Jacob Mayers
P
Salem RidgeYaks
Age 22
RHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | 14 | 7 | 43 | 186 | 60 | 38 | 2 | 50% | 3.1 | 23.9% | 24.1% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 3.74 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 30 | 128 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 74 | 314 | 90 | 51 | 6 | — | — | 28.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 4.00 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 31 | 133 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 32 | 136 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 24.6% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 33 | 138 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 24.9% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 33 | 138 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 32 | 136 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 2.9% | 4.08 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 31 | 131 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 25.0% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 4.13 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.5 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 24.6% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 24.9% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 4.13 | 4.07 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 28 | 118 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 2.9% | 4.09 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 4.09 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.0% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 3.1% | 4.14 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 24 | 24 | 150 | 635 | 158 | 56 | 19 | 100% | 6.3 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 3.74 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 210 | 74 | 25 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 7 | 43 | 186 | 44 | 45 | 3 | 50% | 3.1 | 23.9% | 24.1% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 3.74 | 4.91 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 32 | 200 | 858 | 205 | 207 | 12 | 50% | 3.1 | 23.9% | 24.1% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 3.74 | 4.91 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Mayers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.13 | 24.6% | 15.6% | 96 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 87 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 86 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 86 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 84 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 82 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 80 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 79 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 78 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 78 |
| John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 78 |
| Chris Campos R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.86 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.7% | .364 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 237 | -0.29 | 4.43 | 306 | 77 |
| Brett Gillis R 2029 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 77 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 77 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 77 |
| Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.72 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.31 | 4.31 | 174 | 77 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 32 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 1.14 | 4.18 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |