Roni Cabrera — OGILVIE

Roni CabreraRF Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION393 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP278

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	112	24	3	1	2	13	32	3	6	1	214	312	312	625	98	275	25	10	286	80	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	113	33	10	4	2	20	26	4	7	1	292	416	504	920	212	356	19	14	401	158	+10	+1	—	—	+3	1.4
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	111	95	22	6	0	4	12	31	2	5	2	232	330	421	751	189	295	28	11	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	89	76	7	1	1	1	9	34	3	7	3	92	216	171	387	79	146	38	10	192	16	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	156	137	42	9	1	6	15	42	4	11	3	307	391	518	909	212	404	27	10	401	158	+11	+1	—	—	+3	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	117	17	2	1	1	8	48	3	6	1	145	219	205	424	60	211	37	6	189	14	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	121	25	7	2	2	12	38	4	7	1	207	299	347	646	140	266	27	9	278	74	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	100	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	160	229	290	519	130	223	39	6	226	39	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	89	79	5	1	1	1	6	49	3	7	3	63	159	139	298	76	120	55	7	123	-31	-14	+0	—	—	+2	-1.2
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	156	142	27	5	1	4	10	61	4	11	3	190	263	324	587	134	298	39	6	257	60	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	117	17	2	1	1	8	48	3	6	1	145	219	205	424	60	229	37	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	112	24	3	1	2	13	32	3	6	1	214	312	312	625	98	275	25	10	286	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	121	25	7	2	2	12	38	4	7	1	207	299	347	646	140	277	27	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	113	33	10	4	2	20	26	4	7	1	292	416	504	920	212	356	19	14	401	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	100	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	160	229	290	519	130	236	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	111	95	22	6	0	4	12	31	2	5	2	232	330	421	751	189	295	28	11	331	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	245	222	32	6	1	5	15	111	7	18	6	144	221	248	469	104	255	45	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	245	213	49	10	2	7	24	76	7	18	6	230	328	394	722	164	323	31	10	325	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	118	17	2	1	1	8	48	3	6	1	144	219	203	422	59	211	37	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	122	25	7	2	2	12	38	4	7	1	205	299	344	644	139	266	27	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	101	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	158	229	287	516	129	223	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	245	221	32	6	1	5	15	111	7	18	6	145	221	249	470	104	233	45	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	122	25	7	2	2	12	38	4	7	1	205	299	344	644	139	266	27	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	101	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	158	229	287	516	129	223	39	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	245	221	32	6	1	5	15	111	7	18	6	145	221	249	470	104	233	45	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	KC	—	393	348	61	10	3	7	29	159	7	21	10	175	253	282	534	106	289	40	7	239	48	-24	+0	+0	-4	+9	-2.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	KC	—	393	330	77	14	4	9	47	112	7	21	10	233	341	382	723	148	318	28	12	321	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		281	33	11	248	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	KC	—	402	356	62	10	3	7	30	162	7	21	10	174	252	278	530	104	286	40	7	239	48	-25	+0	+0	-4	+9	-2.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	393	355	68	12	3	9	29	142	6	10	4	192	264	318	582	127	284	36	7	262	64	-17	+0	+0	-4	+9	-1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	454	409	81	15	3	11	35	158	7	11	5	198	273	330	603	132	285	35	8	271	69	-17	+0	+0	-5	+10	-1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	493	444	89	16	3	13	38	167	8	12	5	200	276	338	613	137	286	34	8	276	73	-16	+0	+0	-5	+11	-1.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	510	457	92	17	3	13	40	171	8	12	5	201	277	337	614	136	286	34	8	279	75	-15	+0	+0	-5	+11	-0.9
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	135	122	23	4	1	3	10	49	2	4	2	189	261	311	573	123	280	36	7	246	64	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	220	198	39	7	2	5	17	77	3	6	2	197	271	328	599	131	282	35	8	255	69	-8	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	260	234	46	8	2	6	20	88	4	6	3	197	271	325	596	128	283	34	8	260	73	-8	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	279	251	50	9	2	7	22	94	4	7	3	199	274	335	609	135	283	34	8	263	75	-8	+0	+0	-3	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	894	805	158	28	7	21	69	308	13	23	10	196	271	327	597	130	285	34	8	257	62	-30	+1	+0	-10	+19	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	114	20	5	15	50	224	9	17	7	195	268	323	591	128	284	34	8	257	62	-22	+0	+0	-7	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2484	2233	421	79	16	57	185	881	45	81	29	189	264	315	579	126	278	35	7	260	62	-65	+1	+0	-20	+40	-4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	110	21	4	15	48	231	12	21	8	188	264	315	579	127	278	36	7	260	62	-23	+0	+0	-7	+14	-1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,198	29	30	197	268	327	-13	-3	-2.3	-1.2
/162	664	16	17	-7.1	-1.7	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roni Cabrera (OGILVIE)	21	45	45	55	35	178/251/288	110	281	6	12	38%	7%	54	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→50	53→55	40	202/262/329	127	284	11	19	32%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/318	117	295	9	17	33%	7%	66	-1.1	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Jeffrey Baez 2015 · A	21	41→46	42→50	54→60	36	201/249/309	108	298	10	19	35%	5%	56	-1.9	208/250/313	105	273	10	23	27%	5%	57	-1.8	196/250/325	129	260	15	15	30%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	37→43	42→50	53→50	32	188/220/289	102	281	9	12	36%	4%	40	-3.1	199/245/307	108	298	10	10	35%	5%	54	-2.0	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕A.J. Vukovich 2022 · A	21	43→51	46→50	51→55	34	214/255/339	125	314	14	13	36%	4%	65	-1.2	217/258/346	129	312	15	18	34%	5%	68	-1.0	231/284/378	147	335	17	2	35%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	41→51	43→50	49→45	38	202/267/313	110	283	10	12	31%	5%	65	-1.2	202/243/314	112	256	13	7	26%	4%	55	-1.9	240/273/379	139	275	15	8	19%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Greg Golson 2007 · A	21	40→50	41→45	53→55	32	196/232/299	103	296	8	17	36%	4%	47	-2.5	216/249/322	106	327	10	19	35%	4%	58	-1.7	258/312/342	84	366	4	31	29%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Wilkin Ramirez 2007 · A	21	40→50	45→50	50→55	33	204/242/322	118	300	13	12	36%	4%	57	-1.8	217/261/341	124	323	13	23	35%	5%	68	-1.0	233/268/369	136	305	14	16	28%	4%	74	-0.3
✕Anthony Alford 2015 · A	21	45→51	42→45	56→55	37	209/271/311	103	343	9	15	40%	7%	65	-1.2	215/292/308	93	336	7	18	34%	9%	73	-0.6	215/296/306	91	327	7	21	33%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Bubba Starling 2014 · A	21	40→47	43→45	54→50	40	199/260/307	109	292	11	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	194/246/305	111	292	11	11	35%	5%	55	-2.0	217/256/332	115	281	13	10	27%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→48	42→50	56→50	42	223/275/338	115	301	9	15	28%	6%	72	-0.7	214/270/329	115	284	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.9	226/275/366	139	277	16	14	24%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Marcus Lee Sang 2022 · A	21	40→50	43→45	51→50	35	197/244/306	110	308	11	14	38%	6%	54	-2.0	205/268/319	114	330	11	14	38%	7%	66	-1.1	221/280/341	119	326	12	15	34%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Brahiam Maldonado 2007 · A	21	41→44	43→55	51→50	40	201/261/321	120	296	10	8	34%	7%	64	-1.3	218/263/340	122	322	12	9	34%	5%	69	-0.9	207/262/348	141	319	16	10	39%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Angel Morales 2011 · A	21	45→48	43→45	52→50	38	212/273/324	112	328	9	16	36%	6%	69	-0.9	193/255/297	104	309	9	12	38%	7%	56	-1.9	170/233/280	110	273	11	9	40%	7%	43	-1.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Jose Rivero 2011 · A	21	43	43→45	50→45	35	210/257/317	107	320	11	11	37%	5%	61	-1.5	195/248/277	82	314	6	8	37%	6%	48	-2.5	158/214/216	58	262	3	7	38%	6%	20	-1.8
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	43	40→45	55	40	209/265/305	96	292	7	17	30%	6%	61	-1.5	207/265/296	89	300	7	20	32%	6%	59	-1.6	192/249/276	84	281	7	24	33%	5%	47	-0.9
✕Brian McFall 2006 · A	22	38→44	46→55	51→50	36	193/259/315	122	286	14	12	36%	5%	63	-1.4	202/261/354	152	279	18	9	33%	5%	72	-0.7	209/271/356	147	280	17	8	30%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Josh Flores 2007 · A	21	45→52	42→45	53→55	37	224/264/327	103	298	10	17	28%	4%	65	-1.2	230/274/335	105	301	8	23	25%	5%	71	-0.8	228/277/330	101	299	6	30	24%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A	21	45→55	41→45	53→55	39	213/270/315	102	308	8	12	32%	6%	65	-1.2	225/288/328	103	307	8	12	27%	7%	75	-0.5	213/291/342	129	316	14	13	34%	9%	78	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps