Eric Mota — OGILVIE

Eric MotaSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 174 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION109 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP263

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	94	21	3	1	1	18	29	0	10	1	223	348	309	657	85	308	26	16	306	93	-1	+2	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	101	16	2	1	1	11	43	0	10	1	158	241	228	469	69	245	38	10	206	26	-10	+2	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	101	16	2	1	1	11	43	0	10	1	158	241	228	469	69	259	38	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	94	21	3	1	1	18	29	0	10	1	223	348	309	657	85	308	26	16	306	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	101	16	2	1	1	11	43	0	10	1	158	241	228	469	69	245	38	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	101	16	2	1	1	11	43	0	10	1	158	241	228	469	69	245	38	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	109	96	14	1	0	1	12	42	1	4	3	146	248	188	435	42	245	39	11	210	28	-9	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	HOU	—	109	89	20	1	0	2	19	29	1	4	3	225	367	303	670	79	310	27	17	319	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	HOU	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		261	30	10	239	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	HOU	—	119	105	15	1	0	1	13	45	1	4	3	143	244	181	425	38	237	38	11	212	30	-10	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	191	170	33	5	1	3	17	58	2	4	1	194	275	288	563	94	267	30	9	254	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	330	293	58	8	2	6	30	97	4	8	2	198	281	300	582	102	271	29	9	263	64	-14	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	436	388	78	12	2	8	40	126	5	10	3	201	284	304	588	103	273	29	9	270	69	-16	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	511	453	93	14	3	10	47	146	6	12	4	205	289	316	604	110	274	29	9	273	71	-18	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	561	498	102	15	3	11	52	160	6	13	4	205	288	313	601	108	275	29	9	275	72	-19	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	595	528	109	16	3	12	55	169	7	14	4	206	290	316	606	110	276	28	9	276	73	-19	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	614	545	112	17	3	12	57	174	7	15	4	206	289	314	603	108	276	28	9	277	74	-19	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	623	553	114	17	3	13	58	177	7	15	4	206	290	318	608	112	275	28	9	277	74	-20	+1	+0	+7	+13	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	625	554	114	17	3	13	59	178	7	15	5	206	290	318	608	112	275	28	9	277	74	-20	+1	+0	+7	+14	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	621	550	113	17	3	12	59	177	7	15	4	205	291	313	603	107	275	29	10	276	73	-20	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	611	541	110	16	3	12	58	176	7	14	4	203	289	311	599	107	274	29	9	275	72	-20	+1	-1	+7	+13	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	66	59	11	2	0	1	6	20	1	1	0	186	273	271	544	85	269	30	9	248	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	160	142	29	4	1	3	15	47	2	4	1	204	289	310	599	106	272	29	9	256	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	236	209	42	6	1	4	22	68	3	6	2	201	286	297	583	96	275	29	9	262	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	289	257	52	8	1	5	27	83	3	7	2	202	286	300	585	97	276	29	9	265	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	323	286	59	9	2	6	30	92	4	8	2	206	291	315	605	108	277	28	9	267	72	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	339	301	64	10	2	7	31	96	4	8	2	213	295	329	624	116	277	28	9	268	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	348	309	65	10	2	7	32	99	4	8	3	210	293	324	616	113	277	28	9	268	74	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	353	313	65	10	2	7	33	100	4	9	3	208	291	319	611	112	277	28	9	269	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	347	307	64	10	2	7	33	99	4	8	2	208	294	322	616	114	277	29	10	269	74	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	367	325	67	10	2	7	35	105	4	9	3	206	291	314	605	108	277	29	10	268	73	-12	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	373	330	67	10	2	7	36	107	4	9	3	203	289	309	598	106	276	29	10	266	72	-12	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3201	2838	585	89	17	61	300	916	37	77	23	206	290	314	604	108	279	29	9	266	71	-107	+6	-1	+34	+69	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	118	18	3	12	61	186	8	16	5	205	290	309	599	104	278	29	9	266	71	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5841	5183	1053	156	30	113	544	1684	65	145	40	203	287	310	597	107	275	29	9	273	71	-194	+11	-2	+61	+124	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	117	17	3	13	61	187	7	16	4	203	287	310	597	107	274	29	9	273	71	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,299	64	78	205	285	312	+35	+21	2.2	2.1
/162	664	13	16	+7.1	+4.2	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eric Mota (OGILVIE)	18	20→25	35→40	54→59	62	179/260/250	71	261	1	2	31%	9%	48	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→40	36→45	51→60	46	196/275/269	73	281	3	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/270/288	87	311	7	23	35%	7%	60	-1.6	204/257/327	123	302	13	35	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	55	-1.9	193/299/288	95	289	6	11	32%	11%	72	-0.7	181/305/266	86	250	6	20	26%	12%	68	-0.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	37→31	36→45	54→55	39	177/242/241	64	278	4	16	36%	6%	38	-3.2	182/246/274	92	300	8	13	39%	7%	47	-2.5	164/235/286	121	289	15	16	46%	7%	44	-1.5
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	43	-2.8	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.8	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→48	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	59	-1.6	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	53	-2.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	45	-2.7	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	55	-2.0	224/262/324	100	290	5	8	24%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Alexander Benua 2022 · A	18	36	35→40	54→55	39	170/242/230	60	260	2	13	33%	6%	36	-3.3	191/259/266	75	288	5	16	33%	6%	51	-2.3	185/255/265	80	288	6	17	35%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	40	-3.0	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	74	-0.6	220/275/339	119	277	13	9	24%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→36	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	54	-2.0	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	68	-1.0	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	74	-0.2
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	42	-2.9	185/256/282	97	276	9	12	34%	7%	53	-2.1	119/206/220	101	222	12	11	49%	8%	20	-1.7
✕Luis Palacios 2007 · A	18	43	37→40	50	47	203/279/272	70	286	4	13	29%	8%	59	-1.6	204/261/283	79	271	5	7	25%	6%	55	-2.0	192/241/268	76	252	6	4	25%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	54	-2.0	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	58	-1.7	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	46	-0.7
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps