Ricardo Rosario — OGILVIE

Ricardo RosarioOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .263 / .314

PA8

HR0

K%26

BB%7

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	191	162	38	6	3	1	18	31	5	12	3	235	330	327	657	93	272	16	9	294	85	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	146	126	33	8	2	1	15	29	2	7	4	262	350	381	731	119	327	20	10	325	106	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	276	65	6	2	7	38	63	6	29	3	236	341	348	688	112	276	19	12	311	97	-1	+5	—	—	+7	1.1
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	61	13	4	0	0	3	19	2	4	1	213	273	279	551	66	310	29	5	255	59	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	191	169	30	5	2	1	11	46	5	12	3	178	249	249	497	71	218	24	6	222	36	-14	+1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	146	132	23	4	1	1	9	42	2	7	4	174	238	242	480	68	240	29	6	220	35	-11	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	285	57	5	1	6	29	88	6	29	3	200	287	288	575	88	254	27	9	261	63	-14	+5	—	—	+7	-0.3
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	62	9	3	0	0	2	27	2	4	1	145	197	194	391	48	287	41	3	194	17	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	191	169	30	5	2	1	11	46	5	12	3	178	249	249	497	71	227	24	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	191	162	38	6	3	1	18	31	5	12	3	235	330	327	657	93	272	16	9	294	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	146	132	23	4	1	1	9	42	2	7	4	174	238	242	480	68	242	29	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	146	126	33	8	2	1	15	29	2	7	4	262	350	381	731	119	327	20	10	325	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	285	57	5	1	6	29	88	6	29	3	200	287	288	575	88	262	27	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	276	65	6	2	7	38	63	6	29	3	236	341	348	688	112	276	19	12	311	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	62	9	3	0	0	2	27	2	4	1	145	197	194	391	48	257	41	3	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	61	13	4	0	0	3	19	2	4	1	213	273	279	551	66	310	29	5	255	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	191	173	30	5	2	1	11	46	5	12	3	173	249	243	491	69	218	24	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	146	134	23	4	1	1	9	42	2	7	4	172	238	239	477	67	240	29	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	289	57	5	1	6	29	88	6	29	3	197	287	284	571	87	254	27	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	62	9	3	0	0	2	27	2	4	1	145	197	194	391	48	287	41	3	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	327	289	57	5	1	6	29	88	6	29	3	197	287	284	571	87	254	27	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	66	62	9	3	0	0	2	27	2	4	1	145	197	194	391	48	287	41	3	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		245	25	12	263	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	151	137	28	5	1	4	11	38	2	3	1	204	273	343	616	139	251	25	7	273	71	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	257	232	48	9	1	7	20	65	3	5	1	207	278	345	623	138	254	25	8	279	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	45	41	8	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	195	267	317	584	122	253	24	7	269	71	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	113	102	22	4	1	3	9	28	1	2	1	216	286	363	648	147	257	25	8	275	75	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	158	143	30	6	1	4	12	39	2	3	1	210	280	350	630	140	257	25	8	274	56	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	123	25	4	16	49	160	8	12	4	209	279	347	626	138	257	25	8	274	56	-20	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1146	1024	196	31	6	19	83	308	20	60	13	191	265	289	554	98	249	27	7	251	56	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	111	18	3	11	47	175	11	34	7	191	264	289	554	98	248	27	7	251	56	-21	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	264	6	6	203	270	333	-2	+0	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	16	14	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Rosario (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	194/263/314	120	245	2	2	26%	7%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	40→38	47→50	54→55	44	202/275/339	137	273	14	17	30%	8%	74	-0.6	192/271/310	118	266	11	17	30%	8%	66	-1.1	166/252/265	99	226	9	19	29%	8%	47	-1.4
✕Mariel Bautista 2021 · A	23	41→36	42→45	49→50	39	204/254/301	97	266	10	15	27%	5%	57	-1.8	211/256/332	121	306	12	11	34%	5%	64	-1.3	186/219/331	145	265	16	11	36%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	210/284/319	109	280	9	10	27%	8%	72	-0.7	203/288/320	117	266	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.5	197/276/341	144	245	18	22	27%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Michael Suiter 2015 · A	23	43→39	41→45	52→50	43	211/279/308	98	266	9	15	24%	6%	68	-1.0	203/255/282	79	275	6	10	27%	5%	52	-2.2	195/245/266	70	265	6	10	28%	4%	41	-1.7
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	195/250/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	55	-1.9	178/230/283	105	303	12	3	43%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	49→45	51→50	40	206/276/359	153	273	16	9	30%	6%	79	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/292/288	83	272	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→31	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/260/296	105	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Richie Shaffer 2014 · A	23	41→39	44→55	51→40	38	207/254/326	119	282	11	6	30%	5%	62	-1.4	199/265/347	148	268	16	5	31%	8%	72	-0.7	188/261/337	149	252	17	4	31%	8%	66	-1.0
✕Ivan Melendez 2023 · A	23	43→36	45→50	50→40	43	214/299/340	127	278	13	6	27%	7%	84	+0.1	199/258/349	150	298	20	4	39%	5%	70	-0.8	189/249/333	144	273	21	3	38%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Brandon Bayardi 2014 · A	23	40	43→50	49→45	38	200/256/308	107	261	11	8	27%	4%	59	-1.6	223/277/349	126	295	13	7	28%	5%	76	-0.4	228/285/370	143	299	16	7	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	39→42	46→45	49→50	44	198/279/327	130	273	14	12	32%	8%	74	-0.6	194/266/307	113	275	12	14	32%	7%	63	-1.3	180/251/283	102	258	11	14	33%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jacob Heyward 2019 · A	23	41→40	45	44→50	44	202/276/324	121	289	13	10	33%	8%	71	-0.8	193/283/319	126	292	14	9	36%	10%	73	-0.6	164/259/285	121	253	15	5	39%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Josmar Cordero 2015 · A	23	43→40	44→45	46→45	38	216/258/329	113	269	12	8	25%	4%	64	-1.3	220/265/329	109	288	10	7	26%	4%	67	-1.1	225/266/335	110	291	9	3	25%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	39→40	46→50	51→50	38	199/250/328	129	280	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	202/254/342	140	275	15	11	31%	5%	66	-1.1	193/247/331	138	257	15	11	30%	5%	60	-1.3
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→44	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	214/254/340	126	277	14	9	27%	4%	65	-1.2	216/256/349	133	280	14	7	28%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	41	193/269/299	106	293	11	13	36%	8%	63	-1.4	203/273/300	97	309	8	12	34%	8%	64	-1.3	170/256/241	71	275	3	11	36%	10%	43	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps