Eric Mota

SS DSL Astros Blue

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 174 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2242ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	113	.223/.348/.309	1	10	21	—	.140/.232/.180
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	109	.225/.367/.303	2	4	22	—	.137/.248/.179
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBHOU	219	.194/.270/.265	2	5	54	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	39	.201/.278/.282	0	1	59	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBHOU	101	.205/.282/.293	1	2	63	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%81

BB%64

Whiff%56

wOBA33

wRC+29

ISO29

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsHeiker Meneses (age 19) · Javier Herrera (age 19) · Gilbert Gomez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .268 / .263

PA58

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	94	21	3	1	1	18	29	0	10	1	223	348	309	657	85	308	26	16	306	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	109	89	20	1	0	2	19	29	1	4	3	225	367	303	670	79	310	27	17	319	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	100	14	2	1	0	12	36	0	10	1	140	232	180	412	40	204	32	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	109	95	13	1	0	1	13	35	1	4	3	137	248	179	427	42	195	32	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	100	14	2	1	0	12	36	0	10	1	140	232	180	412	40	215	32	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	94	21	3	1	1	18	29	0	10	1	223	348	309	657	85	308	26	16	306	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	109	95	13	1	0	1	13	35	1	4	3	137	248	179	427	42	203	32	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	109	89	20	1	0	2	19	29	1	4	3	225	367	303	670	79	310	27	17	319	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	100	14	2	1	0	12	36	0	10	1	140	232	180	412	40	204	32	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	109	94	13	1	0	1	13	35	1	4	3	138	248	181	429	43	195	32	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	100	14	2	1	0	12	36	0	10	1	140	232	180	412	40	204	32	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	109	94	13	1	0	1	13	35	1	4	3	138	248	181	429	43	195	32	12	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	219	197	37	5	1	2	19	64	1	5	1	194	270	265	535	71	272	29	9	247	54	-12	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	113	101	20	3	1	1	10	32	1	3	1	199	276	279	554	80	275	28	9	255	59	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	209	187	38	6	1	3	18	59	2	5	1	203	280	290	571	88	277	28	9	262	63	-9	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	320	286	60	9	2	5	28	89	3	8	2	207	284	301	585	94	279	28	9	267	67	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	402	360	75	11	3	6	35	110	4	10	2	210	287	309	596	100	280	27	9	272	70	-14	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	455	408	87	13	3	8	40	123	4	11	3	213	290	317	606	104	282	27	9	276	73	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	485	435	92	14	3	8	43	131	4	12	3	213	290	318	608	105	282	27	9	277	73	-15	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	501	447	96	15	3	9	44	136	5	12	3	213	290	318	608	105	281	27	9	277	73	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	506	452	96	15	3	9	45	138	4	12	3	212	289	316	605	104	281	27	9	275	72	-17	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	504	451	94	14	3	8	44	138	4	11	3	210	287	311	598	101	280	27	9	273	71	-18	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	494	444	92	14	3	8	43	137	4	10	3	208	284	305	590	97	279	28	9	269	68	-19	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	201	278	282	559	81	279	28	8	257	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	101	90	19	3	1	1	9	28	1	2	1	205	282	293	576	88	281	28	9	264	63	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	174	155	32	5	1	2	15	48	2	4	1	209	286	304	590	95	282	28	9	269	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	228	204	43	7	1	4	20	62	2	5	1	212	289	312	601	100	284	27	9	274	70	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	257	230	50	8	2	4	23	70	2	6	2	215	292	320	611	105	285	27	9	278	73	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	274	245	53	8	2	5	24	74	3	7	2	215	292	321	613	106	286	27	9	278	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	283	253	55	9	2	5	25	77	3	7	2	215	292	321	613	106	285	27	9	279	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	281	252	55	9	2	5	25	76	2	7	2	214	291	318	609	104	285	27	9	277	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	277	249	52	8	2	4	24	76	2	6	2	212	289	314	603	102	284	27	9	275	71	-10	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	287	258	54	9	2	4	25	80	2	6	2	210	286	308	595	98	283	28	9	271	68	-11	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2201	1972	419	67	15	34	193	602	19	51	15	212	289	313	602	101	286	27	9	275	68	-77	+4	-1	+24	+48	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	123	20	4	10	57	178	6	15	4	211	288	311	599	100	285	27	9	275	68	-23	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4269	3819	787	118	26	67	380	1181	36	109	28	206	284	303	587	97	278	28	9	268	68	-143	+9	-2	+43	+88	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	120	18	4	10	58	180	5	17	4	207	284	303	587	96	279	28	9	268	68	-23	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 109 PAwOBA .312 → .200 (−113)K% 26.6% → 32.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.61%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	32.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.43%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.14%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.64%
Singles /BIP	28.33%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	18.21%
Doubles /BIP	1.67%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.95%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .312 → .200; ISO .079 → .038; BABIP .310 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 113 PAwOBA .302 → .199 (−103)K% 25.7% → 32.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.66%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	32.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.93%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	10.95%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.62%	÷0.996	×0.680	×0.995	×1.008	16.85%
Doubles /BIP	4.62%	÷0.997	×0.600	×0.995	×1.008	2.79%
Triples /BIP	1.54%	÷0.959	×0.600	×0.995	×1.008	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	1.54%	÷0.938	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.78%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 92, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .302 → .199; ISO .085 → .048; BABIP .308 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,258	36	52	211	285	311	+24	+18	1.2	1.3
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+5.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eric Mota (OGILVIE)	19	30→35	32→37	54→59	66	192/268/263	71	272	1	1	29%	9%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	42	35→40	52→55	50	200/266/258	58	248	3	15	20%	8%	51	-2.3	194/274/273	79	271	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	39	36→40	52→55	45	184/248/252	68	235	3	13	22%	6%	43	-2.8	196/262/276	80	267	6	17	27%	7%	54	-2.0	194/268/275	82	258	8	24	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	35	35→45	50	45	168/242/229	61	241	3	16	30%	8%	36	-3.4	205/255/285	80	282	4	12	27%	5%	53	-2.1	205/252/286	81	285	3	12	28%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Edgleen Perez 2024 · A	18	43→40	35→30	51→40	54	197/288/255	58	263	2	8	24%	11%	59	-1.6	211/310/262	51	287	2	5	24%	11%	70	-0.9	218/319/256	38	293	2	3	23%	12%	69	-0.5
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0

Eric Mota

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps