Sean Youngerman
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 51 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%20.3%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP51
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 14 | 11 | 49 | 216 | 41 | 22 | 7 | 79% | 3.5 | 14.0% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.92 | 5.75 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 51 | 217 | 44 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.57 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 100 | 433 | 85 | 41 | 14 | — | — | 19.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 5.21 | 5.13 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 53 | 225 | 48 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 10 | 54 | 230 | 51 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 233 | 53 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 55 | 233 | 53 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 52 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 38 | 160 | 35 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 43 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 46 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 47 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.8% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 36 | 36 | 206 | 871 | 195 | 70 | 26 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.4% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 68 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 11 | 49 | 216 | 30 | 26 | 9 | 79% | 3.5 | 14.0% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.92 | 5.75 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 45 | 200 | 888 | 125 | 107 | 37 | 79% | 3.5 | 14.0% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.92 | 5.75 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Youngerman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 163 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 90 |
| Nick Fraze R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 87 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 87 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 86 |
| TJ Nichols R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.96 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .310 | 5.17 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 174 | +1.21 | 3.96 | 245 | 85 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 85 |
| Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 85 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 85 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 85 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 84 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 84 |
| Zack Lee R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.41 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% | .293 | 5.18 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 130 | +1.77 | 3.41 | 213 | 84 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 84 |
| Tommy Bergjans R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.49 | 17.2% | 8.1% | 1.5% | .327 | 4.29 | 15.7% | 9.7% | 268 | +0.80 | 3.49 | 322 | 84 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.43 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .330 | 5.02 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 212 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 292 | 83 |
| Nick Dean R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .275 | 3.50 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 111 | -0.50 | 2.73 | 202 | 82 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 82 |
| Javi Rivera R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.88 | 22.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .259 | 3.71 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.72 | 229 | 82 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 54 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 1.15 | 4.32 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |