Esteban Mejia — OGILVIE

Esteban Mejia3B Hickory Crawdads

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION152 act + 167 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .280

PA167

HR2

K%30

BB%7

BABIP283

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	145	135	26	5	2	0	6	23	3	15	1	193	243	259	502	67	230	16	4	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	145	131	35	8	3	0	10	16	3	15	1	267	333	374	707	107	302	11	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	137	127	20	3	1	1	9	56	0	7	2	157	213	220	434	63	268	41	7	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	137	121	29	5	2	1	14	34	0	7	2	240	316	339	655	99	322	25	10	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	323	295	57	14	1	4	21	122	6	18	3	193	261	288	549	95	312	38	7	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	323	284	75	20	2	5	32	87	6	18	3	264	351	401	752	137	363	27	10	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	322	294	55	5	1	3	23	92	3	13	7	187	253	241	495	54	259	29	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	322	277	65	8	2	4	40	65	3	13	7	235	338	321	659	87	290	20	12	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	TEX	—	152	133	26	2	0	4	13	53	5	6	2	195	291	301	592	105	286	35	9	265	61	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
YTD	21	A	TEX	—	152	125	30	2	0	5	21	38	5	6	2	240	371	376	747	136	301	25	14	343	121	+4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.9
ROS	21	A	TEX	0%	167	150	30	4	1	2	12	50	3	4	2	200	273	280	553	80	278	30	7	254	53	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	243	44	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	TEX	—	152	134	26	2	0	4	13	53	5	6	2	194	291	299	590	104	282	35	9	265	61	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
TOT	21	A	TEX	—	319	283	56	6	1	6	25	103	8	10	4	198	282	290	571	92	284	32	8	259	57	-16	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	TEX	34%	370	333	69	10	1	7	29	107	5	8	3	207	281	306	587	99	281	29	8	269	64	-15	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	TEX	48%	442	398	85	13	2	9	35	124	6	9	3	214	287	324	611	111	283	28	8	278	71	-15	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.0
2029	24	MLB	TEX	53%	490	441	95	14	2	11	39	135	7	10	4	215	290	331	621	116	284	28	8	283	75	-14	+0	+0	+2	+14	0.2
2030	25	MLB	TEX	55%	516	462	101	15	2	12	42	141	7	10	4	219	294	338	631	119	284	27	8	286	77	-13	+0	+0	+2	+15	0.4
2031	26	MLB	TEX	56%	530	474	105	16	2	13	43	144	8	11	4	222	297	346	643	124	284	27	8	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.4
2027	22	MLB	TEX	34%	127	114	23	3	0	2	10	37	2	3	1	202	278	281	558	79	283	29	8	259	57	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	TEX	48%	214	192	42	6	1	5	17	60	3	4	2	219	292	339	631	120	284	28	8	268	64	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	TEX	53%	258	231	51	8	1	6	21	71	4	5	2	221	297	342	639	121	286	28	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2030	25	MLB	TEX	55%	282	253	56	8	1	7	23	77	4	6	2	221	296	344	640	123	286	27	8	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2031	26	MLB	TEX	56%	295	265	58	9	1	7	24	80	4	6	2	219	294	340	633	121	286	27	8	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1176	1056	230	34	4	27	95	325	17	24	9	218	293	334	627	116	286	28	8	273	67	-43	+1	+0	+4	+33	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	127	19	2	15	53	180	9	13	5	217	293	334	627	116	286	28	8	273	67	-24	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3442	3109	643	99	15	62	259	994	48	105	33	207	278	308	586	101	281	29	8	265	61	-150	+8	+0	+12	+98	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	19	3	12	49	188	9	20	6	208	279	312	591	104	282	29	8	265	61	-28	+2	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	145	131	35	8	3	0	10	16	3	15	1	267	333	374	707	107	302	11	7	317	101	+0	+3	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	137	121	29	5	2	1	14	34	0	7	2	240	316	339	655	99	322	25	10	296	84	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	186	166	36	8	1	2	16	52	4	7	1	217	301	313	614	96	304	28	9	284	75	-5	+1	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	137	118	39	12	1	3	16	35	2	11	2	331	419	525	945	195	444	26	12	414	175	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.7
2025	20	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	68	57	6	1	0	0	9	22	1	2	0	105	239	123	362	18	167	32	13	189	3	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	254	220	59	7	2	4	31	43	2	11	7	268	364	373	736	105	316	17	12	336	115	+4	-1	—	—	+7	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,496	30	31	214	284	321	+5	+2	-0.4	0.1
	/162	664	13	14	214	284	321	+2.4	+0.7	-0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esteban Mejia (OGILVIE)	21	45	30	50	50	198/282/290	92	284	6	10	32%	8%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Omar Guerra 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	48→50	45	193/274/246	53	257	2	9	24%	7%	46	-2.0	220/315/279	59	272	2	11	19%	6%	73	-0.1	229/342/268	39	277	0	15	15%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	65	-0.7	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Yoel Romero 2019 · A	21	46	38→40	48→50	48	219/282/294	75	276	5	13	22%	7%	60	-1.0	208/265/288	80	289	6	7	28%	7%	52	-1.6	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Anneury Peguero 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	48→50	51	224/298/278	54	280	2	11	20%	8%	63	-0.8	205/282/270	65	269	4	12	23%	9%	55	-1.4	150/247/186	36	193	3	18	22%	10%	17	-1.1
✕Tim Kennelly 2008 · A	21	43→52	40	49→40	42	208/261/301	94	283	7	7	28%	6%	53	-1.5	232/291/325	93	304	5	5	24%	7%	72	-0.2	241/301/332	91	301	4	4	20%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Dubal Baez 2013 · A	20	45	34→30	49→60	46	209/296/257	49	286	2	15	25%	8%	59	-1.1	222/291/276	54	303	2	20	25%	7%	59	-1.1	231/299/268	37	314	0	31	24%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Erick Brito 2023 · A	21	45→43	35→30	52→55	47	212/278/275	63	281	2	16	24%	8%	54	-1.4	210/271/275	65	269	3	20	22%	6%	51	-1.7	214/271/281	67	280	3	23	23%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Jimmy Mojica 2021 · A	21	45	37→40	47→50	41	212/261/283	72	278	4	8	25%	5%	48	-1.9	202/265/291	89	285	8	6	30%	6%	53	-1.5	182/249/283	101	230	13	4	26%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	65	-0.7	211/265/280	69	308	3	9	31%	5%	50	-1.8	227/290/312	85	305	4	12	25%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2021 · A	21	44→50	37→45	49→50	42	208/267/284	76	290	4	7	28%	6%	52	-1.6	194/271/281	87	277	5	10	30%	7%	54	-1.4	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Abel Nieves 2007 · A	21	44	35→40	47→45	46	208/267/270	62	270	2	6	23%	7%	48	-1.9	228/295/306	78	316	4	5	26%	9%	69	-0.4	237/311/318	81	332	4	4	27%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Richard Rodriguez 2014 · A	21	42	33→30	48→50	48	196/255/237	41	245	1	14	20%	7%	34	-2.8	237/286/279	42	293	1	10	18%	6%	56	-1.3	240/291/258	18	289	0	11	16%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Frank Hernandez 2023 · A	21	43	34→30	47→50	44	203/271/256	53	275	2	10	25%	6%	46	-2.0	205/260/264	59	300	3	8	31%	6%	43	-2.2	204/255/216	11	329	0	9	35%	5%	24	-0.9