Ricardo Rosario — OGILVIE

Ricardo RosarioOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .263 / .314

PA105

HR2

K%26

BB%7

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	191	169	29	5	2	1	11	49	5	12	3	172	243	243	486	71	224	26	6	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	191	162	38	6	3	1	18	31	5	12	3	235	330	327	657	93	272	16	9	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	146	132	23	4	1	1	9	41	2	7	4	174	238	242	480	68	239	28	6	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	146	126	33	8	2	1	15	29	2	7	4	262	350	381	731	119	327	20	10	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	284	58	5	1	6	30	86	6	29	3	204	294	292	586	88	265	26	9	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	276	65	6	2	7	38	63	6	29	3	236	341	348	688	112	276	19	12	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	62	10	4	0	0	2	28	2	4	1	161	212	226	438	65	294	42	3	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	61	13	4	0	0	3	19	2	4	1	213	273	279	551	66	310	29	5	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	PHI	—	105	95	18	3	1	2	8	27	1	2	0	189	260	305	565	116	245	26	8	263	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	151	137	28	5	1	4	11	39	2	3	1	204	273	343	616	139	251	26	7	273	67	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	257	232	48	9	1	7	20	65	3	5	1	207	278	345	623	138	255	25	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	45	41	7	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	244	268	513	98	253	27	7	266	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	113	102	22	4	1	3	9	29	1	2	1	216	286	363	648	147	256	26	8	272	67	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	158	143	29	5	1	4	12	41	2	3	1	203	274	336	610	133	253	26	8	270	65	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	119	21	4	16	49	169	8	12	4	202	272	333	606	131	253	26	8	270	65	-26	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	1243	1111	214	35	7	21	91	335	21	62	13	193	267	293	560	101	251	27	7	253	52	-67	+7	+0	-7	+35	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	112	18	4	11	48	175	11	32	7	193	268	294	562	102	251	27	7	253	52	-35	+4	+0	-4	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	191	162	38	6	3	1	18	31	5	12	3	235	330	327	657	93	272	16	9	294	83	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2022	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	146	126	33	8	2	1	15	29	2	7	4	262	350	381	731	119	327	20	10	325	107	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	276	65	6	2	7	38	63	6	29	3	236	341	348	688	112	276	19	12	311	96	-1	+5	—	—	+9	1.3
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	61	13	4	0	0	3	19	2	4	1	213	273	279	551	66	310	29	5	255	54	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	264	6	6	203	270	332	-2	+0	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	16	14	203	270	332	-4.0	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Rosario (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	194/263/314	120	245	2	2	26%	7%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→50	38	201/251/299	98	265	10	15	28%	5%	49	-1.8	209/254/332	123	305	13	11	34%	5%	59	-1.1	181/215/331	150	258	17	11	37%	3%	42	-0.5
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	39→38	47→50	54→55	43	198/273/336	137	281	14	17	33%	8%	69	-0.4	191/270/311	120	270	12	17	32%	8%	62	-0.9	168/253/270	102	226	10	19	29%	8%	41	-1.2
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	57	-1.2	195/249/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/229/283	104	304	12	3	43%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	38→44	43→50	51→50	36	193/240/300	106	271	10	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	214/254/347	133	278	15	9	28%	4%	63	-0.9	221/261/363	142	287	15	7	28%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	35→40	45→55	45→50	43	180/260/303	123	268	12	7	36%	9%	55	-1.4	206/284/377	171	294	20	9	35%	9%	85	+0.7	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Michael Suiter 2015 · A	23	43→38	41→40	52→50	43	211/279/308	98	266	9	15	24%	6%	64	-0.8	201/253/280	79	278	6	10	29%	5%	44	-2.1	193/242/263	70	268	6	10	29%	4%	32	-1.7
✕Josmar Cordero 2015 · A	23	43→40	44→45	46→45	39	217/260/331	114	265	12	8	24%	4%	61	-1.0	219/264/332	113	282	11	7	26%	4%	63	-0.8	221/263/337	116	282	11	3	25%	3%	61	-0.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	39	46→50	51→50	38	199/250/328	129	280	15	11	34%	6%	56	-1.3	200/251/341	141	277	15	11	32%	5%	61	-1.0	192/239/333	141	232	19	10	27%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	40	43→50	49→50	42	200/260/311	111	272	11	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	186/247/306	120	255	14	11	32%	6%	50	-1.8	144/217/244	100	209	14	11	37%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Jabari Henry 2014 · A	23	41→40	45→55	45	49	207/280/335	127	262	12	7	25%	9%	71	-0.3	196/277/354	158	273	19	6	33%	9%	76	+0.0	178/262/342	164	247	21	5	36%	9%	63	-0.6
✕Brandon Bayardi 2014 · A	23	40	43→50	49→45	38	200/256/308	107	261	11	8	27%	4%	54	-1.4	224/278/356	132	295	15	7	28%	5%	76	+0.0	228/286/379	151	297	18	7	29%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Richie Shaffer 2014 · A	23	41→38	45→55	51→40	37	205/253/331	125	286	12	6	32%	5%	58	-1.2	200/266/357	157	268	18	5	31%	8%	72	-0.2	189/261/346	158	250	19	4	32%	8%	64	-0.7