Eric Mota — OGILVIE

Eric MotaSS DSL Astros Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 174 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 44 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .250 / .293

PA44

HR1

K%32

BB%7

BABIP269

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$14M		$27M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	101	16	2	1	1	11	44	0	10	1	158	241	228	469	69	263	39	10	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	94	21	3	1	1	18	29	0	10	1	223	348	309	657	85	308	26	16	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	66	60	9	1	0	1	6	24	0	3	1	150	227	217	444	67	229	36	9	219	26	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
YTD	18	ROK	HOU	—	66	56	13	1	0	2	10	17	0	3	1	232	348	357	706	125	297	26	15	325	107	+1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	HOU	0%	44	41	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	195	250	293	543	98	281	32	7	249	49	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	247	48	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	HOU	—	66	61	9	1	0	1	6	24	0	3	1	148	227	213	440	66	222	36	9	219	26	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
TOT	18	ROK	HOU	—	110	101	17	2	0	2	9	38	0	4	1	168	236	248	484	79	246	35	8	231	35	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	188	170	35	5	1	3	15	56	1	4	1	206	274	300	574	94	287	30	8	265	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	328	295	63	10	2	6	27	96	3	7	1	214	286	322	608	108	289	29	8	274	68	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	434	391	85	13	3	9	36	125	4	9	2	217	290	335	625	118	290	29	8	280	72	-14	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	510	457	100	15	3	11	43	145	5	10	2	219	293	337	630	118	291	28	8	284	75	-14	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.7
2031	23	MLB	HOU	58%	561	503	110	17	3	12	47	159	6	11	2	219	293	336	629	117	292	28	8	286	77	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.9
2032	24	MLB	HOU	57%	594	533	119	18	4	14	50	168	6	12	2	223	297	351	648	128	293	28	8	288	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2033	25	MLB	HOU	57%	613	550	122	19	4	14	52	173	6	12	2	222	296	347	643	125	293	28	8	290	80	-14	+2	+0	+7	+17	1.2
2034	26	MLB	HOU	57%	623	559	125	19	4	15	53	176	6	12	2	224	298	352	650	129	293	28	9	290	80	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2035	27	MLB	HOU	55%	624	559	124	19	4	15	54	177	6	12	2	222	297	351	648	129	293	28	9	291	81	-14	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2036	28	MLB	HOU	55%	621	556	124	19	4	15	54	177	6	12	2	223	299	353	651	129	292	29	9	290	80	-14	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2037	29	MLB	HOU	58%	611	547	119	18	3	14	53	175	6	11	2	218	294	338	632	121	292	29	9	288	78	-15	+1	-1	+7	+17	0.9
2038	30	MLB	HOU	60%	601	538	116	18	3	13	52	174	6	9	2	216	292	333	625	117	291	29	9	285	77	-16	+1	-2	+6	+17	0.7
2039	31	MLB	HOU	62%	587	525	113	17	3	13	51	171	6	8	2	215	292	333	625	118	289	29	9	281	74	-18	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.3
2027	19	MLB	HOU	34%	65	60	12	2	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	200	262	283	545	83	289	31	8	261	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	HOU	48%	159	144	31	5	1	3	13	47	1	3	1	215	285	326	611	111	291	30	8	270	64	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB	HOU	54%	235	211	46	7	1	5	20	68	2	5	1	218	292	332	624	114	293	29	9	275	69	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	22	MLB	HOU	57%	289	260	57	9	2	6	24	82	3	6	1	219	293	338	631	119	294	28	8	279	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	HOU	58%	323	290	64	10	2	7	27	92	3	6	1	221	294	341	635	121	294	28	8	282	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB	HOU	57%	339	304	68	11	2	8	29	96	3	7	1	224	298	352	650	128	295	28	9	284	75	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	HOU	57%	348	312	70	11	2	8	29	98	4	7	1	224	299	349	648	125	296	28	8	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	HOU	57%	353	316	71	11	2	9	30	100	4	7	1	225	300	358	658	133	295	28	8	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2035	27	MLB	HOU	55%	346	309	69	11	2	8	30	98	4	7	1	223	300	350	650	126	295	28	9	286	77	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2036	28	MLB	HOU	55%	341	304	67	10	2	8	30	97	4	6	1	220	299	345	644	125	295	28	9	285	76	-9	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.5
2037	29	MLB	HOU	58%	355	317	70	11	2	8	31	102	4	6	1	221	298	344	642	123	294	29	9	283	75	-10	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2038	30	MLB	HOU	60%	362	323	71	11	2	8	32	105	4	6	1	220	298	341	639	121	293	29	9	281	73	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.3
2039	31	MLB	HOU	62%	363	324	71	11	2	8	32	106	4	5	1	219	297	340	637	120	291	29	9	277	70	-12	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3878	3475	767	120	22	87	332	1111	40	72	12	221	296	343	639	122	296	29	9	281	74	-116	+10	-4	+42	+110	4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	129	20	4	15	56	186	7	12	2	222	298	347	645	125	296	29	9	281	74	-19	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	7052	6325	1379	210	42	156	601	2030	67	140	25	218	293	338	631	120	293	29	9	284	76	-194	+18	-7	+76	+200	9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	126	19	4	14	55	187	6	13	2	216	290	334	624	118	291	29	8	284	76	-18	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	113	94	21	3	1	1	18	29	0	10	1	223	348	309	657	85	308	26	16	306	92	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,972	87	74	219	291	340	+43	+24	5.6	4.9
	/162	664	15	12	219	291	340	+7.1	+4.0	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eric Mota (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	168/236/248	79	246	2	4	35%	8%	35	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	44	38→45	51→50	41	207/269/289	82	311	6	11	33%	7%	53	-1.5	209/275/309	100	307	7	11	32%	7%	62	-0.9	189/260/299	110	270	7	17	30%	8%	52	-0.5
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2018 · A	18	45	37→55	51→40	37	209/263/281	71	306	3	8	31%	5%	49	-1.8	197/253/262	65	271	2	5	27%	5%	40	-2.4	183/253/290	107	242	12	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Jason Lopez 2016 · A	18	41	36→55	49→45	47	196/260/260	65	259	4	13	25%	8%	43	-2.2	203/259/301	98	276	9	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	50	-1.8	193/299/287	94	289	6	11	32%	11%	68	-0.5	180/305/264	84	250	5	20	26%	12%	63	-0.3
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3