Willy Vasquez — OGILVIE

Willy Vasquez3B Norfolk Tides

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 191 lbs AAA HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .237 / .299

PA185

HR3

SB8

K%34

BB%5

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

35→35

SPD

50→50

EYE

37↘20

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.3peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-6M		$-15M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rays 2	46	44	13	1	1	0	1	6	0	2	1	.295	.311	.364	.675	.068	.333	13	2	.280	72	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2021	19	ROK	FCL Rays	173	154	35	4	2	2	12	38	4	14	6	.227	.300	.318	.618	.091	.282	22	7	.273	67	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2022	20	A	2 teams	536	504	103	16	7	9	25	198	3	27	3	.204	.246	.317	.564	.113	.312	37	5	.245	46	-33	+4	+0	+2	+15	-1.2
2023	21	A+	2 teams	515	481	87	9	3	13	28	165	2	19	10	.181	.229	.293	.522	.112	.242	32	5	.230	34	-38	-0	+0	+2	+15	-2.2
2024	22	AA	2 teams	390	369	64	16	2	5	17	161	1	11	6	.173	.212	.268	.480	.095	.288	41	4	.204	14	-38	-0	+0	+1	+11	-2.6
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	165	158	35	6	1	2	5	41	2	6	3	.222	.255	.310	.565	.089	.287	25	3	.243	44	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	74	66	12	3	0	2	6	26	1	5	3	.182	.260	.318	.578	.136	.256	35	8	.247	47	-4	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	BAL	111	103	20	4	1	2	6	38	1	3	2	.194	.245	.311	.556	.117	.274	34	5	.244	45	-7	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
TOT	24	MLB	BAL	185	169	32	7	1	4	12	64	2	8	5	.189	.251	.314	.565	.124	.272	35	6	.245	46	-11	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 25%	BAL	300	275	56	11	1	7	20	83	2	9	5	.204	.263	.327	.590	.124	.260	28	7	.261	58	-14	-0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB 43%	BAL	360	329	68	13	2	8	25	98	3	10	5	.207	.269	.331	.600	.125	.263	27	7	.268	63	-15	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
2029	27	MLB 58%	BAL	382	349	73	14	2	9	27	104	3	11	5	.209	.272	.338	.610	.129	.265	27	7	.271	65	-15	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.3
2030	28	MLB 68%	BAL	395	361	75	15	2	9	28	108	3	10	5	.208	.270	.335	.606	.127	.265	27	7	.271	65	-15	+0	-1	+1	+11	-0.4
2031	29	MLB 77%	BAL	395	360	74	14	2	9	29	109	3	9	5	.206	.270	.331	.601	.125	.264	28	7	.269	64	-16	-0	-1	+1	+11	-0.5
2032	30	MLB 84%	BAL	394	359	73	14	2	9	29	110	3	8	5	.203	.269	.329	.597	.125	.262	28	7	.266	61	-17	-0	-2	+1	+11	-0.7
2033	31	MLB 91%	BAL	381	347	69	13	2	8	28	108	3	6	4	.199	.265	.317	.582	.118	.261	28	7	.262	59	-18	-0	-3	+1	+11	-0.9
2034	32	MLB	BAL	364	333	65	13	1	7	26	105	2	5	3	.195	.258	.303	.561	.108	.259	29	7	.257	55	-19	-0	-4	+1	+10	-1.1
2035	33	MLB	BAL	335	306	58	11	1	6	24	99	2	3	3	.190	.253	.291	.544	.101	.258	30	7	.252	51	-19	-1	-4	+1	+9	-1.3
2036	34	MLB	BAL	291	266	49	9	1	5	21	88	2	2	2	.184	.249	.282	.531	.098	.256	30	7	.245	46	-18	-0	-5	+1	+8	-1.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5533	5098	1017	183	33	110	351	1659	39	155	73	.199	.256	.313	.569	.114	.270	30	6	.253	52	-300	+2	-20	+20	+157	-14.4
/ 162G	—			650	599	119	21	4	13	41	195	5	18	9	.199	.256	.312	.568	.114	.268	30	6	.253	52	-35	+0	-2	+2	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rays 2	46	44	16	2	1	0	1	4	0	2	1	.364	.378	.455	.832	.091	.390	9	2	.362	135	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	19	ROK	FCL Rays	173	146	42	6	3	2	20	27	4	14	6	.288	.388	.411	.799	.123	.333	16	12	.356	131	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	492	449	115	21	9	10	36	126	3	25	3	.256	.316	.410	.725	.154	.331	26	7	.320	103	+2	+4	—	—	+14	2.0
2022	20	INTL	Perth Heat	44	37	13	4	0	1	7	9	0	2	0	.351	.455	.541	.995	.189	.444	20	16	.440	195	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	472	420	98	11	4	16	46	109	2	17	9	.233	.312	.393	.705	.160	.275	23	10	.314	98	-1	-0	—	—	+13	1.2
2023	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	43	40	9	1	1	1	3	15	0	2	1	.225	.279	.375	.654	.150	.333	35	7	.291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	371	344	73	18	2	5	24	118	1	11	6	.212	.266	.320	.585	.108	.305	32	6	.263	60	-17	-0	—	—	+11	-0.7
2024	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	19	14	0	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	.000	.222	.000	.222	.000	.000	37	21	.147	-29	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	165	156	40	6	2	2	7	32	2	6	3	.256	.297	.359	.656	.103	.311	19	4	.295	84	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Vasquez (OGILVIE)	24	50	35	50	20	.193/.237/.299	.106	.277	3	4	34%	5%	43	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Orlando Calixte 2016 · AAA	24	42→48	41→45	51→55	38	.207/.245/.302	.095	.281	9	17	30%	5%	46	-2.0	.216/.252/.328	.112	.280	11	19	26%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.264/.308	.086	.295	9	20	27%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Mycal Jones 2011 · AA	24	41→46	44→45	51→55	39	.205/.255/.325	.120	.275	11	14	30%	5%	57	-1.2	.207/.266/.310	.103	.273	9	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	.222/.282/.307	.085	.285	6	24	23%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Tyler Henson 2012 · AAA	24	45→51	40→45	47→55	37	.215/.259/.309	.093	.310	7	10	32%	5%	54	-1.4	.214/.267/.322	.108	.320	9	11	34%	6%	61	-1.0	.217/.272/.338	.122	.328	11	15	35%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2019 · AA	24	48→55	40→45	54→50	39	.229/.270/.324	.096	.306	8	14	27%	5%	63	-0.9	.228/.278/.330	.102	.312	10	13	29%	6%	68	-0.5	.227/.281/.327	.100	.301	10	9	27%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Errol Robinson 2019 · AA	24	45→48	41→40	51→55	41	.218/.265/.310	.092	.294	8	18	28%	6%	56	-1.3	.210/.265/.291	.081	.295	7	13	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.201/.275/.251	.051	.314	3	26	34%	9%	44	-0.7
✕Malquin Canelo 2019 · AA	24	43→48	39→40	52→50	39	.210/.253/.295	.086	.287	7	15	29%	5%	48	-1.9	.211/.255/.296	.085	.313	6	12	33%	5%	49	-1.8	.202/.244/.278	.076	.315	5	8	36%	5%	37	-1.3
✕Kevin Heller 2014 · AA	24	42→47	40	52→50	40	.204/.265/.291	.088	.294	7	10	32%	6%	53	-1.5	.208/.287/.309	.101	.309	9	11	33%	7%	68	-0.5	.203/.290/.304	.100	.306	9	12	33%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Jacob Nottingham 2019 · MLB	24	38→48	44→45	47→50	36	.191/.253/.304	.113	.285	12	8	36%	5%	52	-1.6	.193/.260/.318	.125	.293	14	9	37%	6%	59	-1.1	.178/.252/.304	.127	.254	16	11	35%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Niko Decolati 2022 · A	24	44→47	41→45	53→55	37	.213/.268/.309	.096	.306	9	19	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.209/.292/.295	.086	.313	7	18	32%	9%	66	-0.6	.190/.298/.259	.069	.291	4	20	32%	11%	58	-0.5
✕John Norwood 2017 · A	24	43→48	42→45	47→50	40	.208/.266/.311	.102	.294	9	15	31%	6%	58	-1.2	.221/.276/.334	.113	.322	11	10	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.274/.334	.114	.321	12	8	34%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Christopher Bostick 2017 · AAA	24	44→54	43→45	52→55	39	.214/.259/.328	.114	.285	9	15	28%	5%	59	-1.1	.233/.282/.340	.107	.306	8	9	25%	5%	72	-0.2	.235/.286/.345	.110	.306	9	7	25%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Najee Gaskins 2022 · A	24	46	39→30	52→50	39	.215/.273/.302	.086	.316	6	14	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.212/.282/.289	.077	.360	4	9	39%	6%	60	-1.0	.208/.293/.267	.059	.377	2	10	41%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Johnni Turbo 2013 · AA	24	48→49	39→40	56→55	38	.228/.264/.313	.085	.308	6	18	28%	4%	57	-1.2	.234/.268/.321	.087	.287	6	17	20%	3%	60	-1.0	.238/.275/.302	.064	.295	3	18	19%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Todd Glaesmann 2015 · AA	24	42→44	43→50	50	35	.210/.247/.322	.113	.286	11	7	30%	4%	53	-1.5	.212/.245/.354	.142	.275	15	8	28%	4%	61	-1.0	.212/.243/.375	.164	.259	19	6	26%	3%	62	-0.6
✕Trey Amburgey 2019 · AA	24	41→44	45→50	51→50	36	.210/.251/.328	.118	.278	13	11	29%	4%	56	-1.3	.221/.262/.366	.145	.287	16	8	28%	4%	72	-0.2	.205/.250/.354	.149	.274	17	4	31%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→46	38→45	54→60	39	.197/.273/.275	.078	.297	5	21	33%	6%	53	-1.5	.187/.267/.270	.083	.297	6	23	36%	7%	50	-1.8	.195/.280/.308	.112	.279	12	28	32%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Oscar Tejeda 2014 · AAA	24	43→53	40→45	49→50	39	.214/.251/.303	.090	.280	8	9	26%	4%	49	-1.8	.217/.251/.328	.111	.280	12	7	26%	4%	56	-1.3	.217/.249/.323	.106	.276	12	6	26%	4%	51	-1.2
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	40→49	41→45	49→45	37	.197/.246/.296	.098	.279	8	8	32%	5%	46	-2.0	.220/.267/.345	.125	.300	13	6	30%	5%	68	-0.5	.219/.284/.338	.119	.295	13	7	29%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2013 · MLB	24	43→52	43→45	51→50	36	.215/.247/.323	.108	.280	11	13	27%	3%	53	-1.5	.224/.256/.344	.120	.290	11	14	26%	4%	63	-0.9	.255/.307/.429	.174	.324	18	9	26%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Bubba Starling 2017 · AAA	24	36→46	43→45	50	34	.184/.231/.296	.112	.282	11	10	38%	5%	40	-2.4	.202/.246/.314	.112	.283	12	10	32%	5%	50	-1.7	.216/.256/.333	.117	.281	14	10	28%	5%	56	-0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)