Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 22 | 17 | 91 | 398 | 61 | 41 | 8 | 77% | 4.2 | 11.8% | 11.8% | -0.0% | 2.6% | 5.12 | 5.00 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 22 | 17 | 91 | 398 | 61 | 41 | 8 | 77% | 4.2 | 15.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 5.12 | 4.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 12 | 12 | 46 | 193 | 66 | 20 | 4 | 100% | 3.9 | 26.3% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 3.11 | 3.81 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 12.8% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.42 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.42 | 5.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 111 | 467 | 101 | 51 | 12 | — | — | 21.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.75 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.8% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.42 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.00 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 50 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 48 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 5.00 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 41 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.97 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 181 | 765 | 131 | 80 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.60 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 88 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 5.00 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 29 | 138 | 591 | 98 | 70 | 15 | 85% | 4.0 | 16.5% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.45 | 4.61 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 42 | 200 | 859 | 142 | 102 | 22 | 85% | 4.0 | 16.5% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.45 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Auger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.42 | 12.8% | 11.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.98 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 203 | -0.44 | — | — | — |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.52 | 15.4% | 13.1% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.95 | 13.8% | -5.5% | 46 | +0.43 | 4.52 | 196 | 83 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 83 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.62 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.0% | .283 | 5.64 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.02 | 4.62 | 195 | 82 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 81 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 81 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 81 |
| Elliot Morris R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 80 |
| Tanner Hall R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 80 |
| James Proctor R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.35 | 14.0% | 12.5% | 1.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 109 | 80 |
| Baron Stuart R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 80 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.49 | 13.0% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .270 | 4.34 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 217 | -0.15 | 3.71 | 361 | 80 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 79 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 79 |
| Logan Shore R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.27 | 11.5% | 10.5% | 1.5% | .274 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 125 | +0.54 | 2.92 | 386 | 79 |
| Trenton Toplikar R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.30 | 14.8% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .248 | 5.60 | 16.5% | 6.4% | 123 | +1.30 | 4.30 | 232 | 79 |
| Blaine Knight R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .263 | 4.58 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 159 | +0.12 | 4.16 | 269 | 78 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 78 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 78 |
| Michael Wagner R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.27 | 16.4% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 149 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 16.1% | 10.6% | 1.13 | 5.10 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |