62	4.53	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	11	50	210	40	19	3	92%	4.1	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	1.4%	3.62	3.42	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	10	10	36	170	38	18	0	100%	3.6	15.2%	13.2%	2.0%	0.0%	5.00	3.49	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	10	10	36	170	38	18	0	100%	3.6	22.4%	10.6%	11.8%	0.0%	5.00	2.49	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	5	37	167	40	18	3	45%	3.4	16.3%	13.5%	2.8%	2.7%	6.51	4.89	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	11	5	37	167	40	18	3	45%	3.4	16.3%	13.5%	2.8%	2.7%	6.51	4.89	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	11	5	37	167	40	18	3	45%	3.4	24.0%	10.8%	13.2%	1.8%	6.51	3.45	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	12	0	15	70	14	10	2	0%	1.2	13.6%	17.9%	-4.3%	4.6%	3.68	6.76	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	12	0	15	70	14	10	2	0%	1.2	13.6%	17.9%	-4.3%	4.6%	3.68	6.76	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	12	0	15	70	14	10	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	14.3%	5.7%	2.9%	3.68	5.01	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	SEA	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	21.7%	13.0%	8.6%	3.0%	4.95	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	4	4	20	84	19	10	3	100%	5.0	22.4%	11.7%	10.7%	3.0%	4.78	4.70	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	2	2	9	38	9	4	1	100%	4.5	22.4%	11.7%	10.7%	3.0%	4.78	4.70	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	9	36	8	4	1	100%	4.3	22.4%	11.7%	10.7%	3.0%	4.78	4.32	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	187	94	23	100%	5.6	22.4%	11.7%	10.7%	3.0%	4.78	4.32	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		45	26	138	617	90	81	12	58%	3.1	14.5%	13.2%	1.4%	1.9%	4.77	4.60	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	38	200	896	130	118	17	58%	3.1	14.5%	13.2%	1.4%	1.9%	4.77	4.60	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kristian Cardozo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	21.7%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.70	22.4%	10.7%	20	-0.25	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	89
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	82
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	81
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	80
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	79
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	79
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	78
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	78
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	78
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	78
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	77
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	77
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	77
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	76
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	75
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	75
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.4%	13.8%	142	-2.14	2.93	176	75
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	74
Nick Gallagher R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	23	SP-	4.56	22.0%	17.9%	1.9%	.274	5.02	21.0%	7.0%	73	+0.46	4.10	196	73
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	73