Esteban Mejia

3B Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419A/ROK2 orgs323.264/.351/.40151850—.194/.264/.286
202520A+/ATEX322.235/.338/.32141347—.192/.265/.257
202621A+/ATEX243.257/.355/.3625960—.214/.289/.296
2027PROJMLE22MLBTEX1.206/.275/.2880060-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB23MLBTEX62.211/.282/.3071167-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBTEX120.216/.286/.3202371-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.4M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%81
K%69
Whiff%58
Speed56
wRC+31
wOBA29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%
CompsNick Sinay (age 22) · Blake Rambusch (age 23) · Tyreace House (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .275 / .288
PA1
HR0
K%27
BB%8
BABIP276
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Arb-1$0.4M———
2033Arb-2$5M———
2034Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL TEX Red — 145131 35830 10163 151 267333374707 107302 117 317 25 — — — — — —
202318 ROKACL Rangers — 137121 29521 14340 72 240316339655 99322 2510 296 22 — — — — — —
202419 ADown East Wood Ducks — 186166 36812 16524 71 217301313614 96304 289 284 36 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Rangers — 137118 391213 16352 112 331419525945 195444 2612 414 69 — — — — — —
202520 A+Hub City Spartanburgers — 6857 6100 9221 20 105239123362 18167 3213 189 -22 — — — — — —
202520 AHickory Crawdads — 254220 59724 31432 117 268364373736 105316 1712 336 65 — — — — — —
202621 A+Hub City Spartanburgers — 157141 37602 11324 71 262333348681 85324 207 310 55 — — — — — —
202621 AHickory Crawdads — 8669 17103 16251 21 246395391787 145341 2919 363 68 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Red — 145134 23520 7203 151 172229239468 67196 145 205 25 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 137127 21311 9520 72 165221228449 63265 387 200 22 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 186170 30611 12694 71 176247241488 65284 376 221 36 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 137124 27812 10512 112 218287347634 129333 377 270 69 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 6861 5100 5281 20 8216498263 16148 417 136 -22 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 254230 51523 21602 117 222292300592 78284 248 265 65 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEHub City Spartanburgers — 157145 33502 7424 71 228282303585 76292 274 249 55 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 8674 14102 11341 21 189302284586 95307 4013 269 68 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Red — 145134 23520 7203 151 172229239468 67200 145 205 25 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL TEX Red — 145131 35830 10163 151 267333374707 107302 117 317 25 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 137127 21311 9520 72 165221228449 63267 387 200 22 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWACL Rangers — 137121 29521 14340 72 240316339655 99322 2510 296 22 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 323294 561413 221206 183 190261276536 85308 377 242 50 — — — — — —
202419 A RAW2 teams — 323284 752025 32876 183 264351401752 137363 2710 339 50 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 322291 57623 26883 137 196269261530 65267 278 238 47 — — — — — —
202520 A RAW2 teams — 322277 65824 40653 137 235338321659 87290 2012 305 47 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 243219 47604 18765 92 215289297586 82307 317 256 59 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAW2 teams — 243210 54705 27575 92 257355362717 105329 2311 329 59 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL TEX Red — 145134 23520 7203 151 172229239468 67196 145 205 25 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEACL Rangers — 137127 21311 9520 72 165221228449 63265 387 200 22 — — — — — —
202419 A MLE2 teams — 323292 561413 221206 183 192261277538 86305 377 242 50 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 322290 57623 26883 137 197269262531 66255 278 238 47 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 243218 47604 18765 92 216289298587 83297 317 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLE2 teams — 323292 561413 221206 183 192261277538 86305 377 242 50 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 322290 57623 26883 137 197269262531 66255 278 238 47 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLE2 teams — 243218 47604 18765 92 216289298587 83297 317 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLETEX 0% 353320 651014 26974 82 205275286560 81277 277 257 60 -17 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXTEX 0% 11 0000 000 00 206275288563 82276 00 258 60 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLETEX 35% 178160 34513 14482 41 211281304584 93278 278 267 67 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202924 MLB MLETEX 46% 260235 51815 20693 52 215285316601 101280 278 273 71 -9 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
203025 MLB MLETEX 52% 319287 621016 25844 62 217288323612 107281 268 278 74 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
203126 MLB MLETEX 54% 357322 701117 28934 72 218290327617 109281 268 280 75 -10 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203227 MLB MLETEX 54% 371334 721217 30964 72 218290329619 110281 268 280 76 -11 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203328 MLB MLETEX 54% 375338 731217 30984 62 216288324612 107280 268 278 74 -12 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.2
203429 MLB MLETEX 53% 370334 711117 29984 52 214285317602 103278 268 274 71 -13 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.5
202823 MLB CTXTEX 35% 6256 12201 5171 10 211282307589 96278 278 268 67 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202924 MLB CTXTEX 46% 120109 22302 9321 31 216286320607 105280 278 275 71 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXTEX 52% 165149 33513 13432 31 218289328617 110280 268 280 74 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
203126 MLB CTXTEX 54% 194175 39614 15502 41 219291332623 113281 268 282 75 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
203227 MLB CTXTEX 54% 201181 40614 16522 41 219291333625 114281 268 283 76 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
203328 MLB CTXTEX 54% 204184 40614 16532 31 217289328617 111279 268 280 74 -6 +0 -0 +1 +4 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXTEX 53% 196176 39614 16522 31 215286321608 107278 278 276 71 -7 +0 -1 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11421030 22534522 9029912 216 218289325614 107284 268 279 63 -36 +2 -1 +4 +25 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 12819313 511707 123 218288328616 109283 268 279 63 -21 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 35423203 6631071355 26998144 10529 207278300578 93278 288 262 63 -78 +3 -2 +8 +51 -1.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 12220210 491808 195 207277299576 92279 288 262 63 -21 +1 -1 +2 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 157 PAwOBA .304 → .249 (−55)K% 20.4% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.38%÷1.000×1.310——26.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.01%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0124.25%
HBP% /PA2.55%—×0.770—×1.0121.99%
Singles /BIP26.61%÷1.000×0.870×1.044×1.01224.45%
Doubles /BIP5.50%÷1.000×0.780×1.044×1.0124.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.044×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP1.83%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0121.63%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .304 → .249; ISO .085 → .070; BABIP .324 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 86 PAwOBA .354 → .269 (−85)K% 29.1% → 39.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.07%÷1.000×1.360——39.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.60%÷1.000×0.690——12.84%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.780——0.91%
Singles /BIP29.55%÷1.000×0.920——27.18%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷1.000×0.830——1.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP6.82%÷1.000×0.800——5.45%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .354 → .269; ISO .145 → .106; BABIP .341 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AHickory Crawdads · 254 PAwOBA .329 → .265 (−64)K% 16.9% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.93%÷0.981×1.360——23.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.20%÷1.051×0.690—×1.0158.13%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.780—×1.0150.62%
Singles /BIP25.99%÷1.002×0.920×0.994×1.01524.08%
Doubles /BIP3.95%÷1.123×0.830×0.994×1.0152.95%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷1.039×0.910×0.994×1.0151.00%
Home runs /BIP2.26%÷1.037×0.800—×1.0151.77%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 125, 3B 108, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .329 → .265; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .316 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 68 PAwOBA .188 → .136 (−52)K% 32.4% → 41.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.35%÷1.026×1.310——41.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.24%÷1.041×0.600—×1.0277.84%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.770—×1.0271.16%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.020×0.870×1.013×1.02712.68%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷0.909×0.780×1.013×1.0272.55%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850×1.013×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.215×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .188 → .136; ISO .018 → .015; BABIP .167 → .148. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADown East Wood Ducks · 186 PAwOBA .277 → .221 (−56)K% 28.0% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.96%÷1.022×1.360——37.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.60%÷0.983×0.690—×1.0306.22%
HBP% /PA2.15%—×0.780—×1.0301.73%
Singles /BIP21.93%÷0.973×0.920×0.993×1.03021.19%
Doubles /BIP7.02%÷0.978×0.830×0.993×1.0306.09%
Triples /BIP0.88%÷1.150×0.910×0.993×1.0300.71%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷1.008×0.800—×1.0301.43%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .277 → .221; ISO .096 → .073; BABIP .304 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Rangers · 137 PAwOBA .406 → .270 (−136)K% 25.5% → 37.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.55%÷0.993×1.440——37.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.68%÷0.971×0.620—×0.9957.42%
HBP% /PA1.46%—×0.720—×0.9951.05%
Singles /BIP27.71%÷1.014×0.820×0.985×0.99521.96%
Doubles /BIP14.46%÷1.011×0.720×0.985×0.99510.10%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.150×0.720×0.985×0.9950.74%
Home runs /BIP3.61%÷1.040×0.780—×0.9952.70%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .406 → .270; ISO .195 → .124; BABIP .444 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Rangers · 137 PAwOBA .290 → .200 (−91)K% 24.8% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.82%÷0.940×1.440——38.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.22%÷0.973×0.620—×1.0086.56%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP24.14%÷1.003×0.820×1.046×1.00820.80%
Doubles /BIP5.75%÷1.032×0.720×1.046×1.0084.23%
Triples /BIP2.30%÷1.114×0.720×1.046×1.0081.57%
Home runs /BIP1.15%÷1.124×0.780—×1.0080.80%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 123, K 88, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .290 → .200; ISO .099 → .061; BABIP .322 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL TEX Red · 145 PAwOBA .311 → .205 (−106)K% 11.0% → 13.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.03%÷0.995×1.220——13.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.016×0.700—×1.0084.79%
HBP% /PA2.07%—×0.700—×1.0081.46%
Singles /BIP20.87%÷0.996×0.680×0.982×1.00814.10%
Doubles /BIP6.96%÷1.009×0.600×0.982×1.0084.09%
Triples /BIP2.61%÷0.973×0.600×0.982×1.0081.59%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.053×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .311 → .205; ISO .107 → .065; BABIP .302 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).