Roni Cabrera — OGILVIE

Roni CabreraLF Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION266 act + 177 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .257 / .312

PA177

HR4

SB6

K%38

BB%7

BABIP288

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	117	17	2	1	1	8	50	3	6	1	145	219	205	424	60	235	38	6	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	112	24	3	1	2	13	32	3	6	1	214	312	312	625	98	275	25	10	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	121	24	6	2	2	12	39	4	7	1	198	292	331	623	132	268	28	9	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	113	33	10	4	2	20	26	4	7	1	292	416	504	920	212	356	19	14	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	111	100	16	4	0	3	7	42	2	5	2	160	229	290	519	130	232	38	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	111	95	22	6	0	4	12	31	2	5	2	232	330	421	751	189	295	28	11	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	245	222	31	6	1	5	15	112	7	18	6	140	217	243	460	104	248	46	6	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	245	213	49	10	2	7	24	76	7	18	6	230	328	394	722	164	323	31	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	KC	—	266	237	47	9	3	6	18	109	3	14	8	198	264	338	601	139	323	41	7	255	53	-14	-0	+0	-3	+8	-1.0
YTD	21	A	KC	—	266	227	58	12	4	7	28	77	3	14	8	256	345	436	781	181	345	29	11	338	117	+5	-0	+0	-3	+8	0.9
ROS	21	A	KC	0%	177	160	30	6	1	4	12	67	3	6	3	187	257	312	569	125	293	38	7	260	57	-9	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.6
ROS	21	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	246	46	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	21	A	KC	—	266	238	47	9	3	6	18	109	3	14	8	197	264	336	600	139	320	41	7	255	53	-14	-0	+0	-3	+8	-1.0
TOT	21	A	KC	—	443	397	77	15	4	10	30	176	6	20	11	194	261	327	588	133	308	40	7	257	55	-23	-0	+0	-5	+13	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	485	441	87	17	4	12	34	175	7	12	6	197	266	336	601	138	293	36	7	269	64	-20	+0	+0	-5	+14	-1.1
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	500	453	92	18	4	13	36	174	7	12	6	203	272	347	619	143	294	35	7	276	70	-17	+0	+0	-5	+14	-0.8
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	505	456	95	19	4	13	37	171	7	12	5	208	278	353	631	145	294	34	7	281	74	-15	+0	+0	-5	+14	-0.6
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	512	462	97	19	4	14	38	172	7	12	5	210	280	359	639	149	294	34	7	284	76	-14	+0	+0	-5	+15	-0.5
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	520	469	98	19	4	14	39	174	7	12	5	209	280	356	636	147	294	33	8	285	76	-14	+0	+0	-6	+15	-0.5
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	167	151	30	6	1	4	12	60	2	4	2	199	267	331	598	132	289	36	7	255	53	-9	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.6
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	242	220	45	9	2	6	17	84	3	6	3	205	271	345	616	141	290	35	7	263	59	-11	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.7
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	266	241	50	10	2	7	19	90	4	6	3	207	277	353	629	145	291	34	7	268	63	-11	+0	+0	-3	+8	-0.7
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	280	253	52	10	2	7	21	94	4	7	3	206	277	344	621	138	291	34	8	270	65	-11	+0	+0	-3	+8	-0.6
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	289	262	54	10	2	8	21	97	4	7	3	206	275	351	626	145	290	34	7	271	65	-11	+0	+0	-3	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1244	1128	231	45	9	32	90	425	17	30	14	205	274	346	620	141	294	34	7	266	62	-54	+0	+0	-13	+35	-3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	122	24	5	17	47	222	9	16	7	207	276	351	628	144	297	34	7	266	62	-28	+0	+0	-7	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	3324	3001	587	116	25	81	238	1176	54	102	40	196	267	332	599	136	287	35	7	267	63	-140	+4	+0	-36	+94	-7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	115	23	5	16	47	230	11	20	8	196	269	334	603	138	287	35	7	267	63	-27	+1	+0	-7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	112	24	3	1	2	13	32	3	6	1	214	312	312	625	98	275	25	10	286	77	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	113	33	10	4	2	20	26	4	7	1	292	416	504	920	212	356	19	14	401	165	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	111	95	22	6	0	4	12	31	2	5	2	232	330	421	751	189	295	28	11	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	89	76	7	1	1	1	9	34	3	7	3	92	216	171	387	79	146	38	10	192	5	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	156	137	42	9	1	6	15	42	4	11	3	307	391	518	909	212	404	27	10	401	165	+11	+1	—	—	+4	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,555	40	38	204	269	345	-17	-3	-2.6	-1.3
	/162	664	17	16	204	269	345	-7.1	-1.3	-1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roni Cabrera (OGILVIE)	21	45	45	55	35	194/261/327	133	308	10	20	40%	7%	55	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕A.J. Vukovich 2022 · A	21	42→52	47→50	51→55	33	211/251/338	127	310	15	13	36%	4%	59	-1.1	216/258/348	132	311	15	18	34%	5%	64	-0.8	237/291/395	158	341	19	3	35%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	39→45	47→55	52→55	40	199/261/337	138	279	13	19	33%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/332	129	293	11	17	33%	7%	66	-0.6	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Wilkin Ramirez 2007 · A	21	40→49	45→55	50→55	33	204/242/322	118	300	13	12	36%	4%	51	-1.7	217/261/346	129	325	15	23	36%	5%	66	-0.6	240/274/397	157	307	17	16	27%	4%	80	+0.2
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	44→52	43→50	49→55	39	217/262/332	115	296	10	12	30%	5%	62	-0.9	225/284/367	142	306	14	20	30%	7%	81	+0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jeffrey Baez 2015 · A	21	41→43	42→50	54→60	36	199/247/305	106	301	9	19	36%	5%	48	-1.9	203/245/305	102	270	10	23	28%	5%	47	-1.9	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
●Greg Golson 2007 · A	21	40→50	41→45	53→55	32	196/232/299	103	296	8	17	36%	4%	40	-2.4	215/247/323	108	328	10	19	36%	4%	53	-1.5	267/319/357	90	377	5	31	28%	5%	87	+0.3
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→55	49→45	38	202/267/312	111	283	10	12	31%	5%	60	-1.0	204/245/317	113	258	13	7	26%	4%	51	-1.7	244/271/414	171	282	21	9	22%	3%	86	+0.5
✕Christopher Bostick 2014 · A	21	43→53	43→45	52→55	40	209/264/322	113	296	10	14	32%	6%	60	-1.0	209/257/326	117	286	10	16	29%	5%	58	-1.2	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A	21	45→55	43→50	53→55	40	216/275/330	113	310	10	12	32%	6%	67	-0.5	218/283/321	103	306	8	12	29%	7%	69	-0.4	215/292/352	137	316	16	13	35%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2022 · A	21	44→49	42→45	49→30	35	208/259/311	103	322	10	6	37%	5%	56	-1.3	220/267/336	116	322	11	3	34%	5%	66	-0.6	212/257/331	119	307	13	1	34%	4%	57	-0.5
✕Anthony Alford 2015 · A	21	46→47	42→45	56→55	38	210/273/316	105	344	10	15	39%	7%	63	-0.9	205/283/295	90	328	7	18	36%	9%	62	-0.9	209/280/331	122	329	12	24	37%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	58	-1.2	203/261/356	153	281	19	9	34%	5%	69	-0.4	209/271/363	155	281	18	8	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→46	45→50	49→45	37	203/253/331	128	288	12	8	33%	5%	59	-1.1	203/261/346	143	284	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	36→44	41→55	53→50	31	183/215/280	97	279	9	12	37%	4%	27	-3.3	197/243/303	106	298	10	10	36%	5%	46	-2.0	198/275/352	154	301	19	15	38%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Bubba Starling 2014 · A	21	40→46	42→45	54→50	41	197/259/298	100	284	10	13	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/251/323	121	297	12	11	35%	5%	56	-1.3	216/254/336	119	279	14	10	27%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Jonathan Galvez 2012 · A	21	44→46	46→50	53→55	38	213/270/346	132	318	13	19	36%	6%	69	-0.4	228/279/346	118	322	11	17	31%	6%	73	-0.1	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
●Ryan Royster 2007 · A	21	40→50	49→50	51→45	36	210/254/353	143	287	18	8	33%	5%	65	-0.7	235/275/377	142	333	17	8	33%	5%	79	+0.3	226/267/354	127	325	15	6	34%	5%	67	-0.4